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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for engagement prediction

FATE predicts user engagement on social apps with explainable explanations.

problem Accurate user engagement prediction for social apps with explainability.
method FATE, a flexible neural framework incorporating friendships, actions, and temporal dynamics.
result FATE outperforms state-of-the-art approaches by 10% error and 20% runtime reduction.

The possibility of using player engagement predictions to profile high spending video game users is explored. In particular, individual-player survival curves in terms of days after first login, game level reached and accumulated playtime are used to classify players into different groups. Lifetime value predictions fo…

2019-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study analyzes factors influencing healthcare providers' engagement with SMS campaigns.

problem Understanding what drives healthcare providers to engage with SMS campaigns.
method Used logistic regression, random forest, and neural network models to analyze data.
result Identified key factors influencing engagement with SMS campaigns.

A dataset for evaluating engagement with scientific video lectures.

problem Challenges in managing learning resources due to rapid creation of video lectures.
method Introduction of VLEngagement dataset with content-based and video-specific features, and metrics related to user engagement.
result The largest and most diverse publicly available dataset for understanding context-agnostic engagement in video lectures.

Semantic TrueLearn uses semantic graphs to improve educational recommendation systems.

problem Challenges in handling semantic and hierarchical structure in knowledge areas.
method Introduces a novel learner model that exploits semantic relatedness between knowledge components using a Wikipedia link graph.
result Achieves statistically significant improvements in predictive performance for educational engagement.

The paper proposes a survival model to optimize mobile notification delivery times.

problem Inappropriate notification timing and interruptions lead to user complaints.
method Developed a state transition framework and a survival model with log-linear and Weibull structures.
result The survival model outperforms logistic regression in prediction accuracy.

New approach tackles non-Markovian behavior in maternal health programs.

problem Improving adherence and engagement in maternal and child healthcare programs.
method Extending RMABs to non-Markovian settings, using time-series forecasting and TARI policy.
result Significant increase in engagement and content listened compared to existing methods.

Paper proposes a method to aggregate customer engagement data for better ranking of e-commerce results.

problem Cold start problem and under-representation of new or under-impressed products in e-commerce search results.
method Aggregates customer engagements within a day for the same query as input training data for machine learning models.
result Training models on aggregated data leads to better ranking of new and under-impressed products.

Study shows impersonators generate fake engagement on Instagram.

problem Impersonators exploit Instagram for fake engagement.
method Examined three communities (Politician, News agency, Sports star) on Instagram, collected data on 4.8K comments and 2.6K likes from 3.8K impersonators over 7 months.
result Impersonators generate significant fake engagement on verified accounts.

Fake engagement is one of the significant problems in Online Social Networks (OSNs) which is used to increase the popularity of an account in an inorganic manner. The detection of fake engagement is crucial because it leads to loss of money for businesses, wrong audience targeting in advertising, wrong product predicti…

2019-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Topologically and geometrically engaging actions have proved to be useful to obtain rigidity results for semisimple Lie group actions. We show that the action of a simple noncompact Lie group on a compact manifold preserving a unimodular rigid geometric structure of algebraic type (e.g. a connection together with a vol…

2012-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Online audio advertising is a particular form of advertising used abundantly in online music streaming services. In these platforms, which tend to host tens of thousands of unique audio advertisements (ads), providing high quality ads ensures a better user experience and results in longer user engagement. Therefore, th…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Online surveys have the potential to support adaptive questions, where later questions depend on earlier responses. Past work has taken a rule-based approach, uniformly across all respondents. We envision a richer interpretation of adaptive questions, which we call dynamic question ordering (DQO), where question order …

2016-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework detects fake news using weak social signals from multiple sources.

problem Lack of annotated data for early fake news detection.
method Jointly uses weak social signals and clean data to train deep neural networks in a meta-learning framework.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art baselines for early fake news detection.

The Web has enabled one of the most visible recent developments in education---the deployment of massive open online courses. With their global reach and often staggering enrollments, MOOCs have the potential to become a major new mechanism for learning. Despite this early promise, however, MOOCs are still relatively u…

2014-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover, their relative accuracy is highly sensitive to the dataset at hand, thus requiring…

2016-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

New approach to disentangle utility from impulse in recommendation systems.

problem Difficulty in inferring user utility from engagement signals.
method Generative model based on self-exciting Hawkes process to infer utility from return probability.
result It is possible to disentangle System-1 and System-2 decision processes to optimize content based on user utility.

The ever-increasing demand from mobile Machine Learning (ML) applications calls for evermore powerful on-chip computing resources. Mobile devices are empowered with heterogeneous multi-processor Systems-on-Chips (SoCs) to process ML workloads such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) inference. Mobile SoCs house sever…

2019-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper solves IRL for Bayesian stopping time problems.

problem Identifying optimal actions in Bayesian stopping time problems.
method Novel IRL framework using Bayesian revealed preferences.
result Identifies optimality and constructs cost function estimates.

High quality risk adjustment in health insurance markets weakens insurer incentives to engage in inefficient behavior to attract lower-cost enrollees. We propose a novel methodology based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to improve risk adjustment by clustering diagnostic codes into risk groups optimal for health ex…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper provides a ML framework for diabetes prediction and care management.

problem Diabetes prediction and care management challenges in real-world healthcare.
method Illustrates a Machine Learning framework for T2DM prediction and risk stratification.
result ML models align with physician's disease management steps.

Estimates users' preference for a site over others using engagement data.

problem Lack of data on users' interactions with other sites makes it hard to estimate preferences for a focal site.
method Uses Hierarchical Bayes Method with two estimation techniques: Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Stochastic Gradient with Langevin Dynamics.
result Good support found for the approach to computing personalized share of engagement.