Optimal data-driven formulations are found for learning and decision-making with historical data.
problem Designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations from historical data.
method Define a yardstick for measuring formulation quality, then construct an optimal formulation that is uniformly closer to the true cost.
result Existence of three distinct out-of-sample performance regimes with corresponding optimal formulations.
Machine learning finds new natural laws from noisy data.
problem Discovery of natural laws relies on human inspiration.
method Recursive-LASSO-based symbolic regression (RLS) method.
result Data-driven formulation of natural laws from noisy data.
Designs a robust data-driven decision-making model to handle multiple overfitting sources.
problem Overfitting in data-driven models due to statistical error, data noise, and data misspecification.
method Holistic distributionally robust optimization formulation combining Kullback-Leibler and Lévy-Prokhorov approaches.
result Guaranteed holistic protection against statistical error, data noise, and data misspecification.
Study integrates machine learning with SAA for optimizing decisions based on uncertain parameters and covariates.
problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Data-driven frameworks integrating machine learning prediction models within SAA for scenario generation.
result Consistent and asymptotically optimal solutions under certain conditions, with finite sample guarantees.
Compressed sensing in MRI enables high subsampling factors while maintaining diagnostic image quality. This technique enables shortened scan durations and/or improved image resolution. Further, compressed sensing can increase the diagnostic information and value from each scan performed. Overall, compressed sensing has…
Unified framework for set-valued classification tackles ambiguous multi-class datasets.
problem Ambiguous multi-class datasets in modern statistics.
method Unified statistical framework encompassing various set-valued classification formulations.
result Infinite sample optimal strategies and plug-in principle for data-driven algorithms.
MaxEnt framework recovers standard model selection procedures and identifies the most generalizable model.
problem Model selection and characterization in data-scientific approaches.
method Starting from linear system of phenomenological constraints, asymptotically derive the distribution over all viable distributions.
result MaxEnt distribution is the most typical among all viable distributions and supports hypothesis testing in a fully-data driven manner.
Optimizes decisions without knowing the true distribution using historical data.
problem Optimizing decisions without knowing the true distribution.
method Combines sampling and bisection search algorithms to solve an optimization problem.
result Proves sufficient conditions for local out-of-sample optimality.
New optimization method corrects data-driven optimizer's curse.
problem Over-optimistic evaluation in data-driven optimization.
method Smoothed f-Divergence Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO). result Statistical bound on out-of-sample performance nearly tightest.
We propose a novel method for semi-supervised learning (SSL) based on data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DRO) using optimal transport metrics. Our proposed method enhances generalization error by using the unlabeled data to restrict the support of the worst case distribution in our DRO formulation. We en…
New data-driven Cartan connection tracks complex vascular structures.
problem Tracking complex vascular structures in multi-orientation images.
method Formulated a data-driven Cartan connection on M2 for geodesic tracking. result Improved geodesic tracking of vascular trees with globally optimal curves.
New method recovers BSDE from financial data without ergodicity.
problem Discovering probabilistic laws from financial data.
method Stochastic SINDy method under risk-neutral measure.
result Recovery of BSDE from limited financial data.
Current pharmaceutical formulation development still strongly relies on the traditional trial-and-error approach by individual experiences of pharmaceutical scientists, which is laborious, time-consuming and costly. Recently, deep learning has been widely applied in many challenging domains because of its important cap…
Model reduction methods aim to describe complex dynamic phenomena using only relevant dynamical variables, decreasing computational cost, and potentially highlighting key dynamical mechanisms. In the absence of special dynamical features such as scale separation or symmetries, the time evolution of these variables typi…
This paper examines how data affects risk measures in uncertain distributions.
problem How does distributional ambiguity affect risk measures?
method Formulated and derived simpler dual problems for infinite and finite dimensional robust moment problems.
result Developed theory and conducted experiments in inventory control and portfolio management.
End-to-end pipeline for data-driven decision making in mixed-integer optimization.
problem Data-driven decision making in mixed-integer optimization with uncertainty.
method Exploiting mixed-integer optimization-representability of machine learning methods, characterizing decision trust regions, and ensembling multiple models.
result Framework generates high-quality prescriptions and controls model robustness.
Develops algorithms to optimize machine replacement schedules using operational data.
problem Optimizing machine replacement intervals when the lifetime distribution is unknown.
method Formulates as a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem and proposes Hoeffding- and Bernstein-based algorithms.
result Achieves optimal or near-optimal replacement intervals with minimal regret.
We present a data-driven framework called generative adversarial privacy (GAP). Inspired by recent advancements in generative adversarial networks (GANs), GAP allows the data holder to learn the privatization mechanism directly from the data. Under GAP, finding the optimal privacy mechanism is formulated as a constrain…
Framework augments physical models with deep learning for complex dynamics forecasting.
problem Forecasting complex dynamical phenomena with partial knowledge.
method APHYNITY framework: decomposes dynamics into physical and data-driven components.
result Framework accurately forecasts system evolution and identifies relevant parameters.
The paper tackles robust statistical methods using Wasserstein DRO formulations.
problem Distributional uncertainty in learning from limited samples.
method Min-max distributionally robust optimization with Wasserstein DRO formulations.
result Error bounds free from the curse of dimensionality.
Proposes a new model for RANS simulations with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes simulations.
method Data-driven closure model with aleatoric uncertainty, Bayesian formulation, sparse indirect data.
result Accurate probabilistic predictions, even in regions of model error.
New methods improve estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
problem Estimating nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
method Formulated as a learning generalization problem, proposed adaptive and data-driven binning methods.
result Improved estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes with limited data.
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
Extends dimension reduction to data-driven settings without gradients.
problem Gradient-based dimension reduction limitations in data-driven settings.
method Score ratio matching framework, tailored parameterization, regularization, eigenvalue deflation.
result Outperforms standard score-matching for problems with low-dimensional structure.
We provide bounds on control learning error in stochastic systems.
problem Learning optimal controls in stochastic environments with uncontrolled parts.
method Dynamic programming and mean-field interpretation of neural networks.
result Non-asymptotic bounds on generalization error for stable overparametrised settings.
Flexible framework integrates machine learning and DRO for uncertain parameter prediction.
problem Limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets.
result Validation of theoretical and practical benefits in limited data scenarios.
Survey of deep RL in intelligent transportation systems.
problem Optimizing traffic signals and autonomous driving using deep RL.
method Comprehensive review of deep RL applications in traffic control and autonomous driving.
result Summarizes existing works in deep RL-based transportation applications.
Optimizes data-driven design problems on implicit manifolds using score functions.
problem Optimizing over implicit low-dimensional manifolds in high-dimensional data.
method Introduces a link function connecting data distribution to manifold operations, enabling efficient optimization.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees for feasibility and optimality of proposed algorithms.
Extracts coarse-grained PDEs from microscopic simulations.
problem Discovering effective PDEs for macro-scale processes from microscopic data.
method Combining neural networks with equation-free numerics and data-driven approaches.
result Efficiently discovers macro-scale PDEs from microscopic simulations.
Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) has been shown to provide a flexible framework for decision making under uncertainty and statistical estimation. For example, recent works in DRO have shown that popular statistical estimators can be interpreted as the solutions of suitable formulated data-driven DRO problems.…
Paper tackles robust optimization under uncertainty using nested distance.
problem Optimizing under distributionally robust uncertainty with nested distance.
method Equivalent recursive and dynamic programming reformulations for tractable optimization.
result Optimal robust policies can be found efficiently using convex optimization.
HAL accelerates the generation of training sets for accurate interatomic potentials.
problem Generating accurate and transferable interatomic potentials is time-consuming and requires expert input.
method HAL framework using a physically motivated sampler with a biasing term to drive high uncertainty configurations.
result HAL-generated training databases for alloys and polymers predict macroscopic properties with high accuracy.
Efficiently solves heterogeneous QPs by reducing variables using instance-specific projections.
problem Solving high-dimensional quadratic programming problems efficiently.
method Data-driven framework with a graph neural network generating projections tailored to each QP instance.
result Produces high-quality solutions with reduced computation time, outperforming existing methods.
In this paper we are concerned with the learnability of energies from data obtained by observing time evolutions of their critical points starting at random initial equilibria. As a byproduct of our theoretical framework we introduce the novel concept of mean-field limit of critical point evolutions and of their energy…
New framework calibrates decision robustness using inverse conformal risk control.
problem Inadequate robustness levels in decision-making due to ad hoc choices.
method Constructs valid estimators to trace miscoverage-regret Pareto frontier.
result Provides distribution-free, finite-sample guarantees on robustness levels.
We introduce a methodology for nonlinear inverse problems using a variational Bayesian approach where the unknown quantity is a spatial field. A structured Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model is used both to construct a low-dimensional generative model of the sample-based stochastic prior as well as a surro…
RARTS improves neural architecture search efficiency and accuracy.
problem Efficiency and accuracy issues in first-order DARTS.
method Formulates a relaxed architecture search (RARTS) method that uses whole dataset splitting.
result RARTS outperforms DARTS and its variants in accuracy and efficiency.
Robo-advisor uses ML to optimize investment performance.
problem Maximizing investment performance with historical data.
method Inverse optimization and deep reinforcement learning.
result Robo-advisor consistently outperformed S&P 500.
Fault detection in industrial plants is a hot research area as more and more sensor data are being collected throughout the industrial process. Automatic data-driven approaches are widely needed and seen as a promising area of investment. This paper proposes an effective machine learning algorithm to predict industrial…
CoDA adapts dynamics models to new physical systems by conditioning on context.
problem Generalizing to new physical systems with shared dynamics but different contexts.
method Context-informed dynamics adaptation (CoDA) using multiple environments and a hypernetwork.
result State-of-the-art generalization results on nonlinear dynamics.
WNVI solves inverse problems without forward models using neural networks.
problem Solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on PDEs.
method WNVI uses weighted residuals and SVI with neural networks to infer state variables and unknowns.
result WNVI is more accurate and efficient than traditional methods and handles ill-posed problems.
A new portfolio model improves on Kelly's by accounting for estimation error.
problem Estimation error in Kelly portfolio optimization.
method Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) to define a robust log-optimal portfolio.
result The Wasserstein-Kelly portfolio outperforms the Kelly portfolio in out-of-sample testing.
In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…
A fast method learns plasma collision kernels from simulations, improving kinetic models.
problem Improving kinetic models for plasma dynamics beyond the weakly coupled regime.
method Data-driven collisional operator, fast spectral separation method.
result Accurately captures plasma dynamics in moderately coupled regime.
Paper learns data-driven organ matching rules from observational data.
problem Tackles organ transplantation compatibility using observational data.
method Representation learning to cluster donors and apply recipient transformations.
result Model outperforms human experts in predicting transplant outcomes.
Empirical Gaussian Processes learn flexible priors from data.
problem Limited effectiveness of standard Gaussian process kernels.
method Estimate mean and covariance functions empirically from data.
result Empirical GPs converge to closest GP to real data generating process.
Short-and-sparse deconvolution (SaSD) is the problem of extracting localized, recurring motifs in signals with spatial or temporal structure. Variants of this problem arise in applications such as image deblurring, microscopy, neural spike sorting, and more. The problem is challenging in both theory and practice, as na…
Level-set optimization formulations with data-driven constraints minimize a regularization functional subject to matching observations to a given error level. These formulations are widely used, particularly for matrix completion and sparsity promotion in data interpolation and denoising. The misfit level is typically …