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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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149298447596 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for economic applications

DRL enhances economic modeling with deep learning methods.

problem Complex dynamic business environments in economics.
method Comprehensive review of DL, RL, and deep RL methods applied to economics.
result DRL provides better performance and higher accuracy in economic applications.

Originally, the Carnot cycle is a theoretical thermodynamic cycle that provides an upper limit on the efficiency that any classical thermodynamic engine can achieve during the conversion of heat into work, or conversely, the efficiency of a refrigeration system in creating a temperature difference by the application of…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper presents instructive interdisciplinary applications of constrained mechanics calculus in economics on a level appropriate for the undergraduate physics education. The aim of the paper is: 1. to meet the demand for illustrative examples suitable for presenting the background of the highly expanding research fi…

2011-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Validates economic scenarios using statistical tests on stochastic processes.

problem Ensuring the accuracy of real-world economic scenario models.
method Applies Chevyrev and Oberhauser's (2022) signature and maximum mean distance test to various stochastic processes.
result Demonstrates the test's effectiveness across different path properties relevant to financial modeling.

Mathematically, a homothetic function is a function of the form f(x)=F(h(x1,...,xn))f({\bf x})=F(h(x_1,...,x_n)), where hh is a homogeneous function of any degree d0d\ne 0 and FF is a monotonically increasing function. In economics homothetic functions are production functions whose marginal technical rate of substitution is homogeneo…

2013-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In this note, we would like to find the laws of electrodynamics in simple economic systems. In this direction, we identify the chief economic variables and parameters, scalar and vector, which are amenable to be put directly into the crouch of the laws of electrodynamics, namely Maxwell's equations. Moreover, we obtain…

2010-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper classifies economic states and optimizes portfolios for stagflationary environments.

problem Economic uncertainty and stagflationary conditions.
method Mathematical techniques for analyzing multivariate time series, economic driver analysis, self-similarity identification, and portfolio optimization.
result Constructs economic state classifications and computes economic state integrals.

Paper uses non-linear dimension reduction for better economic forecasting.

problem Analyzing economic effects of shocks in large datasets.
method Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions.
result Non-linear dimension reduction techniques improve forecasting, especially in volatile data.

In this chapter the complex systems are discussed in the context of economic and business policy and decision making. It will be showed and motivated that social systems are typically chaotic, non-linear and/or non-equilibrium and therefore complex systems. It is discussed that the rapid change in global consumer behav…

2012-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Chaos and nonlinear economic dynamics are addressed for a quantum coupled map lattice model of an artificial economy, with quantized supply and demand equilibrium conditions. The measure theoretic properties and the patterns that emerge in both the economic business volume dynamics' diagrams as well as in the quantum m…

2012-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Developing an AI economist agent using RAG, knowledge graphs, and LLMs for economic scenario analysis.

problem Economic scenario analysis using large language models and knowledge graphs.
method Proposing an RAG-based AI economist framework that utilizes knowledge graphs and LLMs.
result Improves economic coherence and traceability in generated reports.

Deep-MacroFin uses neural networks to solve complex economic models efficiently.

problem Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations in continuous time economics.
method Leverages deep learning, specifically Multi-Layer Perceptrons and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks, optimized with HJB equations.
result Offers a more efficient solution (5imes imes less memory, 40imes imes fewer FLOPs) for 50D economic models.

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of some social systems whose properties can be captured by certain iterated function systems. To achieve this intension, we start from the theory of iterated function systems, and then we study two specific economic models on random utility function and optimal stochast…

2012-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new model for predicting and analyzing economic variables.

problem Predicting and analyzing economic variables in developed regions.
method Time-varying parameter global vector autoregressive (TVP-GVAR) framework combined with machine learning models.
result The proposed model provides high precision out-of-sample predictions and novel insights into economic variable connectedness.

More than thirty years ago, Charnes, Cooper and Schinnar (1976) established an enlightening contact between economic production functions (EPFs) -- a cornerstone of neoclassical economics -- and information theory, showing how a generalization of the Cobb-Douglas production function encodes homogeneous functions. As ex…

2009-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article, we briefly review the different aspects and applications of kinetic exchange models in economics and sociology. Our main aim is to show in what manner the kinetic exchange models for closed economic systems were inspired by the kinetic theory of gas molecules. The simple yet powerful framework of kinet…

2014-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This is an invited article for the Discussion and Debate special issue of The European Physical Journal Special Topics on the subject "Can Economics Be a Physical Science?" The first part of the paper traces the personal path of the author from theoretical physics to economics. It briefly summarizes applications of sta…

2016-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods improve Bayesian inference for complex economic models.

problem Difficulty in parameter estimation for simulation models, especially in economics.
method Neural network-based black-box approximate Bayesian inference methods.
result Neural network methods provide state-of-the-art parameter inference for economic simulation models.

The paper argues that attracting more economists and adopting a more-precise definition of dynamic complexity might help econophysics acquire more attention in the economics community and bring new lymph to economic research. It may be necessary to concentrate less on the applications than on the basics of economic com…

2019-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper evaluates forecast quality in electricity markets beyond traditional accuracy measures.

problem Traditional accuracy measures fail to reflect the economic value of electricity price forecasts.
method Investigates four quality dimensions: accuracy, dispersion, association, and extremum identification.
result Dispersion- and association-based measures better capture forecast economic value.

Machine learning models predict US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.

problem Predicting US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.
method Gradient Boosting and Random Forest methods trained with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework.
result 3 month to 6 month Treasury term spread is the most relevant for predicting US economic recession.

The origin of economic crises is a key problem for economics. We present a model of long-run competitive markets to show that the multiplicity of behaviors in an economic system, over a long time scale, emerge as statistical regularities (perfectly competitive markets obey Bose-Einstein statistics and purely monopolist…

2010-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Current economic theories miss most of economic dynamics.

problem Accuracy of economic theories and policies depend on economic variables and processes.
method Identify and analyze overlooked economic variables and processes.
result Many economic variables and processes not accounted for in current theories.

The study analyzes how probabilistic forecasts improve battery trading strategies in electricity markets.

problem Improvements in statistical forecast quality do not directly translate to economic value in battery trading strategies.
method The study frames battery optimization as a stochastic program based on fully probabilistic forecasts and examines decision quality under different uncertainty models.
result The study identifies two critical flaws in quantile-based trading strategies and provides theoretical justification and empirical evidence.

These lecture notes provide a self-contained introduction to the mathematical methods required in a Bachelor degree programme in Business, Economics, or Management. In particular, the topics covered comprise real-valued vector and matrix algebra, systems of linear algebraic equations, Leontief's stationary input-output…

2015-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗