A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.
problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.
New method uses diffusion models for Bayesian inverse problems.
problem Solving Bayesian inverse problems with linear-Gaussian models.
method Decoupled Diffusion Sequential Monte Carlo (DDSMC) method.
result Asymptotically exact solution demonstrated on various data types.
DALMC provides non-asymptotic error bounds for generative models.
problem Efficiently generating samples from complex data distributions.
method Analysis of diffusion paths and Langevin Monte Carlo.
result Theoretical guarantees for a class of generative models.
A new differentiable resampling method for Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Improving the efficiency and differentiability of resampling in Monte Carlo simulations.
method Proposes a diffusion model surrogate for resampling, proving consistency and outperforming existing methods.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art differentiable resampling methods on various benchmarks.
Improved diffusion models using energy distillation and sequential Monte Carlo.
problem Training instability and inferior performance in energy parameterized diffusion models.
method Introduced a novel training regime for energy functions through distillation of pre-trained diffusion models, and cast the sampling procedure as a Feynman Kac model.
result Demonstrated improved performance and new sampling techniques.
New method improves training-free guidance for diffusion models, achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Accurate, training-free guidance for conditional generation in diffusion models.
method Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) framework with Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) variance reduction.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet datasets with significant cost reduction.
New algorithms improve MCMC efficiency for complex distributions.
problem High variance and low effective sample size in MCMC samplers.
method Antithetic Riemannian Manifold and Quantum-Inspired Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Improved effective sample size and variance reduction.
We discuss suitable classes of diffusion processes, for which functionals relevant to finance can be computed via Monte Carlo methods. In particular, we construct exact simulation schemes for processes from this class. However, should the finance problem under consideration require e.g. continuous monitoring of the pro…
AFT combines AIS, SMC, and NFs for better Monte Carlo estimates.
problem Estimating normalizing constants of complex probability distributions.
method Annealed Flow Transport (AFT) integrates AIS, SMC, and normalizing flows.
result AFT improves Monte Carlo estimates of normalizing constants and expectations.
New SMC sampler improves diffusion model sampling efficiency.
problem Sampling generative diffusion models efficiently.
method Constructs correlated observation paths and designs a sampler.
result Improved statistical efficiency, especially under outlier conditions.
The paper predicts cryptocurrency prices using a path-dependent Monte Carlo simulation.
problem Forecasting cryptocurrency prices with volatility and jumps.
method Merton's jump diffusion model with machine learning, traditional, and statistical methods.
result Introduced a path-dependent Monte Carlo simulation for cryptocurrency price prediction.
Enhances option pricing for American-style options using JDOI method.
problem Pricing American-style options efficiently under stochastic volatility.
method Extends DOI variance reduction technique to Lévy dynamics, combining with LSMC.
result Strong variance reduction in option pricing compared to standard LSMC.
Develops diffusion samplers for target distributions with efficient score and density estimates.
problem Estimating scores and densities for time-varying distributions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo with diffusion paths and control variates.
result Effective samplers for time-varying distributions with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.
Paper tackles sampling from non-log-concave distributions using denoising diffusion.
problem Sampling from non-log-concave distributions efficiently.
method DDMC framework, Zeroth-Order Diffusion Monte Carlo (ZOD-MC) algorithm.
result ZOD-MC achieves inverse polynomial dependence on sampling accuracy, efficient for low dimensions.
This paper analyzes error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.
problem Analyzing error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.
method Develops a non-asymptotic error analysis for SMC samplers with biased mutation kernels.
result Derives the first non-asymptotic error bound for conditional sampling with score-based diffusion models.
Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such a Monte Carlo scheme which converges to the exact value. We manage to keep the s…
CMCD sampler connects transport and variational inference for efficient sampling.
problem Efficient sampling and generative modeling in Bayesian computation.
method Developed a principled framework using divergences on path space, CMCD sampler with adaptive dynamics.
result CMCD sampler outperforms competing approaches across various experiments.
A new method improves graph random features with quasi-Monte Carlo techniques.
problem Improving the accuracy of graph random features.
method Induces negative correlations in random walks using antithetic termination.
result Strong theoretical guarantees on lower-variance estimators of the Laplacian kernel.
We describe general multilevel Monte Carlo methods that estimate the price of an Asian option monitored at m fixed dates. Our approach yields unbiased estimators with standard deviation O(ε) in O(m+(1/ε)2) expected time for a variety of processes including the Black-Scholes model, Merton's jump-diffusion mod…
New method uses diffusion models to speed up MCMC sampling.
problem Efficiently exploring high-dimensional and multimodal posterior functions.
method Combines Metropolis-Hastings with diffusion models for global sampling.
result Significant reduction in likelihood evaluations for accurate posterior representation.
Neural network approximates diffusion bridges for efficiency and robustness.
problem Efficient simulation of conditioned diffusion processes, especially rare events and multimodal distributions.
method Trains a neural network to approximate bridge dynamics, eliminating MCMC and score modeling.
result Efficient sampling of conditioned diffusion bridges at comparable cost to unconditioned process.
A new method uses diffusion models to simulate financial markets accurately.
problem Generating realistic synthetic financial market data.
method Diffusion model approach with efficient numerical integration.
result Synthetic data closely matches observed market data in key aspects.
Paper reviews methods for conditional sampling in generative diffusion models.
problem Extending generative diffusion models to sample from conditional distributions.
method Review of existing computational approaches to conditional sampling.
result Highlight key methodologies for constructing conditional generative samplers.
This research improves option pricing models using Heston, GARCH, and jump diffusion models.
problem Inaccurate option pricing due to Black-Scholes assumptions.
method Monte Carlo simulation, GARCH model, Heston model, Merton jump-diffusion model.
result Heston model produces estimates closer to market prices, Merton model performs well for volatile assets, GARCH model improves volatility forecasts.
Data assimilation for subsurface flow using latent diffusion models shows that ensemble Kalman methods may overestimate posterior uncertainty, while Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable.
problem Data assimilation for subsurface flow
method Ensemble Kalman smoother and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling
result Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable than ensemble Kalman methods
New method uses neural networks to solve high-dimensional eigenvalue problems.
problem Solving eigenvalue problems in high dimensions.
method Reformulates eigenvalue problem as fixed point problem of semigroup flow, approximated by neural networks.
result Accurate eigenvalue and eigenfunction approximations in various high-dimensional operators.
The purpose of this paper is to design an algorithm for the computation of the counterparty risk which is competitive in regards of a brute force "Monte-Carlo of Monte-Carlo" method (with nested simulations). This is achieved using marked branching diffusions describing a Galton-Watson random tree. Such an algorithm le…
Bayesian inference for biochemical reaction networks using jump-diffusion approximations.
problem Estimating hidden quantities in poorly characterized biochemical processes.
method Developed a Bayesian inference algorithm based on Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo methods.
result Numerical evaluation of the algorithm for a partially observed multi-scale birth-death process.
We introduce cylindrical projections to simulate infinite-dimensional occupation flows of diffusions.
problem Computational intractability of infinite-dimensional occupation flows of diffusions.
method Introduce cylindrical projections to approximate the occupation flow via a finite-dimensional system.
result Strong convergence of cylindrical projections to the initial process with derived rates.
New method for estimating diffusion model densities without solving flows.
problem Estimating log densities from diffusion models efficiently.
method Monte Carlo path integral estimation, avoiding flow solving.
result Significantly more scalable and efficient density estimation.
Study Langevin Monte Carlo for sampling non-log-concave distributions.
problem Sampling from non-log-concave distributions, especially Gaussian mixtures.
method Discretizations of overdamped Langevin diffusions.
result Numerical simulations compare Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms' performance.
New method uses diffusion models to generate proteins with specific motifs.
problem Generating proteins with specific functional substructures (motifs) using diffusion models.
method Adapting SMC-aided diffusion posterior samplers to zero-shot scaffolding tasks.
result Proposed potentials and samplers improve performance in generating proteins with desired motifs.
New MCMC method improves sampling from multimodal distributions.
problem Sampling from multimodal distributions is challenging for classical MCMC methods.
method Interpolating along the diffusion path, preserving mode weights and mixing properties.
result MAD-Path sampler improves global exploration and mode-weight estimation.
Along with the recent advances in scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, sampling techniques that are based on Langevin diffusions have started receiving increasing attention. These so called Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) methods are based on diffusions driven by a Brownian motion, which gives rise to Gaussian proposa…
New BGs use diffusion models to improve sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex, multi-modal distributions is challenging.
method Combines diffusion models with annealed Monte Carlo for improved sampling.
result Second-order denoising kernels can improve performance in high-dimensional spaces.
Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general, these expectations cannot be calculated analytically, and one way to approximat…
Improves inference-time alignment for diffusion models without updating weights.
problem Aligning diffusion models without updating weights for high-reward outputs.
method Trust-Region Iterative Twisted Sequential Monte Carlo (TRI-TSMC) for variance reduction and efficiency.
result Improves primary alignment objectives on text generation tasks.
In this paper we propose a novel dual regression-based approach for pricing American options. This approach reduces the complexity of the nested Monte Carlo method and has especially simple form for time discretised diffusion processes. We analyse the complexity of the proposed approach both in the case of fixed and in…
Review of diffusion priors for solving imaging inverse problems.
problem Solving inverse problems in imaging using diffusion priors.
method Categorizes approaches into explicit approximation and variational inference, sequential monte carlo, and decoupled data consistency.
result Systematic comparison of performance trade-offs across inverse problems.
Tutorial on optimizing diffusion model samples for specific metrics.
problem Optimizing diffusion model samples for specific downstream metrics.
method Review and exploration of inference-time guidance and alignment methods.
result Unified perspective on inference-time algorithms and novel methods.
New RL algorithm GDPO improves DLM reasoning efficiency.
problem Adapting RL to DLMs for efficient, unbiased likelihood estimation.
method Group Diffusion Policy Optimization (GDPO) using semi-deterministic Monte Carlo.
result GDPO outperforms existing methods on math, reasoning, and coding benchmarks.
Study on hedging CVA in jump-diffusion setting using Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Hedging Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) in financial portfolios.
method Monte Carlo simulation in Black-Scholes and Merton jump-diffusion settings.
result Hedging CVA is crucial for stable trading strategies, especially in jump-diffusion settings.
Proposes new Monte Carlo methods for calibrating local volatility models with stochastic components.
problem Calibrating local volatility models with stochastic drift and diffusion.
method Developed Monte Carlo algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest rates.
result Conditions for the existence of local volatility given European option prices, stochastic interest rate model parameters, and correlations.
Hybrid model for multimodal distributions using diffusion and classification.
problem Sampling from multimodal distributions with correct proportions.
method Divide-and-conquer strategy: identify modes, train classifiers, diffusion models, bridge sampling.
result Framework effectively handles multimodal distributions in high dimensions.
New method improves sampling efficiency in complex stochastic systems.
problem Sampling efficiency in nonconvex stochastic gradient cases.
method Reflection coupling for unadjusted generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Quantitative Gaussian concentration bounds and convergence rates established.
Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.
problem Analyzing Asian options pricing in models with jumps and local volatility.
method Asymptotic analysis for short maturity, considering fixed and floating strike options.
result Explicit results for Asian option prices in several models, including Merton, double-exponential, and Variance Gamma models.
We investigate the extension of the multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method to jump-diffusion SDEs. We consider models with finite rate activity, using a jump-adapted discretisation in which the jump times are computed and added to the standard uniform dis- cretisation times. The key component in multilevel analy…
CARV reduces compute cost for downstream pipelines using diffusion models.
problem High variance in Monte Carlo estimators from diffusion models limits compute efficiency.
method CARV uses hierarchical MC estimation with amortized upstream computation and stratified-inverse-CDF.
result CARV delivers 2-3x effective compute multipliers without changing the objective.