New method improves estimation of complex models from conditional moment restrictions.
problem Estimation of complex models from conditional moment restrictions.
method Functional Generalized Empirical Likelihood (GEL) with a practical method.
result The method achieves state-of-the-art performance on two problems.
New method tightens sub-Gaussian concentration inequalities.
problem Estimating variance-type parameters of sub-Gaussian distributions.
method Using sub-Gaussian intrinsic moment norm to maximize normalized moments.
result Provides tighter sub-Gaussian concentration inequalities.
Spectral features of the empirical moment matrix constitute a resourceful tool for unveiling properties of a cloud of points, among which, density, support and latent structures. It is already well known that the empirical moment matrix encodes a great deal of subtle attributes of the underlying measure. Starting from …
The paper provides a new uniform tail bound for empirical processes.
problem Developing a uniform tail bound for empirical processes indexed by a class of functions.
method Introducing a deflation step to the standard generic chaining argument, and using a natural seminorm based on Cramér functions.
result Established a new uniform tail bound for empirical processes.
A new method of moments estimator goes beyond data reweighting.
problem Estimation of moment restrictions and conditional moment restrictions.
method Kernel Method of Moments (KMM) based on maximum mean discrepancy.
result KMM achieves competitive performance on conditional moment restriction tasks.
New bounds on machine learning model generalization error moments.
problem Understanding the performance of machine learning models.
method Information-theoretic bounds on the moments of the generalization error of learning algorithms.
result Proposed bounds on generalization error moments and their high-probability bounds.
New stability framework relaxes boundedness assumptions for generalization bounds.
problem Overly restrictive assumptions for modern learning settings with heavy-tailed or unbounded losses.
method Develops a stability-based framework requiring only finite Lp moment conditions. result Sharp generalization bounds derived for various learning paradigms.
New SGMM algorithm for efficient estimation of moment restriction models.
problem Estimation and inference on overidentified moment restriction models.
method Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM).
result SGMM offers fast and scalable implementation with streaming dataset handling.
A new method calculates fractional moments using the moment-generating function.
problem Computing fractional moments from probability densities.
method Integral framework based on moment-generating function.
result Exact integral expressions for various types of moments.
A new method for generating samples without training, using smoothed score matching.
problem Generating samples efficiently and without training.
method Moment-matched score-smoothed overdamped Langevin dynamics (MM-SOLD).
result The method enables fast, robust, training-free sampling with competitive sample fidelity and diversity.
For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models are stated as special cases. We also the limits of these moments as the time hori…
Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this paper, we provide a novel framework to obtain uniform deviation bounds for loss…
Bayesian framework uses AI-generated data to improve parameter estimation.
problem Parameter estimation in models with unknown or unspecified likelihood.
method Exponentially tilted empirical likelihood with Dirichlet process posterior.
result AI-generated data can provide useful regularization for parameter estimation.
GANs learn distributions by matching low-degree moments.
problem Understanding when GANs learn the target distribution efficiently.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical observation of GAN training process.
result GANs can learn notable distributions by matching polynomially many low-degree moments.
This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.
We consider two stage estimation with a non-parametric first stage and a generalized method of moments second stage, in a simpler setting than (Chernozhukov et al. 2016). We give an alternative proof of the theorem given in (Chernozhukov et al. 2016) that orthogonal second stage moments, sample splitting and n1/4-…
New margin-based learning guarantees improve generalization bounds.
problem Improving generalization bounds for machine learning models.
method Relative deviation margin bounds using empirical margin loss and Rademacher complexity.
result Distribution-dependent generalization bounds for unbounded loss functions.
This article investigates parameter estimation of affine term structure models by means of the generalized method of moments. Exact moments of the affine latent process as well as of the yields are obtained by using results derived for p-polynomial processes. Then the generalized method of moments, combined with Quasi-…
New bounds for neural networks without loss boundedness assumption.
problem Generalization error bounds for two-layer neural networks.
method Wasserstein distance estimates and moment bounds for stochastic gradient method.
result Dimension-free rate of order O(n−1/2) for independent test data. New method generates realistic financial price paths with drawdowns.
problem Lack of realistic drawdown scenarios in financial simulations.
method Variational autoencoder with drawdown reconstruction loss and path signatures.
result Simulated paths closely match empirical drawdown data.
We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the data/distribution-dependent Efron-Stein (ES) estimate of its variance and they do not requ…
We propose β-graph embedding for robustly learning feature vectors from data vectors and noisy link weights. A newly introduced empirical moment β-score reduces the influence of contamination and robustly measures the difference between the underlying correct expected weights of links and the specified generative m…
Proposes DWMD for better matching of hidden representations across domains.
problem Measuring data distribution discrepancy between semantically related domains for feature representation matching.
method DWMD, a moment-based probability distribution metric that explicitly orders and weights higher-order moments.
result DWMD is error-free and can strictly reflect distribution differences without feature distribution assumptions.
The iterative nature of the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm presents a challenge for privacy-preserving estimation, as each iteration increases the amount of noise needed. We propose a practical private EM algorithm that overcomes this challenge using two innovations: (1) a novel moment perturbation formulation…
Many complex systems generate multifractal time series which are long-range cross-correlated. Numerous methods have been proposed to characterize the multifractal nature of these long-range cross correlations. However, several important issues about these methods are not well understood and most methods consider only o…
We improve bounds for stochastic processes, especially those with heavy tails.
problem Bounding the concentration of sub-ψ processes with heavy tails. method Variational approach to concentration, focusing on sub-Gaussian and other tail conditions.
result First dimension-free self-normalized empirical Bernstein inequality.
Enhanced Adam uses higher-order moments for better performance.
problem Improving the performance of Adam optimization algorithm.
method Proposes HAdam, an extension of Adam using higher-order moments of the stochastic gradient.
result Higher-order moments of the stochastic gradient can lead to better performance than vanilla Adam.
The paper improves generalization bounds for domain adaptation.
problem Improving generalization bounds for domain adaptation under practical conditions.
method Derives generalization bounds for domain adaptation based on finitely many moments and smoothness conditions.
result Obtains generalization bounds for domain adaptation.
Study moment maps coupled with convex functions to find critical points.
problem Understanding critical points of moment maps coupled with convex functions.
method Develop a theory of moment maps coupled with an Ad_K-invariant convex function f on k*.
result Interpret Kähler-Ricci solitons as a special case of generalized extremal metrics.
This article proposes a new method for the estimation of the parameters of a simple linear regression model which accounts for the role of co-moments in non-Gaussian distributions being based on the minimization of a quartic loss function. Although the proposed method is very general, we examine its application to fina…
Generative adversarial networks are a novel method for statistical inference that have achieved much empirical success; however, the factors contributing to this success remain ill-understood. In this work, we attempt to analyze generative adversarial learning -- that is, statistical inference as the result of a game b…
We consider a stochastic volatility model where the moment generating function of the logarithmic price is finite only on part of the real line. Using a new Tauberian result obtained in [1] and [2], we show that the knowledge of the moment generating function near its critical moment gives a sharp asymptotic expansion …
Paper proposes robust risk measures for non-negative risks with partial information.
problem Tackles robustness of distortion risk measures under distributional uncertainty.
method Introduces new uncertainty sets and derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization.
result Derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization over uncertainty sets.
The paper analyzes the performance of empirical risk minimization for p-norm linear regression.
problem Empirical risk minimization on p-norm linear regression. method Analyzes performance under various conditions and moment assumptions.
result High probability excess risk bounds for empirical risk minimizer, matching asymptotic rates.
Paper develops efficient DML estimators for multiway clustered data without cross-fitting.
problem Efficient inference in models with multiway clustered dependence.
method Neyman-orthogonal moment conditions combined with localisation-based empirical process approach.
result Valid inference achieved without cross-fitting, showing debiased GMM estimators are asymptotically linear and normal.
Kurtosis is seen as a measure of the discrepancy between the observed data and a Gaussian distribution and is defined when the 4th moment is finite. In this work an empirical study is conducted to investigate the behaviour of the sample estimate of kurtosis with respect to sample size and the tail index when applied to…
New neural networks learn distribution functions using quantiles and moments.
problem Approximating functions of distributions in probability spaces.
method Quantile and moment neural networks, mixing quantile and moment features.
result Moment neural network outperforms others for bivariate distributions.
The paper examines the tilted empirical risk's generalization and robustness under negative tilt.
problem The generalization error of machine learning algorithms under negative tilt.
method Uniform and information-theoretic bounds on the tilted generalization error under negative tilt.
result The tilted empirical risk's generalization error has a convergence rate of \(O(n^{-ε/(1+ε)})\).
The MEM method uses data-driven priors for linear inverse problems, proving convergence and estimating differences.
problem Linear inverse problems with approximate priors.
method Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) method with data-driven priors.
result Empirical mean convergence and estimates for prior differences based on epigraphical distance.
New technique reduces imitation learning performance gap in finite samples.
problem Imitation learning performance gap in finite samples.
method Replay estimation to reduce empirical variance in finite samples.
result Achieves optimal performance gap of $\widetilde{O} \left( \min({H^{3/2}} / {N}, {H} / {\sqrt{N}}
ight)$.
In this paper we will study the statistics of the unit geodesic flow normal to the boundary of a hyperbolic manifold with non-empty totally geodesic boundary. Viewing the time it takes this flow to hit the boundary as a random variable, we derive a formula for its moments in terms of the orthospectrum. The first moment…
Efficient policy learning from observational data using weighted classification reductions.
problem Efficient policy evaluation does not necessarily lead to efficient estimation of policy parameters.
method Proposed an estimation approach based on generalized method of moments, efficient for policy parameters.
result Demonstrated empirical efficiency and regret benefits of a proposed method.
The hidden tail of empirical distributions is analyzed using extreme value theory.
problem Understanding the bias between in-sample mean and true statistical mean for large n. method Extreme value theory applied to empirical distributions and their moments.
result The hidden moment of order 0 for power law distributions follows an exponential distribution with expectation 1/n. We develop a scale-invariant truncated Lévy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits Lévy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling properties (as observed in empirical data); it has the advantage that all moments are fini…
New statistical test for change-point detection using relative entropy.
problem Offline change-point detection using divergence metrics.
method Study of empirical relative entropy distributions, derivation of approximations, introduction of new Berry-Esseen bounds.
result Theoretical and practical validation of relative entropy for change-point detection.
New KCM tests improve specification testing via RKHS.
problem Improving specification tests for econometric models.
method Kernel conditional moment (KCM) tests based on RKHS.
result KCM tests have better finite-sample performance than existing tests.
In this paper, we consider generalized moment maps for Hamiltonian actions on H-twisted generalized complex manifolds introduced by Lin and Tolman \cite{Lin}. The main purpose of this paper is to show convexity and connectedness properties for generalized moment maps. We study Hamiltonian torus actions on compact H…
Deviation inequalities for stochastic approximation methods.
problem Establishing bounds on the deviation of stochastic approximation methods.
method Martingale approximation method for separately Lipschitz functions.
result Established various deviation inequalities for stochastic approximation by averaging and minimization.