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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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71143214285 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for distribution-aware loss

Proposes new loss functions for better handling bimodal predictive uncertainty.

problem Bimodal predictive uncertainty in machine learning models.
method Family of distribution-aware loss functions integrating normalized RMSE with Wasserstein and Cramér distances.
result Proposed loss functions reduce predictive uncertainty estimation error by 45% on complex bimodal datasets.

Deep learning algorithms can fare poorly when the training dataset suffers from heavy class-imbalance but the testing criterion requires good generalization on less frequent classes. We design two novel methods to improve performance in such scenarios. First, we propose a theoretically-principled label-distribution-awa…

2019-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

CurveRL optimizes large model reasoning by reweighting prompts based on their rank and density.

problem Improving large language model reasoning through context reweighting.
method Formulated prompt reweighting as a functional derivative, proposing CurveRL based on quantile coordinate transform.
result CurveRL consistently outperforms existing methods across multiple benchmarks.

A new algorithm estimates mean under varying user data sizes with local differential privacy.

problem Mean estimation with user-level local differential privacy under varying data sizes.
method Distribution-aware mean estimation algorithm for users with varying data sizes.
result Upper and lower bounds on the worst-case risk for mean estimation are derived.

A critical and challenging problem in reinforcement learning is how to learn the state-action value function from the experience replay buffer and simultaneously keep sample efficiency and faster convergence to a high quality solution. In prior works, transitions are uniformly sampled at random from the replay buffer o…

2018-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.

problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.

Study analyzes Nifty 50 returns over 34 years, showing P/E ratio predicts long-term gains.

problem Understanding equity return dynamics in the Indian market over various horizons.
method Unified, distribution-aware, complexity-informed framework using 34 years of Nifty 50 data.
result P/E ratio probabilistically maps return distributions across different investment horizons.

Discriminative learning machines often need a large set of labeled samples for training. Active learning (AL) settings assume that the learner has the freedom to ask an oracle to label its desired samples. Traditional AL algorithms heuristically choose query samples about which the current learner is uncertain. This st…

2018-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

DBGAN learns graph node representations by balancing distribution consistency.

problem Graph representation learning overfits due to ignoring data distribution.
method DBGAN uses a structure-aware prior distribution and bidirectional adversarial learning.
result DBGAN achieves better trade-off between robustness and dimensionality.

Meta-learning improves with explicit modeling of task covariate distributions.

problem Ignoring the relationship between task covariates and conditional distributions limits meta-learning performance.
method Introducing a hierarchical Bayesian model that leverages samples from the marginal task covariates to better infer optimal parameters.
result Our method outperforms initialization-based meta-learning on popular classification benchmarks.

New method corrects active learning for distribution shifts and outliers.

problem Conventional active learning methods fail to account for test-time distribution.
method JEPIG, a hybrid of BALD and EPIG, maximizes expected predictive information gain.
result JEPIG outperforms conventional methods in active learning with distribution shifts.

Study on stability of GCNNs under graph perturbations.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of GCNN stability.
method Proposes a probabilistic framework to analyze GCNN stability under various graph perturbations.
result Demonstrates the importance of data distribution in stability analysis.

Paper uses SciPhyRL for optimizing large institutional portfolios.

problem Optimizing large institutional portfolios with cumulative costs and practical short horizons.
method Formulates a continuous-time optimization problem, reduces it to solving an HJB equation, and uses PINN for direct solution.
result Learned Gibbs policy yields substantial out-of-sample Sharpe ratio improvements.

Study develops ensemble machine learning framework for predicting groundwater heavy metal pollution.

problem Statistical complexity and spatial heterogeneity of heavy metal contamination in groundwater.
method Nested cross-validated ensemble machine learning with response transformations (raw, log, Gaussian copula).
result Copula-based models with DBSCAN clustering diagnostics provide the most reliable and interpretable assessments of groundwater contamination.

Single-layer GCN model improves recommendation performance with less complexity.

problem Severe computational burden and excessive model parameters in existing GCN models.
method Proposes a single-layer GCN architecture with a simplified aggregation step using DA similarity.
result Significantly outperforms existing GCN models and achieves up to a few orders of magnitude speedup.

Transfer learning improves loan recovery rate forecasting under data scarcity.

problem Data scarcity in loan portfolios limits RR modeling accuracy.
method Introduces FT-MDN-Transformer, a mixture-density tabular Transformer architecture for TL.
result FT-MDN-Transformer outperforms baseline models in RR forecasting, especially under covariate and conditional shifts.

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…

2009-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We present the Tamed Cross Entropy (TCE) loss function, a robust derivative of the standard Cross Entropy (CE) loss used in deep learning for classification tasks. However, unlike other robust losses, the TCE loss is designed to exhibit the same training properties than the CE loss in noiseless scenarios. Therefore, th…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified surrogate loss framework for multi-label learning with strong consistency guarantees.

problem Improving consistency and accounting for label correlations in multi-label learning.
method Introducing multi-label logistic loss and extending it to comprehensive multi-label comp-sum losses, proving strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
result Unified surrogate loss framework benefiting from strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.

We present αα-loss, α[1,]α\in [1,\infty], a tunable loss function for binary classification that bridges log-loss (α=1α=1) and 00-11 loss (α=α= \infty). We prove that αα-loss has an equivalent margin-based form and is classification-calibrated, two desirable properties for a good surrogate loss function for the ideal y…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work generalizes calibeating for a broader range of proper losses using Bregman divergence.

problem Calibration for a wide range of proper losses beyond Brier and log loss.
method Regret minimization based on Bregman divergence for a family of proper losses.
result U-calibration results for a family of Tsallis losses with logarithmic regret and dimension independence.

Proposes squentropy loss for improved classification accuracy and model calibration.

problem Theoretical and empirical evidence for cross-entropy loss is lacking.
method Introduces squentropy loss as the sum of cross-entropy and average square loss over incorrect classes.
result Squentropy loss outperforms cross-entropy and rescaled square losses in classification accuracy and model calibration.

The study analyzes a model for aggregate losses with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.

problem Analyzing aggregate loss models with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.
method The study uses a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2) and a Markov renewal process to model the inter-losses times. Severities are modeled using a heavy-tailed, double-Pareto Lognormal distribution. The model is estimated via direct maximization of the likelihood function.
result The model with dependence and overdispersion in inter-losses times leads to higher capital charges compared to a Poisson process.

Two new algorithms improve performance in adversarial bandits with unbounded losses.

problem Adversarial Multi-Armed Bandits with unbounded losses.
method Developed UMAB-NN and UMAB-G for non-negative and general unbounded losses respectively.
result UMAB-NN achieves the first adaptive and scale-free regret bound for non-negative unbounded losses.

Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.

problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.

Theoretical analysis of cross-entropy loss functions and their robustness.

problem Guarantees for using cross-entropy as a surrogate loss function.
method Theoretical analysis of a broad family of loss functions, including cross-entropy.
result First HH-consistency bounds for comp-sum losses and smooth adversarial comp-sum losses.

This paper improves operational risk modeling by selecting better loss severity distributions.

problem Inconsistent regulatory capital calculations due to changing loss severity distribution families.
method Presented truncation probability estimates and a consistent quantile scoring function for selection criteria. Also, recommended collecting loss frequencies below the minimum reporting threshold.
result More stable regulatory capital calculations through better selection of loss severity distributions.

This paper improves loss functions for deep learning with noisy labels.

problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labels.
method The paper introduces a normalization technique to make any loss function robust to noisy labels and proposes a framework called Active Passive Loss (APL) to combine robust loss functions.
result The proposed APL framework consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, especially under high noise rates.

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP loss probability density function and the percentiles associated to extreme eve…

2012-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models, finding non-transferability due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.

problem Transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models.
method Empirical study of transferability between linear 01 loss and convex (hinge) loss models, and between neural networks with different activation functions.
result Adversarial examples are non-transferable between convex and 01 loss models due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.

Symmetrizes loss functions to improve neural network robustness against noisy labels.

problem Designing robust loss functions for noisy labels in neural networks.
method Symmetrization of multi-class loss functions, focusing on cross-entropy and unhinged loss.
result The multi-class unhinged loss is the unique convex symmetric loss under suitable assumptions.

EnsLoss combines multiple loss functions to prevent overfitting in classification.

problem Preventing overfitting in classification models.
method EnsLoss is an ensemble method that combines loss functions, ensuring calibration and consistency.
result EnsLoss improves classification accuracy compared to fixed loss methods.

Study compares metric learning loss functions for speaker verification.

problem Comparing metric learning loss functions for end-to-end speaker verification.
method Cross entropy loss, cosine loss, angular margin loss, center loss, contrastive loss, triplet loss.
result Additive angular margin loss outperforms other loss functions.

SoftAdapt dynamically adjusts loss weights for multi-part functions.

problem Slow convergence and poor weight selection for multi-part loss functions.
method SoftAdapt dynamically changes weights based on live performance statistics.
result Improved convergence and better weight selection for multi-part loss functions.

In this work, we introduce the {\em average top-kk} (\atk) loss as a new aggregate loss for supervised learning, which is the average over the kk largest individual losses over a training dataset. We show that the \atk loss is a natural generalization of the two widely used aggregate losses, namely the average loss a…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel approach embeds loss tunnels in neural networks, revealing insights into their structure.

problem Understanding the structure of neural network loss surfaces, especially low-loss tunnels.
method Directly embedding loss tunnels into the loss landscape of neural networks.
result Improved insights into the length and structure of loss tunnels, and better subspace inference in Bayesian neural networks.

We establish linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses using Fenchel-Young losses.

problem Establishing linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses.
method Constructing a convex smooth surrogate loss using Fenchel-Young losses generated by the convolutional negentropy.
result We derive a smooth loss with a linear surrogate regret bound.

Establishes a condition for multiclass classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.

problem Ensuring classification-calibration of multiclass Gamma-Phi losses.
method Develops a general sufficient condition for classification-calibration of Gamma-Phi losses.
result Proves the first family of nonconvex multiclass surrogate losses for which classification-calibration has been fully justified.