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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for electricity usage

Electric vehicles (EVs) have been gaining popularity due to their environmental friendliness and efficiency. EV charging station networks are scalable solutions for supporting increasing numbers of EVs within modern electric grid constraints, yet few tools exist to aid the physical configuration design of new networks.…

2018-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Crowdsourcing has been successfully applied in many domains including astronomy, cryptography and biology. In order to test its potential for useful application in a Smart Grid context, this paper investigates the extent to which a crowd can contribute predictive hypotheses to a model of residential electric energy con…

2017-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes transparent reporting of algorithmic energy usage to promote environmental sustainability.

problem Need for transparent reporting of algorithmic energy usage for environmental sustainability.
method Developed a Python package to make analyses of energy usage accessible to individual researchers, localized to specific power grids, and compared with global benchmarks.
result Demonstrated the use of automatically-generated Energy Usage Reports in model-choice for machine learning.

A new method for time-series data provides guaranteed coverage and adapts to non-exchangeable data.

problem Guaranteed coverage for time-series data prediction intervals.
method Sequential Conformalized Density Regions (SCDR) using quantile random forest.
result SCDR achieves guaranteed asymptotic coverage and outperforms existing methods in simulations.

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling algorithm. The analyzed divisions are found by the usage of extended Locational …

2014-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditional load analysis is facing challenges with the new electricity usage patterns due to demand response as well as increasing deployment of distributed generations, including photovoltaics (PV), electric vehicles (EV), and energy storage systems (ESS). At the transmission system, despite of irregular load behavio…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The authors characterize flexibility in power and energy markets considering time, spatiality, resource, and risk.

problem Evaluating and maximizing flexibility in power systems and markets.
method Characterization of flexibility dimensions (time, spatiality, resource, risk) and their interrelations with flexibility assets, products, and services.
result Flexibility should be evaluated based on multiple dimensions for efficient power systems and markets.

Power grids are one of the most important components of infrastructure in today's world. Every nation is dependent on the security and stability of its own power grid to provide electricity to the households and industries. A malfunction of even a small part of a power grid can cause loss of productivity, revenue and i…

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), also known as energy disaggregation, is a blind source separation problem where a household's aggregate electricity consumption is broken down into electricity usages of individual appliances. In this way, the cost and trouble of installing many measurement devices over numerous ho…

2018-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks predict electricity consumption accurately.

problem Predicting future electricity consumption for better management.
method Used Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict electricity consumption based on past data.
result Both RNN and LSTM achieved an average Root Mean Square error of 0.1.

Paper proposes an unsupervised NILM framework using GLDA for diverse utility data.

problem Extract appliance components from aggregate energy signals without labeled data.
method Bayesian hierarchical mixture models, Gaussian Latent Dirichlet Allocation (GLDA), online processing.
result Algorithm finds useful consumption patterns from mixed utility data.

Study shows Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity can boost KEPCO's financial stability.

problem Improving energy resource efficiency and reducing KEPCO's debt.
method Utilized surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining using Antminer S21 XP Hyd, analyzed with Random Forest Regressor and Long Short-Term Memory models.
result Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity generates economic revenue, minimizes energy loss, and resolves payment issues for KEPCO.

Paper provides a method to price electricity storage contracts using COS technique.

problem Valuation of electricity storage contracts considering physical and operational constraints.
method Uses Fourier-based COS method to price contracts based on stochastic polynomial process.
result The COS method accurately and efficiently prices electricity storage contracts.

PSQRNN model forecasts electricity consumption in China by integrating neural networks and quantile regression.

problem Electricity forecasting in China due to regional economic, social, and natural conditions.
method PSQRNN combines neural networks and semiparametric quantile regression to model electricity consumption.
result PSQRNN model outperforms traditional methods in forecasting electricity consumption in China.

In this note, we present an existence result of a Nash equilibrium between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity…

2013-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a pricing agent using reinforcement learning to balance renewable energy demand.

problem Intermittent renewable energy sources challenge carbon-free electricity generation.
method Reinforcement learning approach to balance customer demand with renewable energy generation.
result Demonstrates improved electricity pricing strategy for renewable energy integration.

Paper models and forecasts intra-day electricity price spreads.

problem Forecasting intra-day price spreads for electricity traders and operators.
method Dynamic density functions based on skewed-t distributions, conditional on exogenous drivers.
result Best fitting and forecasting specifications selected using Pinball Loss function.

Electricity accounts for 25% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing emissions related to electricity consumption requires accurate measurements readily available to consumers, regulators and investors. In this case study, we propose a new real-time consumption-based accounting approach based on flow tracing. This…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze long-term memory properties of hourly prices of electricity in the Czech Republic between 2009 and 2012. As the dynamics of the electricity prices is dominated by cycles -- mainly intraday and daily -- we opt for the detrended fluctuation analysis, which is well suited for such specific series. We find that …

2013-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study predicts electricity prices using LSTM models with feature selection, considering market coupling.

problem Accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasting in coupled markets.
method Hybrid LSTM-based deep learning models with feature selection algorithms.
result Proposed models achieve considerably accurate results in Nordic market.

How does dynamic price information flow among Northern European electricity spot prices and prices of major electricity generation fuel sources? We use time series models combined with new advances in causal inference to answer these questions. Applying our methods to weekly Nordic and German electricity prices, and oi…

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The price of electricity is far more volatile than that of other commodities normally noted for extreme volatility. The possibility of extreme price movements increases the risk of trading in electricity markets. However, underlying the process of price returns is a strong mean-reverting mechanism. We study this featur…

2001-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves a new theorem linking mass and electric charge for certain types of manifolds.

problem Proving a new positive mass theorem for manifolds with charge.
method Using conformal relations and scalar curvature, the authors derive a new theorem.
result The sum of mass is not less than the modulus of total electric charge under certain conditions.

The liberalization of electricity markets and the development of renewable energy sources has led to new challenges for decision makers. These challenges are accompanied by an increasing uncertainty about future electricity price movements. The increasing amount of papers, which aim to model and predict electricity pri…

2017-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

ElecSim models long-term electricity planning with agent-based Monte-Carlo simulations.

problem Transitioning to zero-carbon energy systems requires careful policy decisions.
method Agent-based Monte-Carlo model for long-term electricity investment decisions.
result Monte-Carlo simulation improves model performance by 52.5%.

New approach to electric group for knots and links.

problem No previous publication of electric invariant for knots and links.
method Simple and general approach to electric group for oriented knots and links, using proper colouring of knot diagrams.
result Each homomorphism from the electric group to an arbitrary finite group can be described by a proper colouring of the diagram.

Model for hedging price and quantity risks in electricity markets.

problem Hedging risks for energy retailers in a regulated electricity market.
method Closed-form solution for optimal portfolio using financial instruments based on price and weather indexes.
result Closed-form solution for mean-var model in discrete setting without distributional assumptions.

Proposes a model for long-term electricity contracts with explicit computation and easy calibration.

problem Non-storability and poor liquidity in long-term electricity markets.
method Multi-factor polynomial framework for explicit computation of forwards, risk premium, and correlation.
result Calibrated model provides a risk-minimizing hedge for various time horizons.

Novel probabilistic models forecast residential heating and electricity demand at hourly resolution.

problem Accurate hourly forecasting of residential heating and electricity demand.
method Probabilistic deep learning models trained on gas-heated region data.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy compared to NREL's ResStock model.

Adaptive models improve electricity demand forecasting during lockdown.

problem Poor load forecasting due to sudden consumption changes during lockdown.
method Adaptive generalized additive models with Kalman filters and expert aggregation.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to traditional models.