We consider an optimal stopping problem where a constraint is placed on the distribution of the stopping time. Reformulating the problem in terms of so-called measure-valued martingales allows us to transform the marginal constraint into an initial condition and view the problem as a stochastic control problem; we esta…
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Paper explores two methods for optimal portfolio selection in financial markets.
dynestyx: A library for probabilistic programming of dynamical systems
Optimal Control Theory optimizes neural networks, improving robustness and efficiency.
Study values American passport options in an exponential Lévy model.
New metric derived for robust optimization in stochastic control problems.
Choosing a portfolio of risky assets over time that maximizes the expected return at the same time as it minimizes portfolio risk is a classical problem in Mathematical Finance and is referred to as the dynamic Markowitz problem (when the risk is measured by variance) or more generally, the dynamic mean-risk problem. I…
We describe an abstract control-theoretic framework in which the validity of the dynamic programming principle can be established in continuous time by a verification of a small number of structural properties. As an application we treat several cases of interest, most notably the lower-hedging and utility-maximization…
We provide a dynamic programming principle for stochastic optimal control problems with expectation constraints. A weak formulation, using test functions and a probabilistic relaxation of the constraint, avoids restrictions related to a measurable selection but still implies the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation in the …
We give the simple proof of Bobkov's inequality using the arguments of dynamical programming principle. As a byproduct of the method we obtain a characterization of optimizers.
We study a stochastic game where one player tries to find a strategy such that the state process reaches a target of controlled-loss-type, no matter which action is chosen by the other player. We provide, in a general setup, a relaxed geometric dynamic programming principle for this problem and derive, for the case of …
Richard Bellman's Principle of Optimality, formulated in 1957, is the heart of dynamic programming, the mathematical discipline which studies the optimal solution of multi-period decision problems. In this paper, we look at the main trading principles of Jesse Livermore, the legendary stock operator whose method was pu…
The paper solves complex control problems using neural networks.
Risk measures applied to dynamic Markov processes with varying risk aversion.
Deep learning solves complex stochastic control with jumps.
Improved machine learning for reservoir optimization problems.
Develops a model for bid and ask prices using stochastic control.
Model stock price dynamics using semi-Markov processes.
Paper characterizes optimal learning trajectories for high-dimensional nonlinear models.
The pricing of American style and multiple exercise options is a very challenging problem in mathematical finance. One usually employs a Least-Square Monte Carlo approach (Longstaff-Schwartz method) for the evaluation of conditional expectations which arise in the Backward Dynamic Programming principle for such optimal…
We apply stochastic Perron's method to a singular control problem where an individual targets at a given consumption rate, invests in a risky financial market in which trading is subject to proportional transaction costs, and seeks to minimize her probability of lifetime ruin. Without relying on the dynamic programming…
Unified framework for model- and value-optimistic reinforcement learning.
This paper optimizes DC pension plan investments using O-U process and loan.
We consider the value function originating from an expected utility maximization problem with finite fuel constraint and show its close relation to a nonlinear parabolic degenerated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with singularity. On one hand, we give a so-called verification argument based on the dynamic progr…
We consider an impulse control problem in infinite horizon applied with switching technology. We suppose that the firm decides at certain moments (impulse moments) to switch technology, leading to a jump of the firm value. We show that the value function for such problems satisfies a dynamic programming principle versi…
Develops RL for dynamic risk assessment in stochastic optimization.
Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.
This paper optimizes sampling policies for Bayesian optimization to improve exploration and exploitation.
The classical dynamic programming-based optimal stochastic control methods fail to cope with nonseparable dynamic optimization problems as the principle of optimality no longer applies in such situations. Among these notorious nonseparable problems, the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection formulation had posted a…
Abstract perspective on quadratic programming for optimal portfolio allocation.
We construct an utility-based dynamic asset pricing model for a limit order market. The price is nonlinear in volume and subject to market impact. We solve an optimal hedging problem under the market impact and derive the dynamics of the efficient price, that is, the asset price when a representative liquidity demander…
New framework for robust reinforcement learning policies in uncertain environments.
In this paper, we analyze dynamic programming as a novel approach to solve the problem of maximizing the profits of a bank. The mathematical model of the problem and the description of a bank's work is described in this paper. The problem is then approached using the method of dynamic programming. Dynamic programming m…
Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.
GT-DDP optimizer trains residual networks using game theory.
Approximate dynamic programming algorithms, such as approximate value iteration, have been successfully applied to many complex reinforcement learning tasks, and a better approximate dynamic programming algorithm is expected to further extend the applicability of reinforcement learning to various tasks. In this paper w…
Probabilistic programs with dynamic computation graphs can define measures over sample spaces with unbounded dimensionality, which constitute programmatic analogues to Bayesian nonparametrics. Owing to the generality of this model class, inference relies on `black-box' Monte Carlo methods that are often not able to tak…
This paper improves dynamic hedging accuracy using genetic programming to forecast implied volatilities.
We extend the stochastic Perron method to analyze the framework of stochastic target games, in which one player tries to find a strategy such that the state process almost surely reaches a given target no matter which action is chosen by the other player. Within this framework, our method produces a viscosity sub-solut…
Paper aims to minimize ruin probability in insurance companies using Sparre Andersen model.
New method uses dynamic programming for meta continual learning.
The martingale optimal transport aims to optimally transfer a probability measure to another along the class of martingales. This problem is mainly motivated by the robust superhedging of exotic derivatives in financial mathematics, which turns out to be the corresponding Kantorovich dual. In this paper we consider the…
There is a perceived trade-off between machine learning code that is easy to write, and machine learning code that is scalable or fast to execute. In machine learning, imperative style libraries like Autograd and PyTorch are easy to write, but suffer from high interpretive overhead and are not easily deployable in prod…
Study Nash equilibria in mean field portfolio games with consumption.
We consider the robust exponential utility maximization problem in discrete time: An investor maximizes the worst case expected exponential utility with respect to a family of nondominated probabilistic models of her endowment by dynamically investing in a financial market, and statically in available options. We show …
We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices return. We use Markov Decision Process and dynamic programming principle to get…
We consider the learning of algorithmic tasks by mere observation of input-output pairs. Rather than studying this as a black-box discrete regression problem with no assumption whatsoever on the input-output mapping, we concentrate on tasks that are amenable to the principle of divide and conquer, and study what are it…
New methods improve global optimisation for expensive functions using lookahead strategies.