Model predicts US COVID-19 deaths with quantile estimates.
problem Predicting US COVID-19 deaths at county level.
method Hybrid machine learning and epidemiological approach, minimizing pinball loss.
result Quantile estimates accurately forecast deaths for different forecast periods.
Deep learning improves death cause coding accuracy.
problem Geospatial discrepancies in human-coded death certificates.
method Deep artificial neural network model trained on CépiDc database.
result 97.8% accuracy in automated coding compared to 75% for Iris software.
Study uses DNA methylation data to predict suicidal and non-suicidal deaths.
problem Predicting suicidal and non-suicidal deaths from DNA methylation data.
method Support Vector Machines (SVM) with dimensionality reduction using PCA and t-SNE.
result t-SNE outperforms PCA in reducing data dimensionality.
condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.
problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.
Machine learning predicts mask mandates reduce COVID-19 deaths.
problem Effectiveness of mask mandates on reducing COVID-19 deaths.
method Machine learning classification algorithms applied to survey data.
result Mask mandates correlated with reduced death ratios in most counties.
ECG signal learning predicts cardiovascular death risk.
problem Scarce positive ECG event examples and class imbalance.
method Multiple instance learning framework for raw ECG signals.
result Learned risk score outperforms existing metrics.
Paper develops a model to predict kidney transplant success.
problem Mismatched deceased donor-recipient kidney leads to post-transplant death.
method Data analysis of 584 imported kidneys from 12 transplant centers.
result Predicting model reduces mortality rate due to kidney mismatch.
Deep learning predicts Dota 2 deaths with high precision and recall.
problem Predicting key events like hero deaths in fast-paced esports matches.
method Shared weights deep learning network trained on Dota 2 data.
result 0.377 precision and 0.725 recall in predicting deaths within 5 seconds.
Paper develops a method for valid inference using language model predictions from verbal autopsy narratives.
problem Valid inference from verbal autopsy narratives for public health decision-making.
method Develops multiPPI++ method for valid inference using NLP techniques for COD prediction.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of multiPPI++ in handling transportability issues and recovering ground truth estimates.
Method approximates first passage times for birth-death processes.
problem Approximating first passage times for birth-death processes.
method General method using birth-death process properties, Keilson's theorem, and Riemann sums.
result Closed-form expressions for first passage times.
AI generates a sequence of death causes from hospital records.
problem Accurate death reporting for vital statistics and policy formulation.
method Neural machine translation models to generate causal chains, incorporating medical domain knowledge.
result Achieved 16.04 BLEU score for generating accurate causal chains.
The paper introduces Precision Disease Networks (PDN) for predicting medical outcomes.
problem Predicting medical outcomes for patients with diseases.
method Building patient-specific disease networks, clustering, and data visualization.
result PDN improves prediction of patient outcomes compared to standard statistical analysis.
Random forest models predict CLABSI risk in hospital admissions, with static models performing similarly to dynamic ones.
problem Predicting CLABSI risk in hospital admissions using EHR data with competing risks.
method Comparison of static and dynamic random forest models for binary, multinomial, survival, and competing risks outcomes.
result Static and dynamic random forest models perform similarly in predicting CLABSI risk, with multinomial models having the lowest computation times.
Proposes a new birth-death process for better modeling of population dynamics.
problem Models of population or opinion dynamics with spurious long-range memory.
method Introduces Bessel-like birth-death process to address the spurious long-range memory.
result Derives equations for the burst and inter-burst duration of the new process.
Recently we developed a new framework in Hirz et al (2015) to model stochastic mortality using extended CreditRisk+ methodology which is very different from traditional time series methods used for mortality modelling previously. In this framework, deaths are driven by common latent stochastic risk factors which may…
Study shows death ratio of COVID-19 deaths increases financial volatility.
problem Impact of COVID-19 deaths on financial markets.
method Analysis of VIX index based on daily case reports and death ratios.
result Death ratio positively influences financial volatility.
Study identifies clusters of EU countries with similar young mortality patterns.
problem Identify clusters of EU countries with similar mortality patterns in young population.
method Symbolic data analysis (SDA) with age, gender, and main causes of death dimensions.
result Identified clusters of EU countries with similar mortality patterns in young population.
Paper develops deep learning for predicting clinical endpoints from diverse medical records.
problem Predicting clinical endpoints from heterogeneous, irregularly visiting medical records.
method Proposes a novel model with a new gate to control visiting rates of different events.
result Model effectively predicts death and abnormal lab tests with real-world clinical data.
Paper develops a method to predict cancer patient survival using molecular profiles.
problem Accurately predicting cancer patient survival with complex survival-molecular profile relationships.
method Kernel Cox partially linear regression with a novel regularized garrotized kernel machine (RegGKM) method.
result The proposed method outperforms other methods in predicting survival accuracy.
Gaussian process improves nowcasting of COVID-19 deaths.
problem Correcting for delays in reporting daily deaths.
method Flexible Gaussian process model with latent variables.
result Gaussian process nowcasts outperform other methods.
Jointly models cause-of-death mortality rates across multiple countries and genders.
problem Modeling cause-of-death mortality rates in a multinational setting.
method Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) with Kronecker-structured kernels and latent factors.
result Efficiently captures heterogeneity and dependence across different factor inputs.
Study birth-death dynamics for sampling Gibbs measures with nonconvex potentials.
problem Sampling Gibbs measures with nonconvex potentials.
method Birth-death dynamics, Kullback-Leibler divergence, χ2 divergence, kernel-based approximations, Γ-convergence of gradient flows. result Probability density converges exponentially fast to Gibbs equilibrium measure with a universal rate.
New method evaluates personalized treatment in critical care, robust to death.
problem Truncation by death in critical care makes traditional DTR evaluation ineffective.
method Principal stratification-based approach, focusing on always-survivor value function, with a semiparametrically efficient, multiply robust estimator.
result Demonstrates robustness and efficiency of the method for personalized treatment optimization.
Multiple cause-of-death data provides a valuable source of information that can be used to enhance health standards by predicting health related trajectories in societies with large populations. These data are often available in large quantities across U.S. states and require Big Data techniques to uncover complex hidd…
SurvLatent ODE predicts VTE risk for cancer patients, outperforming current methods.
problem Predicting clinical outcomes from irregularly sampled EHR data with competing events.
method Neural ODE-based Recurrent Neural Networks (ODE-RNN) for flexible survival time estimation.
result SurvLatent ODE outperforms Khorana Risk scores for VTE risk prediction.
Model predicts drug overdose hotspots using EMS and toxicology data.
problem Predicting drug overdose hotspots to focus limited services.
method Spatial-temporal point process model integrating EMS and toxicology data.
result Model improves prediction accuracy by integrating heterogeneous data.
Model predicts smoking events using a Hawkes process.
problem Predict smoking events to improve cessation interventions.
method Time-varying semi-parametric Hawkes process model.
result TV-SPHP achieves superior prediction performance.
A new sampling algorithm speeds up Langevin sampling for multimodal distributions.
problem Efficient sampling from multimodal distributions in Bayesian inference.
method Birth-death mechanism applied to Langevin diffusion.
result The algorithm accelerates mixing of Langevin diffusion, independent of potential barriers.
We find the optimal investment strategy for an individual who seeks to minimize one of four objectives: (1) the probability that his wealth reaches a specified ruin level {\it before} death, (2) the probability that his wealth reaches that level {\it at} death, (3) the expectation of how low his wealth drops below a sp…
Method summarizes and predicts time series data for COVID-19 cases and deaths.
problem Summarizing and predicting time series data for multiple related time series.
method Hierarchical algorithm generating shapelets for centroids, nearest neighbor search for labeling, dynamic time warping for non-uniform lengths.
result Predictive model for individual time series based on aggregated statistics.
We developed a framework to benchmark and compare competing risks survival models.
problem Limited systematic evaluation and adoption of competing risks survival models.
method Open-source reproducible benchmarking framework for comprehensive comparison.
result Systematic comparison across multiple datasets on various performance aspects.
App enhances midwives' skills in low-income countries.
problem Low-income countries have high maternal and child mortality rates.
method Deep learning models predict midwives' interest in learning materials.
result Deep learning models accurately predict midwives' interest in learning materials.
Study forecasts COVID-19 cases in Iran using deep learning.
problem Predicting the spread of COVID-19 in Iran.
method Deep learning models (Prophet, LSTM, AR, ARIMA) for forecasting.
result Deep learning models outperform time series forecasting.
AI predicts employee attrition to prevent turnover.
problem Predicting and preventing employee attrition.
method Ensemble classification and Linear Regression models.
result Predicts employee attrition with over 91% accuracy.
New method uses birth-death process and exploration component to accelerate sampling from multimodal distributions.
problem Sampling from multimodal probability distributions efficiently.
method Combines birth-death process and exploration component to accelerate sampling.
result Proves exponential asymptotic convergence under mild assumptions.
Model predicts road vehicle accidents with high resolution.
problem Accidents on roads in Montreal.
method Big data analytics, machine learning (Balanced Random Forest algorithm).
result 85% of road vehicle collisions detected with 13% false positives.
Bayesian calibration speeds up ABM for pandemic modeling.
problem Calibrating stochastic ABMs for accurate pandemic predictions is computationally intensive.
method Random forest surrogate modeling for accelerated ABM evaluation.
result Improved predictive performance with random forest calibration compared to previous methods.
Paper analyzes mortality risk minimization with and without securitization.
problem Risk minimization in equity-linked mortality contracts with arbitrary death time.
method Optional martingale representation and enlarged filtration to consider death uncertainty.
result Quantifies the effect of mortality uncertainty on risk-minimizing strategies.
In this paper we present a numerical valuation of variable annuities with combined Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) and Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) under optimal policyholder behaviour solved as an optimal stochastic control problem. This product simultaneously deals with financial risk, mortali…
New algorithm predicts lung cancer progression and mortality.
problem Predicting semi-competing risk outcomes in lung cancer.
method Neural Expectation-Maximization algorithm for multi-state outcomes.
result Estimates non-parametric baseline hazards and risk functions.
New birth-death dynamics accelerates convergence in neural networks.
problem Accelerating convergence in neural networks with large parameters.
method Proposed a non-local mass transport dynamics as a stochastic neuronal birth-death process.
result Proved that the birth-death dynamics accelerates the rate of convergence in the mean-field limit.
Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical models that are useful for representing high-dimensional probability distributions. There has been a great deal of interest in recent years in the NP-hard problem of learning the structure of a BN from observed data. Typically, one assigns a score to various structures and the sear…
Looking for associations among multiple variables is a topical issue in statistics due to the increasing amount of data encountered in biology, medicine and many other domains involving statistical applications. Graphical models have recently gained popularity for this purpose in the statistical literature. Following t…
AI-assisted heart disease diagnosis reduces misdiagnosis and saves lives.
problem Misdiagnosis of heart disease leads to unnecessary deaths.
method Developed an AI application using ML and DNN algorithms on a dataset from the Cleveland Clinic Foundation.
result DNN model achieved a 92% accuracy rate, reducing misdiagnosis.
Study quantifies how COVID-19 spread affects US stock markets.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on US stock market during pandemic.
method Developed a novel temporal complex network approach using econometric and ML models.
result Local spread of COVID-19 and Google searches impact abnormal stock prices.
The paper studies curvature conditions on birth-death processes and graphs.
problem Curvature dimension conditions on birth-death processes and linear graphs.
method Combinatorial characterization and proof of conditions for linear graphs.
result Volume doubling property and Poincaré inequality for graphs with non-negative curvature.
In this paper we study the financial repercussions of the destruction of two fully armed and operational moon-sized battle stations ("Death Stars") in a 4-year period and the dissolution of the galactic government in Star Wars. The emphasis of this work is to calibrate and simulate a model of the banking and financial …
This paper analyzes forecasting models for COVID-19 cases and deaths.
problem Reliable forecasting of COVID-19 cases and deaths is crucial for managing the disease.
method Quantitative analysis of forecasting models across different regions in the US, evaluating model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and training time.
result Model selection is the most influential factor in forecasting performance.