Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is a technique for finding latent representations of data. The method has been applied to corpora to construct topic models. However, NMF has likelihood assumptions which are often violated by real document corpora. We present a double parametric bootstrap test for evaluating the…
This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We demonstrate empirically that the proposed bootstrap bias correction can lead to…
Estimates causal effects using machine learning for binary treatment and mediator.
problem Estimating direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under selection-on-observables.
method Double/debiased machine learning estimators based on efficient score functions.
result Uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of effect estimators.
New method for efficient inference in large datasets.
problem Statistical inference in massive datasets.
method Combines divide-and-conquer method and empirical likelihood.
result Reduces computation burden and demonstrates effectiveness.
High-dimensional regression models struggle with resampling methods.
problem Estimating uncertainty in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks.
method Investigation of bootstrap, subsampling, and jackknife methods in high-dimensional generalized linear models.
result Resampling methods exhibit double-descent behavior and are inconsistent in high dimensions.
New method controls false discoveries in financial asset pricing.
problem Controlling false discoveries in time series with unknown correlations.
method Double bootstrapping method to control false discovery rate.
result Superior statistical power and controlled false discovery rate.
BNEM improves Boltzmann sampler efficiency.
problem Generating IID samples from Boltzmann distributions efficiently.
method Bootstrapped Noised Energy Matching (NEM) combined with diffusion-based learning and bootstrapping.
result BNEM achieves state-of-the-art performance with improved robustness.
EBQL reduces bias in Q-learning for improved performance.
problem Over- and under-estimation biases in Q-learning degrade performance.
method Ensemble Bootstrapping to reduce both over- and under-estimation biases.
result EBQL outperforms other Q-learning methods in Atari games.
New method speeds up uncertainty estimation for large datasets in causal inference.
problem Computational infeasibility of bootstrap-based uncertainty quantification for large datasets.
method Extends cBLB algorithm to kernel methods, combining subsampling and resampling.
result Achieves computational scalability with nominal coverage.
Random Forests automatically prune a latent 'true' tree, explaining their overfitting without tuning.
problem Difficulty in building bad Random Forests and overfitting without apparent consequences.
method Bootstrap aggregation and model perturbation in Random Forests.
result Randomized ensembles implicitly perform optimal early stopping out-of-sample, explaining overfitting.
Improved diffusion models for generative tasks without dimensionality constraints.
problem Sample complexity bounds for learning score functions in diffusion models.
method Dimension-free sample complexity bounds, martingale-based error decomposition, variance reduction technique (Bootstrapped Score Matching).
result Achieved a double exponential improvement in sample complexity over prior results.
The study sharpens local Bernstein estimates for Laplace eigenfunctions on compact manifolds.
problem Understanding local growth properties of Laplace eigenfunctions on compact Riemannian manifolds.
method Refined Donnelly-Fefferman method based on L2--Carleman estimates, combined with elliptic regularity and patching of local Carleman estimates. result Almost sharp local Lp--Bernstein inequalities for p∈[1,∞]. Optimizes a small set of centroid points to approximate bootstrap distribution.
problem Computational inefficiency of standard bootstrap methods in large-scale machine learning.
method Explicitly optimizes a small set of high quality centroid points to approximate the ideal bootstrap distribution.
result Accurately estimates uncertainty with a small number of bootstrap centroids, outperforming i.i.d. sampling.
A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for hybrid uncertainty sensitivity analysis.
problem Quantifying the influence of hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties on high-dimensional system responses.
method A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for sensitivity analysis under hybrid uncertainty.
result Concurrent double Möbius inversion orthogonally decomposes global dependence measure into pure aleatory effects, pure epistemic effects, and their interaction contributions.
We revisit the problem of pricing and hedging plain vanilla single-currency interest rate derivatives using multiple distinct yield curves for market coherent estimation of discount factors and forward rates with different underlying rate tenors. Within such double-curve-single-currency framework, adopted by the market…
AR-Sieve Bootstrap improves Random Forest time series prediction accuracy.
problem Inaccurate time series prediction due to inadequate resampling methods.
method Combines Random Forest with AR-Sieve Bootstrap for better resampling.
result AR-Sieve Bootstrap leads to more accurate predictions compared to other methods.
We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where p<n but p/n is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist performance requirement: can the bootstrap give us good confidence intervals fo…
New bootstraps improve speed and accuracy for graph count functionals.
problem Efficiently counting subgraphs in large graphs.
method Developed two types of multiplier bootstraps: a fast, approximate linear one and a quadratic one for denser graphs.
result Both bootstraps provide valid inference and higher-order accuracy under different graph sparsity conditions.
A new method reduces bootstrap simulation cost and improves accuracy.
problem Efficiently simulating input uncertainty with large sample sizes.
method Orthogonal Bootstrap: Decomposes into Infinitesimal Jackknife and orthogonal parts.
result Significantly reduces computational cost and maintains accuracy.
Three bootstrap tests compare categorical time series generating processes.
problem Testing equality of generating processes in categorical time series.
method Proposes three tests using dissimilarity measures and bootstrap methods.
result Advantages and disadvantages of each bootstrap method discussed.
Paper explores using bootstrap methods to improve SGD's stability and robustness.
problem Improving the stability and robustness of SGD.
method Investigates empirical bootstrap approaches for SGD from algorithmic stability and statistical robustness perspectives.
result Demonstrates construction of purely distribution-free confidence intervals using bootstrap SGD.
Efficiently bootstraps massive distributed data without over-resampling.
problem Statistical inference for massive distributed data.
method Distributed Bootstrap applied to gradients from worker machines.
result Proves optimal statistical efficiency with minimal communication.
Bootstrap method for Markov chains in reinforcement learning.
problem Distributional consistency in finite controlled Markov chains with unknown control policies.
method Model-based bootstrap with novel LLN and CLT for visitation counts and transition increments.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals for value and Q-functions in offline RL. Proposes a private empirical bootstrap for Gaussian Differential Privacy.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in massive data under Differential Privacy.
method Gaussian Differential Private Bootstrap by Subsampling.
result Consistent and efficient private inference method.
The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding computationally. While variants such as subsampling and the m out o…
Validates network bootstraps for uncertainty quantification in network visualisation.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in network embeddings when only a single observation is available.
method Statistical indistinguishable embeddings using k-nearest neighbour smoothing, validated by an exchangeable network test.
result Proposes a principled, distribution-free network bootstrap that passes the exchangeable network test.
New DP bootstrap method for statistical inference with improved privacy and accuracy.
problem Lack of general techniques for conducting statistical inference under differential privacy.
method DP bootstrap procedure to infer sampling distribution and construct confidence intervals.
result DP bootstrap estimates provide consistent point estimates and asymptotically valid standard CIs.
Proposes a new method using GANs for testing conditional independence.
problem High-dimensional conditional independence testing in statistics and machine learning.
method Double GANs framework to learn conditional distributions, then construct a test statistic.
result The test statistic is doubly robust and has asymptotic power approaching one.
Neural Bootstrapper reduces bootstrapping cost for deep neural networks.
problem Computational burden in bootstrapping deep neural networks.
method Neural Bootstrapper learns to generate bootstrapped neural networks through single model training.
result Neural Bootstrapper outperforms bagging methods with lower computational cost.
A new bootstrapping method reduces key sizes and runtime in FHE.
problem Large plaintext evaluation in FHE increases bootstrapping complexity.
method New polynomial vector representation and monic monomial permutation matrices.
result Polynomial factor improvement in key size and constant factor in runtime.
The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets, the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding. As an alternative, we present the Bag of Little Bootstraps (BLB), a new procedure which incorporates fea…
A new algorithm improves stochastic linear bandit performance using residual bootstrap.
problem Improving performance in stochastic linear bandit problems.
method Residual bootstrap exploration to estimate mean reward and pull the arm with the highest estimate.
result Proposed algorithm exttt{LinReBoot} achieves high-probability sub-linear regret under mild conditions.
Paper improves bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.
problem Improving bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.
method Proposes a bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy statistical inference and a subsampling procedure to improve runtime.
result Asymptotically efficient and distributionally consistent bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy inference.
Data augmented bootstrap unifies various confidence interval construction methods.
problem Constructing confidence intervals from data transformations.
method Data augmented bootstrap (DAB) framework.
result Establishes theoretical coverage results for DAB methods.
A new online bootstrap method for time series data.
problem Applying traditional bootstrap methods to time series data with dependencies.
method An autoregressive sequence of resampling weights to account for data dependencies.
result The method provides reliable uncertainty quantification in real-time applications.
Equity-Directed Bootstrapping improves model performance across groups in imbalanced datasets.
problem Improving model performance across different groups in imbalanced datasets.
method Equity-Directed Bootstrapping to balance training data with respect to both labels and group identity.
result The equity-directed bootstrap brings test set sensitivities and specificities closer to satisfying the equal odds criterion.
Delta method vs Bootstrap for deep learning classification shows strong linear relationship and faster computation.
problem Validating the Delta method for deep learning classification.
method Comparison of Delta method and Bootstrap on LeNet-based neural networks using MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets.
result The Delta method provides a five times faster computation with strong linear predictive uncertainty relationship.
Recently, multilayer bootstrap network (MBN) has demonstrated promising performance in unsupervised dimensionality reduction. It can learn compact representations in standard data sets, i.e. MNIST and RCV1. However, as a bootstrap method, the prediction complexity of MBN is high. In this paper, we propose an unsupervis…
A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive permutation-based bootstrap fails. It applies to a large group of kernel tests based on…
In this paper we address the problem of performing statistical inference for large scale data sets i.e., Big Data. The volume and dimensionality of the data may be so high that it cannot be processed or stored in a single computing node. We propose a scalable, statistically robust and computationally efficient bootstra…
Paper presents methods to create stock price confidence intervals using LSTM models.
problem Creating accurate confidence intervals for LSTM-estimated stock prices.
method Three bootstrap methods for dependent data, optimal block length selection, and benchmark comparison.
result Illustrated through stock price data, different bootstrap strategies provide varying confidence intervals.
The paper analyzes bootstrap ensemble classifiers in high-dimensional settings.
problem Performance of bootstrap ensemble classifiers in high-dimensional data.
method Random Matrix Theory applied to LSSVM ensemble.
result Strategies to optimize performance of LSSVM ensemble.
Efficient exploration in complex environments remains a major challenge for reinforcement learning. We propose bootstrapped DQN, a simple algorithm that explores in a computationally and statistically efficient manner through use of randomized value functions. Unlike dithering strategies such as epsilon-greedy explorat…
Bootstrapping regularizes singular correlation matrices, reducing the need for complex regularization.
problem Singular correlation matrices in large datasets.
method Averaging bootstrapped correlation matrices to ensure positive-definiteness.
result The averaged correlation matrix is almost surely positive-definite with a sufficient number of bootstraps.
New algorithm speeds up causal inference for large data.
problem Efficiently estimating causal effects from large data.
method Causal Bag of Little Bootstraps (cBLOBS).
result Significantly improved computational efficiency with consistent estimates.
The paper improves the empirical bootstrap method for non-normal estimators.
problem Theoretical properties of empirical bootstrap for non-asymptotically normal estimators.
method Establishing limiting distribution, deriving consistency conditions, proposing alternative methods.
result The empirical bootstrap method can be asymptotically consistent under stability conditions.
Regularization is an important component of predictive model building. The hybrid bootstrap is a regularization technique that functions similarly to dropout except that features are resampled from other training points rather than replaced with zeros. We show that the hybrid bootstrap offers superior performance to dr…
Structural equation models and Bayesian networks have been widely used to study causal relationships between continuous variables. Recently, a non-Gaussian method called LiNGAM was proposed to discover such causal models and has been extended in various directions. An important problem with LiNGAM is that the results a…