Develops theory for data-driven methods in dynamical systems.
problem Lack of analysis for data-driven methods in dynamical systems.
method Establishes existence of mapping and properties of operator learning architecture.
result Novel universal approximation theorems for smoothing and forecasting.
Bayesian nonparametrics improves data-driven risk optimization under distributional uncertainty.
problem Improving out-of-sample performance in machine learning models due to distributional uncertainty.
method Combining Bayesian nonparametric theory and decision-theoretic preferences to propose a robust optimization criterion.
result The proposed robust optimization procedure provides favorable statistical guarantees and tractable approximations.
Develops a data-driven smoothing technique for high-dimensional, non-linear panel data.
problem Improving prediction accuracy in high-dimensional, non-linear panel data models.
method Adaptive discrete smoothing with data-driven weights based on individual function similarity.
result Significant improvement in prediction accuracy compared to traditional linear panel data estimators.
New framework for data-driven hyperparameter tuning with structured loss.
problem Statistical foundations for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning remain limited.
method General framework using real algebraic geometry for semi-algebraic function classes.
result First general guarantees for multi-dimensional hyperparameter tuning.
Improves robustness of high-dimensional regression with rank objective and group lasso regularization.
problem Heavy-tailed noise and outliers in high-dimensional regression.
method Non-smooth Wilcoxon score based rank objective, group lasso regularization, data-driven tuning rule, proximal augmented Lagrangian method.
result Robust estimator with finite-sample error bound and efficient computational method.
New optimization method corrects data-driven optimizer's curse.
problem Over-optimistic evaluation in data-driven optimization.
method Smoothed f f f -Divergence Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO). result Statistical bound on out-of-sample performance nearly tightest.
Estimates time-varying network connections using multi-stage smoothing.
problem Estimating edge probabilities of time-varying networks.
method Multi-stage smoothing: temporal local smoothing followed by node-domain smoothing.
result Captures both smooth temporal evolution and structural patterns in connectivity.
Unified framework for DRO and DTA using Bayesian nonparametrics.
problem Combining DRO and DTA under ambiguity.
method Unified framework using DP and HDPs, with outlier robustness.
result Favorable performance in prediction accuracy and stability.
Modeling air pollutants using data-driven techniques and sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics.
problem Predicting concentrations of air pollutants using hidden physical laws.
method Sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) for parsimonious systems of ordinary differential equations.
result More than half of the critical points are saddle points, indicating system instability.
Enhances random forests by smoothing predictions for better performance.
problem Suboptimal performance due to piecewise constant predictions in random forests.
method Kernel-based smoothing mechanism to introduce local regularity.
result Smoothed random forest model consistently improves predictive performance.
New method optimizes hyperparameters for non-smooth problems efficiently.
problem Efficiently tuning hyperparameters for non-smooth cost functions.
method Combines hyperparameter search with proximal gradient updates.
result Method converges to local optimum of LOO validation error.
Data-driven modeling increasingly requires to find a Nash equilibrium in multi-player games, e.g. when training GANs. In this paper, we analyse a new extra-gradient method for Nash equilibrium finding, that performs gradient extrapolations and updates on a random subset of players at each iteration. This approach prova…
ADML combines debiased learning with data-driven model selection for efficient inference.
problem Debiased machine learning estimators can be unstable and biased in nonparametric models.
method Data-driven model selection techniques combined with debiased machine learning.
result ADML estimators yield superefficient inference for pathwise differentiable parameters.
Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives of the density functions have received only relatively scant attention. Kernel …
Nonparametric tests via kernel embedding of distributions have witnessed a great deal of practical successes in recent years. However, statistical properties of these tests are largely unknown beyond consistency against a fixed alternative. To fill in this void, we study here the asymptotic properties of goodness-of-fi…
A new line search rule improves support recovery in high-dimensional data.
problem Support recovery in high-dimensional data analysis with ℓ 0 \ell_0 ℓ 0 penalty. method Data-driven line search rule for adaptive step size determination.
result Proves ℓ 2 \ell_2 ℓ 2 error bound without restrictions on cost functional. New method discovers symmetries in differential equations from data.
problem Directly identifying Lie symmetries from scattered data without explicit equations.
method Numerical scheme using manifold learning and linear system construction.
result Accuracy and robustness demonstrated in various differential equations.
The paper discusses scalable learning for wireless data-driven systems.
problem Expanding data volume and model complexity limit centralized learning solutions.
method Discusses scalable architecture and local learning strategies.
result Promising research directions in scalable data-driven wireless communications.
This paper reviews recent advances in the field of optimization under uncertainty via a modern data lens, highlights key research challenges and promise of data-driven optimization that organically integrates machine learning and mathematical programming for decision-making under uncertainty, and identifies potential r…
New estimator achieves minimax optimal risk in transfer learning.
problem Nonparametric regression with transfer learning.
method Confidence thresholding estimator and data-driven adaptive algorithm.
result Adaptive algorithm achieves minimax risk up to a logarithmic factor.
Deep-HGP uses Bayesian nonparametric approach for complex data regression.
problem Complex data regression with compositional structures.
method Deep Gaussian processes with a squared-exponential kernel, data-driven lengthscale parameters.
result Posterior distribution optimally recovers unknown true regression curve in terms of quadratic loss.
A reliable controller is critical and essential for the execution of safe and smooth maneuvers of an autonomous vehicle.The controller must be robust to external disturbances, such as road surface, weather, and wind conditions, and so on.It also needs to deal with the internal parametric variations of vehicle sub-syste…
Optimal data-driven formulations are found for learning and decision-making with historical data.
problem Designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations from historical data.
method Define a yardstick for measuring formulation quality, then construct an optimal formulation that is uniformly closer to the true cost.
result Existence of three distinct out-of-sample performance regimes with corresponding optimal formulations.
Proposes a nonparametric model for dynamic team rankings.
problem Dynamic ranking of distinct teams over time.
method Kernel smoothing for nonparametric estimation in sparse settings.
result Time-varying oracle bounds for estimation and excess risk.
A new method for support vector regression using a data-driven insensitive parameter.
problem Determining an optimal insensitive parameter in support vector regression.
method A data-driven approach to approximate the insensitive parameter by minimizing a generalized loss function based on the likelihood principle.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional support vector regression methods and has lower computational costs.
WeatherBench provides a dataset and metrics for comparing data-driven weather forecasts.
problem Lack of a common dataset and evaluation metrics for data-driven weather forecasting.
method Publicly available dataset derived from ERA5, simple evaluation metrics.
result Baseline scores from various forecasting methods provided for comparison.
Paper presents a data-driven method for option pricing.
problem Option pricing accuracy under market volatility.
method Data-driven ensemble approach based on no-arbitrage theory.
result Model performance validated with real data.
Proposes data-driven methods for estimating conditional expectations.
problem Estimating conditional expectations when underlying density is unknown.
method Data-driven techniques to directly estimate conditional expectations from training data.
result Extends data-driven method to solve nonlinear equations in stochastic optimization.
Hybridizes physical and data-driven methods for predicting physicochemical properties.
problem Predicting physicochemical properties accurately using limited data.
method Distills physical method predictions into a prior model and combines with sparse experimental data using Bayesian inference.
result Significant improvements in predicting activity coefficients at infinite dilution compared to baselines and ensemble methods.
fastkqr speeds up kernel quantile regression by up to 10x.
problem Huge computational demands of kernel quantile regression.
method A novel finite smoothing algorithm and spectral technique.
result Significantly faster computation of quantile regression.
This research designs a data-driven partition to test independence between continuous variables.
problem Testing independence between continuous random variables.
method Empirical log-likelihood statistic and data-driven tree-structured partition.
result Strongly consistent test of independence over probability families.
Data-driven method for option pricing using historical asset prices.
problem Tackling the gap between historical asset prices and risk-neutral option pricing.
method Identifying a pricing kernel process, solving utility maximization and functional optimization problems using deep learning.
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the data-driven option pricing methodology.
We study the performance of data-driven, a priori and random approaches to label space partitioning for multi-label classification with a Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier. Experiments were performed on 12 benchmark data sets and evaluated on 5 established measures of classification quality: micro and macro averaged F1 s…
Study integrates machine learning with SAA for optimizing decisions based on uncertain parameters and covariates.
problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Data-driven frameworks integrating machine learning prediction models within SAA for scenario generation.
result Consistent and asymptotically optimal solutions under certain conditions, with finite sample guarantees.
Paper optimizes estimation of quadratic functionals in nonparametric IV models.
problem Optimal estimation of a nonlinear functional in ill-posed inverse regression.
method Adaptive, minimax estimation using leave-one-out, sieve NPIV estimator with data-driven sieve dimension selection.
result Adaptive estimator achieves minimax optimal rate in various ill-posed cases.
KOMET identifies Koopman operators from model parameter trajectories to adapt to evolving data distributions.
problem Adaptation of parametric models to non-stationary environments.
method Data-driven framework using Koopman operator identification and Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD).
result KOMET achieves high autonomous-rollout accuracies of 0.981 to 1.000 over 100 time steps on various drifting datasets.
Data-driven approach learns effective equations for phase field interfaces.
problem Learning accurate equations for phase field interface dynamics.
method Data-driven identification of partial differential equations from phase field data.
result Data-driven equations outperform analytical approximations in certain regimes.
Data-driven models analyze power grids under incomplete physical information, and their accuracy has been mostly validated empirically using certain training and testing datasets. This paper explores error bounds for data-driven models under all possible training and testing scenarios, and proposes an evaluation implem…
Smooth neural TPPs using B-splines for better efficiency and accuracy.
problem Efficiently modeling sequences of events in continuous time with neural networks.
method Directly parametrize the CIF as a non-negative combination of B-spline basis functions, predicting coefficients with a neural network.
result Improved computational efficiency and predictive accuracy compared to existing methods.
RCUKF combines data-driven modeling and Bayesian estimation for accurate system state estimation.
problem Challenges in obtaining reliable process models for complex systems.
method Integrates reservoir computing with unscented Kalman filtering.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on benchmark problems and real-time vehicle trajectory estimation.
Consider a nonparametric contextual multi-arm bandit problem where each arm a ∈ [ K ] a \in [K] a ∈ [ K ] is associated to a nonparametric reward function f a : [ 0 , 1 ] → R f_a: [0,1] \to \mathbb{R} f a : [ 0 , 1 ] → R mapping from contexts to the expected reward. Suppose that there is a large set of arms, yet there is a simple but unknown structure amongst the arm reward…
Stochastic cutting planes improve data-driven optimization speed.
problem Data-driven Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Optimization problems.
method Stochastic version of cutting-plane method.
result Stochastic algorithm converges to ε-optimal solution with high probability.
Most structure inference methods either rely on exhaustive search or are purely data-driven. Exhaustive search robustly infers the structure of arbitrarily complex data, but it is slow. Data-driven methods allow efficient inference, but do not generalize when test data have more complex structures than training data. I…
Many challenging image processing tasks can be described by an ill-posed linear inverse problem: deblurring, deconvolution, inpainting, compressed sensing, and superresolution all lie in this framework. Traditional inverse problem solvers minimize a cost function consisting of a data-fit term, which measures how well a…
Machine learning finds new natural laws from noisy data.
problem Discovery of natural laws relies on human inspiration.
method Recursive-LASSO-based symbolic regression (RLS) method.
result Data-driven formulation of natural laws from noisy data.
Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the regularization parameter. The type of regularization (e.g. the norm used to regularize)…
GNPs learn operators on non-Euclidean geometries using neural networks.
problem Learning operators on complex geometries like manifolds.
method Geometric Neural Operators (GNPs) that incorporate geometric properties.
result GNPs can estimate metrics, solve PDEs, and learn LB operators on manifolds.
This paper analyzes data-driven Newsvendor problems and finds a wide range of possible regrets.
problem Guessing the number drawn from an unknown distribution with asymmetric costs.
method Unified analysis using the notion of clustered distributions and new lower bounds.
result The entire spectrum of achievable regrets from 1 / n 1/\sqrt{n} 1/ n to 1 / n 1/n 1/ n is possible.