Investment behavior in wine industry influenced by profitability and capitalization.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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SHHK Stock Connect increases A-H share price premium, more for less efficient markets.
We propose an empirical Bayes estimator based on Dirichlet process mixture model for estimating the sparse normalized mean difference, which could be directly applied to the high dimensional linear classification. In theory, we build a bridge to connect the estimation error of the mean difference and the misclassificat…
Explains differences and similarities of strictly nef and ample vector bundles.
DKMD is a fast signed statistic for comparing univariate distributions.
Temporal-difference and Q-learning learn feature representations that converge to optimal ones.
In this paper we introduce a new multivariate dependence measure based on comonotonicity by means of product moment which motivated by the recent papers of Koch and Schepper (ASTIN Bulletin 41 (2011) 191-213) and Dhaene et al. (Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics 263 (2014) 78-87). Some differences and rel…
We introduce and compare new variability measures based on risk quantiles.
Empirical median performs well in estimating location with varying scales.
Study examines how institutional differences and crises affect volatility in ASEAN stock markets.
We review part of the classical theory of curves and surfaces in -dimensional Lorentz-Minkowski space. We focus in spacelike surfaces with constant mean curvature pointing the differences and similarities with the Euclidean space.
In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of l1 penalized maximum likelihood estimation of signals with piece-wise constant mean values and/or variances. The focus is on segmentation of a non-stationary time series with respect to changes in these model parameters. This change point detection and estimation pr…
Optimizes hard-to-optimize metrics using adaptive surrogates.
Improved A/B testing by leveraging system similarities.
Efficient and robust algorithms for decentralized estimation in networks are essential to many distributed systems. Whereas distributed estimation of sample mean statistics has been the subject of a good deal of attention, computation of -statistics, relying on more expensive averaging over pairs of observations, is…
Heart rate estimation from electrocardiogram signals is very important for the early detection of cardiovascular diseases. However, due to large individual differences and varying electrocardiogram signal quality, there does not exist a single reliable estimation algorithm that works well on all subjects. Every algorit…
Algorithm estimates common mean from Gaussian variables with unknown variances.
The paper examines Adaptive Lasso and Transfer Lasso, highlighting their differences and proposing a new method.
Time series quantile regression using GRF for more accurate volatility estimation.
Effective dimensionality reduction improves accuracy and reduces costs in estimating option Greeks.
New method uses neural networks to improve free energy estimation.
We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide range of learning tasks. In particular, for every alphabet size and desired…
ABROCA assesses algorithmic bias, revealing skewed distributions that inflate results.
-algebra consists of expressions constructed with four kinds operations, the minimum, maximum, difference and additively homogeneous generalized means. Five families of -classifiers are investigated on binary classification tasks between English phonemes. It is shown that the classifiers are able to reflect well…
This paper presents an extension and an elaboration of the theory of differential similarity, which was originally proposed in arXiv:1401.2411 [cs.LG]. The goal is to develop an algorithm for clustering and coding that combines a geometric model with a probabilistic model in a principled way. For simplicity, the geomet…
New algorithm tracks COVID-19 outbreak phases.
A new framework evaluates LLMs by considering judge reliability.
We prove the existence of a minimal diffeomorphism isotopic to the identity between two hyperbolic cone surfaces and when the cone angles of and are different and smaller than . When the cone angles of are strictly smaller than the ones of , this minimal diffeomorphism is u…
The analysis which assumes that tick by tick data is linear may lead to wrong conclusions if the underlying process is multiplicative. We compare data analysis done with the return and stock differences and we study the limits within the two approaches are equivalent. Some illustrative examples concerning these two app…
In machine learning we often try to optimise a decision rule that would have worked well over a historical dataset; this is the so called empirical risk minimisation principle. In the context of learning from recommender system logs, applying this principle becomes a problem because we do not have available the reward …
We present a novel statistical inference framework for convex empirical risk minimization, using approximate stochastic Newton steps. The proposed algorithm is based on the notion of finite differences and allows the approximation of a Hessian-vector product from first-order information. In theory, our method efficient…
Our goal is to combine the techniques of Xiaokui Yang, Valentino Tosatti, and others to establish a Liouville-type result for almost complex manifolds. The transition to the non-integrable setting is delicate, so we will devote a section to discuss the key differences, and another to introduce the tools we will be usin…
Study improves statistical inference for CATEs using Lasso and DML.
In high dimension, it is customary to consider Lasso-type estimators to enforce sparsity. For standard Lasso theory to hold, the regularization parameter should be proportional to the noise level, yet the latter is generally unknown in practice. A possible remedy is to consider estimators, such as the Concomitant/Scale…
We describe notions of tautness that arise in the study of foliations, or smoother foliations, and in geometry. We give examples to show that these notions are different, and discuss how these differences impact some classical foliation results. We construct examples of smoothly taut foli…
A new metric evaluates generative models by comparing real and generated samples.
PRL improves off-policy evaluation in partially observed MDPs.
Unsupervised domain adaptation is the problem setting where data generating distributions in the source and target domains are different, and labels in the target domain are unavailable. One important question in unsupervised domain adaptation is how to measure the difference between the source and target domains. A pr…
Body-worn video (BWV) cameras are increasingly utilized by police departments to provide a record of police-public interactions. However, large-scale BWV deployment produces terabytes of data per week, necessitating the development of effective computational methods to identify salient changes in video. In work carried…
Minor typographical errors fixed. Cochran constructed many links with Alexander module that of the unlink and some nonvanishing Milnor invariants, using as input commutators in a free group and as an invariant the longitudes of the links. We present a different and conjecturally complete construction, that uses element…
Anomaly detection is one of the frequent and important subroutines deployed in large-scale data processing systems. Even being a well-studied topic, existing techniques for unsupervised anomaly detection require storing significant amounts of data, which is prohibitive from memory and latency perspective. In the big-da…
In a previous paper we introduced a notion of "genericity" for countable sets of curves in the curve complex of a surface S, based on the Lebesgue measure on the space of projective measured laminations in S. With this definition we prove that for each fixed g > 1 the set of irreducible genus g Heegaard splittings of h…
Evolutionary methods improve understanding of LLMs and their relationships.
Paper provides new bounds for risk aggregation and sharing.
Framework assesses autograders' reliability and biases.
Study compares 5 ODE solvers on 3 case studies, finding varying accuracy.
New method minimizes regret in AMDP with high probability.
Insurance and annuity products covering several lives require the modelling of the joint distribution of future lifetimes. In the interest of simplifying calculations, it is common in practice to assume that the future lifetimes among a group of people are independent. However, extensive research over the past decades …