Survey of deep learning methods for time series forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy in time series predictions across various domains.
method Analysis of common encoder and decoder designs, hybrid models, and decision support.
result Advancements in deep learning for time series forecasting.
Develops framework for understanding deep learning in time series data.
problem Understanding and explaining decisions made by deep learning models in time series data.
method Uses deep neural networks to capture and explain temporal dependencies in time series data.
result Framework successfully captures and explains temporal dependencies in various synthetic and real-world datasets.
DF2M uses deep neural networks within a factor model for high-dimensional functional time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting high-dimensional functional time series with explainability and accuracy.
method Bayesian nonparametric model based on Indian Buffet Process and multi-task Gaussian Process, incorporating a deep kernel function.
result DF2M provides better explainability and superior predictive accuracy compared to conventional deep learning models.
Quantile deep learning improves time series prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in multi-step time series prediction.
method Developed a novel quantile regression deep learning framework for multi-step time series prediction.
result Integrating quantile loss function with deep learning provides additional predictions for selected quantiles without loss in accuracy.
DeepLINK-T uses deep learning and knockoffs for time series data.
problem Interpreting and reproducible deep learning models for high-dimensional time series data.
method Combines deep learning with knockoffs for FDR control in feature selection for time series models.
result DeepLINK-T effectively controls FDR while demonstrating superior feature selection for high-dimensional longitudinal time series data.
Generative models improve commodity hedging using deep learning.
problem Improving risk management in commodity markets.
method Four state-of-the-art generative models adapted for commodity time series.
result Deep hedging of commodity options trained on generated time series shows promising results.
Survey of data augmentation methods for improving deep learning on time series data.
problem Limited labeled data in real-world time series applications.
method Review and comparison of data augmentation methods for time series.
result Empirical comparison of data augmentation methods for various time series tasks.
Proposes a method to forecast non-stationary time series.
problem Challenges of non-stationary conditional distributions in deep learning.
method Bayesian dynamic model + deep conditional distribution model.
result Adapts to non-stationary time series better than state-of-the-art solutions.
Stanza models complex time series with balance between traditional and deep learning approaches.
problem Capturing long-term structure in non-stationary time series.
method Nonlinear, non-stationary state space model.
result Achieves forecasting accuracy competitive with deep LSTMs, especially for multi-step ahead forecasting.
Boosted embeddings improve time series forecasting models.
problem Improving time series forecasting accuracy.
method Gradient boosting with DNN weak learners and incremental weight updates.
result DeepGB model outperforms state-of-the-art models.
Deep learning autoencoder model clusters unlabeled time series data.
problem Clustering unlabeled time series data.
method Two-stage approach: create labels from time series characteristics, then use autoencoder for clustering.
result 87.5% accuracy in clustering unseen time series data.
Recent years have witnessed the unprecedented rising of time series from almost all kindes of academic and industrial fields. Various types of deep neural network models have been introduced to time series analysis, but the important frequency information is yet lack of effective modeling. In light of this, in this pap…
Deep state space model forecasts time series with uncertainty.
problem Probabilistic forecasting for risk management.
method Parameterized deep networks for non-linear models, recurrent neural nets for dependency, ARD network for exogenous variables.
result Accurate and sharp probabilistic forecasts with realistic uncertainty growth.
This paper reviews deep time-series forecasting focusing on autocorrelation modeling.
problem Modeling autocorrelation in history and label sequences for time-series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel taxonomy for model architectures and learning objectives.
result Provides a comprehensive review and analysis of deep time-series forecasting.
Research on time-series similarity measures has emphasized the need for elastic methods which align the indices of pairs of time series and a plethora of non-parametric have been proposed for the task. On the other hand, deep learning approaches are dominant in closely related domains, such as learning image and text s…
DeepEDM forecasts time series by learning dynamics from embeddings.
problem Precise future prediction of complex nonlinear time series.
method Integrates nonlinear dynamical systems modeling with deep neural networks.
result DeepEDM outperforms state-of-the-art methods in forecasting accuracy.
DAMNETS generates complex network dynamics models.
problem Generating flexible and scalable models for network time series is challenging.
method Deep autoregressive model for Markovian network time series.
result DAMNETS outperforms other methods in sample quality.
Deep models predict intraday electricity prices accurately.
problem Accurately forecasting intraday electricity prices.
method Two deep time series probabilistic models using ESNs with stochastic disturbances and copulas.
result Deep distributional models provide accurate short-term probabilistic price forecasts.
A model combines GRU-D for missing data and Neural ODEs for time series continuity.
problem Challenges of informative missingness in multivariate time series data.
method Combines GRU-D for missing data imputation and Neural ODEs for temporal continuity.
result Demonstrates improved performance on a time series classification task.
Enhances deep learning models for anomaly detection in time series data.
problem Anomalies in time series data corrupt performance of models.
method Monte Carlo EM for inferring anomaly indicators during training.
result Improves model performance on nominal data and anomalous points.
Improved time series forecasting with multivariate probabilistic models.
problem Improving accuracy in forecasting time series with statistical dependencies.
method Conditioned Normalizing Flows for autoregressive deep learning models.
result Improved performance over state-of-the-art models on real-world data sets.
Paper introduces a new method for classifying interval-valued time series.
problem Classification of interval-valued time series.
method Extends point-valued time series imaging methods to interval-valued scenarios using DK-distance and employs deep learning for classification. result Proposed method achieves superior classification performance compared to existing methods.
The paper develops adaptive deep learning methods for nonlinear time series models.
problem Estimating mean functions of non-stationary and nonlinear time series models.
method Develops non-penalized and sparse-penalized DNN estimators for general non-stationary time series, derives minimax lower bounds, and shows the sparse-penalized DNN estimator is adaptive and optimal.
result Sparse-penalized DNN estimator achieves minimax optimal rates for many nonlinear AR models.
New deep probabilistic model handles missing data in time series forecasting.
problem Handling missing data in time series forecasting.
method Combination of deep learning and probabilistic methods.
result Advantage in forecasting and novelty detection with missing data.
Paper develops large time series models using pre-trained transformers.
problem Performance bottlenecks in small models on data-scarce scenarios.
method Large-scale pre-training, unified time series format, GPT-style architecture.
result Generative pre-trained Time Series Transformer (Timer) for diverse tasks.
CATS enhances MTSF by generating ATS from OTS to improve forecasting accuracy.
problem Recent deep learning models often outperform multivariate ones in MTSF.
method CATS constructs ATS from OTS using a 2D temporal-contextual attention mechanism.
result CATS achieves state-of-the-art performance with reduced complexity.
This study compares deep generative models to traditional methods for generating financial time series.
problem Generating realistic multivariate financial time series for risk management and portfolio optimization.
method Systematic comparison of deep generative models (DGMs) against state-of-the-art parametric models on synthetic and empirical data.
result Deep generative models outperform traditional parametric models in generating financial time series.
Deep learning methods improve time series forecasting by optimizing lag selection.
problem Optimizing the number of lags for accurate univariate time series forecasting.
method Empirical analysis of deep learning methods trained on multiple time series datasets.
result Excessively small or large lag sizes negatively impact forecasting performance.
Deep learning improves time series classification accuracy.
problem Classifying time series data efficiently.
method Developed deep neural networks for time series classification.
result Demonstrated superior performance of deep learning methods.
Improved deep probabilistic time series forecasting by learning error autocorrelation.
problem Simplification of time-independent error process and lack of serial correlation in existing models.
method Proposes a training method that incorporates error autocorrelation to enhance probabilistic forecasting accuracy.
result Improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification across multiple datasets.
Sparse deep learning improves prediction uncertainty for time series data.
problem Uncertainty quantification for dependent data like time series.
method Sparse recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for time series data.
result Sparse deep learning can consistently estimate and predict time series data with correct uncertainty quantification.
Theoretical analysis of deep neural networks for time series data.
problem Theoretical development for deep neural networks on temporally dependent observations is lacking.
method Established non-asymptotic bounds for prediction error of deep neural networks under mixing-type assumptions.
result Deep neural networks can model non-linear time series data with additional logarithmic factors due to dependence.
Benchmarking deep learning models for financial time series, focusing on risk-adjusted performance.
problem Optimizing risk-adjusted performance in financial time series prediction.
method Evaluation of various deep learning architectures including linear models, RNNs, transformers, state space models, and sequence representation approaches.
result Hybrid models like VSN with LSTM and xLSTM achieve the highest overall Sharpe ratio and superior downside adjusted characteristics.
Framework generates personalized insulin treatment strategies using deep models.
problem Developing optimal personalized treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
method Combines deep generative time series models with decision theory.
result Demonstrated improved personalized insulin treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
Meta-GLAR combines global deep representations with local adaptation for improved forecasting accuracy.
problem Joint learning from related time series boosts accuracy but fails for out-of-sample forecasting.
method Meta-GLAR uses a meta-learning approach to adapt RNN representations for each time series.
result Meta-GLAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in out-of-sample forecasting accuracy.
ForecastNet uses a time-variant deep feed-forward neural network for better multi-step-ahead time series forecasting.
problem Time-invariant architectures limit multi-step-ahead forecasting.
method ForecastNet employs a deep feed-forward architecture with time-variant parameters and interleaved outputs.
result ForecastNet outperforms other models on multi-step-ahead time series forecasting tasks.
EDAIN layer normalizes time series data for neural networks, improving model performance.
problem Irregularities in time series data degrade model performance in neural networks.
method EDAIN layer learns adaptive normalization parameters during end-to-end training.
result EDAIN layer outperforms conventional normalization methods and adaptive layers.
This work proposes a method to learn graph structure for multivariate time series forecasting.
problem Improving multivariate time series forecasting by leveraging pairwise information.
method Learning a probabilistic graph model through optimizing mean performance over graph distribution parameterized by a neural network.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in simplicity, efficiency, and performance.
Convolutional neural networks outperform other architectures in streaming time series classification.
problem Efficient deep learning models for real-time data streams.
method Asynchronous dual-pipeline deep learning framework for real-time predictions.
result Convolutional architectures achieve higher accuracy and efficiency in streaming time series classification.
Reliable uncertainty estimation for time series prediction is critical in many fields, including physics, biology, and manufacturing. At Uber, probabilistic time series forecasting is used for robust prediction of number of trips during special events, driver incentive allocation, as well as real-time anomaly detection…
The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting clusters might be of suboptimal quality. As a key solution, we present a joint clust…
This paper reviews and compares deep generative models for financial time series and VaR.
problem Forecasting risk factor distribution in financial markets.
method Apply multiple deep generative models (CGAN, CWGAN, Diffusion, Signature WGAN) and propose new methods for conditional time series generation.
result Top performing models are Historical Simulation, GARCH, and CWGAN.
Time series foundation models are well-calibrated, improving over baseline models.
problem Calibration of time series foundation models for practical applications.
method Systematic evaluations of five time series foundation models and two baselines, assessing calibration, prediction heads, and long-term forecasting.
result Time series foundation models are consistently better calibrated than baseline models and do not show over- or under-confidence.
Proposes a model for multi-horizon probabilistic forecasting of time series influenced by asynchronous events.
problem Forecasting time series influenced by asynchronous events is challenging.
method Introduces Variational Synergetic Multi-Horizon Network (VSMHN), a deep conditional generative model combining deep point processes and variational recurrent neural networks.
result Produces accurate, sharp, and realistic probabilistic forecasts.
For the last few years it has been observed that the Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has achieved an excellent success in image classification, speech recognition. But DNNs are suffer great deal of challenges for time series forecasting because most of the time series data are nonlinear in nature and highly dynamic in beha…
Deep neural nets learn from weakly dependent processes.
problem Learning from ψ-weakly dependent processes. method Deep neural networks for ψ-weakly dependent processes. result Established consistency of empirical risk minimization algorithm and generalization bound.
Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of modeling complex patterns or dependencies lying in real word data. To address such c…
Bayes-CATSI uses variational Bayesian deep learning for medical time series data imputation.
problem Missing values in medical time series data.
method Bayes-CATSI integrates variational inference for uncertainty quantification and context-aware imputation.
result Bayes-CATSI outperforms CATSI by 9.57% in imputation performance.