Reducing ICD-10 code granularity improves cost model accuracy and stability.
problem High-dimensional regression with ICD-10 codes leads to unstable coefficient estimates.
method Log-linear analytics approach to cost model regularization through diagnostic code merging.
result Reducing ICD-10 code granularity from 7 characters to 6 or fewer improves model interpretability and consistency.
Graph-based approach repairs programs from diagnostic feedback.
problem Learning to repair programs from limited labeled data and compiler error messages.
method Introduces program-feedback graph and graph neural network for reasoning, and self-supervised learning with unlabeled programs.
result DrRepair significantly outperforms prior work, achieving high repair rates.
Compressed sensing in MRI enables high subsampling factors while maintaining diagnostic image quality. This technique enables shortened scan durations and/or improved image resolution. Further, compressed sensing can increase the diagnostic information and value from each scan performed. Overall, compressed sensing has…
This study presents a multimodal machine learning model to predict ICD-10 diagnostic codes. We developed separate machine learning models that can handle data from different modalities, including unstructured text, semi-structured text and structured tabular data. We further employed an ensemble method to integrate all…
In this paper, we present an effective deep prediction framework based on robust recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to predict the likely therapeutic classes of medications a patient is taking, given a sequence of diagnostic billing codes in their record. Accurately capturing the list of medications currently taken by a …
Professional software developers spend a significant amount of time fixing builds, but this has received little attention as a problem in automatic program repair. We present a new deep learning architecture, called Graph2Diff, for automatically localizing and fixing build errors. We represent source code, build config…
Study finds AI can predict diverse cardiac and non-cardiac diagnoses from a single ECG.
problem Narrow focus of ECG analysis models for diverse medical conditions.
method Exploratory study using a single AI model to predict multiple ICD codes.
result Model achieved AUROC scores > 0.8 for 253 cardiac and 172 non-cardiac diagnoses.
Deep chest X-ray classifiers show bias in predicting diagnoses.
problem Bias in deep learning classifiers predicting diagnoses from chest X-rays.
method Trained convolutional neural networks on multiple public datasets to predict 14 diagnostic labels.
result True positive rates vary significantly among different protected attributes, indicating bias.
High quality risk adjustment in health insurance markets weakens insurer incentives to engage in inefficient behavior to attract lower-cost enrollees. We propose a novel methodology based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to improve risk adjustment by clustering diagnostic codes into risk groups optimal for health ex…
Python package for fast simulation-based inference.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in Bayesian inference.
method Uses neural networks as surrogate models for Bayesian inference.
result Highly efficient and user-friendly for constructing SBI estimators.
AutoStan improves Bayesian models via predictive feedback.
problem Improving Bayesian models written in Stan.
method Iterative improvement of Stan models using NLPD and sampler diagnostics feedback.
result AutoStan can autonomously improve diverse Bayesian models across various structures.
A new framework bridges classical and machine learning methods for reliable inference from complex models.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex systems make classical statistics ineffective for likelihood-free inference.
method Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference (LF2I) framework that combines classical statistics and machine learning.
result Valid confidence sets with near finite-sample validity can be constructed for any parameter value.
Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…
Establishes statistical and computational bounds for influence diagnostics.
problem Identifying influential datapoints or subsets in machine learning models.
method Finite-sample statistical bounds and computational complexity for influence functions and approximate maximum influence perturbations.
result Established statistical and computational guarantees for influence diagnostics.
The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.
problem Estimating sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests.
method Modifying diagnostic test solutions to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers on unlabeled data.
result The approach can be used to estimate accuracy statistics for supervised or unsupervised binary classifiers on unlabeled data.
Paper detects biases in medical imaging ML models using counterfactual analysis.
problem Bias in medical imaging ML models negatively impacts generalization performance.
method Counterfactual invariance framework combining conditional latent diffusion models and statistical hypothesis testing.
result The method identifies and quantifies biases without direct access to counterfactual data.
Discriminative neural networks address class imbalance in coronary heart disease risk analysis.
problem Class imbalance in medical test data, especially in binary classification problems.
method Use of discriminative neural networks and contrastive loss with a Siamese network structure.
result The method effectively handles class imbalance, improving predictive models for coronary heart disease risk.
AI enhances cancer diagnostics using spectroscopy.
problem Early and accurate cancer diagnosis.
method Combining AI with spectroscopy-based techniques.
result AI improves cancer diagnostics speed and safety.
Method augments CTNs for ICD coding with neural network imputation.
problem Time-consuming manual annotation of CTNs for ICD coding.
method Semi-self-supervised neural network imputation of clinical features.
result Data augmentation improves ICD coding performance significantly.
Framework simulates market microstructure with stable Hawkes processes.
problem Reproduce realistic market order flow dynamics.
method Deterministic C++ LOB simulator with Hawkes-driven stochastic order flow.
result Derives stability and ergodicity proofs for Hawkes models.
Paper introduces a diagnostic for approximate inference methods.
problem Estimating errors in probabilistic inference algorithms, especially for approximate methods.
method Repeatedly simulate datasets from the prior and perform inference on each, estimating a symmetric KL-divergence.
result A diagnostic for approximate inference methods can be estimated using symmetric KL-divergence.
Machine learning improves diagnostic test accuracy for bovine tuberculosis.
problem Improving diagnostic test sensitivity for bovine tuberculosis.
method Machine learning to assess risk landscapes and predict infection.
result Test sensitivity improved, detecting 240 more infected herds per year.
AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.
problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.
The paper analyzes convergence in SGD with momentum and proposes a diagnostic test.
problem Detecting convergence in stochastic gradient descent with momentum.
method Analyzes the transient and stationary phases of SGD with momentum, constructs a statistical diagnostic test.
result The proposed diagnostic test effectively detects convergence in the stationary phase of SGD with momentum.
Paper proposes a coupling-based diagnostic for SGD stepsize optimization.
problem Optimizing stepsize for SGD convergence.
method Coupling-based convergence diagnostic for monitoring stationarity.
result Proposed stepsize scheme achieves superior performance across convex and non-convex problems.
PFP-BNNs offer a fast, deterministic approach to Bayesian neural networks.
problem Limited uncertainty handling in traditional neural networks restricts their use in safety-critical settings.
method Probabilistic Forward Pass (PFP) approximates Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) for efficient BNNs.
result PFP-BNNs achieve up to 4200x speedup over SVI-BNNs while maintaining similar accuracy and uncertainty.
Paper improves predictive distributions for rare events using a simple framework.
problem Local miscalibration of predictive distributions for rare events.
method Semiparametric diagnostic transport maps to correct tail probabilities.
result Semiparametric maps improve predictions for severe weather hazards.
TADDAA improves accuracy diagnostics for variational approximations.
problem Challenges in evaluating the accuracy of variational approximations.
method Uses many short parallel MCMC chains to obtain lower bounds on the error of each posterior functional of interest.
result Validates the practical utility and computational efficiency of TADDAA on various models.
Proposes a diagnostic method to evaluate factor models using cap-axis integrals.
problem Improving factor model evaluation in low-dimensional spaces.
method Lifts pricing errors into a bridge-alpha curve along the market-capitalization rank axis.
result The cap-axis norm is distinct from Sharpe gain and size exposure.
Proposes a diagnostic method to evaluate factor models using cap-axis integrals.
problem Improving factor model evaluation for low-dimensional models.
method Lifts pricing errors into a bridge-alpha curve along the market-capitalization rank axis.
result The cap-axis norm is distinct from Sharpe gain and size exposure.
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is continuous and there is no confirmative threshold, ROC curve becomes less useful…
The high-dimensionality and volume of large scale multistream data has inhibited significant research progress in developing an integrated monitoring and diagnostics (M&D) approach. This data, also categorized as big data, is becoming common in manufacturing plants. In this paper, we propose an integrated M\&D approach…
Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, and this study diagnoses the failure.
problem Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, leading to over-concentration or diffuse attention.
method The study uses forced scoring of benchmark-labeled responses to compute attention shapes and analyze the symmetric component of the degree-normalized attention operator.
result The study proves that every transpose-invariant spectral diagnostic of the attention operator is orientation-blind and bounds the sensitivity of any Lipschitz diagnostic by the asymmetry coefficient \(G\).
Recent studies have shown promising results in using Deep Learning to detect malignancy in whole slide imaging. However, they were limited to just predicting positive or negative finding for a specific neoplasm. We attempted to use Deep Learning with a convolutional neural network algorithm to build a lymphoma diagnost…
Risk adjustment has become an increasingly important tool in healthcare. It has been extensively applied to payment adjustment for health plans to reflect the expected cost of providing coverage for members. Risk adjustment models are typically estimated using linear regression, which does not fully exploit the informa…
Interpretable deep learning is a fundamental building block towards safer AI, especially when the deployment possibilities of deep learning-based computer-aided medical diagnostic systems are so eminent. However, without a computational formulation of black-box interpretation, general interpretability research rely hea…
Online symptom checkers have significant potential to improve patient care, however their reliability and accuracy remain variable. We hypothesised that an artificial intelligence (AI) powered triage and diagnostic system would compare favourably with human doctors with respect to triage and diagnostic accuracy. We per…
The paper introduces diagnostic transport maps to improve the reliability of rare event predictions.
problem Improper calibration of predictive distributions, especially for rare events.
method Diagnostic transport maps to adjust base model's probabilities for better calibration.
result Diagnostic transport maps improve predictive performance for rare events, including 24-hour rapid intensity change.
A new framework separates classifier calibration and discrimination.
problem Combining reliability and resolution in probabilistic predictions.
method Manokhin Probability Matrix separates reliability and resolution using Spiegelhalter Z-statistic and AUC-ROC.
result Classifiers are categorized into four archetypes: Eagle, Bull, Sloth, and Mole.
Develops a diagnostic framework for interest rate model calibration, showing equivalence to Weighted Least Squares and revealing boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability.
problem Calibration of stochastic interest rate models
method Diagnostic framework using non-linear regression and analytical tractability of At-The-Money caps
result Reveals boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability
New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.
problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.
Revealing latent structure in data is an active field of research, having introduced exciting technologies such as variational autoencoders and adversarial networks, and is essential to push machine learning towards unsupervised knowledge discovery. However, a major challenge is the lack of suitable benchmarks for an o…
The paper breaks down AUC into cluster-level components for better model diagnostics.
problem Global AUC masks weaknesses in specific subpopulations, leading to financial or operational risks.
method Formal decomposition of AUC into intra- and inter-cluster components, comparing with other performance metrics.
result Allows practitioners to evaluate and diagnose model performance within and across clusters.
Study shows cross-domain X-ray prediction performance discrepancies and label shifts.
problem Quantifying generalization limits across different X-ray datasets.
method Large-scale study on multiple X-ray datasets, focusing on performance and label shifts.
result Interesting discrepancies found between model performance and agreement, and concept similarity across tasks.
Major advances have been made regarding the utilization of artificial intelligence in health care. In particular, deep learning approaches have been successfully applied for automated and assisted disease diagnosis and prognosis based on complex and high-dimensional data. However, despite all justified enthusiasm, over…
Proposes FACT, a diagnostic for understanding group fairness trade-offs.
problem Group fairness notions often conflict with each other, requiring a cost in model performance.
method Characterizes trade-offs via the fairness-confusion tensor and optimizes accuracy and fairness objectives.
result Demonstrates the use of FACT on synthetic and real datasets to understand accuracy-fairness trade-offs.
This paper simplifies deep ReLU networks into local linear models for better interpretability.
problem Limited transparency and interpretability of deep neural networks, especially ReLU networks.
method Local linear representation and equivalent set of local linear models (LLMs).
result Simplified deep ReLU networks for better interpretability and diagnostics.
New diagnostic tool for assessing approximate Bayesian inference.
problem Assessing the trustworthiness of approximate Bayesian inference.
method Reframe the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions and use Gibbs priors.
result The diagnostic tool can discover the inductive bias in various Bayesian models and approximations.