A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
In this paper, we propose a data collaboration analysis method for distributed datasets. The proposed method is a centralized machine learning while training datasets and models remain distributed over some institutions. Recently, data became large and distributed with decreasing costs of data collection. If we can cen…
We study the risk performance of distributed learning for the regularization empirical risk minimization with fast convergence rate, substantially improving the error analysis of the existing divide-and-conquer based distributed learning. An interesting theoretical finding is that the larger the diversity of each local…
Sharp analysis of out-of-distribution error in overparameterized models with importance weights.
problem Understanding and quantifying the degradation of performance in overparameterized models when faced with underrepresented data.
method Sharp analysis of an overparameterized Gaussian mixture model with spurious features and cost-sensitive interpolating solutions incorporating importance weights.
result Characterization of a novel tradeoff between worst-case robustness and average accuracy as a function of importance weight magnitude.
Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic distributions. Parameters describing hyperbolic distributions have been determined. A search …
Analyzes how economic policies affect wealth distribution in Bitcoin token economy.
problem Impact of economic policies on wealth distribution in token economies.
method Eliminated noise in wealth distribution data using macroeconomic and microeconomic time series. Causality analysis between BIPs and wealth distribution data.
result Proposed a structure for economic policy taxonomy in token economies.
Study on distributional TD learning with linear approximations for better return estimation.
problem Estimating the return distribution of a policy in reinforcement learning.
method Finite-sample analysis of distributional TD learning with linear function approximation, using the linear-categorical Bellman equation and exponential stability arguments for products of random matrices.
result Sample complexity of linear distributional TD learning matches that of classic linear TD learning, indicating similar difficulty in estimating return distribution versus its expectation.
Prototypal analysis is introduced to overcome two shortcomings of archetypal analysis: its sensitivity to outliers and its non-locality, which reduces its applicability as a learning tool. Same as archetypal analysis, prototypal analysis finds prototypes through convex combination of the data points and approximates th…
An important part of the information gathering and data analysis is to find out what people think about, either a product or an entity. Twitter is an opinion rich social networking site. The posts or tweets from this data can be used for mining people's opinions. The recent surge of activity in this area can be attribu…
The analysis of the USA 2001 income distribution shows that it can be described by at least two main components, which obey the generalized Tsallis statistics with different values of the q parameter. Theoretical calculations using the gas kinetics model with a distributed saving propensity factor and two ensembles rep…
We present new findings in regard to data analysis in very high dimensional spaces. We use dimensionalities up to around one million. A particular benefit of Correspondence Analysis is its suitability for carrying out an orthonormal mapping, or scaling, of power law distributed data. Power law distributed data are foun…
The paper addresses evaluating survival predictions using discrimination measures, finding a robust method to convert distributions to risks.
problem Evaluating survival distribution predictions with discrimination measures is challenging and often leads to unfair comparisons.
method The paper surveys existing methods and recommends summing over the predicted cumulative hazard as the most robust method to convert distributions to risks.
result Summing over the predicted cumulative hazard is the most robust method to convert distribution predictions to risk predictions.
The paper proposes a neural network model for estimating conditional mixture Weibull distributions with right-censored data.
problem Survival analysis with right-censored data in predictive maintenance and health fields.
method A neural network architecture is developed to estimate two-parameter Weibull distributions conditionally to features, extending to a finite mixture of Weibull distributions.
result The model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world datasets and can consider any survival time horizon.
In this article we show the relationship between the Pareto distribution and the gamma distribution. This shows that the second one, appropriately extended, explains some anomalies that arise in the practical use of extreme value theory. The results are useful to certain phenomena that are fitted by the Pareto distribu…