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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for error decomposition

Researchers propose a new SSL risk decomposition method to evaluate and improve self-supervised learning models.

problem Self-supervised learning evaluation is limited to a single metric, providing little insight into model performance and improvement.
method Proposes an SSL risk decomposition that considers four error components: approximation, representation usability, probe generalization, and encoder generalization.
result Analysis of 169 SSL vision models reveals the main sources of error and provides insights for improving SSL models in specific settings.

This work improves tensor decomposition methods, especially for large datasets.

problem Lack of efficient methods for estimating Tucker decompositions.
method Applies Johnson-Lindenstrauss type guarantees to Tucker decompositions with random embeddings.
result Effective dimension reduction with minimal error for large tensors.

Generalizes bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

problem No specific problem stated; generalization of bias-variance for Bregman divergences.
method Provided a generalization of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.
result A clear, standalone derivation of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

The paper uncovers the mathematical structure enabling value decomposition in multi-agent systems.

problem Theoretical justification for why value decomposition works effectively in multi-agent systems remains underexplored.
method The paper introduces the concept of Markov entanglement to measure the underlying structure and demonstrates how it can be used to bound the decomposition error.
result The widely-used class of index policies is weakly entangled and enjoys a sublinear O(N)\mathcal O(\sqrt{N}) scale of decomposition error for NN-agent systems.

Bias - variance decomposition of the expected error defined for regression and classification problems is an important tool to study and compare different algorithms, to find the best areas for their application. Here the decomposition is introduced for the survival analysis problem. In our experiments, we study bias -…

2011-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes neural dynamic mode decomposition for end-to-end modeling of nonlinear dynamics.

problem Understanding and modeling nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Trains neural networks to minimize forecast error based on spectral decomposition in the lifted space.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in eigenvalue estimation and forecast performance.

Unified framework for high-dimensional online learning with non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains.

problem Divergence of error bounds in high-dimensional online learning as data batches increase.
method Asynchronous decomposition framework with summary statistics and dynamic regularization.
result Non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains in sparse online optimization.

The paper bounds the mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression.

problem Bounding the mean absolute error in deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Error decomposition techniques in statistical learning theory and non-convex optimization theory were used to derive upper bounds for approximation, estimation, and optimization errors.
result Theoretical upper bounds for mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression were derived and validated experimentally.

A new decomposition explains over-parameterized models' counterintuitive behaviors.

problem Understanding predictive error in over-parameterized models.
method Introducing the Generalized Aliasing Decomposition (GAD) to explain predictive performance.
result The GAD decomposes predictive error into three parts: model insufficiency, data insufficiency, and generalized aliasing.

Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.

problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.

The paper decomposes unsupervised learning's generalization error into model, data, and variance components.

problem Understanding the components of unsupervised learning's generalization error.
method Information-geometric decomposition of the Kullback-Leibler generalization error.
result The optimal rank in εε-PCA is the noise floor, balancing model-error gain and data-bias cost.

The paper deals with regression problems, in which the nonsmooth target is assumed to switch between different operating modes. Specifically, piecewise smooth (PWS) regression considers target functions switching deterministically via a partition of the input space, while switching regression considers arbitrary switch…

2017-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A hybrid loss framework improves time series forecasting by balancing global and component errors.

problem Current time series methods may prioritize less significant sub-series, leading to forecasting bias.
method Proposes a hybrid loss framework combining global and component losses, dynamically adjusting weights.
result Improves time series forecasting performance by 0.5-2% on average.

The paper studies and mitigates accuracy disparity in regression models.

problem Accuracy disparity between different demographic subgroups in high-stakes domains.
method Error decomposition theorem and distribution alignment algorithm.
result The proposed algorithm effectively mitigates accuracy disparity while maintaining predictive power.

The paper bounds generalization error for iterative learning with bounded updates.

problem Generalization error of iterative learning algorithms with bounded updates for non-convex loss functions.
method Information-theoretic techniques, reformulating mutual information as update uncertainty, variance decomposition.
result Improved generalization error bounds for iterative learning algorithms with bounded updates.

Signature volatility models are analyzed for existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition.

problem Existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition of signature volatility models.
method Global existence and uniqueness of strong solutions, asset-pricing, market completeness, and hedging-error decomposition derived through structural results.
result Signature volatility models are structurally sound with existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition.

This work studies the linear approximation of high-dimensional dynamical systems using low-rank dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Searching this approximation in a data-driven approach is formalised as attempting to solve a low-rank constrained optimisation problem. This problem is non-convex and state-of-the-art algor…

2016-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss structured Schatten norms for tensor decomposition that includes two recently proposed norms ("overlapped" and "latent") for convex-optimization-based tensor decomposition, and connect tensor decomposition with wider literature on structured sparsity. Based on the properties of the structured Schatten norms,…

2013-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The study improves theoretical understanding of using multiple synthetic datasets for better model accuracy.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding of using multiple synthetic datasets for supervised learning.
method Derive bias-variance decompositions for multiple synthetic datasets settings.
result A simple rule of thumb to select the appropriate number of synthetic datasets.

Many machine learning applications use latent variable models to explain structure in data, whereby visible variables (= coordinates of the given datapoint) are explained as a probabilistic function of some hidden variables. Finding parameters with the maximum likelihood is NP-hard even in very simple settings. In rece…

2016-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we consider the use of the space vs. time Kronecker product decomposition in the estimation of covariance matrices for spatio-temporal data. This decomposition imposes lower dimensional structure on the estimated covariance matrix, thus reducing the number of samples required for estimation. To allow a sm…

2013-07-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study decomposes uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for QUS.

problem Uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for quantitative ultrasound.
method Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for parameter estimation and uncertainty decomposition.
result Decomposes total predictive uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components.

Enhanced time series forecasting with improved trend and seasonal components.

problem Challenges in real-world time series forecasting, especially in multivariate applications.
method Individual decomposition of trend and seasonal components, using different approaches for each.
result Significant reduction in error values, around 10% MSE average reduction across benchmarks.

The paper proposes a method to balance fairness and prediction accuracy by adjusting data representations.

problem Machine learning models can inherit and amplify historical biases, leading to unfair outcomes.
method The paper uses subspace decomposition and influence analysis to control the fairness-utility trade-off.
result The method effectively improves fairness while preserving predictive performance.

Improves group fairness in tensor completion by augmenting tensors with balanced entities.

problem Preventing discrimination in tensor decomposition based on social grounds.
method STAFF (Sparse Tensor Augmentation For Fairness) which augments tensors with balanced entities to mitigate imbalance and bias.
result Consistently shows the best trade-off between completion error and group fairness, reducing errors by 36% and 59% respectively.

Proposes a method for tensor completion with sparse factors and missing data.

problem Recovering nonnegative data from noisy observations with missing values.
method Sparse nonnegative Tucker decomposition with 0\ell_0 norm for sparsity, maximum likelihood estimation, and error bounds.
result The method outperforms existing tensor-based or matrix-based methods in nonnegative tensor data completion.

This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis provides sharp results on the ``out-of-sample'' prediction error, as opposed to…

2011-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

MSD removes dequantization bottleneck in LLM inference by approximating high-precision activations.

problem Dequantization bottleneck in LLM inference on modern AI accelerators.
method MSD decomposes high-precision activations into multiple low-precision components for direct multiplication with quantized weights.
result MSD avoids INT8-to-BF16 weight conversion, reducing dequantization cycles and HBM traffic.

New method detects causal relationships from noisy measurements.

problem Discover causal relationships from noisy, imperfect measurements.
method Transformed Independent Noise (TIN) condition and ordered group decomposition.
result Identifies causal graph structure without over-complete ICA.

GNCL algorithm controls diversity in deep ensembles.

problem Managing bias and variance in deep ensembles.
method Generalized bias-variance decomposition for arbitrary loss functions, leading to GNCL algorithm.
result Explicit control over ensemble diversity and smooth interpolation between independent and joint training.

Unified framework HASSLE-free decomposes large model weights into sparse and low-rank components.

problem Efficiently compress large foundation models to reduce inference costs.
method Designs a unified framework for sparse plus low-rank matrix decomposition with a local layer-wise reconstruction error objective.
result HASSLE-free framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in compression and evaluation benchmarks.