The article presents a new entropy model for assessing stock market interest.
problem Assessing investor interest and market sentiment in exchange-traded securities.
method Intrinsic entropy model using actual trading data, without exogenous factors.
result Empirical evidence supports the model's ability to predict trading activity.
Entropy-minimal measure calculated for a stochastic volatility model.
problem Calculating the entropy-minimal equivalent martingale measure in a stochastic volatility model.
method Revised related theory, calculated entropy-minimal measure.
result Entropy-minimal measure for the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model.
The study evaluates different probability models for uncertainty visualization using entropy calculations.
problem Choosing the right probability model affects memory use, run time, and accuracy in uncertainty visualization.
method Entropy calculation on ensemble data to compare various probability models (uniform, Gaussian, histogram, quantile).
result Models matching the ensemble data distribution have the lowest entropy, indicating better accuracy.
ELBO converges to a sum of entropies for many generative models.
problem Understanding the convergence of variational lower bounds in unsupervised learning.
method Analyzing the ELBO for a broad class of generative models, showing it equals a sum of entropies.
result The ELBO is equal to a sum of entropies at stationary points for many generative models.
Entrocraft addresses RL performance saturation in LLMs by customizing entropy curves.
problem Performance saturation in RL algorithms for LLMs.
method Entrocraft uses rejection sampling to bias advantage distributions for customized entropy schedules.
result Entrocraft significantly improves generalization, output diversity, and long-term training in 4B models.
We investigate entropy as a financial risk measure. Entropy explains the equity premium of securities and portfolios in a simpler way and, at the same time, with higher explanatory power than the beta parameter of the capital asset pricing model. For asset pricing we define the continuous entropy as an alternative meas…
AER dynamically adjusts entropy regularization for better LLM reinforcement learning.
problem Policy entropy collapse in RLVR training limits exploration and reasoning performance.
method Adaptive Entropy Regularization (AER) with difficulty-aware coefficient allocation, initial-anchored target entropy, and dynamic global coefficient adjustment.
result AER consistently outperforms baselines on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, improving both accuracy and exploration.
Paper proposes a policy-search algorithm to learn entropy-maximizing exploration policies in reward-free environments.
problem Reward-free learning in high-dimensional, continuous-control domains.
method Maximum Entropy POLicy optimization (MEPOL) algorithm that maximizes a non-parametric state entropy estimate.
result MEPOL learns a maximum-entropy exploration policy that facilitates learning various reward-based tasks.
The intrinsic entropy model accurately estimates stock market volatility.
problem Accurately estimating historical volatility of stock market indices.
method Incorporates traded volumes alongside OHLC prices in daily data.
result Intrinsic entropy model delivers reliable estimates with lower coefficient of variation.
REMEDI improves neural entropy estimation across various tasks.
problem Challenges in estimating information theoretic quantities in high-dimensional data.
method Combines minimization of cross-entropy with estimation of deviation from data density.
result Improves accuracy in entropy estimation on synthetic and natural data.
HCLM framework uses entropy regularization for open learning systems.
problem Real-world AI challenges and limitations of deep learning.
method Dynamical and information-theoretic framework with entropy regularization.
result Geometric entropy surrogates, especially log-determinant covariance entropy, induce stronger and more stable information forces.
Generative models' ELBOs converge to entropy sums, proving for various models.
problem Proving convergence of ELBOs to entropy sums for various generative models.
method Proofs for individual models under realistic conditions.
result ELBOs of various generative models converge to entropy sums at all stationary points.
Structured entropy improves classification performance on structured targets.
problem Cross-entropy loss fails to account for target variable structure.
method Proposes structured entropy, a generalization of entropy using random partitions.
result Structured cross-entropy loss yields better results on classification problems with known structure.
The financial market entropy is modeled using open quantum systems.
problem Understanding entropy in financial market dynamics.
method Using Open Quantum Systems to model entropy gain in financial markets.
result Interesting non-classical results generated by relaxing assumptions.
We consider the problem of identifying the causal direction between two discrete random variables using observational data. Unlike previous work, we keep the most general functional model but make an assumption on the unobserved exogenous variable: Inspired by Occam's razor, we assume that the exogenous variable is sim…
Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth and invertible transformation that maps a simple distribution to the desired ma…
New measures for causal entropy and information gain studied.
problem Quantifying causal relationships in machine learning.
method Formal study of causal entropy and information gain.
result Established fundamental properties and relationships.
ALIEN improves uncertainty estimation of language models by refining entropy-based methods.
problem Overconfidence in uncertainty estimation for language models, especially for difficult inputs.
method ALIEN refines entropy-based uncertainty by aligning it with prediction reliability, using a lightweight uncertainty head.
result ALIEN consistently outperforms strong baselines in detecting incorrect predictions and achieving the lowest calibration error.
The paper applies math and physics to language models, introducing entropy and geometric concepts.
problem Understanding and improving language models to approximate intelligent language.
method Formal definitions, functional analysis, topology, thermodynamics, and set theory.
result Entropy function reveals key obstacles for LLMs and offers insights into language models.
Entropy tracking reveals class commitment transitions in diffusion models.
problem Diffusion models lack reliable methods to detect semantic structure transitions.
method Tracking class-conditional entropy of latent variables.
result Entropy isolates noise regimes critical for semantic structure formation.
We translate the problem of calculating the entropy of a set of binary configurations/signals into a sequence of supervised classification tasks. Subsequently, one can use virtually any machine learning classification algorithm for computing entropy. This procedure can be used to compute entropy, and consequently the f…
The study calculates Weyl entropy in spacetime regions and shows its monotonic behavior.
problem Calculating and understanding Weyl entropy in spacetime regions.
method Introducing a candidate density for Weyl entropy in perfect fluid regions and analyzing its behavior in compact spacetime regions.
result Weyl entropy is shown to be monotonic in time and maximal in vacuum static metrics.
The well known maximum-entropy principle due to Jaynes, which states that given mean parameters, the maximum entropy distribution matching them is in an exponential family, has been very popular in machine learning due to its "Occam's razor" interpretation. Unfortunately, calculating the potentials in the maximum-entro…
We show vanishing results about the infimum of the topological entropy of the geodesic flow of homogeneous smooth four manifolds. We prove that any closed oriented geometric four manifold has zero minimal entropy if and only if it has zero simplicial volume. We also show that if a four manifold M admits a geometric dec…
New approach to portfolio optimization shows entropy regularization is ineffective.
problem Entropy regularization in mean-variance portfolio optimization under drift uncertainty.
method Combining Bayesian filtering and stochastic policy optimization.
result Entropy regularization does not accelerate learning about unknown drift.
Bayesian Markowitz portfolio problem shows entropy regularization is ineffective.
problem Entropy regularization in Bayesian Markowitz portfolio optimization.
method Combines continuous-time Bayesian filtering with stochastic policy optimization.
result Entropy regularization does not accelerate learning of unknown drift.
Paper characterizes embeddability of function spaces into Lp-type RKBS via metric entropy.
problem Characterizing embeddability of function spaces into Lp-type RKBS. method Establishes a connection between metric entropy growth and embeddability.
result A bound on metric entropy growth allows embedding into Lp-type RKBS. Entropy corrections improve GBM's predictive accuracy for non-log-normal distributions.
problem Log-normal distribution limitations in GBM predictions.
method Entropy corrections to geometric Brownian motion (GBM).
result Improved predictive accuracy for non-log-normal distributions.
Paper proposes a Renyi entropy-based method for tuning hierarchical topic models.
problem Tuning hierarchical topic models, especially determining the number of topics at each level, is challenging.
method The paper introduces a Renyi entropy-based metric for quality assessment and a practical tuning concept.
result The proposed method can estimate the number of topics for two hierarchical levels in hARTM model.
New method uses SVD entropy to price artworks.
problem Lack of fine measurements in traditional art pricing models.
method SVD entropy of painting images for content measurement.
result SVD entropy positively affects sales price at 1% significance level.
Fine-tuning improves information conveyance in language models by reorganizing uncertainty into more informative sequences.
problem Uncertainty reduction in large language models through fine-tuning is not fully understood, especially regarding output length.
method Proposed Canopy Entropy (CE⋆) to measure uncertainty in both output length and sequence, capturing total Shannon entropy. result Fine-tuned models exhibit stronger positive correlation between entropy rate and semantic diversity, indicating more informative and semantically meaningful generations.
Long memory and volatility clustering are two stylized facts frequently related to financial markets. Traditionally, these phenomena have been studied based on conditionally heteroscedastic models like ARCH, GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH, inter alia. One advantage of these models is their ability to capture nonlinear dynam…
In this paper, we prove the concavity of the Shannon entropy power for the heat equation associated with the Laplacian or the Witten Laplacian on complete Riemannian manifolds with suitable curvature-dimension condition and on compact super Ricci flows. Under suitable curvature-dimension condition, we prove that the ri…
The paper characterizes curvature-dimension conditions and related inequalities on Riemannian manifolds.
problem Curvature-dimension conditions and related inequalities on Riemannian manifolds.
method Information-theoretic approach to study curvature-dimension condition, rigidity theorems, and entropy differential inequalities.
result Equivalence of curvature-dimension condition and entropy differential inequalities on Riemannian manifolds.
In this paper, we present a new class of Markov decision processes (MDPs), called Tsallis MDPs, with Tsallis entropy maximization, which generalizes existing maximum entropy reinforcement learning (RL). A Tsallis MDP provides a unified framework for the original RL problem and RL with various types of entropy, includin…
Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.
problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.
Enhances RL by controlling policy stochasticity through trajectory entropy constraints.
problem Non-stationary Q-value estimation and short-sighted entropy tuning in maximum entropy RL.
method Proposes TECRL framework with separate Q-functions for reward and entropy, enforcing a trajectory entropy constraint.
result DSAC-E algorithm achieves higher returns and better stability on OpenAI Gym benchmarks.
In this paper we study the consistency of an empirical minimum error entropy (MEE) algorithm in a regression setting. We introduce two types of consistency. The error entropy consistency, which requires the error entropy of the learned function to approximate the minimum error entropy, is shown to be always true if the…
The paper calculates bounds for risk metrics and entropies under partial information constraints.
problem Analyzing risk metrics and entropies for unimodal, symmetric distributions with limited information.
method Develops lower and upper bounds for worst-case distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for unimodal, symmetric distributions with known mean and variance.
result Sharp upper bounds for distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for symmetric distributions.
New entropy-based objective for sparse coding improves learning.
problem Sparse coding with probabilistic priors and non-Gaussian observables.
method Derive a solely entropy-based learning objective for sparse coding parameters.
result Fully analytical ELBO objective for sparse coding with non-trivial posterior approximations.
COME replaces entropy minimization to prevent model collapse.
problem Overconfidence in entropy minimization leads to model collapse.
method COME explicitly models uncertainty with a Dirichlet prior distribution.
result COME achieves state-of-the-art performance on various TTA settings.
The paper analyzes worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy under partial information.
problem Analyzing worst-case distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy with limited information.
method General distributions, partial information (mean and variance), various entropies and risk measures.
result Provides worst-case results for distortion risk metrics and weighted entropy.
Proposes integrating global and local entropy for more reliable LLMs.
problem Uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) leads to unreliable predictions.
method Measures global uncertainty from hidden-state matrices and local uncertainty from tokens, combining them via a multiplicative gate.
result Global-Local Uncertainty (GLU) outperforms unsupervised baselines across multiple models and benchmarks.
ProSelfLC improves robustness of deep neural networks by automatically deciding trust in predictions.
problem Training robust deep neural networks requires addressing issues like label noise and low entropy predictions.
method ProSelfLC progressively increases trust in predicted labels over time, considering entropy and learning time.
result ProSelfLC demonstrates improved robustness in both clean and noisy settings through empirical validation.
AR-DAE approximates entropy gradient for machine learning models.
problem Intractable computation of entropy gradient for continuous distributions.
method Amortized residual denoising autoencoder (AR-DAE) to approximate entropy gradient.
result AR-DAE provides an unbiased gradient approximation for entropy.
New method prevents entropy collapse in Transformer training, leading to more stable and robust models.
problem Training instability in Transformers, especially in attention layers.
method Spectral normalization with a learned scalar to prevent entropy collapse.
result Prevents entropy collapse, leading to more stable training.
The paper studies entropy calibration in language models and finds that miscalibration improves slowly with scale.
problem The problem is whether language model entropy calibration improves with scale and if it's possible to calibrate without reducing log loss.
method The authors study a simplified theoretical setting to characterize miscalibration scaling behavior and measure it empirically in language models ranging from 0.5B to 70B parameters.
result The observed scaling behavior of miscalibration is similar to theoretical predictions, indicating slow improvement with scale. The authors also prove theoretically that it is possible to reduce entropy while preserving log loss if access to a black box predicting future entropy is available.
This is full length article (draft version) where problem number of topics in Topic Modeling is discussed. We proposed idea that Renyi and Tsallis entropy can be used for identification of optimal number in large textual collections. We also report results of numerical experiments of Semantic stability for 4 topic mode…