Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4182123164 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for customer scoring

Supervised randomization makes randomized experiments more cost-effective for uplift modeling.

problem Costly randomized experiments for uplift modeling.
method Integrates existing scoring models into randomized trials to target relevant customers while correcting for selection bias.
result Cost-efficient data collection under supervised randomization with competitive uplift model performance.

The study examines how social biases are reinforced in machine learning models used for credit scoring.

problem Reinforcement of societal biases in machine learning algorithms for credit scoring.
method Analysis of machine learning models predicting gender or ethnicity based on loan applications data.
result Machine learning models can reflect and reinforce social biases present in the data.

Net-Promoter Score (NPS) is now ubiquitous as an easily-collected market research metric, having displaced many serious market research processes. Unfortunately, this has been its sole success. It possesses few, if any, of the characteristics that might be regarded as highly desirable in a high-level market research me…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Firms miscount their customers who stop buying without saying goodbye.

problem Counting non-contractual customers accurately.
method Estimating repeat purchase probabilities and extrapolating to infinite time.
result The count of alive customers is only partially identified, with a wide range of estimates.

Paper presents a novel time series clustering algorithm for financial inclusion.

problem Difficulty in understanding consumer financial behavior without restrictive credit scoring.
method Developed a novel time series clustering algorithm.
result Allows institutions to offer unique financial products based on customer needs.

Multiple machine learning and prediction models are often used for the same prediction or recommendation task. In our recent work, where we develop and deploy airline ancillary pricing models in an online setting, we found that among multiple pricing models developed, no one model clearly dominates other models for all…

2019-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data because they need to be calibrated, sparse, use small integer coefficients, and obey …

2016-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes renewable energy mix to meet carbon-free targets at lowest cost.

problem Minimizing annual procurement costs while achieving specified carbon-free hourly performance.
method Probabilistic framework with simulation scenarios and probability constraints. Fixed set of renewable generators and load customer.
result Demonstrated that certain renewable energy portfolios can meet carbon-free targets at lower costs compared to others.

Paper develops a framework to optimize neural networks using weighted metrics.

problem Discrepancy between maximizing weighted classification scores and minimizing loss function.
method Formalizes weighted classification metrics and constructs corresponding losses.
result Framework includes well-established approaches like cost-sensitive learning and weighted cross entropy.

One of the key elements in the banking industry rely on the appropriate selection of customers. In order to manage credit risk, banks dedicate special efforts in order to classify customers according to their risk. The usual decision making process consists in gathering personal and financial information about the borr…

2017-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A new RL framework for risk-sensitive decision-making using convex scoring functions.

problem Time-inconsistent risk measures in reinforcement learning.
method Convex scoring functions, augmented state space, auxiliary variable, customized Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Theoretical guarantees for approximation and convergence under certain conditions.

Genealogy research is the study of family history using available resources such as historical records. Ancestry provides its customers with one of the world's largest online genealogical index with billions of records from a wide range of sources, including vital records such as birth and death certificates, census re…

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of models in deployment. However, these metrics cannot be calculated in production due …

2019-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm reduces audit costs by identifying best service configurations from biased textual evidence.

problem Designing service systems from textual evidence requires accurate selection despite biased automated scoring.
method Developed PP-LUCB algorithm combining LLM scores and selective audits to minimize costs.
result Correctly identified the best model in 40/40 trials with 90% cost reduction.

Keyword spotting--or wakeword detection--is an essential feature for hands-free operation of modern voice-controlled devices. With such devices becoming ubiquitous, users might want to choose a personalized custom wakeword. In this work, we present DONUT, a CTC-based algorithm for online query-by-example keyword spotti…

2018-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This guide clarifies techniques for assessing and comparing model calibration and performance.

problem Assessing and comparing the calibration and performance of predictive models in insurance and actuarial practice.
method Clarifies statistical techniques for assessing model calibration and comparing models, emphasizing the importance of specifying the prediction target functional and choosing the appropriate scoring function.
result Provides guidance for the practical choice of scoring functions and illustrates results with real data case studies.

Big data from phone calls improves credit scoring models and profits.

problem Improving credit scoring models to enhance financial inclusion.
method Combining call-detail records and traditional data to build scorecards using social network analytics.
result Combining call-detail records with traditional data significantly increases model performance and profit.

Financial institutions use LSTM models to predict customer goals.

problem Predicting customer goals and actions in financial services.
method Used LSTM models with state-space graph embeddings on historical customer traces.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of LSTM models in predicting customer goals and actions.

Customer momentum is a positive relationship between a firm's returns and past returns of its customers.

problem Understanding the relationship between a firm's returns and its customers' past returns.
method Examined customer momentum using a long-short equally-weighted decile portfolio and Fama-French factor models.
result Customer momentum generates significant monthly returns and is statistically significant.

This paper enhances uplift modeling for multi-treatment marketing campaigns.

problem Optimizing marketing strategies by selecting individuals likely to respond to different treatments.
method Leveraging score ranking and calibration techniques.
result Improves overall performance of marketing campaigns.

Paper proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.

problem Complex money laundering schemes and regulatory constraints hinder AML analysis and information sharing.
method Proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.
result Demonstrates improved AML analysis and information sharing through Poincaré embeddings.

Paper proposes a method to aggregate customer engagement data for better ranking of e-commerce results.

problem Cold start problem and under-representation of new or under-impressed products in e-commerce search results.
method Aggregates customer engagements within a day for the same query as input training data for machine learning models.
result Training models on aggregated data leads to better ranking of new and under-impressed products.

Study uses Open Banking data to estimate customer value, showing potential 21% increase.

problem Limited CLV estimation using single-entity data.
method Introduces PCLV framework using Open Banking data for comprehensive customer value estimation.
result Open Banking data can estimate PCLV per competitor, showing a 21.06% increase over Actual CLV.

Market research is generally performed by surveying a representative sample of customers with questions that includes contexts such as psycho-graphics, demographics, attitude and product preferences. Survey responses are used to segment the customers into various groups that are useful for targeted marketing and commun…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

LLmFPCA-detect detects anomalies in sparse longitudinal text data using LLMs and mFPCA.

problem Challenges in detecting patterns and anomalies in sparse longitudinal textual data.
method Pairs LLM-based text embeddings with mFPCA to detect clusters and anomalies.
result LLmFPCA-detect outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on Amazon and Wikipedia datasets.