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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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119237356474 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for difference-and system-GMM estimators

Investment behavior in wine industry influenced by profitability and capitalization.

problem Exploring investment dynamics in wine industry from EU largest producers.
method Firm-level data from France, Italy, and Spain (2007-2014). Difference-and system-GMM estimators used.
result Profitability positively impacts investment dynamics, while capitalization negatively impacts only in France and Spain.

SHHK Stock Connect increases A-H share price premium, more for less efficient markets.

problem Impact of financial liberalization on cross-market pricing efficiency.
method Monthly data for 67 A-H dual-listed firms, system GMM dynamic models.
result Heterogeneous effect of SHHK Stock Connect on A-H price premium, more pronounced for less efficient markets.

We propose an empirical Bayes estimator based on Dirichlet process mixture model for estimating the sparse normalized mean difference, which could be directly applied to the high dimensional linear classification. In theory, we build a bridge to connect the estimation error of the mean difference and the misclassificat…

2017-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

DKMD is a fast signed statistic for comparing univariate distributions.

problem Comparing univariate distributions, especially preserving directionality.
method DKMD integrates kernel mean embeddings against an odd weighting function.
result DKMD preserves directionality and is robust to outliers.

Temporal-difference and Q-learning learn feature representations that converge to optimal ones.

problem Understanding how feature representations evolve in temporal-difference and Q-learning with neural networks.
method Mean-field theory applied to overparameterized two-layer neural networks.
result The feature representation converges to the optimal one, generalizing previous results.

In this paper we introduce a new multivariate dependence measure based on comonotonicity by means of product moment which motivated by the recent papers of Koch and Schepper (ASTIN Bulletin 41 (2011) 191-213) and Dhaene et al. (Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics 263 (2014) 78-87). Some differences and rel…

2014-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce and compare new variability measures based on risk quantiles.

problem Comparing variability measures in risk management.
method Developed a framework for one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences.
result Characterized symmetric and comonotonic variability measures as mixtures of inter-Expected Shortfall differences.

Study examines how institutional differences and crises affect volatility in ASEAN stock markets.

problem Understanding how institutional differences and crises impact volatility in emerging Asian stock markets.
method By-window EGARCH/TGARCH analysis of daily stock index returns for Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines from 2010 to 2024.
result All three markets show strong volatility persistence and fat-tailed returns; crises increase persistence and asymmetry, while tail thickness rises.

In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of l1 penalized maximum likelihood estimation of signals with piece-wise constant mean values and/or variances. The focus is on segmentation of a non-stationary time series with respect to changes in these model parameters. This change point detection and estimation pr…

2014-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes hard-to-optimize metrics using adaptive surrogates.

problem Training models with black-box and hard-to-optimize metrics.
method Expresses metric as a function of surrogates, solves optimization problem over relaxed surrogate space.
result Approach performs on par with known methods and adds value when metric form is unknown.

Efficient and robust algorithms for decentralized estimation in networks are essential to many distributed systems. Whereas distributed estimation of sample mean statistics has been the subject of a good deal of attention, computation of UU-statistics, relying on more expensive averaging over pairs of observations, is…

2015-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Heart rate estimation from electrocardiogram signals is very important for the early detection of cardiovascular diseases. However, due to large individual differences and varying electrocardiogram signal quality, there does not exist a single reliable estimation algorithm that works well on all subjects. Every algorit…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm estimates common mean from Gaussian variables with unknown variances.

problem Estimating common mean from Gaussian variables with different unknown variances.
method Intuitive and efficient algorithm using Subset-of-Signals model as benchmark.
result Improved estimation error by polynomial factors compared to previous work.

The paper examines Adaptive Lasso and Transfer Lasso, highlighting their differences and proposing a new method.

problem Comparing and contrasting Adaptive Lasso and Transfer Lasso.
method Theoretical analysis of asymptotic properties and introduction of a new method.
result The Transfer Lasso method reduces non-asymptotic estimation errors compared to Adaptive Lasso.

Effective dimensionality reduction improves accuracy and reduces costs in estimating option Greeks.

problem Estimating Greeks for barrier and arithmetic average Asian options.
method Global sensitivity analysis, Chebyshev interpolation, conditional pathwise method, randomized Quasi Monte Carlo, Brownian bridge discretization, importance sampling.
result Reduced effective dimensionality enhances convergence rate and accuracy of randomized Quasi Monte Carlo integration.

New method uses neural networks to improve free energy estimation.

problem Estimating free energy differences using FEP is limited by insufficient overlap between distributions.
method Developed a neural network to parameterize a high-dimensional mapping in configuration space.
result Demonstrated substantial variance reduction in free energy estimates.

We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide range of learning tasks. In particular, for every alphabet size kk and desired…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

ABROCA assesses algorithmic bias, revealing skewed distributions that inflate results.

problem Detecting nuanced performance differences in classifier fairness.
method Study of ABROCA metric's statistical properties under various conditions.
result ABROCA distributions are skewed, inflating results by chance in imbalanced classes.

KSKS-algebra consists of expressions constructed with four kinds operations, the minimum, maximum, difference and additively homogeneous generalized means. Five families of ZZ-classifiers are investigated on binary classification tasks between English phonemes. It is shown that the classifiers are able to reflect well…

2013-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework evaluates LLMs by considering judge reliability.

problem Evaluating LLMs without ground truth labels can lead to biased results.
method Introduces judge-specific discrimination parameters and estimates model quality and judge reliability.
result Improves agreement with human preferences and produces calibrated uncertainty quantification.

We prove the existence of a minimal diffeomorphism isotopic to the identity between two hyperbolic cone surfaces (Σ,g1)(Σ,g_1) and (Σ,g2)(Σ,g_2) when the cone angles of g1g_1 and g2g_2 are different and smaller than ππ. When the cone angles of g1g_1 are strictly smaller than the ones of g2g_2, this minimal diffeomorphism is u…

2014-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The analysis which assumes that tick by tick data is linear may lead to wrong conclusions if the underlying process is multiplicative. We compare data analysis done with the return and stock differences and we study the limits within the two approaches are equivalent. Some illustrative examples concerning these two app…

2001-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In machine learning we often try to optimise a decision rule that would have worked well over a historical dataset; this is the so called empirical risk minimisation principle. In the context of learning from recommender system logs, applying this principle becomes a problem because we do not have available the reward …

2019-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Our goal is to combine the techniques of Xiaokui Yang, Valentino Tosatti, and others to establish a Liouville-type result for almost complex manifolds. The transition to the non-integrable setting is delicate, so we will devote a section to discuss the key differences, and another to introduce the tools we will be usin…

2019-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves statistical inference for CATEs using Lasso and DML.

problem Estimating and inferring CATEs in high-dimensional settings.
method Doubly robust estimator, Lasso regularization, debiased Lasso, DML.
result TDL (triple/debiased Lasso) achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency and confidence intervals.

We describe notions of tautness that arise in the study of C0C^0 foliations, C1,0C^{1,0} or smoother foliations, and in geometry. We give examples to show that these notions are different, and discuss how these differences impact some classical foliation results. We construct examples of smoothly taut C,0C^{\infty,0} foli…

2016-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A new metric evaluates generative models by comparing real and generated samples.

problem Evaluating the quality of generative models.
method Relative Density Ratio (RDR) function, optimization on variational form of φ-divergence.
result The RDR function provides a clear, interpretable, and numerically stable evaluation metric.

PRL improves off-policy evaluation in partially observed MDPs.

problem Confounding and bias in offline reinforcement learning with unobserved state factors.
method Extends proximal causal inference to POMDPs, identifying and estimating target policy value.
result Semiparametrically efficient estimators for PRL in partially observed MDPs.

Unsupervised domain adaptation is the problem setting where data generating distributions in the source and target domains are different, and labels in the target domain are unavailable. One important question in unsupervised domain adaptation is how to measure the difference between the source and target domains. A pr…

2018-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Body-worn video (BWV) cameras are increasingly utilized by police departments to provide a record of police-public interactions. However, large-scale BWV deployment produces terabytes of data per week, necessitating the development of effective computational methods to identify salient changes in video. In work carried…

2016-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Minor typographical errors fixed. Cochran constructed many links with Alexander module that of the unlink and some nonvanishing Milnor invariants, using as input commutators in a free group and as an invariant the longitudes of the links. We present a different and conjecturally complete construction, that uses element…

2002-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In a previous paper we introduced a notion of "genericity" for countable sets of curves in the curve complex of a surface S, based on the Lebesgue measure on the space of projective measured laminations in S. With this definition we prove that for each fixed g > 1 the set of irreducible genus g Heegaard splittings of h…

2010-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper provides new bounds for risk aggregation and sharing.

problem Quantitative risk management and robust risk aggregation with dependence uncertainty.
method Established new inequality for RVaR, derived extended convolution bounds, and analyzed risk sharing for averaged quantiles.
result Extended convolution bounds for robust risk aggregation and risk sharing, providing sharpness conditions and explicit expressions.

Study compares 5 ODE solvers on 3 case studies, finding varying accuracy.

problem Comparing estimation accuracy of 5 ODE solvers on 3 case studies.
method Used 5 different numerical ODE solvers (Euler's, Heun's, Midpoint, Runge-Kutta 4th order, ODE45) on 3 case studies and compared their results.
result Different solvers have varying accuracy depending on the case study.

Insurance and annuity products covering several lives require the modelling of the joint distribution of future lifetimes. In the interest of simplifying calculations, it is common in practice to assume that the future lifetimes among a group of people are independent. However, extensive research over the past decades …

2016-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗