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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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59118177236 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for decision heuristics

Decision tree learning heuristics fail even in smoothed analysis for complex targets.

problem Greedy decision tree learning heuristics fail for complex target functions in the smoothed analysis model.
method Construct counterexamples and analyze the behavior of heuristics in the smoothed setting and agnostic setting.
result Greedy decision tree learning heuristics can build trees of exponential depth before achieving high accuracy for certain complex target functions.

This paper explores the use of Column Generation (CG) techniques in constructing univariate binary decision trees for classification tasks. We propose a novel Integer Linear Programming (ILP) formulation, based on root-to-leaf paths in decision trees. The model is solved via a Column Generation based heuristic. To spee…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved decision tree learning guarantees for complex functions.

problem Achieving provable guarantees for decision tree induction with complex target functions.
method Introduces a new splitting criterion that considers correlations between target function and subsets of attributes.
result Proves provable guarantees for all target functions with respect to the uniform distribution, circumventing previous impossibility results.

A novel gradient-based method optimizes decision trees for complex tasks.

problem Training decision trees with arbitrary differentiable loss functions.
method Gradient-based optimization using first and second derivatives of loss functions.
result Improves accuracy and flexibility in decision tree optimization.

ARL uses queries to learn rewards, focusing on cost vs. reward value.

problem How to efficiently use queries to learn rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Proposed and evaluated heuristic approaches for ARL in multi-armed bandits and MDPs.
result Challenging aspects of ARL highlighted, including intractability of value computation.

Proposes proactive bed requests to reduce ED boarding and patient wait times.

problem Reduces ED boarding and patient wait times by proactively requesting inpatient beds.
method Formulates as a Markov decision process, uses predictions of admission probability and time to disposition to guide bed requests.
result Proactive aggregate bed requests can reduce boarding times by 30-70% and length of stay by 6-15%.

A new RL approach learns near-equivalent actions for healthcare decisions.

problem Finding optimal actions in healthcare settings where actions may be near-equivalent.
method Temporal difference learning with a near-greedy heuristic for action selection.
result The proposed algorithm discovers meaningful near-equivalent actions and converges well.

We study the explore-exploit tradeoff in distributed cooperative decision-making using the context of the multiarmed bandit (MAB) problem. For the distributed cooperative MAB problem, we design the cooperative UCB algorithm that comprises two interleaved distributed processes: (i) running consensus algorithms for estim…

2015-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, a heuristic as operational tool to estimate the lactate threshold and to facilitate its integration into the training process of recreational runners is proposed. To do so, we formalize the principles for the lactate threshold estimation from empirical data and an iterative methodology that enables experi…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we explore and detail our experiments in a high-dimensionality, multi-class image classification problem often found in the automatic recognition of Sign Languages. Here, our efforts are directed towards comparing the characteristics, advantages and drawbacks of creating and training Support Vector Machi…

2012-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach uses deep reinforcement learning for vehicle dispatching, reducing waiting times.

problem Dynamic vehicle dispatching problem in various contexts.
method Event-based semi-Markov decision process with deep q-learning.
result Deep reinforcement learning policies outperform heuristic methods in New York City data.

We introduce Parameterized Exploration (PE), a simple family of methods for model-based tuning of the exploration schedule in sequential decision problems. Unlike common heuristics for exploration, our method accounts for the time horizon of the decision problem as well as the agent's current state of knowledge of the …

2019-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, there are many attempts to understand popular heuristics. An example of such a heuristic algorithm is the ID3 algorithm for learning decision trees. This algorithm is commonly used in practice, but there are very few theoretical works studying its behavior. In this paper, we analyze the ID3 algorithm, …

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles efficient exploration in MDPs to learn accurate models.

problem Efficient exploration in MDPs to learn accurate models.
method Formalizes the problem, introduces an algorithm for εε-accurate model estimation, and proposes a heuristic-based algorithm.
result Heuristic-based algorithm outperforms original algorithm in small sample regime.

The construction of efficient and effective decision trees remains a key topic in machine learning because of their simplicity and flexibility. A lot of heuristic algorithms have been proposed to construct near-optimal decision trees. ID3, C4.5 and CART are classical decision tree algorithms and the split criteria they…

2015-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

HL algorithms improve resource allocation in cloud environments.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with exogenous variables.
method HL algorithms leverage exogenous variable samples to infer counterfactual consequences.
result HL algorithms outperform classic methods and reinforcement learning in resource allocation.

Hypothesis testing is an important problem with applications in target localization, clinical trials etc. Many active hypothesis testing strategies operate in two phases: an exploration phase and a verification phase. In the exploration phase, selection of experiments is such that a moderate level of confidence on the …

2018-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We formalise the widespread idea of interpreting neural network decisions as an explicit optimisation problem in a rate-distortion framework. A set of input features is deemed relevant for a classification decision if the expected classifier score remains nearly constant when randomising the remaining features. We disc…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a Bayesian-decision-theory framework for long-tailed classification.

problem Heavy imbalance and asymmetric misprediction costs in long-tailed datasets.
method Bayesian-decision-theory perspective, unifying re-balancing and ensemble methods.
result Improves accuracy for all classes, especially tails, with provably optimal decisions.

Inferring a decision tree from a given dataset is one of the classic problems in machine learning. This problem consists of buildings, from a labelled dataset, a tree such that each node corresponds to a class and a path between the tree root and a leaf corresponds to a conjunction of features to be satisfied in this c…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for CO problems using RL, providing optimal solutions and convergence guarantees.

problem Combinatorial optimization problems
method Unified framework of Markov decision processes (MDPs) and value-based reinforcement learning (RL) techniques
result RL techniques converge to approximate solutions with a guarantee on optimality gap

This research improves uncertainty estimation for medical predictions, enhancing model trust and decision support.

problem Improving model uncertainty estimation for rare medical conditions.
method Developed and refined heuristics for selecting uncertainty estimation techniques, distinguishing them by clinical use-case. Also, compared ensembles vs. auto-encoders for detecting out-of-domain examples.
result Auto-encoders outperform ensembles in detecting out-of-domain examples, highlighting their importance for medical tabular data.

We are witnessing an increasing use of data-driven predictive models to inform decisions. As decisions have implications for individuals and society, there is increasing pressure on decision makers to be transparent about their decision policies. At the same time, individuals may use knowledge, gained by transparency, …

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proposes optimal decision rules for hierarchical classifiers to better align with evaluation metrics.

problem Heuristic decision rules in hierarchical classification do not align with evaluation metrics.
method Derives optimal decision rules for various prediction settings, focusing on hierarchical hFβhF_β scores.
result Optimal decision rules enhance the performance and reliability of hierarchical classifiers.

E-valuator converts verifier scores into reliable decision rules.

problem Ensuring the correctness of agent trajectories based on heuristic scores.
method Sequential hypothesis testing framework for online monitoring of agent trajectories.
result E-valuator provides better false alarm rate control and statistical power than other strategies.

AI-Interpret transforms opaque policies into simple, interpretable decision rules.

problem Designing effective decision aids for professionals to mitigate decision-making biases.
method Combining imitation learning, program induction, and clustering to transform learned policies into interpretable descriptions.
result Providing interpretable decision rules as flowcharts significantly improves people's planning strategies and decisions.

Paper identifies a shared toolkit of strategies for risk management across fields.

problem Uncertainty and risk management in various fields.
method Systematic identification and categorization of 110 strategies.
result RDOT: Risk-reducing Design and Operations Toolkit provides versatile responses to uncertainty.

Human decision-making deviates from the optimal solution, that maximizes cumulative rewards, in many situations. Here we approach this discrepancy from the perspective of bounded rationality and our goal is to provide a justification for such seemingly sub-optimal strategies. More specifically we investigate the hypoth…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A method to combine saliency metrics for better CNN pruning decisions.

problem Improving CNN pruning decisions by combining multiple saliency metrics.
method Proposes a method to compose different saliency metrics for better CNN pruning decisions.
result The composition of saliencies avoids many poor pruning choices identified by individual saliencies.