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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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285785113 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for doubly-robust correction

Corrects mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators for doubly robust methods.

problem Mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators in doubly robust methods.
method Calibrated debiased machine learning (calibrated DML) with isotonic regression adjustment.
result Calibrated DML yields doubly robust asymptotic normality with slower convergence of nuisance estimators.

New method improves robustness of double robust estimators under complete misspecification.

problem Improper performance of double robust estimators when all nuisance functions are misspecified.
method DR+ACC, an adaptive correction clipping method.
result DR+ACC ensures bounded error and maintains semiparametric efficiency.

CPME embeds counterfactual outcomes in RKHS for flexible policy evaluation.

problem Estimating counterfactual policy outcomes for decision-making.
method Counterfactual Policy Mean Embedding (CPME) framework in RKHS, plug-in and doubly robust estimators, kernel test statistic.
result Doubly robust estimator improves convergence rates and asymptotic normality.

When training a machine learning model with observational data, it is often encountered that some values are systemically missing. Learning from the incomplete data in which the missingness depends on some covariates may lead to biased estimation of parameters and even harm the fairness of decision outcome. This paper …

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

C-kNN-LSH identifies similar patient histories for causal inference in longitudinal data.

problem Estimating causal effects from longitudinal trajectories with high-dimensional confounding.
method C-kNN-LSH uses locality-sensitive hashing to find clinical twins and estimate treatment effects.
result C-kNN-LSH outperforms existing methods in capturing recovery heterogeneity and estimating policy values.

Proposes a method to make statistical inferences robust in spatially dependent settings with missing at random labels.

problem Statistical inference challenges with missing at random labels and spatial dependence.
method Doubly robust estimator with cross-fit nuisances and jackknife spatial HAC variance correction.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals with improved finite-sample calibration.

Proposes a method to correct for covariate shift in meta-analysis of randomized trials.

problem Invalidation of standard IPD meta-analysis due to covariate shift across studies.
method Placebo-anchored transport framework that treats source-trial outcomes as proxy signals and target-trial placebo outcomes as gold labels.
result Yields target-identified effect estimates in connected targets and a principled screen--then--transport procedure in disconnected targets.

Proposes methods to correct bias and missing data in regression models.

problem Nonignorable selection bias and missing response in regression models.
method Imputation-based and importance weighted regression methods, including repeated regression and doubly robust combination.
result Repeated regression can effectively correct bias and outperforms weighted regression in extrapolation.

Bayesian method corrects bias in treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data with high-dimensional nuisance parameters.
method Bayesian debiasing, targeted modeling, sample splitting.
result Marginal posterior for ATE satisfies Bernstein-von Mises theorem under correct nuisance model specification.

Proposes a robust estimator for high-dimensional data with heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with many more regressors than observations.
method Doubly robust two-stage semiparametric difference-in-difference estimator using machine learning for propensity score estimation.
result Valid inference for heterogeneous treatment effects with bias correction procedures.

Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.

problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.

Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.

problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.

DoubleGen addresses bias in generative modeling of counterfactuals.

problem Bias in generative models for counterfactual outcomes.
method Doubly robust framework that modifies generative modeling training objectives to mitigate confounding and misspecification biases.
result Successfully addresses confounding bias even if only one auxiliary model is correct.

New DR-IC estimator reduces bias and variance in OPE.

problem Estimating value of a target policy using logged data from a different policy.
method DR-IC estimator that combines parametric reward model and context-based switching rule.
result DR-IC estimator outperforms state-of-the-art OPE algorithms.

New methods combine machine learning with doubly robust estimators for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating average treatment effects from observational data.
method Doubly robust methods using machine learning techniques.
result Machine learning improves the performance of doubly robust estimators.

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

Doubly robust self-training improves semi-supervised learning by balancing labeled and pseudo-labeled data.

problem Improving semi-supervised learning performance with limited labeled data.
method Introduces doubly robust self-training, a method that combines labeled and pseudo-labeled data to balance between labeled-only and pseudo-labeled-only training.
result Demonstrates superior performance of doubly robust self-training on ImageNet and nuScenes datasets.

New method combines strengths of two PCL approaches without density ratio estimation.

problem Estimating causal functions in Proxy Causal Learning with unobserved confounders and proxies.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimators combining treatment and outcome bridges, density ratio-free.
result Outperforms existing methods on PCL benchmarks, including a prior doubly robust method.

This paper investigates robust and efficient DR/RDR estimators for WATEs.

problem Lack of systematic investigation into robustness and efficiency conditions for WATE estimation.
method Proposes three RDR estimators using semiparametric efficient influence function and double/debiased machine learning.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods in medical and social sciences.

Natural experiment dataset reveals inconsistent treatment effect estimators.

problem Inconsistent results from over 20 estimators on a new dataset.
method Created a benchmark to evaluate estimator accuracy, derived variance formula, introduced new estimator.
result Doubly robust estimators outperform others by orders of magnitude.

New methods estimate policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.

problem Estimating policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.
method Proposed new doubly robust estimators based on kernelization approaches.
result Demonstrated a rate independent of horizon length for policy value and gradient estimation.

Semiparametric method removes bias in functional bilevel gradient estimation.

problem First-order bias in plug-in hypergradient when lower-level problem is nonparametric.
method Semiparametric debiasing theory based on efficient influence function leads to cross-fitted orthogonal hypergradient estimator.
result Asymptotic normality and uniform control over outer parameter established for the estimator.

Paper proves optimality of doubly robust estimators for treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects in causal inference.
method Structure-agnostic framework of statistical lower bounds, using non-parametric regression and classification oracles.
result Doubly robust estimators are statistically optimal for ATE and ATT.

New tests for distributional causal effects using improved kernel estimators.

problem Testing for higher-order moments and multidimensional outcomes affected by treatment.
method Improved kernel estimators based on doubly robust mean embeddings.
result New permutation-based tests for distributional causal effects with improved convergence rates.

New estimator improves ATT estimation efficiency with external controls.

problem Reduced efficiency when incorporating external controls into ATT estimation.
method Proposes a novel doubly robust estimator for ATT that maintains higher efficiency than standard approaches.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency of the new estimator compared to standard approaches, even under model misspecification.

This study optimizes neural networks for doubly robust ATE estimation to balance bias and variance.

problem Balancing bias and variance in doubly robust estimators with neural networks.
method Investigates two neural network architectures and their hyperparameters in the presence of confounders and IVs.
result Optimal hyperparameters for neural networks reduce bias-variance tradeoff for ATE estimators.