Predicting unscheduled breakdowns of plasma etching equipment can reduce maintenance costs and production losses in the semiconductor industry. However, plasma etching is a complex procedure and it is hard to capture all relevant equipment properties and behaviors in a single physical model. Machine learning offers an …
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48 results for “equipment failure”
Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) is an emerging engineering discipline which is concerned with the analysis and prediction of equipment health and performance. One of the key challenges in PHM is to accurately predict impending failures in the equipment. In recent years, solutions for failure prediction have evo…
The tangent space is constructed in sub-Finsler geometry, leading to the failure of the CD condition in 3D-contact manifolds.
problem The failure of the CD condition in sub-Finsler geometry.
method Construction of the tangent space in the measured Gromov-Hausdorff sense, application of nilpotent approximation.
result The CD condition fails in 3D-contact sub-Finsler manifolds.
One of the key challenges in predictive maintenance is to predict the impending downtime of an equipment with a reasonable prediction horizon so that countermeasures can be put in place. Classically, this problem has been posed in two different ways which are typically solved independently: (1) Remaining useful life (R…
Deep RL predicts equipment maintenance from sensor data.
problem Equipment downtime due to sensor data overload.
method Model-free Deep Reinforcement Learning for optimal maintenance policy.
result Automatic maintenance policy learning from sensor data.
Graph neural networks improve equipment health monitoring from multisensor data.
problem Leveraging complex machinery structure for condition-based maintenance.
method Captured machinery structure as a graph and used graph neural networks (GNNs) to model time-series data.
result GNN-based RUL estimation model outperforms RNNs and CNNs on turbofan engine benchmark.
Method uses Seq2Seq learning to automatically generate recovery commands for ICT systems.
problem Manual decision-making for recovery commands is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Seq2Seq neural network model trained on past logs and commands.
result The model can estimate accurate recovery commands from new failures.
In the last two years, more than 200 papers have been written on how machine learning (ML) systems can fail because of adversarial attacks on the algorithms and data; this number balloons if we were to incorporate papers covering non-adversarial failure modes. The spate of papers has made it difficult for ML practition…
Railway points are among the key components of railway infrastructure. As a part of signal equipment, points control the routes of trains at railway junctions, having a significant impact on the reliability, capacity, and punctuality of rail transport. Traditionally, maintenance of points is based on a fixed time inter…
Deep learning improves oilfield equipment maintenance and reduces downtime.
problem Predicting equipment failure in oilrigs to minimize downtime.
method Developed and tested neural networks on oilfield datasets, using data processing and feature extraction.
result Deep learning can predict oilfield equipment failure with reduced downtime.
Transfer learning for Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Consensus Self-Organizing Modelscs.LG
The traditional paradigm for developing machine prognostics usually relies on generalization from data acquired in experiments under controlled conditions prior to deployment of the equipment. Detecting or predicting failures and estimating machine health in this way assumes that future field data will have a very simi…
New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
problem Improving equipment lifespan prediction through health indicator forecasting.
method Generative + scenario matching approach using Gaussian Process.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods.
Combining Unsupervised and Supervised Learning for Asset Class Failure Prediction in Power Systemsstat.AP
In power systems, an asset class is a group of power equipment that has the same function and shares similar electrical or mechanical characteristics. Predicting failures for different asset classes is critical for electric utilities towards developing cost-effective asset management strategies. Previously, physical ag…
Given any K and N we show that there exists a compact geodesic metric measure space satisfying locally the CD(0,4) condition but failing CD(K,N) globally. The space with this property is a suitable non convex subset of R^2 equipped with the l^\infty-norm and the Lebesgue measure. Combining many such spaces gives a (non…
Predicting the remaining useful life of machinery, infrastructure, or other equipment can facilitate preemptive maintenance decisions, whereby a failure is prevented through timely repair or replacement. This allows for a better decision support by considering the anticipated time-to-failure and thus promises to reduce…
Unified pipeline predicts equipment anomalies with high precision and reduced false positives.
problem Predicting equipment anomalies before failures using small models.
method Triplet Feature Fusion combining statistical, time-series, and text embeddings.
result Achieves high precision and reduced false positives.
The curvature-dimension condition fails in sub-Finsler geometry, extending previous results in sub-Riemannian geometry.
problem The failure of the curvature-dimension condition in sub-Finsler geometry.
method Non-trivial adaptation of Juillet's work, introduction of new tools and ideas.
result The condition does not hold in sub-Finsler geometry for various norms and measures.
Machine learning has begun to play a central role in many applications. A multitude of these applications typically also involve datasets that are distributed across multiple computing devices/machines due to either design constraints (e.g., multiagent systems) or computational/privacy reasons (e.g., learning on smartp…
CARL safely adapts RL agents for safety-critical tasks.
problem Safety hazards in RL for safety-critical tasks.
method CARL combines model-based RL and cautious adaptation.
result CARL achieves higher rewards with fewer failures in safety-critical tasks.
Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systemsphysics.soc-ph
Economics tool predicts failure times in reliability systems.
problem Predicting optimal failure times in weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
method Using rational expectations to analyze and predict failure times in reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
result Different measures are optimal for predicting system failure depending on component failure distributions.
Measure contraction property and curvature-dimension condition on sub-Finsler Heisenberg groupsmath.MG
The paper examines curvature-dimension bounds on sub-Finsler Heisenberg groups.
problem Investigating synthetic curvature-dimension bounds in sub-Finsler Heisenberg groups.
method Study of measure contraction property (MCP) and curvature-dimension condition (CD).
result Sub-Finsler Heisenberg groups do not satisfy MCP or CD for any parameters.
Bayesian Joint Model of Multi-Sensor and Failure Event Data for Multi-Mode Failure Predictionstat.ME
Unified model predicts multi-mode failure with multi-sensor data.
problem Independent failure mode and RUL prediction ignores inherent relationship.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with Cox model, Gaussian process, and multinomial distributions.
result Robust uncertainty quantification and accurate prediction of multi-mode failure.
PAGER detects failures in deep regression models using a new framework.
problem Detecting failures in deep regression models.
method PAGER uses a combination of epistemic uncertainty and manifold non-conformity scores.
result PAGER accurately characterizes and detects failures in deep regressors.
Risk Advisor predicts and mitigates ML deployment failures.
problem Predicting and mitigating test-time failure risks of ML systems.
method Post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure risks and uncertainties.
result Reliably predicts deployment-time failure risks across various ML models.
CalNF models rare failures with limited data, improving safety in autonomous systems.
problem Challenges in modeling and debugging rare safety-critical failures due to limited data.
method CalNF, a self-regularized framework for posterior learning from limited data.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on data-limited failure modeling and inverse problems.
This work improves safety validation of autonomous vehicles by finding interpretable failures.
problem Finding interpretable failures of autonomous systems in simulation.
method Signal temporal logic expressions optimized for high likelihood and human interpretability.
result Our methodology finds more interpretable failures with higher likelihood compared to baseline approaches.
Prognostics for Autonomous Deep-Space Habitat Health Management under Multiple Unknown Failure Modesstat.ML
Framework predicts remaining useful life of DSH subsystems under unknown failure modes.
problem Predicting remaining useful life of DSH subsystems with unknown failure modes.
method Unsupervised framework using mixture of Gaussian regressions and Expectation-Maximization algorithm.
result Improved prediction accuracy and interpretability of RUL.
The paper calculates the likelihood of a financial market failure involving multiple major banks.
problem Estimating the probability of a market failure involving multiple globally important banks.
method Multivariate Cox process across G-SIBs, deriving various theorems on market failure probabilities.
result The probability of a market failure increases with the number of G-SIBs and is inevitable if there are too many.
New measures quantify uncertainty in survival models for maintenance tasks.
problem Uncertainty in survival models for maintenance tasks.
method Formal measures of ambiguity, discrepancy, and obscurity introduced.
result Multiple accurate survival models may yield conflicting risk estimates.
Prognostics or Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation from multi-sensor time series data is useful to enable condition-based maintenance and ensure high operational availability of equipment. We propose a novel deep learning based approach for Prognostics with Uncertainty Quantification that is useful in scenarios wher…
Paper proposes a method to predict disk failures using multi-layer domain adaptive learning.
problem Traditional machine learning models struggle to predict disk failures due to limited data.
method Multi-layer domain adaptive learning with source and target domains.
result The proposed method improves failure prediction accuracy on disk data with few failure samples.
We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random Forests, and (2) Association Rules. Our classifier reaches an average sensitivity of…
GE finds failures in autonomous systems without domain heuristics.
problem Finding failures in autonomous systems without domain-specific heuristics.
method Adaptive stress testing using go-explore (GE) algorithm.
result GE finds failures in scenarios other RL techniques cannot solve.
Method distinguishes between failures and domain shifts in industrial data streams.
problem Confusing domain shifts with failures in industrial data.
method Modified Page-Hinkley changepoint detector and supervised domain-adaptation-based anomaly detection.
result Allows differentiation between failures and domain shifts.
System predicts respiratory failure up to 8 hours early.
problem Early detection of respiratory failure in ICU patients.
method Machine learning on ICU patient monitoring data.
result System outperforms traditional clinical decision-making.
New method avoids failures in physics-constrained systems using active learning.
problem Handling fatal failures in systems governed by physics constraints.
method Develops a novel active learning method that considers implicit physics constraints.
result Achieves zero-failure in composite fuselage assembly process without explicit failure regions.
This paper addresses the problem of evaluating learning systems in safety critical domains such as autonomous driving, where failures can have catastrophic consequences. We focus on two problems: searching for scenarios when learned agents fail and assessing their probability of failure. The standard method for agent e…
DeepSIP predicts network failures' impact using CNN from syslog and traffic data.
problem Predicting service impact from network failures.
method Temporal multimodal CNN for predicting time to recovery and traffic loss.
result DeepSIP reduced prediction error by approximately 50%.
Two BO methods improve reliability optimization for rare failures.
problem Maximizing reliability of designs subject to random perturbations.
method Bayesian optimization with Thompson sampling and knowledge gradient.
result Proposed methods outperform existing techniques in extreme failure probability scenarios.
New method finds failures in high-fidelity simulators with fewer steps.
problem Finding failures in high-fidelity simulators is expensive and impractical.
method Adaptive stress testing with backward algorithm adaptation from low-fidelity to high-fidelity.
result Significantly fewer high-fidelity simulation steps needed to find failures.
Entropy-based GP adaptive design improves failure probability estimation.
problem Limited accuracy in failure probability estimation due to model evaluation costs.
method Entropy-based Gaussian process (GP) adaptive design combined with multifidelity importance sampling (MFIS).
result More accurate failure probability estimates and higher confidence.
Adaptive Synaptic Failure Enables Sampling from Posterior Predictive Distributions in the Brainq-bio.NC
Brain uses synaptic failure to sample from posterior distributions.
problem Bayesian inference in the brain's probabilistic computations.
method Adapting synaptic failure to sample posterior predictive distributions.
result Synaptic failure enables sampling of complete posterior predictive distributions.
A method to minimize regret in multi-agent control systems with adversarial disturbances.
problem Optimal control of dynamical systems with adversarial disturbances and multiple agents.
method Reduction from online convex optimization to a distributed algorithm for multi-agent control.
result The resulting distributed algorithm has low regret relative to the optimal precomputed joint policy.
Study constructs balanced datasets for seismic failure prediction.
problem Imbalanced datasets limit machine learning performance in seismic failure prediction.
method Framework with three steps: GMF identification, probability density estimation, and sample transformation.
result Framework improves machine learning performance in seismic failure mode prediction.
Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.
problem Early prediction of disk drive failure using multivariate time series sensor data.
method Enriched features derived from sensor data through transformations, combined with ensemble learning and deep neural network architecture.
result Significantly improved classification accuracy in predicting disk drive failure.
Improves FI-PINNs by combining re-sampling and subset simulation for better failure probability estimation.
problem Estimating failure probability in physics-informed neural networks (PINNs).
method Adaptive sampling with re-sampling and subset simulation, using cosine-annealing for uniform to adaptive transition.
result Significant improvement in estimating failure probability and generating new training points in the failure region.
A new algorithm learns from failures to optimize under constraints efficiently.
problem Optimizing under unknown constraints with limited failure tolerance.
method Excursion search controls risk as a function of a failure budget.
result The algorithm achieves lower regret and uses failures budget more efficiently.
Determining possible failure scenarios is a critical step in the evaluation of autonomous vehicle systems. Real-world vehicle testing is commonly employed for autonomous vehicle validation, but the costs and time requirements are high. Consequently, simulation-driven methods such as Adaptive Stress Testing (AST) have b…