A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Empirical analysis of the foreign exchange market is conducted based on methods to quantify similarities among multi-dimensional time series with spectral distances introduced in [A.-H. Sato, Physica A, 382 (2007) 258--270]. As a result it is found that the similarities among currency pairs fluctuate with the rotation …
We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic depends on a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The weighting scheme is specified by a kernel measure which makes explicit the user's priorities for model performance.…
Inference for the stochastic blockmodel is currently of burgeoning interest in the statistical community, as well as in various application domains as diverse as social networks, citation networks, brain connectivity networks (connectomics), etc. Recent theoretical developments have shown that spectral embedding of gra…
The aim of this work is to build financial crisis indicators based on spectral properties of the dynamics of market data. After choosing an optimal size for a rolling window, the historical market data in this window is seen every trading day as a random matrix from which a covariance and a correlation matrix are obtai…
Spectral clustering is a popular and versatile clustering method based on a relaxation of the normalised graph cut objective. Despite its popularity, however, there is no single agreed upon method for tuning the important scaling parameter, nor for determining automatically the number of clusters to extract. Popular he…
In this dissertation we propose alternative analysis of distributed stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms that rely on spectral properties of the data covariance. As a consequence we can relate questions pertaining to speedups and convergence rates for distributed SGD to the data distribution instead of the regu…
The study reveals the spectral structure of attention layers and its implications for generalization.
problem Understanding the spectral structure and generalization of trained attention layers.
method Empirical risk minimization in a single-head tied-attention layer, using random matrix theory, spin-glass theory, and approximate message passing.
result Exact high-dimensional characterization of training and test error, interpolation and recovery thresholds, and spectrum of the key and query matrices.
Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been shown to be able to fit a random labeling over data while still being able to generalize well for normal labels. Describing CNN capacity through a posteriori measures of complexity has been recently proposed to tackle this apparent paradox. These complexity measures a…
We propose a novel approach for pixel classification in hyperspectral images, leveraging on both the spatial and spectral information in the data. The introduced method relies on a recently proposed framework for learning on distributions -- by representing them with mean elements in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (…
In this paper, we continue our previous work on the Dirichlet mixture model (DMM)-based VQ to derive the performance bound of the LSF VQ. The LSF parameters are transformed into the ΔLSF domain and the underlying distribution of the ΔLSF parameters are modelled by a DMM with finite number of mixture components. The…
Random Fourier features is one of the most popular techniques for scaling up kernel methods, such as kernel ridge regression. However, despite impressive empirical results, the statistical properties of random Fourier features are still not well understood. In this paper we take steps toward filling this gap. Specifica…
State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends on the data analysts' knowledge and is largely ad hoc. In this paper, we propos…
Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the same long range memory properties. Here we present a stochastic differential eq…
Regularization of the classical Laplacian matrices was empirically shown to improve spectral clustering in sparse networks. It was observed that small regularizations are preferable, but this point was left as a heuristic argument. In this paper we formally determine a proper regularization which is intimately related …
Optimizes risk measures given known marginal distributions of two unknown factors.
problem Determining an upper bound for spectral risk measures with unknown joint distribution.
method Introduces Maximum Spectral Measure (MSP) as a worst-case risk measure, formulated as an optimization problem with a more general objective function.
result Characterizes the continuity properties of the optimal value function and optimal solution set with respect to marginal distributions.