Paper proposes a method to monitor industrial processes under closed-loop control.
problem Difficulty distinguishing between real process faults and normal operating conditions changes.
method Develops a distributed monitoring system by capturing static and dynamic characteristics of large-scale closed-loop industrial processes.
result The method effectively distinguishes between real process faults and normal operating conditions changes.
Develops a dynamic latent-factor model for high-dimensional asset characteristics.
problem Estimating asset pricing tests with high-dimensional data.
method Dynamic latent-factor model with Double Selection Lasso regularization.
result The inflation-mimicking portfolio in the crypto asset class has positive risk compensation.
DOODL learns shared spectral dynamics across related dynamical systems.
problem Learning independent dynamical operators for each system limits discovery of shared structure.
method DOODL learns a dictionary of characteristic spectral dynamics on a manifold of related systems.
result DOODL achieves errors one to two orders of magnitude lower than independent operator estimation methods.
A ML model accurately replicates chaotic dynamics across various parameters.
problem Replicating chaotic characteristics of non-linear dynamics using machine learning.
method A ML model trained to predict one-step-ahead states from historic states captures bifurcation diagrams and Lyapunov exponents universally.
result Variational quantum circuit outperforms classical models in reproducing long-term chaotic characteristics.
We discuss analogies between number theory and the theory of dynamical systems on spaces with a one-codimensional foliation. The emphasis is on comparing the "explicit formulas" of analytic number theory with certain dynamical Lefschetz trace formulas. We also point out a possible relation between an Arakelov-Euler cha…
A new model captures dependencies and unique characteristics in multi-dimensional sequences.
problem Modeling high-dimensional sequential data with dependencies and unique characteristics.
method Collaborative multi-output Gaussian process dynamical system (CGPDS) with shared and private latent processes, using inducing points and stochastic variational inference.
result Captures dependencies and unique characteristics in multi-dimensional sequences.
We derive a higher-order expansion for rough volatility models.
problem Characterizing and estimating rough volatility models.
method Higher-order asymptotic expansion of characteristic functions.
result Distinct roles of rough and jump dynamics in volatility.
Study examines how statistical properties of deep learning representations can be adjusted.
problem Improving performance in deep learning models.
method Investigated eight representation regularization methods, including two new rank regularizers.
result Manipulating statistical properties of representations can indirectly improve model performance.
This paper proposes a system-agnostic policy for dynamic scheduling.
problem Dynamic scheduling in changing systems is challenging due to system-specific optimal policies.
method Descriptive policy that learns a system-agnostic scheduling principle.
result System-agnostic meta-learning enables adaptation to unseen system characteristics.
Study analyzes stock market dynamics using Tsallis statistics and GHE, revealing pre-bubble and post-bubble market characteristics.
problem Understanding stock market dynamics and predicting market bubbles.
method Non-linear analysis using time-dependent Tsallis statistics and Generalized Hurst Exponents.
result Temporal trends of q-triplet values differ before and after market bubbles, indicating significant market dynamics changes.
The CGMY model's ATM call-price asymptotics are derived using characteristic function.
problem Deriving short-time asymptotics for the CGMY model's ATM call prices.
method Using the characteristic function, derived short-time asymptotics for the CGMY model's ATM call prices. Extracted higher-order coefficients by dynamic cutoff partitioning.
result Higher-order coefficients are derived for the CGMY model's ATM call prices.
In this paper we study the continuum time dynamics of a stock in a market where agents behavior is modeled by a Minority Game and a Grand Canonical Minority Game. The dynamics derived is a generalized geometric Brownian motion; from the Black & Scholes formula the calibration of both the Minority Game and the Grand Can…
ADMP-GNN dynamically adjusts message-passing layers for better graph learning performance.
problem Fixed message-passing steps in GNNs do not account for nodes' varying computational needs.
method Proposes ADMP-GNN, which dynamically adjusts the number of message-passing layers for each node.
result Improves performance on node classification tasks compared to baseline GNN models.
Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.
problem Understanding how firm-level emissions change over time in response to environmental regulation, economic conditions, and organizational constraints.
method Used a time-varying mean-group estimator to link emissions data with firm characteristics and macroeconomic indicators over 1992-2023.
result Firm-level characteristics and aggregate conditions have different impacts on emissions growth at different times.
Dynamic treatment effects estimated over time using covariate balancing.
problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with dynamic treatments.
method Dynamic covariate balancing with potential local projections.
result Established inferential guarantees for the proposed method.
Volatility dynamics of wavelet - filtered stock price time series is studied. Using the universal thresholding method of wavelet filtering and a principle of minimal linear autocorrelation of noise component we find that the quantitative characteristics of volatility dynamics of denoised series are noticeably different…
The paper introduces a method to create more reliable models for robot dynamics.
problem Creating accurate models for robot dynamics to improve control and planning algorithms.
method A primal-dual method to enforce constraints on error in specific parts of the state-space.
result The learned models have more predictable error characteristics, enhancing their usability for planning and control algorithms.
We introduce basic characteristic classes and numbers as new invariants for Riemannian foliations. If the ambient Riemannian manifold M is simply connected (or more generally if the foliation is a transversely orientable Killing foliation), if M is complete and if the space of leaf closures is compact, then the basic c…
The aim of this paper is to extend basic understanding of Engel structures through developing geometric constructions which are canonical to a certain degree and the dynamics of Cauchy characteristics in the transverse spaces which may exhibit elliptic, parabolic, or hyperbolic natures in typical cases.
The execution flow drives market dynamics, validated on real data.
problem Understanding the fundamental driving force of market dynamics.
method Developed a numerical framework using the Radon-Nikodym derivative to calculate execution flow and determined thresholds and characteristic time scales.
result Execution flow is the fundamental driving force of market dynamics.
We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two characteristic time scales: the time of changes of market environment and the characterist…
Intratumor heterogeneity is often manifested by vascular compartments with distinct pharmacokinetics that cannot be resolved directly by in vivo dynamic imaging. We developed tissue-specific compartment modeling (TSCM), an unsupervised computational method of deconvolving dynamic imaging series from heterogeneous tumor…
Novel approach analyzes ReLU networks' training dynamics and proposes GmP for improved optimization.
problem Stochastic optimization instability in ReLU networks impedes convergence and generalization.
method Characteristic activation boundaries analysis and Geometric Parameterization (GmP) technique.
result GmP resolves instability, leading to better optimization, convergence, and generalization.
Wavelet analysis reveals non-linear dynamics in cryptocurrency prices.
problem Understanding non-linear dynamics in high-frequency cryptocurrency prices.
method Wavelet analysis of frequency and time variables.
result Cyclical persistence at different frequencies in cryptocurrency prices.
Study Schrödinger evolution on surfaces in 3D contact sub-Riemannian manifolds.
problem Analyzing the Schrödinger evolution on surfaces embedded in 3D contact sub-Riemannian manifolds.
method Relating self-adjointness of the Schrödinger operator to geometric invariants of the foliation.
result Classification of self-adjoint extensions yielding disjoint dynamics.
Study on characteristic classes for codimension-one foliations, showing non-triviality under specific conditions.
problem Characterizing non-trivial characteristic classes for codimension-one foliations.
method Using Gelfand-Fuchs cohomology and dynamical properties of holonomy groups.
result Non-triviality of certain characteristic classes for Reeb foliations, contradicting classical theorems.
Proposes a deep learning method for modeling dynamic individual-level latent trajectories with changing parameters.
problem Modeling longitudinal data with changing individual-level dynamics parameters.
method Combines deep learning for dimensionality reduction and differential equations for dynamic modeling, allowing different parameters for sub-periods.
result Successfully identifies dynamic parameters and predictors of resilience.
A little complement concerning the dynamics of non-metric manifolds is provided, by showing that any flow on an ω-bounded surface with non-zero Euler character has a fixed point.
Proposes a model for identifying edges in low-rank dynamical networks.
problem Inability of conventional methods to handle low-rank dynamical networks.
method Low rank dynamical network model with causal Wiener filtering.
result Consistent method for estimating all network edges.
A new model uses firm characteristics to predict asset covariances.
problem Risk models are noisy and dependent on historical returns.
method Characteristic-Driven Dynamic Factor Model (CD-DFM) that learns latent representations from firm characteristics.
result CD-DFM produces interpretable factor portfolios and competitive covariance forecasts.
This paper proposes a hierarchical feature extractor for non-stationary streaming time series based on the concept of switching observable Markov chain models. The slow time-scale non-stationary behaviors are considered to be a mixture of quasi-stationary fast time-scale segments that are exhibited by complex dynamical…
We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential Lévy-type martingale. This class of models allows for a local volatility, local default intensity and a locally dependent Lévy measure. We present a pricing method for Bermudan options based on an analytical approximatio…
Study stabilizes second-order systems to first-order dynamics.
problem Stabilizing second-order systems to first-order dynamics.
method Feedback control of second-order systems on manifolds.
result Second-order systems can globally exponentially stabilize first-order dynamics for fully actuated systems.
TREP learns pedestrian trajectories efficiently without needing full datasets.
problem Learning fixed-length vector representations of variable-length trajectories.
method Actor-critic sequence-to-sequence autoencoder with spatial-aware objective function.
result TREP efficiently learns trajectory representations without needing full datasets.
We investigate the large-volatility dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after large volatilities is characterized by a power law, and the exponents p± usually vary with the strength of the large vo…
Researchers use statistical physics to model neural network learning dynamics.
problem Understanding the learning dynamics of ReLU neural networks.
method Developed a system of differential equations using statistical physics techniques.
result ReLU networks exhibit distinct learning behavior compared to sigmoidal networks.
It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian nature of the fractional Br…
Modeling DEX liquidity with heterogeneous LPs and MEV bots.
problem Understanding and predicting the dynamics of decentralized cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Mean-field game approach to model liquidity providers' optimal strategies and interactions.
result Calibrated model produces consistent pool exchange rate dynamics and liquidity evolution.
Studies geometric mechanics for autonomous and nonautonomous systems.
problem Understanding the geometric basis of mechanics.
method Geometric descriptions, Lagrangian, Hamiltonian, unified formalisms, symmetries, variational principles.
result Characterization of dynamical systems' properties and characteristics.
Paper models buildings' thermal characteristics with a Bayesian approach.
problem Modeling buildings' heat dynamics with various factors.
method Bayesian state-space model incorporating prior knowledge.
result Bayesian approach provides similar parameters as MCMC but faster.
New model predicts dynamic volatility in uncertain financial markets.
problem Predicting dynamic volatility in financial markets with uncertainty.
method Generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) model considering delay and fuzziness.
result Effective prediction of dynamic volatility with improved performance.
Detects changes in global financial networks before crashes.
problem Financial contagion and crashes across global markets.
method Sequential change point detection in dynamic networks.
result Can detect changes in network behavior before stock market crashes.
Proposes a probabilistic model to improve hydrology predictions and trust.
problem Noisy or missing basin characteristics impact streamflow prediction.
method Probabilistic inverse modeling framework to reconstruct basin characteristics.
result 6% improvement in R2 for streamflow prediction, 17% reduction in uncertainty. We study the performance of stochastically trained deep neural networks (DNNs) whose synaptic weights are implemented using emerging memristive devices that exhibit limited dynamic range, resolution, and variability in their programming characteristics. We show that a key device parameter to optimize the learning effic…
HyperST-Net uses hypernetworks to improve spatio-temporal forecasting.
problem Forecasting spatio-temporal data is challenging due to complex spatial and temporal factors.
method Proposes a framework based on hypernetworks with three modules: spatial, temporal, and deduction.
result Models achieve significant improvements over state-of-the-art baselines.
The paper develops algorithms and topological invariants for distinguishing dynamic systems.
problem Distinguishing the topological type of surfaces and functions in dynamic systems.
method Construction of algorithms and topological invariants using discrete topological structures.
result The development of discrete topological structures for topological equivalence of dynamic systems.
This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…
Dynamic programming helps manage fisheries affected by random disturbances.
problem Managing fisheries affected by random disturbances.
method Dynamic programming approach to analyze and optimize management strategies.
result Dynamic programming is crucial for fully characterizing optimal harvest strategies.