Paper uses online learning to disaggregate demand from distribution feeder data.
problem Lack of real-time information on distributed energy resources.
method Dynamic Fixed Share (DFS) online learning algorithm using historical data.
result DFS effectively disaggregates demand from distribution feeder measurements.
Energy is a limited resource which has to be managed wisely, taking into account both supply-demand matching and capacity constraints in the distribution grid. One aspect of the smart energy management at the building level is given by the problem of real-time detection of flexible demand available. In this paper we pr…
Deep neural network improves NILM with attention mechanism.
problem Energy disaggregation of individual appliance power demands from aggregate meter readings.
method Regression and classification subnetworks with attention mechanism.
result Proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art on REDD and UK-DALE datasets.
New method for disaggregate electricity demand forecasting at household level.
problem Challenges in forecasting electricity demand at individual household level.
method Additive stacking method for probabilistic disaggregate electricity demand forecasting.
result Improved accuracy in disaggregate electricity demand forecasting.
Paper uses STPN for energy/power prediction in complex systems.
problem Predicting energy in complex dynamical systems.
method Spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) framework with mutual information metric.
result Improved energy prediction accuracy in wind and residential energy contexts.
Paper proposes a neural network for disaggregating appliance-level energy consumption.
problem Estimating appliance-level electricity consumption from a single meter.
method Adapts a neural network to classify operational state changes of appliances.
result Competitive performance compared to existing methods in simulated experiments.
We explore what causes business cycles by analyzing the Japanese industrial production data. The methods are spectral analysis and factor analysis. Using the random matrix theory, we show that two largest eigenvalues are significant. Taking advantage of the information revealed by disaggregated data, we identify the fi…
The paper evaluates various forecasting methods for inflation, finding ML models superior.
problem Forecasting inflation using disaggregated data and machine learning.
method Examines traditional and machine learning models, including random forest, for disaggregated and aggregated inflation forecasts.
result Aggregating disaggregated forecasts performs similarly to survey-based expectations and aggregate models.
Efficient neural network improves disaggregation of home energy usage.
problem Estimating power consumption of individual appliances from total home power.
method Fully convolutional neural network architecture with improved computational efficiency.
result Achieves state-of-the-art disaggregation performance with reduced training and prediction times.
New framework for interpreting disaggregated fairness evaluations using causal models.
problem Misinterpretation of disaggregated fairness evaluations due to data representativeness and selection bias.
method Causal graphical models to characterize fairness properties and metric stability under different data generating processes.
result Disaggregated evaluations are unreliable without explicit assumptions regarding bias mechanisms.
SureMap estimates model performance across subpopulations efficiently.
problem Estimating model performance across subpopulations with scarce data.
method Simultaneous Gaussian mean estimation with external data.
result High accuracy in both multi-task and single-task disaggregated evaluations.
Improved non-intrusive load monitoring with a novel neural network.
problem Accurately disaggregating household electricity consumption without dedicated meters.
method Developed a scale- and context-aware network with multi-scale features and contextual information.
result Significantly improved accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Enhances water disaggregation for parallel appliances using shape features and Bayesian Discriminative Sparse Coding.
problem Accurately discriminate and disaggregate water consumption patterns from parallel appliances.
method Bayesian Discriminative Sparse Coding (BDSC-LP) with Laplace Prior, shape features, Gibbs sampling.
result Extensive experiments validate the effectiveness of the proposed model.
Paper proposes a novel optimization method for disaggregating smart meter data.
problem Energy disaggregation, inferring appliance-specific energy consumption from aggregate meter data.
method Two-stage optimization approach: first phase uses mixed integer programming, second phase binary quadratic optimization with penalty terms and appliance constraints.
result Proposed method successfully reconstructs appliance signatures, overcoming previous optimization-based methods' limitations.
The paper tackles energy disaggregation by improving dictionary learning with deep neural models.
problem Decomposing electricity signals of a whole home into its operating devices.
method Proposes a novel optimization program that learns both the dictionary and sparse coefficients using a deep neural model (LSTM-AE) to capture temporal energy signals.
result Significant improvement in disaggregation accuracy and F-score metrics compared to state-of-the-art methods.
We propose a clustering-based iterative algorithm to solve certain optimization problems in machine learning, where we start the algorithm by aggregating the original data, solving the problem on aggregated data, and then in subsequent steps gradually disaggregate the aggregated data. We apply the algorithm to common m…
New LSTM model predicts disaggregated electricity loads accurately.
problem Forecasting disaggregated electricity loads from smart meters.
method Single complex LSTM model capturing individual consumption patterns.
result Model accurately predicts future loads of new consumers.
Convolutional model disaggregates electricity consumption data.
problem Disaggregating aggregate electricity consumption data into individual appliance usage.
method Gated linear unit convolutional layers and residual blocks refine neural network output. Partially overlapped sequences are averaged for final output.
result The proposed model outperforms existing models in disaggregating various appliance usage.
tempdisagg transforms low-frequency data into high-frequency estimates.
problem Transforming low-frequency data into high-frequency estimates.
method Uses econometric techniques including Chow-Lin, Denton, Litterman, Fernandez, and uniform interpolation.
result Transforms low-frequency aggregates into consistent, high-frequency estimates.
New algorithm extracts device profiles for short-term power predictions in commercial buildings.
problem Short-term power prediction in commercial buildings with high accuracy.
method Unsupervised extraction of device profiles from aggregate power measurements, disaggregation using particle swarm optimization, and state changes forecast by artificial neural networks.
result Developed approach outperforms existing methods with high accuracy.
PREMA recovers detailed data from aggregated views.
problem Reconstructing detailed data from aggregated views.
method Low-rank tensor factorization.
result Recovery guarantees under certain conditions.
We propose a new framework for single-channel source separation that lies between the fully supervised and unsupervised setting. Instead of supervision, we provide input features for each source signal and use convex methods to estimate the correlations between these features and the unobserved signal decomposition. We…
Review and compare sorting model selection methods for preference disaggregation.
problem Selecting a representative sorting model from multiple compatible models.
method Reviewed and proposed new procedures for selecting sorting models, including robust assignment rule.
result Identified most efficient procedures in terms of classification accuracy and robustness.
Develops algorithm to reduce real-world inequality.
problem Reduces inequality in real-world disparities.
method Impact remediation framework using social science insights and constrained optimization.
result Optimal intervention policies discovered to improve equity.
Simpler model outperforms state-of-the-art for disaggregating census data.
problem Disaggregating detailed census data into finer-grained, high-resolution mappings.
method Aggregate learning approach using ancillary data for an interpretable model.
result Simple model outperforms state-of-the-art on disaggregation metrics.
There are few papers about the consumption pattern of the Portuguese wine, using econometrics techniques. This work, pretend to analyze the consumers behavior of the wine produced in Portugal, determining the demand equation with panel data methods. There were used statistical data available in the Alentejo Regional Wi…
A new deep learning method for energy disaggregation.
problem Energy disaggregation or non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) to identify individual appliance power usage.
method Sequence to Point Learning based on Bidirectional Dilated Residual Network (BRDN).
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in all appliances on REDD and UK-DALE datasets.
A new method improves AI fairness assessment by estimating performance across intersectional subgroups.
problem Limited evaluation of AI systems across intersectional subgroups due to small sample sizes.
method Structured regression approach to disaggregated evaluation.
result Our method yields more accurate performance estimates, especially for small subgroups.
CTGAN synthesizes population data for travel behavior simulation.
problem Synthesizing population data for agent-based transportation modeling.
method Composite Travel Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN).
result Consistent and accurate generation of synthetic populations with tabular and sequential mobility data.
Novel approach uses Gaussian processes to estimate conflict trends.
problem Estimating temporal and spatial patterns of violent conflict.
method Highly disaggregated conflict event data with Gaussian processes.
result Powerful conflict forecasts and insights into conflict dynamics.
Meta-DRL improves resource allocation in O-RAN networks.
problem Dynamic resource allocation in O-RAN networks.
method Meta Deep Reinforcement Learning (Meta-DRL) inspired by MAML.
result 19.8% improvement in network management performance.
The S&P500 daily values and log-returns fail to conform to Benford's laws, revealing underlying trends.
problem Testing financial data for conformity to Benford's laws.
method Analyzed S&P500 daily closing values and log-returns over 16,265 days, disaggregating at five levels.
result S&P500 daily values show a huge lack of conformity to Benford's laws, with missing first and first two digits.
Novel approach integrates Multivariate Square-root Lasso into Synthetic Control for high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in practical implementation and computational efficiency of Synthetic Control method for high-dimensional disaggregated data.
method Integrates Multivariate Square-root Lasso into Synthetic Control framework.
result Demonstrates superior computational efficiency without compromising estimation accuracy.
Smart meters detect dementia patients' daily activities to prevent crises.
problem Monitoring dementia patients' daily activities without intruding.
method Machine learning and signal processing for smart meter load disaggregation.
result SVM and Decision Forest models accurately detect ADLs and routine changes.
This thesis tackles NILM challenges with a new dataset and efficient edge deployment techniques.
problem Limited datasets and high computational power for NILM deployment.
method Developed an interoperable data collection framework and introduced model compression techniques.
result Efficient edge deployment of NILM models for global scalability and sustainability.
Deep network improves NILM by distinguishing on/off states of appliances.
problem Break down household aggregate electricity consumption into individual appliance usages.
method Subtask gated network combining regression and classification subtasks.
result Surpasses state-of-the-art performance for most benchmark cases.
Improves NILM with multi-label SRC, outperforming state-of-the-art.
problem Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) for energy disaggregation.
method Modified multi-label sparse representation based classification (SRC).
result Significant improvement over state-of-the-art techniques with minimal training data.
Paper proposes an algorithm to estimate state aggregation from Markov transition data.
problem Estimating probabilistic aggregation map from system's trajectory.
method Two-step algorithm: spectral decomposition and linear transformation of singular vectors.
result Sharp error bounds for estimating aggregation and disaggregation distributions.
Develops a method to disaggregate aerosol optical depth into vertical extinction profiles.
problem Uncertainty in measuring aerosol vertical distributions due to limited observations.
method Bayesian nonparametric Gaussian process modeling using meteorological predictors.
result Model reconstructs realistic extinction profiles with well-calibrated uncertainty, outperforming idealized baselines.
Proposes using elastic demand to improve forecasting accuracy.
problem Mismatch between planned supply and actual demand due to demand variance.
method Reallocate historical elastic demand to reduce forecasting variance.
result Improves forecasting and supply planning effectiveness.
Modeling shared mobility demand considering supply limitations.
problem Inaccurate demand predictions due to limited supply.
method Censored Gaussian Processes for demand modeling.
result Taking supply limitations into account improves demand predictions.
The paper proposes a new model to better estimate demand from censored data.
problem Challenges in inferring true demand from aggregate, censored data.
method Combines Tobit likelihood with graph diffusion process in Gaussian Processes.
result The new model produces more accurate out-of-sample predictions.
Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions. However, if the demand function is lumpy in nature, then the general demand foreca…
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
Develops price dynamics equations with symmetric supply/demand functions, affecting tail behavior of price distributions.
problem Understanding the tail behavior of price distributions based on supply and demand functions.
method Created price dynamics equations using a symmetric function of demand/supply, analyzing linear and nonlinear cases.
result The exponent of the tail behavior of price distributions depends on the function of supply and demand, with exponents approaching -1 for large exponents in the function.
A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.
problem Inaccurate demand forecasts lead to suboptimal logistics and production.
method Developed a novel metric that considers both statistical and business aspects.
result The new metric yields more accurate predictions for lumpy and intermittent demand.
Paper develops deep models for forecasting intermittent demand.
problem Forecasting intermittent demand with sporadic occurrences.
method Uses deep neural networks to model conditional interdemand time and size distributions.
result Empirical validation of deep models for intermittent demand forecasting.
SEA model predicts heat demand combining neural network and ARIMA.
problem Predicting heat demand with periodicity.
method Combining Elman neural network and ARIMA models for seasonal and trend predictions.
result SEA model shows promising performance in heat demand prediction.