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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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112224336448 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for error metrics

Study shows label errors impact model disparity metrics, proposing mitigation methods.

problem Impact of label errors on model disparity metrics.
method Empirical study, characterizing label error effects; proposing estimation and relabeling methods.
result Label errors significantly affect model disparity metrics, particularly for minority groups.

Metric learning enhances combinatorial coverage metrics' ability to predict classification errors.

problem Dataset dependence of combinatorial coverage metrics in anticipating classification errors.
method Metric learning to improve latent space separation of data classes.
result Metric learning increases SDCCMs' ability to distinguish between correctly and incorrectly classified data.

Unified NICEk metrics improve solar forecasting accuracy.

problem Lack of suitable error metrics for multidimensional solar irradiance forecasting.
method Introducing NICEk framework with Lk norms for evaluating forecasting models.
result NICESigma consistently outperforms traditional metrics in discriminative power and statistical significance.

A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.

problem Inaccurate demand forecasts lead to suboptimal logistics and production.
method Developed a novel metric that considers both statistical and business aspects.
result The new metric yields more accurate predictions for lumpy and intermittent demand.

A visualization aids in comparing regression models by highlighting errors and correlations.

problem Comparing regression models is difficult due to varying hyper-parameters and metrics.
method Introduces a novel visualization approach using 2D residual space, Mahalanobis distance, and colormaps.
result Enhanced understanding of regression model performance differences and error distributions.

This paper tightens the generalization error bound for graph embedding in non-Euclidean spaces.

problem High generalization error in non-Euclidean graph embedding, preventing practical applications.
method Novel upper bound of graph embedding's generalization error using local Rademacher complexity.
result The new bound is tighter and faster, allowing better performance in non-Euclidean spaces.

Synthetic data augmentation can improve imbalanced classification metrics.

problem Improving imbalanced classification metrics
method Developing a framework for analyzing the effects of synthetic data augmentation on score-based classification
result Augmentation can improve AUROC, AUPRC, balanced accuracy, and F1 score

New metrics improve scRNA-seq perturbation modeling by reducing mode collapse.

problem Outperformed by simple mean prediction in scRNA-seq perturbation modeling.
method Introduce DEG-aware metrics (WMSE, Rw2(Δ)R^{2}_{w}(Δ)) and negative/positive baselines.
result WMSE loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.

This paper studies clustering of data sequences using the k-medoids algorithm. All the data sequences are assumed to be generated from \emph{unknown} continuous distributions, which form clusters with each cluster containing a composite set of closely located distributions (based on a certain distance metric between di…

2018-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Lagrangian data assimilation is a complex problem in oceanic and atmospheric modeling. Tracking drifters in large-scale geophysical flows can involve uncertainty in drifter location, complex inertial effects, and other factors which make comparing them to simulated Lagrangian trajectories from numerical models extremel…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

The study categorizes reward errors in reinforcement learning, finding some can be beneficial.

problem Training language models with imperfect proxy rewards.
method Theoretical analysis of policy gradient optimization and categorization of reward errors.
result Reward errors can be benign or even beneficial, preventing policy from stalling.

This study analyzes how well GANs approximate distributions from small samples.

problem Understanding how well GANs approximate distributions from limited data.
method Analysis of GANs using integral probability metrics and Hölder classes.
result GANs can adaptively learn low-dimensional structures or Hölder densities.

Algorithms learn and test variable partitions in various groups and error metrics.

problem Learning and testing variable partitions in different groups and error metrics.
method Algorithms for agnostically learning and testing kk-partitionability over various groups and error metrics.
result Learning algorithms for kk-partitionability with polynomial time complexity and testing with adaptive queries.

K-Medoids(KM) is a standard clustering method, used extensively on semi-metric data.Error analyses of KM have traditionally used an in-sample notion of error,which can be far from the true error and suffer from generalization gap. We formalize the true K-Medoid error based on the underlying data distribution.We decompo…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Metrics assess uncertainty structure and distribution for regression models.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional and nonlinear regression tasks.
method Two bounded comparison metrics for uncertainty structure and distribution.
result DNNs and DNOs provide encouraging uncertainty metric values in high dimensions.

Reassesses calibration metrics in machine learning models.

problem Inconsistent reporting of calibration metrics in recent literature.
method Calibration-based decomposition of Bregman divergences, visualization of calibration and generalization error.
result New visualization technique for detecting trade-offs between calibration and generalization.

A new metric predicts model performance on unseen data.

problem Predicting performance on out-of-distribution data without labels.
method Uses model predictions to pseudo-label data, trains a new model, and measures difference from in-distribution models.
result Empirically outperforms existing methods on image and text classification tasks.

Paper introduces a new framework to improve sample efficiency in POMDPs learning.

problem Challenges in off-policy evaluation for POMDPs, especially with hidden states.
method Exploits the metric structure of belief space to relax coverage assumptions.
result Unified analysis technique yields tighter error bounds and sample efficiency improvements.

Paper proposes a new metric to evaluate survival models, especially for censored data.

problem Challenges in evaluating survival prediction models due to censored data.
method Developed a novel approach to estimate Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for survival datasets with censored data.
result The proposed MAE metric using pseudo-observations accurately ranks model performance and closely matches true MAE.

Improved robustness in multivariate regression and classification with DRO under Wasserstein metric.

problem Outliers in covariates and responses.
method Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) with Wasserstein metric ambiguity set and regularization.
result Significant improvement in predictive error and robustness.

We study the Lipschitz metric on Teichmuller space (defined by Thurston) and compare it with the Teichmuller metric. We show that in the thin part of Teichmuller space the Lipschitz metric is approximated up to bounded additive distortion by the sup metric on a product of lower-dimensional spaces (similar to the Teichm…

2005-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for better initial centers in clustering with improved accuracy and privacy.

problem Improving the quality of clustering centers in metric spaces.
method HST initialization based on metric embedding tree structure, combined with efficient search algorithm and DP extension.
result HST initialization produces better initial centers than kk-median++ with comparable efficiency and improved privacy.

Paper explores generalization of minimax learners, proposing a new metric.

problem Understanding how minimax learners perform on unseen data.
method Proposes a new metric, the primal gap, to study generalization of minimax learners.
result Derives generalization error bounds for the primal gap in nonconvex-concave settings.

New research shows calibration error is flawed when dealing with model uncertainty.

problem Current model evaluation techniques conflate model uncertainty with aleatoric uncertainty.
method Posterior predictive checks to evaluate deep learning models.
result Calibration error and variants are incorrect when model uncertainty is present.

The paper analyzes the generalization of deep neural networks for metric and similarity learning.

problem Lack of rigorous understanding of generalization performance in metric and similarity learning.
method Derive explicit form of true metric, construct structured deep ReLU neural network, establish excess risk bounds.
result Explicit excess risk bounds for metric and similarity learning are derived.