Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) aims at inferring class labels for unlabeled target domain given a related labeled source dataset. Intuitively, a model trained on source domain normally produces higher uncertainties for unseen data. In this work, we build on this assumption and propose to adapt from source to targ…
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48 results for “domain uncertainty”
We consider unsupervised domain adaptation: given labelled examples from a source domain and unlabelled examples from a related target domain, the goal is to infer the labels of target examples. Under the assumption that features from pre-trained deep neural networks are transferable across related domains, domain adap…
New method improves uncertainty estimation in Bayesian deep learning models.
problem Underestimation of predictive uncertainty in Neural Linear Models (NLMs).
method Proposes a novel training method to capture useful predictive uncertainties and incorporate domain knowledge.
result Traditional training procedures for NLMs can drastically underestimate uncertainty in data-scarce regions.
Post-hoc calibration improves uncertainty under domain shift.
problem Improving uncertainty calibration under domain shift.
method Apply perturbations to validation set before post-hoc calibration.
result Perturbation step results in better calibration under domain shift.
A Novel Unsupervised Post-Processing Calibration Method for DNNS with Robustness to Domain Shiftcs.LG
UTS improves DNN uncertainty calibration without labels, robust to domain shift.
problem Improving uncertainty calibration of DNNs under domain shift.
method UTS uses unlabeled test samples and a novel weighted NLL loss function.
result UTS outperforms other methods in domain shift scenarios.
Domain adaptation is an important technique to alleviate performance degradation caused by domain shift, e.g., when training and test data come from different domains. Most existing deep adaptation methods focus on reducing domain shift by matching marginal feature distributions through deep transformations on the inpu…
Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.
Incorporating domain knowledge into the modeling process is an effective way to improve learning accuracy. However, as it is provided by humans, domain knowledge can only be specified with some degree of uncertainty. We propose to explicitly model such uncertainty through probabilistic constraints over the parameter sp…
Study evaluates uncertainty in BP estimation from PPG signals under domain shift.
problem Uncertainty quantification in healthcare, especially for cuffless BP estimation.
method Compared deep ensembles, Monte Carlo dropout, and various recalibration techniques.
result Deep ensembles provide stronger robustness under domain shift.
Paper proposes a probabilistic alignment method for domain adaptation.
problem Latent distribution mismatch and miscalibrated uncertainty in adapting large-scale models.
method Bayesian latent transport framework with PAC-Bayesian regularization.
result Reduction in latent manifold discrepancy and improved uncertainty calibration.
Simple method improves uncertainty estimation for distribution shifts.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in deep image classification under distribution shifts.
method Exposing original model to corrupted images and performing simple statistical calibration.
result Superior performance on various distribution shifts and unsupervised domain adaptation tasks.
Improves reliability of medical diagnosis uncertainty estimates.
problem Label uncertainty in medical diagnosis.
method Post-hoc -calibration method for neural network classifiers.
result Significantly enhances reliability of uncertainty estimates.
LDDMM stochastic interpolants: an application to domain uncertainty quantification in hemodynamicsstat.ML
Generative model learns shape drift for quantifying domain uncertainty in hemodynamics.
problem Quantifying domain uncertainty in medical image segmentation for biomarker estimation.
method Conditional stochastic interpolant framework based on LDDMM registration.
result Generative model can create random perturbations of shapes for biomarker estimation.
This work introduces a bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, improving uncertainty estimation in predictive models.
problem Reliable uncertainty estimation for predictions in safety-critical applications, especially under domain drift.
method Developed a general bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, introducing the Bregman Information as the variance term.
result The decomposition provides novel formulations for different predictive tasks, including classification and model ensembles.
Proposes methods to aggregate prediction intervals for domain shift uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty quantification in distribution shifts.
method Aggregates prediction intervals for minimal width and adequate coverage.
result Effective methodologies for unsupervised domain shift under labeled source and unlabeled target.
Study pitfalls of deep learning ensembles in uncertainty estimation.
problem Pitfalls in in-domain uncertainty estimation and ensembling in deep learning.
method Exploration of standards for uncertainty quantification and broad study of ensembling techniques.
result Many sophisticated ensembling techniques are equivalent to a simple ensemble of few networks.
DS-CP improves reliability of uncertainty quantification for large language models under domain shift.
problem Overconfident and factually incorrect outputs (hallucinations) from large language models.
method Adapts conformal prediction to large language models under domain shift by reweighting calibration samples.
result DS-CP delivers more reliable coverage than standard conformal prediction, especially under substantial distribution shifts.
Deep learning models need accurate uncertainty quantification for safe use.
problem Uncertainty in deep learning models, especially for black box models.
method Model multivariate uncertainty for regression problems using neural networks, incorporating aleatoric and epistemic sources of heteroscedastic uncertainty. Train using direct multivariate Gaussian density loss function and end-to-end Kalman filter training.
result Accurate multivariate uncertainty quantification improves Kalman filter performance for in-domain and out-of-domain evaluation data.
CUQ-GNN adapts uncertainty quantification for graph data, improving on GPN.
problem Defining meaningful uncertainty on graph data with domain-specific characteristics.
method Combines Graph Neural Networks with Posterior Networks using Normalizing Flows.
result CUQ-GNN produces more flexible and effective uncertainty estimates.
Paper proposes risk-averse reinforcement learning algorithms.
problem Managing model uncertainty in reinforcement learning.
method Entropic risk constrained policy gradient and actor-critic algorithms.
result Demonstrates usefulness of risk-averse algorithms on various domains.
Efficient approach improves prediction calibration for domain shifts.
problem Improving uncertainty-aware predictions for domain shifts.
method Combining entropy-encouraging and adversarial calibration losses.
result Substantially outperforms existing approaches in domain drift calibration.
VCoTTA uses variational Bayesian methods to adapt models under continuous domain shifts.
problem Error accumulation in continual test-time adaptation.
method VCoTTA employs variational Bayesian techniques to update a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) during testing, combining priors from source and teacher models.
result VCoTTA effectively mitigates error accumulation in CTTA, as shown by experimental results on three datasets.
Method combines LD and Fermat Distance for neural network uncertainty.
problem Measuring uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Statistical Depth (LD) combined with Fermat Distance.
result Effective uncertainty estimation without impacting original model performance.
Bayesian Modelling in Practice: Using Uncertainty to Improve Trustworthiness in Medical Applicationscs.LG
The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no uncertainty of predictions. In practice, uncertain predictions should be presented to …
A rise in popularity of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), attributed to more powerful GPUs and widely available datasets, has seen them being increasingly used within safety-critical domains. One such domain, self-driving, has benefited from significant performance improvements, with millions of miles having been driven wit…
Uncertainty principles such as Heisenberg's provide limits on the time-frequency concentration of a signal, and constitute an important theoretical tool for designing and evaluating linear signal transforms. Generalizations of such principles to the graph setting can inform dictionary design for graph signals, lead to …
This paper analyzes the difficulty of unsupervised domain adaptation using information theory.
problem The challenge of unsupervised domain adaptation under covariate shift.
method Formulates the problem using a distribution π in the ground-truth triples (p, q, f), defines optimal learner performance, and introduces PTLU for quantifying difficulty.
result Characterizes the optimal learner and introduces PTLU as a measure of UDA difficulty.
CPATTA uses conformal prediction for efficient test-time adaptation.
problem Low data selection efficiency in existing ATTA methods.
method Conformal Prediction, online weight-update algorithm, domain-shift detector, staged update scheme.
result CPATTA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 5% in accuracy.
Gradient boosting can be seen as Gaussian process inference.
problem Improving uncertainty estimates in out-of-domain detection.
method Gradient boosting reformulated as a kernel method converging to Gaussian process inference.
result Gradient boosting can provide better uncertainty estimates through Monte-Carlo estimation of posterior variance.
A new method improves robustness in image translation by modeling uncertainty.
problem Performance degradation in image translation models due to lack of robustness to outliers and uncertainty.
method UGAC method based on Uncertainty-aware Generalized Adaptive Cycle Consistency, modeling per-pixel residual with generalized Gaussian distribution.
result Our method exhibits stronger robustness towards unseen perturbations in test data.
New algorithm constructs PAC prediction sets for meta-learning.
problem Uncertainty quantification in safety-critical systems.
method Proposes a novel algorithm to construct PAC prediction sets.
result Prediction sets satisfy a PAC guarantee with high probability over future tasks.
Study improves AI's handling of uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in AI models, especially with limited data.
method Integrates theories, latest developments, and practical applications.
result Novel definition of total uncertainty in AI.
Algorithm calibrates predictions for covariate shift using domain adaptation.
problem Uncertainty estimates overestimate certainty when real-world data differs from training data.
method Uses importance weighting and learns a feature map to equalize distributions.
result Outperforms existing approaches in calibrated prediction when covariate shift occurs.
Discriminative active learning reduces data annotation costs for domain adaptation.
problem Conditional shift problem hinders domain adaptation between related but different domains.
method Three-stage active adversarial training: invariant feature space learning, uncertainty and diversity criteria, re-training with queried labels.
result Empirical comparisons show the proposed approach is more effective than existing methods.
Hybrid framework merges data and domain knowledge for better spatial interpolation.
problem Spatial interpolation overlooks domain knowledge and limits to spatial coordinates.
method Integrates data-driven features with rule-assisted spatial dependency function mapping.
result Superior performance in two application scenarios, capturing localized features.
Transfer learning framework for fragility modeling under domain shift and class imbalance
problem Data gaps in structural fragility modeling
method Transfer learning
result Improves failure detection and predictive stability in low-data regimes
Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.
problem Frequency-related noise in medical imaging leads to biased uncertainty estimates.
method Extends MC-Dropout to the frequency domain for better uncertainty estimation.
result MC-Frequency Dropout improves calibration and uncertainty in semantic segmentation.
Paper reduces uncertainty in predictive models using neural networks and Gaussian processes.
problem High epistemic uncertainty in predictive models.
method Adaptive sampling approach with prediction interval-generation neural networks and Gaussian processes.
result Method consistently converges faster to minimum epistemic uncertainty levels.
Bayesian neural networks incorporate domain knowledge through variational inference.
problem Specifying priors for Bayesian neural networks that capture domain knowledge is challenging.
method Proposes a framework for integrating domain knowledge into BNN priors through variational inference.
result BNNs with proposed domain knowledge priors outperform those with standard priors, achieving better predictive performance.
A method for Bayes-Adaptive Deep RL using meta-learning.
problem Maximizing expected return in unknown environments with uncertainty.
method variBAD: meta-learning for approximate inference and task uncertainty.
result variBAD achieves higher online return than existing methods in MuJoCo domains.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have excellent representative power and are state of the art classifiers on many tasks. However, they often do not capture their own uncertainties well making them less robust in the real world as they overconfidently extrapolate and do not notice domain shift. Gaussian processes (GPs) with …
Bayesian framework for solar magnetogram super-resolution with uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in super-resolving solar magnetic field images.
method Bayesian decomposition of uncertainties into epistemic and aleatoric.
result Generation of maps measuring the range of possible high-resolution explanations.
New method calibrates models under covariate shifts.
problem Calibration of models can be lost under covariate shifts.
method Importance sampling based approach.
result Efficacy demonstrated on real-world and synthetic datasets.
Advances in deep neural network (DNN) based molecular property prediction have recently led to the development of models of remarkable accuracy and generalization ability, with graph convolution neural networks (GCNNs) reporting state-of-the-art performance for this task. However, some challenges remain and one of the …
Deep Learning (DL) methods have been transforming computer vision with innovative adaptations to other domains including climate change. For DL to pervade Science and Engineering (S&E) applications where risk management is a core component, well-characterized uncertainty estimates must accompany predictions. However, S…
This paper studies directed exploration for reinforcement learning agents by tracking uncertainty about the value of each available action. We identify two sources of uncertainty that are relevant for exploration. The first originates from limited data (parametric uncertainty), while the second originates from the dist…
PETAL adapts models to changing target domains over time.
problem Lifelong test-time adaptation in changing target domains.
method Probabilistic framework with student-teacher model and data-driven parameter restoration.
result PETAL achieves better results than state-of-the-art for online lifelong test-time adaptation.
CMCO provides robust uncertainty estimates for neural operators without retraining.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep learning for real-time virtual sensing.
method Unified Monte Carlo dropout and split conformal prediction in DeepONet.
result Near-nominal empirical coverage in diverse applications.