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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for discrete hindsight optimization

We optimize rebalancing options by limiting asset allocations to a few choices, reducing the price and guaranteeing near-optimal performance.

problem Optimizing rebalancing strategies under discrete hindsight optimization.
method Restricting the set of rebalancing rules to a small number of asset allocations.
result Guaranteed near-optimal performance with a rock-bottom option price.

Rewriting history improves RL algorithms for solving multiple tasks.

problem Improving sample efficiency in multi-task reinforcement learning.
method Introducing hindsight relabeling as inverse RL to generalize goal-relabeling techniques.
result Relabeling data using inverse RL accelerates learning in multi-task settings.

This paper derives a robust on-line equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the market and then perpetually executes rebalancing trades so as to maintain a target …

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms can suffer from poor sample efficiency when rewards are delayed and sparse. We introduce a solution that enables agents to learn temporally extended actions at multiple levels of abstraction in a sample efficient and automated fashion. Our approach combines universal value functio…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms learn POMDPs efficiently with hindsight observability.

problem Hardness of learning in POMDPs due to partial observability.
method Hindsight Observable Markov Decision Process (HOMDP) and new algorithms for tabular and function approximation settings.
result Sample-efficient learning in POMDPs with optimal dependence on latent state and observation cardinalities.

Generalized Hindsight improves RL by reusing data from one task for another.

problem High sample complexity in reinforcement learning due to wasted uninformative data.
method Approximate inverse reinforcement learning to relabel behaviors with better-suited tasks.
result Efficient reuse of samples, reducing sample complexity on multi-task RL tasks.

Efficient RL in partially observable risk-sensitive environments with hindsight observations.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in partially observable environments.
method Integrates hindsight observations into POMDP framework, develops novel RL algorithm.
result Achieves polynomial regret with provable efficiency, outperforming existing methods.

This paper prices and replicates the financial derivative whose payoff at TT is the wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio (or fixed-fraction betting scheme) determined in hindsight. For the single-stock Black-Scholes market, Ordentlich and Cover (1998) only p…

2018-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback achieves better performance than traditional methods.

problem Learning with expert supervision of optimal responses is often impractical or requires expert knowledge.
method Study of interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback, introducing LORIL algorithm.
result LORIL algorithm achieves T\sqrt{T} regret, improving over baselines in domains with low-rank instruction-response distribution.

A new EM framework for goal-conditioned RL improves performance on sparse reward tasks.

problem Handling sparse rewards in goal-conditioned reinforcement learning.
method A graphical model framework with an EM algorithm that includes a learning-in-hindsight E-step and a supervised M-step.
result hEM significantly outperforms model-free baselines on goal-conditioned benchmarks with sparse rewards.

Paper introduces a new GG^\star regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses.

problem Online convex optimization with smooth losses.
method Introduces a new GG^\star regret measure that depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm.
result The GG^\star regret can be arbitrarily sharper than existing measures when losses have vanishing curvature.

Sparse reward problems are one of the biggest challenges in Reinforcement Learning. Goal-directed tasks are one such sparse reward problems where a reward signal is received only when the goal is reached. One promising way to train an agent to perform goal-directed tasks is to use Hindsight Learning approaches. In thes…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

PCHID improves sample efficiency in reinforcement learning tasks.

problem Sparse rewards make learning policies difficult in reinforcement learning.
method Hindsight Inverse Dynamics with Hindsight Experience Replay and Policy Continuation.
result PCHID significantly improves sample efficiency and final performance on multi-goal tasks.

New method uses hindsight to make exploration robust in stochastic environments.

problem Exploration in sparse-reward or reward-free environments, especially in stochastic settings.
method Learn representations of the future that capture unpredictable aspects, using them to predict and reward only the predictable parts of the world.
result Improves exploration in Atari games and Montezuma's Revenge, robust to stochasticity.

HL algorithms improve resource allocation in cloud environments.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with exogenous variables.
method HL algorithms leverage exogenous variable samples to infer counterfactual consequences.
result HL algorithms outperform classic methods and reinforcement learning in resource allocation.

In this paper, we consider an online optimization process, where the objective functions are not convex (nor concave) but instead belong to a broad class of continuous submodular functions. We first propose a variant of the Frank-Wolfe algorithm that has access to the full gradient of the objective functions. We show t…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a hori…

2016-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In Hindsight Experience Replay (HER), a reinforcement learning agent is trained by treating whatever it has achieved as virtual goals. However, in previous work, the experience was replayed at random, without considering which episode might be the most valuable for learning. In this paper, we develop an energy-based fr…

2018-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves RL for complex robotic tasks by guiding exploration with task-specific goal distributions.

problem Solving long-horizon, complex sequential tasks in robotics with sparse rewards.
method Extends hindsight relabelling to task-specific goal distributions using a small set of demonstrations.
result Significantly higher overall performance on complex robotic manipulation tasks.

New algorithm combines curriculum learning with HER for complex object manipulation tasks.

problem Learning complex sequential object manipulation tasks from scratch is challenging.
method Curriculum learning with Hindsight Experience Replay (HER) for recurrent object manipulation tasks.
result Significant improvement in learning sequential object manipulation tasks compared to vanilla-HER.

Optimal control in changing systems without strong convexity assumptions.

problem Adversarial changes in convex costs for unknown linear systems.
method Non-convex lower confidence bounds and computationally-efficient regret minimization.
result Achieves T\smash{\sqrt{T}}-regret rate, optimal compared to best stabilizing controller.

HIGhER uses language to generate new instructions for better learning from mistakes.

problem Improving instruction following in reinforcement learning environments.
method Hindsight Generation for Experience Replay (HIGhER) that learns from mistakes and relabels episodes.
result HIGhER enhances instruction following in reinforcement learning environments.

GDT improves reinforcement learning by matching future state information efficiently.

problem Efficient learning of multi-task policies from trajectory data.
method Generalized Decision Transformer (GDT) for offline hindsight information matching.
result GDT enables effective offline multi-task state-marginal matching and imitation learning.

We propose algorithms for online principal component analysis (PCA) and variance minimization for adaptive settings. Previous literature has focused on upper bounding the static adversarial regret, whose comparator is the optimal fixed action in hindsight. However, static regret is not an appropriate metric when the un…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a basic problem at the interface of two fundamental fields: submodular optimization and online learning. In the online unconstrained submodular maximization (online USM) problem, there is a universe [n]={1,2,...,n}[n]=\{1,2,...,n\} and a sequence of TT nonnegative (not necessarily monotone) submodular functions arrive …

2018-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops online learning algorithms for quaternion ARMA models.

problem Adaptive learning for autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models in quaternion domain.
method Transformed learning problem into full information optimization task, solved using gradient descent and Newton's method.
result Online algorithms achieve asymptotic performance approaching best ARMA model.

In E-commerce advertising, where product recommendations and product ads are presented to users simultaneously, the traditional setting is to display ads at fixed positions. However, under such a setting, the advertising system loses the flexibility to control the number and positions of ads, resulting in sub-optimal p…

2018-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

An online framework optimizes efficiency in conformal prediction with a target miscoverage rate.

problem Achieving coverage and minimizing interval length in a sequential, online setting.
method Optimizes efficiency by directly optimizing the average length of intervals while maintaining coverage.
result Shows a gap between optimal performance for exchangeable and arbitrary sequences, and provides a matching algorithm for the Pareto-optimal settings.