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arXiv research

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48 results for disaster tweets

This paper improves typhoon intensity prediction using social media data and semantic word embeddings.

problem Short-term disaster prediction from historical data alone is limited.
method Combining semantically-enriched word embeddings with traditional word2vec for social media data, and an end-to-end learning framework.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in typhoon intensity prediction.

In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental, and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters' behavior makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys…

2019-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a model for identifying informative COVID-19 tweets.

problem Identifying informative COVID-19 tweets on Twitter.
method Leveraged transformers (RoBERTa, XLNet, BERTweet) trained in Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) setting.
result Achieved F1 score of 0.9011 on test set, ranking 7th on leaderboard.

Social media plays a major role during and after major natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, large-scale fires, etc.), as people ``on the ground'' post useful information on what is actually happening. Given the large amounts of posts, a major challenge is identifying the information that is useful and actionable. Emerg…

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Unsupervised learning filters tweets for emergency services during crises.

problem Challenges in filtering relevant information from social web data during disasters.
method Multi-task domain adversarial attention network for unsupervised domain adaptation.
result The multi-task model outperforms single task models in filtering relevant tweets.

Social media sources can provide crucial information in crisis situations, but discovering relevant messages is not trivial. Methods have so far focused on universal detection models for all kinds of crises or for certain crisis types (e.g. floods). Event-specific models could implement a more focused search area, but …

2019-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper examines how income support affects retirement decisions for low-income individuals.

problem Retirement decisions of low-income individuals affected by income disaster.
method Modeling consumption/savings, investment, and retirement choices with income support.
result Optimal retirement decision depends on the level of income support provided.

Monitoring of disasters is crucial for mitigating their effects on the environment and human population, and can be facilitated by the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), equipped with camera sensors that produce aerial photos of the areas of interest. A modern technique for recognition of events based on aerial pho…

2018-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a tax-based system to share disaster risk among regions.

problem Systemic risk in catastrophic events and insurer insolvency.
method Public-private partnership with government intervention through taxation.
result Taxation system effectively shares residual claims in case of insurer insolvency.

Tweet classification has attracted considerable attention recently. Most of the existing work on tweet classification focuses on topic classification, which classifies tweets into several predefined categories, and sentiment classification, which classifies tweets into positive, negative and neutral. Since tweets are d…

2019-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

This article presents a preliminary approach towards characterizing political fake news on Twitter through the analysis of their meta-data. In particular, we focus on more than 1.5M tweets collected on the day of the election of Donald Trump as 45th president of the United States of America. We use the meta-data embedd…

2017-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how Trump's tweets impact global stock markets.

problem Understanding the financial impact of presidential tweets on stock markets.
method Examined tweets from Donald Trump's presidency, collected from The Guardian and Bloomberg, and analyzed their effect on equity indices.
result Identified tweets that significantly influenced stock market indices.

Proposes a new Hawkes process bandit model for disaster search and rescue.

problem Forecasting and detecting spatio-temporal events with undersampled or biased data.
method Upper confidence bound algorithm using Bayesian spatial Hawkes process estimation.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art spatial MAB algorithms in disaster search and rescue.

This paper classifies typhoon damage features using aerial photography.

problem Typhoon damages and slow recovery times.
method Aerial photography for classification of eight classes including land covers and disaster areas.
result Visualize and explain typhoon disaster features using convolutional activation maps.

Unified framework for growth models with environmental risk and pollution-dependent disasters.

problem Analyzing how rare but catastrophic shocks interact with capital accumulation and pollution in stochastic growth models.
method General Poisson point process formulation leading to non-local HJB equations with closed-form solutions.
result Unified framework captures how environmental degradation amplifies macroeconomic vulnerability and strengthens incentives for abatement.

Since the events of the Arab Spring, there has been increased interest in using social media to anticipate social unrest. While efforts have been made toward automated unrest prediction, we focus on filtering the vast volume of tweets to identify tweets relevant to unrest, which can be provided to downstream users for …

2017-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.

problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.

Twitter has been a prominent social media platform for mining population-level health data and accurate clustering of health-related tweets into topics is important for extracting relevant health insights. In this work, we propose deep convolutional autoencoders for learning compact representations of health-related tw…

2018-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Gang violence is a severe issue in major cities across the U.S. and recent studies [Patton et al. 2017] have found evidence of social media communications that can be linked to such violence in communities with high rates of exposure to gang activity. In this paper we partnered computer scientists with social work rese…

2018-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

DASC combines social media and car sensors to improve disaster response.

problem Inconsistent reliability and inconsistent availability of human sensors.
method Hybrid social-car sensing system using game theory, feedback control, and MDP.
result DASC improves detection accuracy and efficiency in disaster response.

Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.

problem Accurately predicting power outage durations from geospatial and weather data.
method Graph Attention Networks (GAT) for semi-supervised learning.
result GAT model outperforms existing methods by 2% - 15% in accuracy.

Estimating the intensity of emotion has gained significance as modern textual inputs in potential applications like social media, e-retail markets, psychology, advertisements etc., carry a lot of emotions, feelings, expressions along with its meaning. However, the approaches of traditional sentiment analysis primarily …

2019-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Islamophobic hate speech on social media inflicts considerable harm on both targeted individuals and wider society, and also risks reputational damage for the host platforms. Accordingly, there is a pressing need for robust tools to detect and classify Islamophobic hate speech at scale. Previous research has largely ap…

2018-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A lack of information exists about the health issues of lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) people who are often excluded from national demographic assessments, health studies, and clinical trials. As a result, medical experts and researchers lack a holistic understanding of the health disparities fa…

2018-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The identification of spam messages on social networks is a very challenging task. Social media sites like Twitter \& Facebook attracts a lot of users and companies to advertise and attract users of personal gains. These advertisements most of the time leads to spamming, which in return leads to poor user experience. T…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Crowdsourcing and active learning reduce manual annotation in social media event classification.

problem Manual annotation is time-consuming and resource-intensive in social media event classification.
method Crowdsourcing pipeline combined with active learning strategies.
result Active learning strategies help reduce the number of tweets needed for classification.

This paper studies users' perception regarding a controversial product, namely self-driving (autonomous) cars. To find people's opinion regarding this new technology, we used an annotated Twitter dataset, and extracted the topics in positive and negative tweets using an unsupervised, probabilistic model known as topic …

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study predicts cryptocurrency price movements using Twitter sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting short-term price movements of cryptocurrencies.
method Conditional examination of return and excess return rates following tweet publication.
result Statistically significant increases in return rates within the first three minutes after tweet publication.

Study uses LLMs to categorize financial tweets, revealing useful sentiment signals.

problem Discovering meaningful sentiment signals from unstructured financial social media data.
method Leveraged LLMs to automatically label financial tweets with event categories and aligned with returns.
result Certain event labels consistently yield negative alpha, with statistically significant Sharpe ratios and information coefficients.

System detects financial forecasts in tweets, achieving high precision.

problem Detecting financial forecasts in social media messages.
method Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning techniques for real-time analysis.
result Achieves over 90% precision for financial forecasts.