We propose a new class of mappings, called Dynamic Limit Growth Indices, that are designed to measure the long-run performance of a financial portfolio in discrete time setup. We study various important properties for this new class of measures, and in particular, we provide necessary and sufficient condition for a Dyn…
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48 results for “dynamic growth”
Enhanced Gordon growth model for valuing financial products.
problem Valuation of financial products with time-varying interest rates and dividends.
method Dynamic Gordon growth model with time-varying spot interest rate and dividends, risk-neutral valuation, locally risk-minimizing strategy.
result Pricing and hedging formulas for dividend-paying European options and equity-linked life insurance products.
Study uses web search data to analyze tech startups growth.
problem Analyzing growth dynamics of tech startups.
method Utilized Google Trends data for 241 US-based tech startups.
result Web search traffic correlates positively with tech startup growth.
Polynomial growth elements found in all subgroups of Out(F_n).
problem Understanding polynomial growth in subgroups of Out(F_n).
method Analyzing conjugacy classes and elements of Out(F_n).
result Polynomial growth elements exist in all subgroups of Out(F_n).
Firms Growth Dynamics, Competition and Power Law Scalingcond-mat.stat-mech
We study the growth dynamics of the size of manufacturing firms considering competition and normal distribution of competency. We start with the fact that all components of the system struggle with each other for growth as happened in real competitive bussiness world. The detailed quantitative agreement of the theory w…
The paper aims to explore the impacts of bi-demographic structure on the current account and growth. Using a SVAR modeling, we track the dynamic impacts between these underlying variables. New insights have been developed about the dynamic interrelation between population growth, current account and economic growth. Th…
Study adds memory effect to Solow-Swan model for more accurate economic growth modeling.
problem Inaccuracies in classical Solow-Swan model in capturing long-term dynamics.
method Introduced fractional calculus with Caputo derivative into Solow-Swan framework.
result Fractional-order model shows significant impact on capital accumulation and stability.
Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.
problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.
On Capital Dependent Dynamics of Knowledgephysics.soc-ph
We investigate the dynamics of growth models in terms of dynamical system theory. We analyse some forms of knowledge and its influence on economic growth. We assume that the rate of change of knowledge depends on both the rate of change of physical and human capital. First, we study model with constant savings. The mod…
Investigates optimal portfolio strategies in markets with latent side information.
problem Investment problem in markets with latent dependence structure and side information.
method Dynamic and constant portfolio strategies, analyzing log-optimal portfolio as benchmark.
result Optimal dynamic strategy growth rate asymptotically converges to constant strategy in stationary markets.
We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However, unemployment, investment, consumption, and inflation are interlinked. Understanding dynamic…
Effect of tax dynamics on linearly growing processes under stochastic resetting: a possible economic modelphysics.soc-ph
Tax dynamics affects wealth distribution in a linearly growing socio-economic model.
problem Analyzing how tax policies impact wealth distribution in a stochastic resetting system.
method Analytical and numerical study of a system of agents with linear wealth growth, stochastic resetting, and tax redistribution.
result Optimal taxation leads to economic equality, while excessive taxation results in reverse disparity.
Study growth of LP wealth in G3Ms affected by trading fees and arbitrage.
problem Analyzing profitability of LPs in G3Ms under trading fees and arbitrage.
method Stochastic reflected diffusion processes to model G3M dynamics.
result Long-term expected logarithmic growth of LP wealth calculated.
A general nonlinear logistic equation has been proposed to model long-time saturation in industrial growth. An integral solution of this equation has been derived for any arbitrary degree of nonlinearity. A time scale for the onset of nonlinear saturation in industrial growth can be estimated from an equipartition cond…
Study dynamics of -multipliers on harmonic manifolds with exponential volume growth.
problem Characterize the behavior of -multipliers on harmonic manifolds of purely exponential volume growth.
method Analyzing the dynamics of -multipliers on non-compact harmonic manifolds, using Fourier transformation and properties of radial functions.
result Show that -multipliers acting nicely on smooth functions with compact support for cannot be chaotic.
A novel model-selection method for dynamic networks using synthetic data.
problem Classifying and understanding the growth mechanisms of dynamic networks.
method Training a classifier on synthetic network data generated by nine random graph models, using dynamic features that count new links.
result Achieves near-perfect classification of synthetic networks, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Quantifying the improvement in human living standard, as well as the city growth in developing countries, is a challenging problem due to the lack of reliable economic data. Therefore, there is a fundamental need for alternate, largely unsupervised, computational methods that can estimate the economic conditions in the…
Study finds sales forecasters overreact to extreme news.
problem Understanding how forecasters react to sales growth news.
method Proposes a framework with fat-tailed dynamics and linear forecasting rule.
result Forecasters overreact to significant sales growth news.
Investigates how FDI and R&D affect host countries' growth.
problem Host countries may fall into a middle-income trap if they focus solely on FDI.
method Optimal growth model with FDI and R&D.
result R&D investment is crucial for sustained growth in host countries.
An array system of coupled maps is proposed as a model for economy evolution. The local dynamics of each map or agent is controlled by two parameters. One of them represents the growth capacity of the agent and the other one is a control term representing the local environmental pressure which avoids an exponential gro…
Dynamical Stationarity as a Result of Sustained Random Growthcond-mat.stat-mech
In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a continuous master equation. The derivation of elementary rates from known stationa…
In this pedagogical study, carried out by adopting standard mathematical methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have presented some simple analytical models to understand terminal behaviour in industrial growth. This issue has also been addressed from a dynamical systems perspective, with especial emphasis on the concept of…
We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation of the expression describing the declining long-term tail of a social discount c…
Dynamic pricing model considers ambiguity in endowment growth rate.
problem Dynamic asset pricing under ambiguous endowment growth rate.
method α-maxmin expected utility model for ambiguity, intra-personal equilibrium strategies, market equilibrium.
result Asset prices reflect ambiguity in endowment growth rate.
Formula for subgroup growth in mapping class groups.
problem Growth of subgroups in mapping class groups.
method Asymptotic growth formula with Teichmüller metric.
result Asymptotic growth formula for subgroups.
Improved growth strategies by incorporating stochastic factors in asset returns.
problem Drift uncertainty in asset returns makes growth optimization strategies sensitive.
method Study robust growth-optimization in high-dimensional incomplete markets under drift uncertainty and ergodicity.
result Utilizing stochastic factors improves robust growth rates and optimal strategies.
Universal features in the growth dynamics of complex organizationscond-mat.stat-mech
We analyze the fluctuations in the gross domestic product (GDP) of 152 countries for the period 1950--1992. We find that (i) the distribution of annual growth rates for countries of a given GDP decays with ``fatter'' tails than for a Gaussian, and (ii) the width of the distribution scales as a power law of GDP with a s…
Hybrid model improves forest growth predictions.
problem Misspecified assumptions in mechanistic models.
method Forest Informed Neural Networks (FINN) combining DVM and DNN.
result DNN learned improved growth process functional form.
The paper models financial markets using information theory to minimize information.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets.
method Modeling financial market dynamics with independent stationary scalar diffusions, interpreting the market as a communication system, and minimizing information-theoretical joint information.
result Financial market dynamics are represented by squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with additivity and self-similarity properties.
New approach uses 'growth' and 'harvesting' concepts to improve deep learning models.
problem Current deep learning models lack transparency and high convergence rates.
method Reconsider neural networks as single-species population dynamics with balanced growth and harvesting rates.
result SGD with balanced growth and harvesting rates outperforms adaptive methods in all three requirements.
Model shows how relaxed leverage can lead to asset price bubbles.
problem Understanding how financial leverage affects asset prices and growth.
method Developed a macro-finance model with feedback loops between investment and land prices.
result Relaxed leverage can cause unbalanced growth and asset price bubbles.
P.W. Anderson proposed the concept of complexity in order to describe the emergence and growth of macroscopic collective patterns out of the simple interactions of many microscopic agents. In the physical sciences this paradigm was implemented systematically and confirmed repeatedly by successful confrontation with rea…
Investing for the Long Runq-fin.PM
This paper studies long term investing by an investor that maximizes either expected utility from terminal wealth or from consumption. We introduce the concepts of a generalized stochastic discount factor (SDF) and of the minimum price to attain target payouts. The paper finds that the dynamics of the SDF needs to be c…
Study shows how large neural networks avoid overfitting through decoupling of feature learning and complexity growth.
problem Understanding inductive bias and generalization in large neural networks.
method Dynamical mean field theory applied to large two-layer networks.
result Training dynamics of large networks exhibit a separation of timescales, decoupling feature learning and overfitting.
A new growth model for dynamic networks using Markovian latent points.
problem Modeling temporal dynamic networks with latent points and distances.
method Markovian latent space dynamic with Euclidean Sphere sampling and connection probabilities based on geodesic distances.
result Theoretical guarantees for non-parametric estimation of the latitude and envelope functions.
Analyzes Indian commercial dynamism using time series data.
problem Understanding commercial dynamism in India.
method Time series analysis of various economic indicators.
result Detailed insights into growth rate, trade balance, etc.
We present a quantitative characterisation of the fluctuations of the annualized growth rate of the real US GDP per capita growth at many scales, using a wavelet transform analysis of two data sets, quarterly data from 1947 to 2015 and annual data from 1800 to 2010. Our main finding is that the distribution of GDP grow…
Final version. To appear in Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - A.
We introduce a new method for estimating the growth of various quantities arising in dynamical systems. We apply our method to polygonal billiards on surfaces of constant curvature. For instance, we obtain power bounds of degree two plus epsilon in length for the number of billiard orbits between almost all pairs of po…
Lehmer's question is equivalent to one about generalized growth rates of Lefschetz numbers of iterated pseudo-Anosov surface homeomorphisms. One need consider only homeomorphisms that arise as monodromies of fibered knots in lens spaces L(n,1), n>0. Lehmer's question for Perron polynomials is equivalent to one about ge…
We consider the problem of finding optimal strategies that maximize the average growth-rate of multiplicative stochastic processes. For a geometric Brownian motion the problem is solved through the so-called Kelly criterion, according to which the optimal growth rate is achieved by investing a constant given fraction o…
The aim of this work is to extend the capital growth theory developed by Kelly, Breiman, Cover and others to asset market models with transaction costs. We define a natural generalization of the notion of a numeraire portfolio proposed by Long and show how such portfolios can be used for constructing growth-optimal inv…
We analyze an exhaustive data-set of new-cars monthly sales. The set refers to 10 years of Spanish sales of more than 6500 different car model configurations and a total of 10M sold cars, from January 2007 to January 2017. We find that for those model configurations with a monthly market-share higher than 0.1% the sale…
The growth dynamics of German business firmscond-mat.stat-mech
We determine the distribution of size and growthrates of German business firms in 1987-1997. We find a log-normal size distribution. The distribution of growth rates has fat tails. It can be fitted to an exponential in a narrow central region and is dominated by finite-sample-size effects far in its wings. We study the…
The balance of growth and risk in population dynamicscond-mat.stat-mech
Essential to each other, growth and exploration are jointly observed in populations, be it alive such as animals and cells or inanimate such as goods and money. But their ability to move, crucial to cope with uncertainty and optimize returns, is tempered by the space/time properties of the environment. We investigate h…
We prove a conjecture of K. Schmidt in algebraic dynamical system theory on the growth of the number of components of fixed point sets. We also generalize a result of Silver and Williams on the growth of homology torsions of finite abelian covering of link complements. In both cases, the growth is expressed by the Mahl…
In this paper, we consider three problems related to survival, growth, and goal reaching maximization of an investment portfolio with proportional net cash flow. We solve the problems in a market constrained due to borrowing prohibition. To solve the problems, we first construct an auxiliary market and then apply the d…
Implicit bias produces neural scaling laws in learning curves, from perceptrons to deep networkscs.LG
New scaling laws explain deep learning performance growth.
problem Understanding neural network performance growth.
method Analyzed entire training dynamics of various architectures.
result Identified two dynamical scaling laws.