Paper explores balancing market dynamics and interpretable forecasting models for energy prices.
problem Tackles the challenge of accurately predicting mFRR price and understanding market dynamics.
method Compares XGBoost and EBM for forecasting mFRR activation price in the balancing market.
result EBM provides comparable forecasting accuracy to XGBoost but with higher interpretability.
New sampler tackles complex discrete energy landscapes efficiently.
problem Stagnation in gradient-based discrete samplers for non-convex settings.
method DREXEL sampler with Replica Exchange and Adjusted Metropolis.
result Proves samplers satisfy detailed balance and converge to target distribution.
An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over the power system, in particular costs within the electricity balancing markets, ma…
The paper studies matrix normalization and graph balancing using a new functional and gradient descent.
problem Matrix normalization and graph balancing.
method A new functional called the non-normal energy, and gradient descent.
result Gradient descent of the non-normal energy converges to balanced graphs and preserves spectra and realness of weights.
In this paper we study 1/k-geodesics, those closed geodesics that minimize on any subinterval of length l(γ)/k. We employ energy methods to provide a relationship between the 1/k-geodesics and what we define as the balanced points of the uniform energy. We show that classes of balanced points of the uniform energy pe…
Paper optimizes energy trading on DA markets using RL.
problem Volatility and randomness in renewable energy sources.
method Markov Decision Process, reinforcement learning, evolutionary algorithm.
result RL-based strategy generates highest market profits.
New principle reduces load imbalance in LLM serving systems, saving up to 52% energy.
problem Wasted computational power due to load imbalance in LLM serving systems.
method Developed a universal load-balancing principle for barrier-synchronized systems with non-migratable state.
result Proves worst-case theoretical guarantees for imbalance reduction and energy savings.
This study improves electricity price forecasting in the Irish balancing market.
problem Limited and inconsistent research on short-term price forecasting in volatile balancing markets.
method Compared statistical, machine learning, and deep learning models using a public dataset and framework.
result LEAR, a statistical approach, outperforms complex models in the balancing market.
The purpose of this paper is to extend the Green-Naghdi-Rivlin balance of energy method to continua with microstructure. The key idea is to replace the group of Galilean transformations with the group of diffeomorphisms of the ambient space. A key advantage is that one obtains in a natural way all the needed balance la…
Paper proposes a new method for estimating treatment effects using interpretable deep learning models.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data with interpretability.
method Proposes a novel objective function using energy distance balancing score and neural additive models for improved interpretability.
result Demonstrates superior performance over state-of-the-art methods in semi-synthetic experiments.
FaIRGP model improves climate emulation with physical interpretability.
problem Lack of physical interpretability in data-driven emulators.
method Bayesian approach to a data-driven emulator of energy balance equations.
result Demonstrates skillful emulation of global and spatial surface temperatures.
Active inference enhances RL by balancing exploration and exploitation.
problem Traditional RL's balance between exploration and exploitation is often suboptimal.
method Developed a new decision-making objective based on active inference.
result The new algorithm successfully balances exploration and exploitation on various RL benchmarks.
We provide a new proof of a result of X.X.Chen and G.Tian : for a polarized extremal Kähler manifold, an extremal metric attains the minimum of the modified K-energy. The proof uses an idea of C.Li adapted to the extremal metrics using some weighted balanced metrics.
Let L be an ample bundle over a compact complex manifold X. Fix a Hermitian metric in L whose curvature defines a Kähler metric on X. The Hessian of Mabuchi energy is a fourth-order elliptic operator D on functions which arises in the study of scalar curvature. We quantise D by the Hessian E(k) of balancing energy, a f…
Energy savings for DNN inference on resource-constrained devices.
problem Energy efficiency in deep learning inference for constrained devices.
method Efficiently searches through equivalent DNN graphs to find the one with the least execution cost.
result Achieves 24% energy savings with minimal performance impact.
LSB is a new MCMC method for discrete spaces that reduces target evaluations.
problem Sampling in discrete domains with high efficiency and adaptability.
method Local self-balancing proposals, mutual information objective, self-balancing learning.
result LSB converges with fewer target evaluations compared to existing methods.
Proposes a pricing agent using reinforcement learning to balance renewable energy demand.
problem Intermittent renewable energy sources challenge carbon-free electricity generation.
method Reinforcement learning approach to balance customer demand with renewable energy generation.
result Demonstrates improved electricity pricing strategy for renewable energy integration.
In this paper, we consider nonlinear PDEs in a port-Hamiltonian setting based on an underlying jet-bundle structure. We restrict ourselves to systems with 1-dimensional spatial domain and 2nd-order Hamiltonian including certain dissipation models that can be incorporated in the port- Hamiltonian framework by means of a…
Overprocuring reserves can improve network efficiency by using excess reserves for congestion management.
problem Optimizing energy and reserve allocation between zones to minimize costs and ensure deliverability.
method Developed allocation models for co-allocating traded energy and reserve products, considering both deterministic and stochastic flows.
result Excess reserve supplies can be used for congestion management, leading to additional network benefits.
In this paper we formulate a geometric theory of the mechanics of growing solids. Bulk growth is modeled by a material manifold with an evolving metric. Time dependence of metric represents the evolution of the stress-free (natural) configuration of the body in response to changes in mass density and "shape". We show t…
In this work we apply the Poincare-Cartan formalism of the Classical Field Theory to study the systems of balance equations (balance systems). We introduce the partial k-jet bundles of the configurational bundle and study their basic properties: partial Cartan structure, prolongation of vector fields, etc. A constituti…
We propose a novel method to directly learn a stochastic transition operator whose repeated application provides generated samples. Traditional undirected graphical models approach this problem indirectly by learning a Markov chain model whose stationary distribution obeys detailed balance with respect to a parameteriz…
We develop an efficient sampling method by simulating Langevin dynamics with an artificial force rather than a natural force by using the gradient of the potential energy. The standard technique for sampling following the predetermined distribution such as the Gibbs-Boltzmann one is performed under the detailed balance…
E2GC optimizes energy efficiency in DNNs by balancing computational and data movement costs.
problem Imbalance between computational complexity and data reuse in GConv leads to suboptimal energy efficiency.
method Developed an optimum group size model and proposed E2GC module with constant group size.
result E2GC modules improve energy efficiency by 10.8% and 4.73% on P100 and P4000 GPUs, respectively.
We study the Bondi-Sachs rockets with nonzero cosmological constant. We observe that the acceleration of the systems arises naturally in the asymptotic symmetries of (anti-) de Sitter spacetimes. Assuming the validity of the concepts of energy and mass previously introduced in asymptotically flat spacetimes, we find th…
Short-term probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices.
problem Uncertainty in renewable energy capacity and electricity prices.
method Combining lasso with bootstrap, gamlss, and probabilistic neural networks for forecasting imbalance prices.
result Sophisticated methods improve empirical coverage of imbalance prices but do not substantially outperform the intraday continuous price index.
Energy-efficient DL inference for IoT devices reduces power consumption and improves performance.
problem Energy inefficiency in deep learning models for IoT devices.
method Energy-aware early exiting policy to balance energy consumption and inference accuracy.
result Accuracy and service rate improved up to 25% and 35% respectively.
Enhanced tabular benchmarks for energy-efficient neural architecture search.
problem Energy consumption in deep learning models.
method Introducing EC-NAS, an enhanced tabular benchmark with energy consumption data.
result EC-NAS reveals a balance between energy usage and accuracy in neural architecture search.
This study optimizes energy storage scheduling under price uncertainty, balancing risk and reward.
problem Optimizing energy storage operation under price uncertainty and risk.
method Two-stage stochastic risk-constrained approach using conditional value-at-risk.
result Increasing risk aversion leads to substantial benefits in terms of risk reduction and expected reward.
In coming years residential consumers will face real-time electricity tariffs with energy prices varying day to day, and effective energy saving will require automation - a recommender system, which learns consumer's preferences from her actions. A consumer chooses a scenario of home appliance use to balance her comfor…
Controller seeks informative system observations to predict nonlinear dynamics.
problem Predicting nonlinear dynamics with uncertain parameters.
method Expected free energy minimization for balancing goal state and informative observations.
result Controller improves performance in uncertain parameter scenarios.
Improved text generation with constraints using discrete auto-regressive biasing.
problem Balancing fluency and constraint satisfaction in LLM outputs.
method Discrete Auto-regressive Biasing, leveraging gradients in discrete text space.
result Significantly improved constraint satisfaction with comparable fluency.
Minimal harmonic maps proved for specific manifolds.
problem Existence of harmonic maps in fractional Sobolev spaces.
method Developed new tools for fractional Sobolev spaces, including removability and balanced energy estimates.
result Existence of harmonic maps in homotopy classes for certain conditions.
BNEM improves Boltzmann sampler efficiency.
problem Generating IID samples from Boltzmann distributions efficiently.
method Bootstrapped Noised Energy Matching (NEM) combined with diffusion-based learning and bootstrapping.
result BNEM achieves state-of-the-art performance with improved robustness.
This review explores probabilistic forecasting methods in evolving energy markets.
problem Volatility and uncertainty in renewable energy markets require probabilistic forecasting for risk assessment.
method Traces evolution from Bayesian and distribution-based approaches to conformal prediction.
result Probabilistic forecasting offers a more comprehensive approach to risk assessment and market participation.
Deep learning detects cloud changes due to human aerosols.
problem Uncertainty in the effect of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud properties and Earth's energy balance.
method Deep convolutional neural networks to analyze cloud images.
result Identified and characterized specific cloud perturbations due to human aerosols.
Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic generators participating in electricity markets with a single-price balancing mecha…
In this paper we are concerned with the learnability of energies from data obtained by observing time evolutions of their critical points starting at random initial equilibria. As a byproduct of our theoretical framework we introduce the novel concept of mean-field limit of critical point evolutions and of their energy…
Physics-informed learning framework for pH systems and EB-PBC control.
problem Control of port-Hamiltonian systems from trajectory data.
method Co-learning of pH system model and EB-PBC through alternating optimization.
result Proven stability and robustness of the learned controller.
Variational inference improves training of generative flow networks.
problem Training generative flow networks efficiently and accurately.
method Define variational objectives in terms of KL divergences and optimize convex combinations.
result Variational inference methods can reduce the variance of gradients in training generative flow networks.
In this paper we show how Einstein metrics are naturally described using the quantization of the algebra of functions on a Kahler manifold M. In this setup one interprets M as the phase space itself, equipped with the Poisson brackets inherited from the Kahler 2-form. We compare the geometric quantization framework wit…
This paper forecasts renewable energy prospects in South America through cross-border interconnection.
problem Lack of renewable energy integration across South American countries.
method Long-term scenario forecasting methodology applied to raw data from typical countries.
result Promoting cross-border interconnection towards renewables can optimize energy supply, reduce costs, and balance the energy matrix.
We address a class of schemes for the Euler equations with the following features: the space discretization is staggered, possible upwinding is performed with respect to the material velocity only and the internal energy balance is solved, with a correction term designed on consistency arguments. These schemes have bee…
A modified GAN improves thermal comfort classification models by balancing imbalanced datasets.
problem Imbalanced thermal comfort datasets make it hard to train accurate models.
method Proposed a modified conditional GAN (comfortGAN) to balance the dataset.
result A balanced dataset trained with comfortGAN yields higher classification accuracy.
Optimal design portfolios improve energy efficiency and reduce risk in uncertain reservoirs.
problem Uncertain reservoir conditions lead to unstable gas recovery and low resource efficiency.
method Developed optimal portfolios of well designs based on reservoir conditions and probabilities.
result Remarkable reduction in variation and substantial increase in energy efficiency achieved.
Although a key driver of Earth's climate system, global land-atmosphere energy fluxes are poorly constrained. Here we use machine learning to merge energy flux measurements from FLUXNET eddy covariance towers with remote sensing and meteorological data to estimate net radiation, latent and sensible heat and their uncer…
Agents learn and control complex mechanical systems through shared memories.
problem Controlling multi-joint dynamical systems.
method Coupled autoregressive active inference agents using Bayesian filtering and minimizing expected free energy.
result Demonstrated learning and control of a double mass-spring-damper system.
This work improves communication efficiency in federated learning over wireless networks by optimizing energy consumption.
problem Optimizing energy consumption in federated learning over wireless networks.
method Adopting SignSGD for gradient sign exchange, considering channel capacity with outage, and proposing a stochastic sign-based algorithm for uneven data distribution.
result Proposed methods achieve a balance between learning performance and energy consumption.