New samplers improve MCMC efficiency in high dimensions.
problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional problems.
method Affine invariant ensemble samplers, including derivative-free and derivative-based HMC.
result Affine invariant ensemble HMC outperforms standard HMC in high dimensions.
Bayesian inference for factorial hidden Markov models is challenging due to the exponentially sized latent variable space. Standard Monte Carlo samplers can have difficulties effectively exploring the posterior landscape and are often restricted to exploration around localised regions that depend on initialisation. We …
Enhances optimization and sampling methods using ensemble-based gradient inference.
problem Improving ensemble-based methods for optimization and sampling.
method Ensemble-based gradient inference (EGI) to extract higher-order derivatives from particle ensembles.
result Augmented algorithms outperform gradient-free variants, especially in multimodal and non-Gaussian settings.
BART improves predictive performance but slows down with more data.
problem Understanding and improving the computational efficiency of BART with large datasets.
method Asymptotic analysis of a modified BART sampler, focusing on hitting time of high posterior density sets.
result The convergence time of the BART sampler increases with the number of training samples due to multi-modality, but can be mitigated by increasing the number of trees or raising the sampler temperature.
Bayesian tree ensemble model for estimating treatment effects in high-dimensional survival data.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with many covariates.
method Developed a Bayesian tree ensemble model with a horseshoe prior for adaptive shrinkage.
result Accurately estimates treatment effects in high-dimensional covariate spaces and non-linear functions.
Enhanced diffusion sampling improves rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.
problem Efficiently sampling rare transition events in biomolecular systems.
method Quantitative steering protocols to generate biased ensembles and exact reweighting.
result Fast, accurate, and scalable estimation of equilibrium properties.
Enhanced diffusion sampling tackles rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.
problem Efficiently sampling rare transition events in biomolecular simulations.
method Quantitative steering protocols to generate biased ensembles, followed by exact reweighting.
result Fast, accurate, and scalable estimation of equilibrium properties for folding free energies.
New algorithm improves efficiency of Bayesian Causal Forest for subgroup analysis.
problem Estimating heterogeneous effects in subgroup analysis.
method Developed a novel algorithm for fitting Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) model, more efficient than Gibbs sampler.
result New algorithm improves posterior exploration and coverage of interval estimates.
Gradient-free framework for Bayesian experimental design in complex systems.
problem Optimal experimental design in systems where gradient information is unavailable.
method Combines EKI and ALDI for optimization and sampling, with approximations for scalable utility estimation.
result Demonstrates robust, accurate, and efficient experimental design in various complex systems.
SBMC method improves uncertainty estimation in deep learning models.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method A scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo method using a model and parallel SMC/MCMC algorithm.
result SBMC achieves comparable or better accuracy and improved uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Paper tackles noisy and expensive likelihoods in complex models.
problem Calibrating parameters in complex models with noisy and expensive evaluations.
method Ensemble Kalman methods and Langevin-based methods for inverse problems.
result Ensemble Kalman methods perform well in noisy conditions, while Langevin methods are adversely affected.
SKT improves EKI for Bayesian inverse problems with non-Gaussian targets.
problem Efficiently solving Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward models and non-Gaussian posterior distributions.
method Embedding EKI and FAKI within a Bayesian annealing scheme to adapt tpCN sampler.
result Significant improvements in convergence rate compared to standard SMC and pCN.
Persistent sampling improves SMC efficiency by retaining and reusing particles.
problem High computational costs and particle impoverishment in SMC.
method Persistent sampling (PS) retains and reuses particles from all prior iterations, using multiple importance sampling and resampling from a mixture of historical distributions.
result PS achieves more accurate posterior approximations and lower variance in marginal likelihood estimates without additional likelihood evaluations.
Corrected samplers reduce discretization error in discrete flow models without additional computational cost.
problem Discretization error in samplers for discrete flow models.
method Established non-asymptotic error bounds for samplers, proposed time-corrected and location-corrected samplers.
result Location-corrected sampler has lower complexity and better generation quality.
New study shows Gaussian samplers struggle with heavy-tailed targets, while stable samplers excel.
problem The difficulty of sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using Gaussian versus stable oracles.
method Comparison of Gaussian and stable oracles for proximal samplers.
result Gaussian samplers have a fundamental barrier for high-accuracy guarantees in heavy-tailed sampling, while stable samplers excel.
SRO optimizes decisions against worst-case sampler induced by generative models.
problem Operational uncertainty shifts from explicit probability law to sampler induced by learned generators.
method SRO optimizes decisions against the worst-case sampler induced by perturbing the learned generator.
result Empirical worst-case objective provides high-probability upper certificate for true population objective.
The Gibbs sampler is a particularly popular Markov chain used for learning and inference problems in Graphical Models (GMs). These tasks are computationally intractable in general, and the Gibbs sampler often suffers from slow mixing. In this paper, we study the Swendsen-Wang dynamics which is a more sophisticated Mark…
Discrete diffusion samplers improve sampling from unnormalised densities.
problem Sampling from discrete unnormalised densities efficiently.
method Introduce off-policy training techniques and data-to-energy Schrödinger bridge training for discrete diffusion samplers.
result Improved performance on synthetic and new benchmarks.
Unified analysis for deterministic samplers in diffusion models.
problem Challenges in analyzing deterministic samplers for diffusion models.
method Unified convergence analysis framework.
result Achieved polynomial iteration complexity for DDIM-type samplers.
We propose a new Bayesian model for flexible nonlinear regression and classification using tree ensembles. The model is based on the RuleFit approach in Friedman and Popescu (2008) where rules from decision trees and linear terms are used in a L1-regularized regression. We modify RuleFit by replacing the L1-regularizat…
This paper analyzes MaskGIT sampler and introduces a moment sampler for faster masked diffusion sampling.
problem Efficiently sampling from masked diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis of MaskGIT sampler, introduction of moment sampler, and two innovations for improving choose-then-sample efficiency.
result The moment sampler is an asymptotically equivalent, more interpretable alternative to MaskGIT.
PTSD improves neural samplers by combining diffusion models and PT, enhancing efficiency.
problem Efficiency and correlation issues in neural samplers compared to PT.
method Sequential training of diffusion models across temperatures, combining high-temperature models for approximate lower-temperature samples.
result Significantly improved target evaluation efficiency, outperforming diffusion-based samplers.
This paper introduces a neural sampler for scalable sampling from complex distributions.
problem Efficiently sampling from high-dimensional un-normalized distributions.
method Neural implicit sampler trained with KL and Fisher divergence methods.
result The neural sampler generates large batches of samples with low computational costs.
Two parallel samplers enhance image quality in limited denoising steps.
problem Limited denoising steps in diffusion models reduce image quality.
method Two parallel samplers denoise at successive times, integrating their information.
result Two parallel samplers improve image quality compared to a single sampler.
For large scale on-line inference problems the update strategy is critical for performance. We derive an adaptive scan Gibbs sampler that optimizes the update frequency by selecting an optimum mini-batch size. We demonstrate performance of our adaptive batch-size Gibbs sampler by comparing it against the collapsed Gibb…
New PDMP samplers tackle variable selection in models.
problem Jointly explore model space and parameter space.
method Develop reversible jump PDMP samplers.
result New samplers mix better and are more efficient.
The Bouncy Particle Sampler is a novel rejection-free non-reversible sampler for differentiable probability distributions over continuous variables. We generalize the algorithm to piecewise differentiable distributions and apply it to generic binary distributions using a piecewise differentiable augmentation. We illust…
Neural network MCMC sampler maximizes proposal entropy for efficient sampling.
problem Inefficient sampling from complex probability distributions.
method Proposes a neural network MCMC sampler that maximizes proposal entropy.
result Significantly higher efficiency in various sampling tasks.
Develops new bounds for deterministic samplers in diffusion models.
problem Analyzing deterministic samplers in diffusion generative models.
method Operational interpretation of deterministic sampling; restoration and degradation steps.
result First polynomial convergence bounds for DDIM-type samplers.
Gibbs sampling, as a model learning method, is known to produce the most accurate results available in a variety of domains, and is a de facto standard in these domains. Yet, it is also well known that Gibbs random walks usually have bottlenecks, sometimes termed "local maxima", and thus samplers often return suboptima…
PDMP samplers improve Bayesian PDE coefficient inference.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference in non-linear inverse problems with expensive likelihoods.
method Piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) with surrogate-assisted thinning.
result PDMP samplers achieve higher accuracy and efficiency than traditional methods.
Infinite BART model selects number of trees and allows different functions for clusters.
problem Regression and classification analysis with automatic tree selection and cluster-specific functions.
method Incorporates an Indian Buffet process prior to select a subset of decision trees for each observation.
result Infinite BART model outperforms classic BART on simulated and real datasets.
The paper evaluates samplers on multi-modal targets, focusing on mode separation and recovery.
problem Handling multi-modality in sampling.
method Synthetic experimental setting focusing on mode relative importance recovery.
result Illustrates the challenges and potential of samplers in multi-modality.
We present a new data-driven benchmark system to evaluate the performance of new MCMC samplers. Taking inspiration from the COCO benchmark in optimization, we view this task as having critical importance to machine learning and statistics given the rate at which new samplers are proposed. The common hand-crafted exampl…
With the rapidly growing scales of statistical problems, subset based communication-free parallel MCMC methods are a promising future for large scale Bayesian analysis. In this article, we propose a new Weierstrass sampler for parallel MCMC based on independent subsets. The new sampler approximates the full data poster…
New algorithms sample spike-and-slab priors efficiently in high dimensions.
problem Sampling from spike-and-slab priors in high-dimensional settings.
method Provably efficient algorithms for posterior sampling with sublinear measurement count.
result First provable algorithms for spike-and-slab posterior sampling without strong SNR assumptions.
Unified framework extends adjoint Schrödinger bridge sampler to discrete spaces.
problem Challenges in learning discrete neural samplers due to gradients and combinatorial complexity.
method Introduces discrete ASBS, a unified framework that extends adjoint Schrödinger bridge sampler to discrete spaces.
result Empirically, discrete ASBS achieves competitive sample quality with significant advantages in training efficiency and scalability.
Single-step samplers generate high-quality samples efficiently.
problem Sampling from unnormalized distributions is computationally expensive.
method Developed consistent diffusion samplers that generate samples in a single step.
result Single-step samplers produce high-fidelity samples with less than 1% of traditional samplers' evaluations.
BNEM improves Boltzmann sampler efficiency.
problem Generating IID samples from Boltzmann distributions efficiently.
method Bootstrapped Noised Energy Matching (NEM) combined with diffusion-based learning and bootstrapping.
result BNEM achieves state-of-the-art performance with improved robustness.
LSD distills high-quality samplers for DDMs with fewer steps.
problem Inefficient sampling in DDMs leads to low quality and high computational cost.
method LSD employs a distillation approach to train fast samplers with learnable coefficients and time schedules.
result LSD+ achieves higher sampling quality with fewer steps compared to existing samplers.
New sampler reduces MCMC complexity for Bayesian variable selection.
problem High-dimensional Bayesian variable selection with high computation complexity.
method Variable-complexity subset weighted-Tempered Gibbs Sampler (wTGS) with Rao-Blackwellized estimator.
result Variances of Rao-Blackwellized estimator are smaller than those of subset wTGS.
Generative neural samplers estimate quantum spin system properties.
problem Estimating observables for quantum spin systems.
method Autoregressive models using Suzuki-Trotter transformation.
result Results for energy, specific heat, and susceptibility are in good agreement with Monte Carlo methods.
Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) is a topic model widely used in natural language processing and machine learning. Most approaches to training the model rely on iterative algorithms, which makes it difficult to run LDA on big corpora that are best analyzed in parallel and distributed computational environments. Indeed…
When there is a distributional shift between data used to train a predictive algorithm and current data, performance can suffer. This is known as the domain adaptation problem. Bootstrap aggregating, or bagging, is a popular method for improving stability of predictive algorithms, while reducing variance and protecting…
New sampler tackles complex discrete energy landscapes efficiently.
problem Stagnation in gradient-based discrete samplers for non-convex settings.
method DREXEL sampler with Replica Exchange and Adjusted Metropolis.
result Proves samplers satisfy detailed balance and converge to target distribution.
We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler on an extended space. We present empirical results that show significant improv…
Improved Gibbs sampler speeds up Bayesian exponential smoothing model.
problem Computational inefficiency of original NUTS sampler.
method Modifications to the original model and a bespoke Gibbs sampler.
result Significant improvement in sampling time by an order of magnitude.
Bad models can teach well by replicating noise.
problem Overparameterized models can replicate noise in training data.
method Knowledge distillation from noisy samplers.
result Distillation from samplers approximates Bayes optimal classifier.