Benchmark detects decision-time leakage in financial backtests.
problem Detecting decision-time leakage in financial machine-learning backtests.
method Toggles one evaluation convention at a time around a clean t+1-open reference, holding other factors fixed. result Inflation is highly selective, affecting specific features and execution methods.
LLM forecasting benchmarks suffer from information leakage, which confounds model performance.
problem LLM forecasting benchmarks suffer from information leakage.
method A retrieval-augmented LLM forecaster observes only decision-time information.
result The full pipeline obtains a median monthly Spearman rank IC of +0.154.
Study of bandit problem with Poisson decision times and Lévy processes.
problem Continuous-time multi-armed bandit problem with Poisson decision times.
method Gittins index policy applied to spectrally one-sided Lévy processes.
result Gittins index converges to classical Lévy bandit index.
We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to model two-alternative forced choice decisions, and, while simple formulae for ac…
New framework quantifies and reduces concept-based models' leakage.
problem Information leakage in concept-based models reduces interpretability.
method Information-theoretic framework with CTL and ICL measures.
result Measures predict model behaviour and identify leakage causes.
State of the art online learning procedures focus either on selecting the best alternative ("best arm identification") or on minimizing the cost (the "regret"). We merge these two objectives by providing the theoretical analysis of cost minimizing algorithms that are also delta-PAC (with a proven guaranteed bound on th…
The paper examines how trading strategies lose value due to stock turnover.
problem Leakage of rank-dependent trading strategies due to stock turnover.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical estimation of leakage in discrete time.
result A new method to estimate leakage in trading strategies is introduced.
Develops RL algorithm for non-Markovian, non-stationary reward streams.
problem Maximizing rewards from non-Markovian, non-stationary reward streams.
method Uses causal DAG to construct Markov states, solves periodic MDP.
result Optimal state construction maximizes discounted rewards.
bioLeak addresses data leakage in biomedical machine learning studies.
problem Data leakage causes optimistic bias in machine learning models for biomedical studies.
method bioLeak provides leakage-aware resampling workflows and model audits in R.
result The package supports various machine learning tasks and can detect leakage mechanisms.
This paper bounds min-entropy leakage for Blowfish privacy using graph symmetries.
problem Bounding min-entropy leakage for Blowfish privacy mechanisms.
method Organizing analysis over symmetrical partitions corresponding to orbits of graph automorphism groups.
result Demonstrates a construction meeting the bound with asymptotic equality, showing tightness.
Real-time fuel leakage detection framework MOCPD improves accuracy.
problem Early detection of fuel leakage to prevent hazards and losses.
method Memory-based Online Change Point Detection (MOCPD) framework.
result MOCPD outperforms baseline methods in detection accuracy.
New model quantifies how much machine learning models can reveal about individual data usage.
problem Measuring and reducing the leakage of membership information from machine learning models.
method Using information theory, conditional mutual information leakage, and Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify and bound the leakage.
result The amount of membership information leakage is reduced by adding Gaussian (ε,δ)-differentially-private additive noises. Research in psychology and neuroscience has successfully modeled decision making as a process of noisy evidence accumulation to a decision bound. While there are several variants and implementations of this idea, the majority of these models make use of a noisy accumulation between two absorbing boundaries. A common as…
The paper analyzes generalization of noisy, iterative algorithms using maximal leakage.
problem Analyzing the generalization behavior of noisy, iterative learning algorithms.
method Information-theoretic framework with maximal leakage metric.
result Explicit upper bounds on maximal leakage for various scenarios.
Differential privacy protects data privacy by adding noise to data.
problem Leakage of sensitive data through common methods like encryption and endpoint protection.
method Randomized response technique to add noise to data collection.
result Differential privacy ensures strong privacy with better utility.
This paper evaluates and compares gradient leakage attacks in federated learning.
problem Gradient leakage attacks compromise client privacy in federated learning.
method Formal and experimental analysis of gradient leakage attacks, evaluation of attack effectiveness and cost.
result Gradient leakage attacks can reconstruct private local training data from shared parameter updates.
Reduces data leakage in distributed deep learning models.
problem Prevents reconstruction of sensitive raw data patterns during client communications.
method Reduces distance correlation between raw data and learned representations.
result Resilient to reconstruction attacks while maintaining model accuracy.
Paper tackles treatment leakage in text-based causal inference, proposing methods to mitigate bias.
problem Treatment leakage in text-as-confounder applications introduces bias in causal estimates.
method Formal definitions, four text distillation methods (passage removal, classification, salient feature removal, nullspace projection).
result Moderate distillation optimally balances bias reduction against confounder retention.
It has been widely understood that differential privacy (DP) can guarantee rigorous privacy against adversaries with arbitrary prior knowledge. However, recent studies demonstrate that this may not be true for correlated data, and indicate that three factors could influence privacy leakage: the data correlation pattern…
The paper analyzes privacy leakage in federated learning using linear algebra and optimization theory.
problem Privacy leakage in federated learning despite its promise for data privacy.
method Theoretical analysis from linear algebra and optimization theory perspectives.
result Derives sufficient conditions to prevent data reconstruction attacks and establishes an upper bound on privacy leakage.
Study optimal periodic dividend strategies for risky businesses with transaction costs.
problem Optimal periodic dividend strategies for spectrally positive Lévy risk processes with fixed transaction costs.
method Investigates periodic (bu,bl) strategies for a Poisson arrival process of decision times. result A periodic (bu,bl) strategy is optimal with lump sum dividends net of transaction costs. Synth-MIA assesses privacy leakage in synthetic tabular data models.
problem Challenges in evaluating privacy leakage in synthetic tabular data.
method Unified threat framework deploying multiple attacks.
result Higher synthetic data quality correlates with greater privacy leakage.
New defense method protects client data privacy in federated learning.
problem Gradient leakage attacks in federated learning.
method Learning to obscure data to generate synthetic samples.
result Synthetic samples preserve predictive features and protect privacy.
Analysis of model updates reveals sensitive data leaks.
problem Information leakage during model updates.
method Differential analysis of language model snapshots.
result New metrics (differential score, differential rank) reveal sensitive data leaks.
Exchanging gradients is a widely used method in modern multi-node machine learning system (e.g., distributed training, collaborative learning). For a long time, people believed that gradients are safe to share: i.e., the training data will not be leaked by gradient exchange. However, we show that it is possible to obta…
Framework prevents data leakage in mobile cloud DNNs.
problem Data leakage from cloud DNNs poses privacy risks.
method Privacy-preserving reinforcement learning framework.
result Framework successfully defends against various privacy attacks.
Multi-party machine learning leaks global dataset properties even with black-box access.
problem Leakage of global dataset properties in multi-party machine learning.
method Demonstrated leakage of sensitive attribute distributions in pooled data.
result A curious party can infer sensitive attribute distributions in other parties' data with high accuracy.
A method for dynamic portfolio choice with uncertain parameters using Pontryagin projection.
problem Continuous-time CRRA portfolio choice in markets with estimated and uncertain coefficients.
method Simulation-based two-stage solver (DPO + Pontryagin projection) to maximize ex-ante objective.
result Projection stabilizes learning and accurately recovers analytic decisions, improving over model-free PPO.
Deep learning reconstructs pressure fields and classifies leakage rates in CCS storage sites.
problem Monitoring CO2 leakage in CCS storage sites.
method Variational auto-encoder tailored for pressure field reconstruction and leakage rate classification.
result Uncertainty estimates of predictions illustrated on synthetic data.
fastml guards against data leakage in automated machine learning.
problem Data leakage during preprocessing before resampling inflates apparent performance.
method fastml uses guarded resampling to re-estimate preprocessing inside each resample.
result Guarded resampling reduces apparent performance compared to global preprocessing.
Log-Loss scores expose membership privacy breaches.
problem Privacy leakage from statistical aggregates like Log-Loss scores.
method Proved that Log-Loss scores enable full accuracy membership inference in a single query.
result Complete membership privacy breach is possible with Log-Loss scores.
New insights link diverse statistical problems via secret leakage planted clique.
problem Statistical-computational gaps in inference problems.
method Secret leakage planted clique as a new hardness assumption for reductions.
result Establishes tight statistical-computational tradeoffs for various problems.
Machine learning confound removal biases results, leading to misleading predictions.
problem Common confound removal methods in machine learning lead to misleading predictions.
method Featurewise removal of confound variance by linear regression before applying ML.
result This common deconfounding approach can leak information, amplifying null or moderate effects.
Improved canary crafting for one-run privacy auditing reduces leakage estimates.
problem Detecting canaries in one-run privacy auditing to estimate leakage effectively.
method Optimizes canaries for detectability and diversity, using a greedy initialization and bilevel optimization.
result Achieves stronger leakage estimates at lower computational cost.
New bounds on machine learning data leakage identified.
problem Machine Learning models can leak sensitive information.
method Formalized attack setups, derived universal bounds, studied mutual information.
result Connected attack success rate to generalization gap and mutual information.
New method detects information leakage using approximate Bayes predictor.
problem Unintentional exposure of sensitive information via observable data.
method Statistical learning theory and information theory framework, approximating Bayes predictor's log-loss and accuracy.
result MI can be accurately estimated to detect ILs, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines.
In this work we study the optimal execution problem with multiplicative price impact in algorithm trading, when an agent holds an initial position of shares of a financial asset. The inter-selling-decision times are modelled by the arrival times of a Poisson process. The criterion to be optimised consists in maximising…
Optimal defenses protect FL models from gradient reconstruction attacks.
problem Gradient reconstruction attacks compromise FL models by recovering original data from shared gradients.
method Derive a theoretical lower bound of reconstruction error, customize noise and pruning defenses, and achieve optimal trade-off between leakage and utility.
result Our methods outperform Gradient Noise and Pruning in protecting training data and maintaining model utility.
Image recognition systems have demonstrated tremendous progress over the past few decades thanks, in part, to our ability of learning compact and robust representations of images. As we witness the wide spread adoption of these systems, it is imperative to consider the problem of unintended leakage of information from …
Underwater gas reservoirs are used in many situations. In particular, Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) facilities that are currently being developed intend to store greenhouse gases inside geological formations in the deep sea. In these formations, however, the gas might percolate, leaking back to the water and eventua…
Deep Learning algorithms have recently become the de-facto paradigm for various prediction problems, which include many privacy-preserving applications like online medical image analysis. Presumably, the privacy of data in a deep learning system is a serious concern. There have been several efforts to analyze and explo…
We consider membership inference attacks, one of the main privacy issues in machine learning. These recently developed attacks have been proven successful in determining, with confidence better than a random guess, whether a given sample belongs to the dataset on which the attacked machine learning model was trained. S…
Improved forecasting in daily time series competition using a correlator method.
problem Forecasting daily time series with data leakage issues.
method Ensemble of five statistical forecasting methods and a correlator method.
result The correlator method was responsible for most of the gains over naive forecasting.
DEDACT breaks down feature importance into direct and associative components.
problem Lack of clear distinction between direct and associative feature importance.
method DEDACT framework to decompose direct and associative importance measures.
result Provides insight into sources of prediction-relevant information and feature pathways.
This work provides bounds on generalization error and privacy leakage in federated learning.
problem Bounding generalization error and privacy leakage in federated learning.
method Information-theoretic framework for classical, distributed, and federated learning.
result Upper and lower bounds on generalization error and privacy leakage.
There is an increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The main cause seems to lie in the fundamental disconnection between theory and practice in data analysis. While the former typically relies on statistical independence, the latter is an inherently adaptive process: new hypotheses a…
Differential privacy of Gaussian process posterior sampling
problem Privacy of posterior sample paths from Gaussian process
method Intrinsic randomness yields DP guarantees
result Intrinsic randomness yields DP guarantees
Embeddings leak sensitive information about input data, which can be recovered or inferred.
problem Information leakage in embedding models.
method Developed three classes of attacks to study information leakage.
result Embeddings leak sensitive information about input data, which can be partially recovered or inferred.