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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for episodic credit assignment

New algorithm learns reward signals from episodic returns for better reinforcement learning.

problem Difficulty in designing reward functions for real-world reinforcement learning tasks.
method Introduces a new algorithm that decomposes episodic returns into time-step rewards using deep neural networks.
result Learning reward signals from episodic returns improves reinforcement learning efficiency.

COCOA improves credit assignment in reinforcement learning by measuring contributions to rewards.

problem Improving sample efficiency in reinforcement learning through better credit assignment methods.
method Counterfactual Contribution Analysis (COCOA) for precise credit assignment.
result COCOA achieves lower bias and variance compared to Hindsight Credit Assignment (HCA), improving reinforcement learning performance.

Eigenoptions improve credit assignment in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving credit assignment in reinforcement learning models.
method Investigated eigenoptions for credit assignment in model-free RL, comparing pre-specified and online discovery methods.
result Pre-specified eigenoptions aid exploration and credit assignment, while online discovery can hinder learning.

The success of popular algorithms for deep reinforcement learning, such as policy-gradients and Q-learning, relies heavily on the availability of an informative reward signal at each timestep of the sequential decision-making process. When rewards are only sparsely available during an episode, or a rewarding feedback i…

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Credit assignment in Meta-reinforcement learning (Meta-RL) is still poorly understood. Existing methods either neglect credit assignment to pre-adaptation behavior or implement it naively. This leads to poor sample-efficiency during meta-training as well as ineffective task identification strategies. This paper provide…

2018-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a health-informed policy gradient method for multi-agent reinforcement learning.

problem Optimizing joint reward functions in multi-agent systems with varying agent health.
method Health-informed credit assignment in a multi-agent proximal policy optimization algorithm.
result Significant improvement in learning performance compared to traditional methods.

Neural network uses local credit assignment to learn distant cause-effect relationships.

problem Learning distant cause-effect relationships in sequential data.
method Sparse coding in a recurrent neural network memory with local and immediate credit assignment.
result Network can predict partially-observable higher-order sequences and navigate mazes.

The paper explores how planning with models improves credit assignment in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving credit assignment in reinforcement learning.
method Investigates the use of forward and backward models for planning in reinforcement learning.
result Establishes the relative merits and limitations of forward and backward planning mechanisms.

Introduces expected eligibility traces for more efficient credit assignment in reinforcement learning.

problem Efficiently assigning credit to states and actions in reinforcement learning.
method Introduces expected eligibility traces, allowing updates to counterfactual sequences.
result Substantial improvements in temporal-difference learning can be achieved with expected traces.

MRC improves credit assignment in multi-agent LLM systems, achieving high returns and transparency.

problem Lack of principled credit assignment in multi-agent LLM decision systems, vulnerability to regime shifts, and limited transparency.
method Market Regime Council (MRC) computes exact Shapley credits, uses exponentially weighted performance histories, Bayesian adaptive mixture, and regime-dependent multipliers.
result MRC achieves a Sharpe ratio of 1.51 and a cumulative return of 440.1% over 1,037 trading days, ranking first on CR, SR, and IR.

New framework for modular reinforcement learning reduces sample complexity.

problem Achieving independent credit assignment in reinforcement learning.
method Defining modular credit assignment as minimizing algorithmic mutual information, introducing modularity criterion for causal analysis.
result Single-step temporal difference action-value methods meet the modularity criterion, improving sample efficiency.

New methods improve deep reinforcement learning by accelerating credit assignment.

problem Challenges in achieving fast and stable off-policy learning in deep reinforcement learning.
method Extends the generalized PBE objective to support multistep credit assignment and derives three gradient-based methods.
result Proposed methods outperform PPO and StreamQ in MuJoCo and MinAtar environments.

This paper proposes a new algorithm for learning guidance rewards in RL.

problem Long-term temporal credit assignment in sparse or delayed reward environments.
method Surrogate RL objective with trajectory-space smoothing to learn guidance rewards.
result Guidance rewards can be learned without additional neural networks and have intuitive interpretation.

Shapley Flow interprets model predictions using a graph-based approach to feature importance.

problem Existing feature importance methods ignore or hide feature dependencies.
method Shapley Flow considers the entire causal graph and assigns credit to edges.
result Shapley Flow provides a deeper, graph-based view of feature importance.

Paper tackles end-to-end training of complex neural networks using DIP method.

problem Training complex heterogeneous neural network models end-to-end.
method Deep Innovation Protection (DIP) method using multiobjective optimization.
result End-to-end training of complex heterogeneous neural network models is possible.

MACC learns communication protocols by adapting counterfactual reasoning.

problem Credit assignment and non-stationarity in communication environments.
method Adapts counterfactual reasoning to overcome credit assignment and uses action policy and Q-function of other agents to handle non-stationarity.
result MACC outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in four scenarios.

Stable Hadamard Memory improves reinforcement learning by efficiently managing memory.

problem Memory models struggle in partially observable reinforcement learning environments.
method Introduces a novel memory model using the Hadamard product for efficient memory management and updates.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art memory-based methods on challenging benchmarks.

AXI assesses bank funding costs transparently, improving loan pricing and reducing financial risk.

problem Lack of credit-sensitive funding benchmarks after LIBOR transition.
method AXI aggregates unsecured funding transactions across maturities, producing a daily credit spread.
result AXI correlates with financial conditions and market stress, reducing funding risk and offering spread discounts.

Small Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) face many obstacles when they try to access credit market. These obstacles are increased if the SMEs are innovative. In this case, financial data are insufficient or even not reliable. Thus, when building a judgemental rating model, mainly based on qualitative criteria (soft inform…

2013-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds implicit government guarantee improves municipal investment bond ratings.

problem Questioning the objectivity of municipal investment bond ratings due to implicit government guarantee.
method Text mining of policy documents and PMC index model for implicit guarantee strength calculation.
result Implicit government guarantee boosts municipal investment bond ratings, especially in less developed regions.

The study develops a machine learning system for credit scoring and default prediction.

problem Developing a robust credit rating and default prediction system.
method Combines NLP, AE, GBM, DE, and SHAP/LIME for model interpretability.
result Obtained excellent out-of-sample performance in credit rating and default prediction.

Stochastic computation graphs (SCGs) provide a formalism to represent structured optimization problems arising in artificial intelligence, including supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning. Previous work has shown that an unbiased estimator of the gradient of the expected loss of SCGs can be derived from a…

2019-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a self-learning framework for reject inference in credit scoring.

problem Sample bias in credit scoring models due to training on accepted cases only.
method Develops a self-learning framework considering distinct training regimes for iterative labeling and model training, introduces a new evaluation measure.
result Demonstrates the superiority of the adjusted self-learning framework over regular self-learning and previous reject inference strategies.

Two local learning rules are investigated to avoid weight transport in neural networks.

problem Local learning rules that avoid weight transport are unstable and require tuning.
method Investigated two non-local learning rules and a more robust local rule.
result Non-local learning rules match state-of-the-art performance and operate effectively in noisy updates.

New hierarchical RL agent learns to generalize in complex multi-agent games.

problem Current RL methods struggle to generalize to unseen opponents in multi-agent games.
method Proposed a hierarchical RL architecture grounded in game-theoretic structure.
result Hierarchical agent generalizes to unseen opponents, while baselines fail.

Reward shaping is one of the most effective methods to tackle the crucial yet challenging problem of credit assignment in Reinforcement Learning (RL). However, designing shaping functions usually requires much expert knowledge and hand-engineering, and the difficulties are further exacerbated given multiple similar tas…

2019-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper formalizes and analyzes multi-agent Q-learning with value factorization.

problem Understanding and improving the convergence of multi-agent Q-learning with value factorization.
method Formalized a multi-agent fitted Q-iteration framework for analyzing factorized multi-agent Q-learning.
result Multi-agent Q-learning with linear value factorization can converge under certain conditions.

This work tackles ML accountability by quantifying contributions of algorithms and datasets.

problem Determining responsibility for poor performance on subpopulations at test time.
method Proposes Extended Shapley as a principled framework for joint credit assignment.
result Demonstrates Extended Shapley can be used to address ML accountability questions.

Paper analyzes deep learning models for credit rating prediction using text and numerical data.

problem Improving credit rating prediction using multi-modal deep learning.
method Testing different deep learning models and fusion strategies for structured and unstructured datasets.
result CNN-based multi-modal model with two fusion strategies outperformed other models.

New method evaluates AI stock prediction systems based on decision-making processes.

problem Lack of evaluation for AI systems' decision-making processes.
method Scores intermediate decision process using large language models and closed-loop reinforcement learning feedback.
result Composite behavioral score correlates with Sharpe ratio and reduces prediction error.