Study identifies negative data externalities affecting model performance on specific groups.
problem Negative data externalities on group performance in machine learning models.
method Characterized and detected data-model inefficiencies, focusing on specific types of externalities.
result Negative data externalities can lower model performance on specific sub-groups, even with larger datasets.
Study improves drug synergy prediction using ensemble learning.
problem Predicting drug synergy in complex diseases.
method Investigated different compound representations and proposed an ensemble model.
result Ensemble model outperforms baseline models.
Study finds more flood risk strategies can improve outcomes in NYC.
problem Managing future flood risks with complex models.
method Used an intermediate complexity model to analyze flood risk strategies.
result More combinations of risk mitigation strategies expand the solution set and improve outcomes.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) transform stimuli across multiple processing stages to produce representations that can be used to solve complex tasks, such as object recognition in images. However, a full understanding of how they achieve this remains elusive. The complexity of biological neural networks substantially exc…
Signed pairwise interactions conflate uniqueness, redundancy, and synergy
problem Signed pairwise interactions conflate uniqueness, redundancy, and synergy
method Stochastic Hi-Fi
result Stochastic Hi-Fi recovers structure missed by scalar baselines
Study how neural networks learn from non-Gaussian data models.
problem Understanding neural network learning dynamics with non-Gaussian data.
method Developed a two-layer neural network with Hermite polynomial activations to control high-order cumulants.
result Neural networks progressively learn high-order cumulants after capturing low-order statistics.
A scalable framework uses Langevin sampling to approximate neural network models of evolving processes.
problem Uncertainty quantification in neural network models of dynamic systems.
method Flexible data model based on NODE, joint learning of data model and posterior parameters, Langevin sampling.
result Demonstrated performance on chemical reaction and material physics data, compared favorably to variational inference.
Developed Taylor series for muscle-finger system analysis.
problem Understanding the complex relationship between muscle activity and finger movement.
method Used Dendrite Net to develop Taylor series and construct relation spectrum.
result Found muscle synergy and coupling in hand movement.
Historical (Stressed-) Value-at-Risk ((S)VAR), and Expected Shortfall (ES), are widely used risk measures in regulatory capital and Initial Margin, i.e. funding, computations. However, whilst the definitions of VAR and ES are unambiguous, they depend on input distributions that are data-cleaning- and Data-Model-depende…
Skilled robotic manipulation benefits from complex synergies between non-prehensile (e.g. pushing) and prehensile (e.g. grasping) actions: pushing can help rearrange cluttered objects to make space for arms and fingers; likewise, grasping can help displace objects to make pushing movements more precise and collision-fr…
Paper improves SOMs for non-Euclidean data modeling.
problem Traditional SOMs assume Euclidean data, limiting their applicability.
method Introduces topology-related extensions to traditional SOM algorithm.
result Improves SOMs for non-Euclidean data, enhancing data modeling.
DL models can outperform regionalized models in hydrology by pooling diverse data.
problem Traditional wisdom in hydrology suggests regionalization improves model performance, but DL models can unify data for better performance.
method Used DL models on pooled data from different regions, showing improved performance compared to regionalized models.
result DL models can improve performance by pooling diverse data, highlighting the 'data synergy' effect.
This paper proposes a deep learning model combining CNN and Transformer for improved credit default prediction.
problem Traditional machine learning models struggle with complex financial data and risk patterns.
method Combines CNN for local feature extraction and Transformer for global dependency modeling.
result The CNN+Transformer model outperforms traditional models in accuracy, AUC, and KS value.
The problem of learning a sparse model is conceptually interpreted as the process of identifying active features/samples and then optimizing the model over them. Recently introduced safe screening allows us to identify a part of non-active features/samples. So far, safe screening has been individually studied either fo…
The abstract discusses how humans use visualizations in machine learning.
problem The reliance on human involvement in AI systems and analytics.
method Review of seven steps in the ML process and different visualization techniques.
result Different visualizations are used at various stages of the ML process.
Responding to discussions on missing data models.
problem Clarifying causal and counterfactual views in missing data models.
method Summarizing and responding to comments from discussants.
result Summarized main contributions and addressed each discussion.
MOGPTK simplifies multi-channel data modeling with Gaussian processes.
problem Modeling multi-channel data efficiently and accurately.
method Python package with TensorFlow backend, supporting various GP kernels and parameter initialization strategies.
result Enables GPU-accelerated training and comprehensive GP modeling pipeline.
In our study, we demonstrate the synergy effect between convolutional neural networks and the multiplicity of SMILES. The model we propose, the so-called Convolutional Neural Fingerprint (CNF) model, reaches the accuracy of traditional descriptors such as Dragon (Mauri et al. [22]), RDKit (Landrum [18]), CDK2 (Willigha…
Unified perspective unites Bayesian optimization and active learning for efficient goal-oriented optimization.
problem Efficiently optimize expensive engineering and scientific problems with limited data.
method Unified framework linking Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
result Unified approach formalizes Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.
Estimates interactions between modalities for multimodal data.
problem Accurately quantifying interactions between different data types.
method Developed Lightweight Sample-wise Multimodal Interaction (LSMI) estimator using pointwise information theory.
result LSMI reveals fine-grained dynamics in multimodal data.
Our article considers the class of recently developed stochastic models that combine claims payments and incurred losses information into a coherent reserving methodology. In particular, we develop a family of Heirarchical Bayesian Paid-Incurred-Claims models, combining the claims reserving models of Hertig et al. (198…
Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…
Efficient tensor decomposition for count data models achieves near-optimal multiway analysis.
problem Efficient tensor decomposition for count data models.
method Rank-constrained maximum-likelihood estimator for tensor decomposition.
result Achieves multiway analysis with variance matching Cramér-Rao Lower Bound up to constants and logarithmic factors.
Breiman's data analysis dichotomy is outdated, offering a third approach: mechanistic models.
problem Data analysis dichotomy between data modelers and algorithmic modelers.
method Interpolating between simple interpretable models and flexible function approximations using mechanistic models.
result Flexible, interpretable, and scientifically-informed hybrids can provide accurate and robust predictions.
In Divide & Recombine (D&R), big data are divided into subsets, each analytic method is applied to subsets, and the outputs are recombined. This enables deep analysis and practical computational performance. An innovate D\&R procedure is proposed to compute likelihood functions of data-model (DM) parameters for big dat…
PDTS improves robustness in sequential decision-making.
problem Robust active task sampling for efficient and reliable decision-making.
method Characterizes robust active task sampling as a Markov decision process, proposes PDTS method.
result Significantly improves zero-shot and few-shot adaptation robustness.
ecpc R-package improves high-dimensional prediction with co-data.
problem High-dimensional prediction with more variables than samples.
method Adaptive ridge penalised models with co-data, including continuous co-data.
result Improved variable selection and prediction performance.
Enhances inverse design optimization with machine learning and reduced fidelity simulations.
problem Limited compute resources in inverse design optimization.
method Synergy of multi-fidelity simulations, machine learning, and search space reduction.
result Significant computational resource savings and improved optimization performance.
Understanding how different information sources together transmit information is crucial in many domains. For example, understanding the neural code requires characterizing how different neurons contribute unique, redundant, or synergistic pieces of information about sensory or behavioral variables. Williams and Beer (…
New method disentangles high-order effects in feature importance.
problem Quantifying cooperative effects in feature importance.
method Adaptive Leave One Covariate Out (LOCO) method to decompose LOCO into two-body and higher-order components.
result Decomposes LOCO into two-body and higher-order components, highlighting synergistic and redundant effects.
PoPPy is a Point Process toolbox based on PyTorch, which achieves flexible designing and efficient learning of point process models. It can be used for interpretable sequential data modeling and analysis, e.g., Granger causality analysis of multi-variate point processes, point process-based simulation and prediction of…
In this work we present a review of the state of the art of information theoretic feature selection methods. The concepts of feature relevance, redundance and complementarity (synergy) are clearly defined, as well as Markov blanket. The problem of optimal feature selection is defined. A unifying theoretical framework i…
The paper proposes a method to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using pretraining strategies.
problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in the presence of many covariates.
method The approach leverages prognostic factors that also predict treatment effect heterogeneity, using the R-learner framework.
result The proposed method improves estimation accuracy and power for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity.
Commentary on Rashomon Effect complicating model selection.
problem Many models equally predict data; hard to draw conclusions.
method Connections to recent ML literature exploring implications.
result Grasping Rashomon Effect can foster collaboration.
Missing data is a pervasive problem in data analyses, resulting in datasets that contain censored realizations of a target distribution. Many approaches to inference on the target distribution using censored observed data, rely on missing data models represented as a factorization with respect to a directed acyclic gra…
High-dimensional data models, often with low sample size, abound in many interdisciplinary studies, genomics and large biological systems being most noteworthy. The conventional assumption of multinormality or linearity of regression may not be plausible for such models which are likely to be statistically complex due …
Leo Breiman's Rashomon Effect and Occam Dilemma are re-evaluated in the context of modern machine learning.
problem The tradeoff between model complexity and accuracy in machine learning.
method Modern perspective on Breiman's arguments using current computational capabilities.
result Algorithmic models can be accurate without being complex, nullifying the Occam Dilemma.
Proposes a new method to better understand complex system interactions.
problem Current methods like Granger causality and transfer entropy fail to capture higher-order interactions.
method Introduces a generalized approach to capture multivariate causal interactions.
result The method can distinguish causal roles in synergetic interactions.
Weak supervision challenges black-box models, suggesting fusion of modeling cultures.
problem Challenges of strong supervision in achieving accurate predictions.
method Integrating data modeling into algorithmic modeling for weak supervision.
result Integration of data modeling culture improves model stability and accuracy.
TriTPP models enable faster and more flexible event data modeling.
problem Inflexibility and slow sampling in traditional TPP models.
method Triangular Maps and Normalizing Flows for parallel sampling and likelihood computation.
result TriTPP models achieve orders of magnitude faster sampling while maintaining flexibility.
Combining causality, control, and reinforcement learning for system control.
problem Learning to control dynamical systems using causal, control, and reinforcement learning approaches.
method Combining causal identification, control strategies, and reinforcement learning to control dynamical systems.
result Combining different learning paradigms for effective system control.
We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random Forests, and (2) Association Rules. Our classifier reaches an average sensitivity of…
R package xtdml uses DML for panel data models with fixed effects.
problem Estimating structural parameters in panel data models with fixed effects.
method Combines machine learning with statistical estimation for inference.
result Demonstrates improved performance in learning nuisance functions.
The Gaussian mixture model is a classic technique for clustering and data modeling that is used in numerous applications. With the rise of big data, there is a need for parameter estimation techniques that can handle streaming data and distribute the computation over several processors. While online variants of the Exp…
A faster Bayesian method for estimating spatial count data models.
problem Bayesian estimation of spatial count data models is computationally expensive and slow.
method Derive a Variational Bayes (VB) method for posterior inference in negative binomial models with spatial dependence.
result The VB method is up to 50 times faster than MCMC and offers similar accuracy.
New C∗-algebra approach unifies machine learning strategies.
problem Lack of diverse and information-rich data models in machine learning.
method Integrates C∗-algebra into machine learning frameworks. result Unified learning strategies and new data models.
Robust low-rank matrix estimation is a topic of increasing interest, with promising applications in a variety of fields, from computer vision to data mining and recommender systems. Recent theoretical results establish the ability of such data models to recover the true underlying low-rank matrix when a large portion o…