Framework extracts symptoms from EHRs for rapid disease outbreak detection.
problem Extracting relevant data from unstructured medical texts.
method Conformal active learning for efficient data mining.
result Framework achieves strong performance with minimal manual labeling.
Accurate real-time monitoring systems of influenza outbreaks help public health officials make informed decisions that may help save lives. We show that information extracted from cloud-based electronic health records databases, in combination with machine learning techniques and historical epidemiological information,…
Italy's daily COVID-19 cases stratified by age groups.
problem Analyzing the spread and impact of COVID-19 across different age groups.
method Stratified daily data of COVID-19 cases by age classes.
result Detailed insights into how age affects COVID-19 outcomes.
EGDL predicts TB outbreaks with deep learning, integrating epidemiological models.
problem Predicting TB outbreaks with complex spatiotemporal dynamics.
method Modified MN-SIR model with Bayesian inference, deep neural networks.
result EGDL delivers robust and accurate TB outbreak predictions.
We have applied a little-known data transformation to subsets of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) publically available data of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) to make it suitable input to standard machine learning classifiers. This transformation properly treats the right-censored data in the …
New method tackles anomaly detection in video surveillance using continual learning.
problem Challenges in continual learning for high-dimensional applications like video surveillance.
method Transfer learning and continual learning for online anomaly detection.
result Significantly reduces training complexity and continual learning from recent data.
Paper addresses data heterogeneity in federated learning for CoxPH models in healthcare.
problem Data heterogeneity in federated learning of CoxPH models for healthcare.
method Feature-based clustering and event-based reporting strategy.
result Enhanced model accuracy and performance in federated survival analysis.
Classifiers and beamforming algorithms improved audio surveillance detection accuracy.
problem Detecting surveillance sound events with high accuracy and efficiency.
method Evaluated seven classifiers and two beamforming algorithms; used data augmentation and tested with varying SNR levels.
result SVM and Delay-and-Sum (DaS) combination achieved the highest accuracy (86.0%), but had high computational cost.
Study shows diverse data types improve SARS-COV-2 case surge predictions.
problem Improving pandemic case surge predictions using multimodal data.
method Investigated the effectiveness of biological, public health, and behavioral features.
result Diverse feature sets enhance prediction accuracy, varying by country and phase.
ESOP uses Bayesian optimization to find optimal lock-down schedules.
problem Finding optimal lock-down schedules balancing health and economy.
method Bayesian optimization interacting with epidemiological models.
result ESOP schedules balance public health and economic impacts.
The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.
problem Measurement error in nutritional studies leads to biased and underconfident estimates.
method The article reviews various bias-correction models for exposure variables in nutritional epidemiology.
result Bias-correction methods are essential for accurate inference in nutritional studies.
New algorithm rSVDdpd improves robustness and scalability for video surveillance background modeling.
problem Camera tampering and noisy videos make background separation challenging.
method Introduces rSVDdpd, a robust singular value decomposition technique for scalable video surveillance.
result Demonstrates superior performance on benchmark and real-life datasets.
SVI and GP surrogates improve calibration of ABMs in epidemiology.
problem Calibrating stochastic ABMs in epidemiology is computationally expensive.
method Stein Variational Inference (SVI) with Gaussian process (GP) surrogates.
result SVI maintains comparable predictive accuracy and calibration effectiveness to MCMC.
This paper explores using a Long short-term memory (LSTM) based sequence autoencoder to learn interesting features for detecting surveillance aircraft using ADS-B flight data. An aircraft periodically broadcasts ADS-B (Automatic Dependent Surveillance - Broadcast) data to ground receivers. The ability of LSTM networks …
Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.
problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.
Machine learning aids epidemiologists in analyzing big data.
problem Handling large, complex data in epidemiology.
method Explains principles and methods of supervised and unsupervised learning.
result Develops strategies for model evaluation and hyperparameter optimization.
ARF synthesizes epidemiological data to match original findings.
problem Synthetic data quality and privacy in epidemiology.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARF) for efficient data synthesis.
result ARF-generated synthetic data consistently matches original epidemiological findings.
Efficiently calibrates epidemiological models using Bayesian optimization.
problem Calibration of complex epidemiological models is computationally expensive and challenging.
method Graybox Bayesian optimization scheme leveraging Gaussian processes and functional structure of compartmental models.
result Proposed methods achieve efficient calibration and improved performance compared to existing schemes.
Online surveillance detects systemic risk in financial markets.
problem Detecting and monitoring systemic risk in financial markets.
method Online monitoring procedures for multiple series, controlling for false rejections.
result Procedures allow timely detection of financial distress.
Automates infectious disease policy-making via inference in epidemiological models.
problem Improving policy-making for infectious diseases during pandemics.
method Performing inference in existing epidemiological models using a probabilistic programming language.
result Automated inference leads to better disease progression outcomes and policy prescriptions.
A framework detects nonlinear and interaction effects in epidemiological data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of reliable inference for ML-discovered nonlinearities and interactions in epidemiological data.
method Combines Bayesian sparse regression, tree ensembles, and Shapley values.
result Valid uncertainty quantification for feature effects at the individual level.
Unified Bayesian-AI framework improves epidemiological risk prediction and uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of calibrated uncertainty in machine learning models for epidemiology.
method Combines Bayesian prediction with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization using logistic regression and Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization.
result Unified Bayesian-AI framework provides reliable coverage and improved calibration, enhancing epidemiological decision making.
TOO optimizes stochastic epidemiological models by finding both parameter settings and random seeds.
problem Calibrating stochastic epidemiological models to match empirical observations.
method Gaussian process surrogates and Thompson sampling for optimization.
result Produces actual trajectories consistent with ground truth.
Bayesian network modelling is a well adapted approach to study messy and highly correlated datasets which are very common in, e.g., systems epidemiology. A popular approach to learn a Bayesian network from an observational datasets is to identify the maximum a posteriori network in a search-and-score approach. Many sco…
Due to globalization, geographic boundaries no longer serve as effective shields for the spread of infectious diseases. In order to aid bio-surveillance analysts in disease tracking, recent research has been devoted to developing information retrieval and analysis methods utilizing the vast corpora of publicly availabl…
TMLE improves unbiased estimation in public health studies.
problem Improving unbiased estimation in observational studies.
method Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) integrates machine learning and statistical theory.
result TMLE has been adopted by researchers worldwide, especially outside the US.
Maximising the detection of intrusions is a fundamental and often critical aim of perimeter surveillance. Commonly, this requires a decision-maker to optimally allocate multiple searchers to segments of the perimeter. We consider a scenario where the decision-maker may sequentially update the searchers' allocation, lea…
Novel method for estimating SIRD model parameters and forecasting COVID-19 deaths in Poland.
problem Estimating epidemiological parameters for SARS-CoV-2 spread in Poland.
method Modified SIRD model, GPU architecture for computation.
result Effectiveness of short-term forecasts (up to 2 weeks) and stability of the method.
Predicting epidemic dynamics is of great value in understanding and controlling diffusion processes, such as infectious disease spread and information propagation. This task is intractable, especially when surveillance resources are very limited. To address the challenge, we study the problem of active surveillance, i.…
Epidemiological model updates infection rates in China, US, Italy.
problem Evaluate policy interventions for mitigating the 2019-nCov pandemic.
method Custom SITR model with variational data assimilation for real-time updates.
result Model robust to initial conditions, infers infection numbers and parameters.
The early detection of infectious disease outbreaks is a crucial task to protect population health. To this end, public health surveillance systems have been established to systematically collect and analyse infectious disease data. A variety of statistical tools are available, which detect potential outbreaks as abber…
Simulation-based inference aids in predicting disease dynamics for health policy.
problem Predicting disease dynamics to inform public health interventions.
method Simulation-based inference using machine learning.
result Potential for efficient interpretable Bayesian inference in epidemiological models.
Anomaly detection identifies unusual malaria transmission patterns in Ghana.
problem Identifying atypical malaria transmission patterns in Ghana's spatiotemporal surveillance data.
method Consensus-based anomaly detection framework applied to monthly malaria surveillance data.
result High-burden areas are not necessarily those with the most frequent anomalous transmission.
Zero-shot understanding of accidents from surveillance videos using vision-language models
problem Accident understanding from surveillance videos
method Three-stage pipeline with vision-language similarity, metadata-driven multi-prompt reasoning, and entropy-gated pairwise adjudicator
result Substantial improvement in harmonic-mean score over baseline
According to the definition of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), contributing banks should give fair estimates of their own borrowing costs in the interbank market. Between 2007 and 2009, several banks made inappropriate submissions of LIBOR, sometimes motivated by profit-seeking from their trading positions. …
Objectives: Most cancer data sources lack information on metastatic recurrence. Electronic medical records (EMRs) and population-based cancer registries contain complementary information on cancer treatment and outcomes, yet are rarely used synergistically. To enable detection of metastatic breast cancer (MBC), we appl…
Flusion combines multiple data sources to improve flu forecasts.
problem Accurate flu predictions to improve public health actions.
method Ensemble model combining gradient boosting quantile regression and Bayesian autoregressive models.
result Flusion was the top-performing model in the CDC's influenza prediction challenge.
Mobile apps and machine learning improve malaria prevention and treatment.
problem High malaria cases and deaths in low-income countries.
method Adaptive interventions using mobile health apps and machine learning.
result Increased malaria testing, adherence, and provider skills.
New method detects close contacts to prevent SARS-CoV-2 spread.
problem Detecting close contacts to prevent SARS-CoV-2 spread.
method Machine learning approach using BLE data.
result Reliable detection of close contacts reduces SARS-CoV-2 risk.
Viral zoonoses have emerged as the key drivers of recent pandemics. Human infection by zoonotic viruses are either spillover events -- isolated infections that fail to cause a widespread contagion -- or species jumps, where successful adaptation to the new host leads to a pandemic. Despite expensive bio-surveillance ef…
Bayesian calibration speeds up ABM for pandemic modeling.
problem Calibrating stochastic ABMs for accurate pandemic predictions is computationally intensive.
method Random forest surrogate modeling for accelerated ABM evaluation.
result Improved predictive performance with random forest calibration compared to previous methods.
Traditional disease surveillance can be augmented with a wide variety of real-time sources such as, news and social media. However, these sources are in general unstructured and, construction of surveillance tools such as taxonomical correlations and trace mapping involves considerable human supervision. In this paper,…
HED Score improves temporal evaluation of detection accuracy.
problem Temporal agnosticism in existing evaluation frameworks for non-stationary processes.
method Measure-theoretic HED Score integrating exponentially decaying kernel over posterior probability stream.
result HED Score achieves 388.8% improvement over ROC/AUC on NSL-KDD benchmark.
Due to the growing demand for improving surveillance capabilities in smart cities, systems need to be developed to provide better monitoring capabilities to competent authorities, agencies responsible for strategic resource management, and emergency call centers. This work assumes that, as a complementary monitoring so…
Study on financial impacts of zombie outbreak on economy.
problem Financial and economic consequences of a zombie epidemic.
method Epidemiological modeling and financial computation.
result GDP losses of 23.44% and financial market drop of 29.30% in a major industrialized nation.
The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating data from the largest European banks. Then, an optimal control problem is formula…
Epidemiology simulations have become a fundamental tool in the fight against the epidemics of various infectious diseases like AIDS and malaria. However, the complicated and stochastic nature of these simulators can mean their output is difficult to interpret, which reduces their usefulness to policymakers. In this pap…
Method detects insider trading using trading data and dimensionality reduction.
problem Identifying insider trading in large datasets.
method Unsupervised machine learning, principal component analysis, autoencoders.
result Identifies suspicious trading behavior based on reconstruction errors.