This paper introduces a new metric, ULI, for RL that ensures both cumulative and instantaneous performance.
problem High-stakes applications require RL algorithms to avoid playing bad policies.
method Introduces uniform last-iterate (ULI) guarantee, a stronger metric capturing both cumulative and instantaneous performance.
result ULI directly implies near-optimal cumulative performance across various metrics, but not the other way around.
New method corrects bias in datasets using cumulative distribution functions.
problem Varying domains and biased datasets lead to differences between training and target distributions.
method Empirical cumulative distribution function estimates of the target distribution, rigorously generalized.
result Method is more robust, not reliant on parameter tuning, and performs similarly to state-of-the-art techniques.
A new GAN loss function based on cumulant generating functions improves stability and robustness.
problem Improving the stability and performance of GANs.
method Cumulant GAN loss function based on variational R{é}nyi divergence.
result Cumulant GAN achieves linear convergence to Nash equilibrium and superior performance in image generation.
Bayesian methods improve inference for cumulative probit models on large datasets.
problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for large cumulative probit models.
method Proposed scalable algorithms using Variational Bayes and Expectation Propagation.
result Superior computational performance and accuracy compared to MCMC.
Neural networks can learn from higher-order cumulants efficiently, requiring quadratic samples.
problem Learning from higher-order cumulants in high-dimensional data.
method Spiked cumulant model, polynomial time algorithms, neural networks, random features.
result Neural networks require quadratic samples to learn from higher-order cumulants efficiently, while random features require more samples.
Method determines credit transition matrix from cumulative default probabilities.
problem Quantifying changes in bond credit ratings.
method Setup an ill-posed, linear inverse problem with entropy minimization.
result Method successfully determines CTM from cumulative default probabilities.
Curriculum learning has been successfully used in reinforcement learning to accelerate the learning process, through knowledge transfer between tasks of increasing complexity. Critical tasks, in which suboptimal exploratory actions must be minimized, can benefit from curriculum learning, and its ability to shape explor…
Proposes a new sampling method for online learning with cumulative oversampling.
problem Budgeted Influence Maximization in online learning.
method Cumulative Oversampling (CO) method for online learning.
result CO-based algorithm achieves comparable regret to UCB-based algorithms and performs similarly to Thompson Sampling.
In this article, inspired by Shi, et al. we investigate the optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multiple period setting under cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Compared with their study, our novelty is that we consider a stochastic benchmark, and portfolio constraints. We test …
Study quantifies how LLMs capture higher-order statistical structure using cumulant expansion.
problem Understanding how LLMs internalize statistical structure during next-token prediction.
method Cumulant-expansion framework treating softmax entropy as perturbation around center distribution.
result Cumulants reveal distinct signatures for mathematical vs. general text prompts, quantifying feature-learning dynamics.
The CSA-ES is an Evolution Strategy with Cumulative Step size Adaptation, where the step size is adapted measuring the length of a so-called cumulative path. The cumulative path is a combination of the previous steps realized by the algorithm, where the importance of each step decreases with time. This article studies …
Using methods introduced by Scargle in 1978 we derive a cumulative version of the Lomb periodogram that exhibits frequency independent statistics when applied to cumulative noise. We show how this cumulative Lomb periodogram allows us to estimate the significance of log-periodic signatures in the S&P 500 anti-bubble th…
In this work, we investigate the use of three information-theoretic quantities -- entropy, mutual information with the class variable, and a class selectivity measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence -- to understand and study the behavior of already trained fully-connected feed-forward neural networks. We analyze …
Optimistic algorithm reduces regret and constraint violations in online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
problem Online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
method Improved algorithm using accurate predictions of loss and constraint functions.
result Improved bounds on regret and cumulative constraint violations.
We introduce three novel semi-parametric extensions of probabilistic canonical correlation analysis with identifiability guarantees. We consider moment matching techniques for estimation in these models. For that, by drawing explicit links between the new models and a discrete version of independent component analysis …
Bayesian approach for inhomogeneous Poisson process intensity estimation.
problem Intractable integral in likelihood of Gaussian Cox process.
method Joint modeling of intensity and cumulative intensity as transformed Gaussian process; exact MCMC sampler.
result Exact posterior inference without approximations.
Paper analyzes nonconvex bandit problems with improved adaptive methods.
problem Continuous armed bandit problems for nonconvex cost functions.
method Simple and adaptive bin splitting methods.
result Adaptive method achieves locally minimax optimal expected cumulative regret.
This paper optimizes multi-channel sequential advertising to maximize cumulative revenue.
problem Maximizing cumulative revenue in multi-channel sequential advertising under a budget constraint.
method Formulated as a dynamic knapsack problem, proposed a bilevel optimization framework with action space reduction.
result Significantly improved cumulative revenue compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
New method identifies causal structure in count data using cumulants and path analysis.
problem Challenges in discovering causal structure from count data, especially due to non-identifiability.
method Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model (PB-SCM) with path analysis using high-order cumulants.
result Causal order is identifiable under specific conditions in PB-SCM using cumulant information.
This work extends reinforcement learning to handle non-cumulative objectives.
problem Optimizing functions of rewards rather than their sum in decision processes.
method Mapping NCMDPs to standard MDPs for reinforcement learning.
result Reinforcement learning techniques can be applied to NCMDPs.
Kernelized cumulants improve statistical analysis in high-dimensional spaces.
problem Statistical analysis in high-dimensional spaces with low variance estimators.
method Extending cumulants to RKHS using tensor algebra and kernel trick.
result Kernelized cumulants provide new all-purpose statistics with computational tractability.
Experience replay enables reinforcement learning agents to memorize and reuse past experiences, just as humans replay memories for the situation at hand. Contemporary off-policy algorithms either replay past experiences uniformly or utilize a rule-based replay strategy, which may be sub-optimal. In this work, we consid…
The paper calculates bounds for risk metrics and entropies under partial information constraints.
problem Analyzing risk metrics and entropies for unimodal, symmetric distributions with limited information.
method Develops lower and upper bounds for worst-case distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for unimodal, symmetric distributions with known mean and variance.
result Sharp upper bounds for distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for symmetric distributions.
Paper tackles online DR-submodular maximization with stochastic constraints.
problem Maximizing utility while adhering to a cumulative resource constraint in an online setting.
method Proposes OLFW algorithm to solve the problem of online continuous DR-submodular maximization with linear stochastic constraints.
result Obtains sub-linear regret and constraint violation bounds.
In this paper, we study reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to solve real-world decision problems with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward as well as satisfying cumulative constraints. We propose a novel first-order policy optimization method, Interior-point Policy Optimization (IPO), which augments the…
A new model uses neural networks to efficiently learn multivariate temporal point processes.
problem Efficiently modeling multivariate temporal point processes with low parameter complexity.
method Modeling the cumulative hazard function with neural networks for each variate.
result The proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance on data fitting and event prediction tasks.
New method identifies structural parameters without assuming uncorrelated errors.
problem Identifying structural parameters in simultaneous equation models.
method Exploits higher-order cumulant restrictions, not requiring uncorrelated errors.
result Simple diagonality condition on hth-order cumulants identifies structural parameter matrix. This paper describes an agent-based model of interacting firms, in which interacting firm agents rationally invest capital and labor in order to maximize payoff. Both transactions and production are taken into account in this model. First, the performance of individual firms on a real transaction network was simulated.…
The problem of an arbitrary truncated Levy flight description using the method of cumulant approach has been solved. The set of cumulants of the truncated Levy distribution given the assumption of arbitrary truncation has been found. The influence of truncation shape on the truncated Levy flight properties in the Gauss…
We consider the problem of online collaborative filtering in the online setting, where items are recommended to the users over time. At each time step, the user (selected by the environment) consumes an item (selected by the agent) and provides a rating of the selected item. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm …
CENNSurv models cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes.
problem Challenges in modeling cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes.
method CENNSurv, a novel deep learning approach that captures dynamic risk relationships from time-dependent data.
result CENNSurv reveals multi-year lagged and short-term behavioral shifts in survival outcomes.
Study how neural networks learn from non-Gaussian data models.
problem Understanding neural network learning dynamics with non-Gaussian data.
method Developed a two-layer neural network with Hermite polynomial activations to control high-order cumulants.
result Neural networks progressively learn high-order cumulants after capturing low-order statistics.
This paper addresses the robust speech recognition problem as an adaptation task. Specifically, we investigate the cumulative application of adaptation methods. A bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BLSTM) based neural network, capable of learning temporal relationships and translation invariant representations, is u…
ECOD detects outliers without parameters, fast and simple.
problem Detecting outliers in large, high-dimensional datasets efficiently and interpretably.
method ECOD estimates empirical cumulative distribution functions per dimension, then computes tail probabilities and outlier scores.
result ECOD outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy, efficiency, and scalability.
TVBO optimizes time-varying functions with asymptotically vanishing regret.
problem Understanding the asymptotic performance of TVBO for time-varying black-box functions.
method Provided upper and lower bounds for cumulative regret of TVBO algorithms.
result TVBO algorithms can achieve asymptotically vanishing regret under certain conditions.
GACBO optimizes unknown causal graphs with interventions.
problem Optimizing a target variable on an unknown causal graph with interventions.
method Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation (GACBO) seeks to balance exploitation and exploration of causal structures and functions.
result GACBO outperforms baselines in simulated and real-world applications.
New algorithms minimize simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandits.
problem Minimizing simple and cumulative regret in contextual bandit settings.
method Proposed new algorithms using conformal arm sets (CASs).
result Near-optimal minimax guarantees for simple regret and state-of-the-art guarantees for cumulative regret.
Symmetry in neural networks affects generalization, as shown by CLT and RG transformations.
problem Improving generalization in neural networks by incorporating physical symmetries.
method Evaluation of symmetry constraints and expressivity in MLPs and GNNs using the CLT as a test case.
result Overly complex or overconstrained models generalize poorly, revealing a competition between symmetry constraints and expressivity.
New method calibrates classifier probabilities with guaranteed coverage.
problem Inaccurate probability estimates by classifiers in high-risk applications.
method Adaptive temperature scaling algorithm for conformal prediction.
result Improves calibration error measures and standard metrics across various tasks.
Paper converts quantiles to cumulative distribution functions to simplify risk measures.
problem Technical assumptions in risk measure calculations.
method Invention of converting integrated quantiles to integrated cumulative distribution functions.
result Avoids the need for probability density function existence.
We introduce a new type of graphical model called a "cumulative distribution network" (CDN), which expresses a joint cumulative distribution as a product of local functions. Each local function can be viewed as providing evidence about possible orderings, or rankings, of variables. Interestingly, we find that the condi…
Survey and compare PAC-Bayes bounds for bandit problems.
problem Designing and evaluating bandit algorithms with strong performance guarantees.
method PAC-Bayes bounds applied to bandit problems.
result PAC-Bayes bounds useful for offline bandit algorithms, but loose for online algorithms.
SEEDA optimizes dose allocation in clinical trials to balance efficacy and safety.
problem Complex relationships between efficacy and toxicity in new drug trials.
method Adaptive clinical trial methodology that maximizes cumulative efficacy while ensuring safety constraints.
result SEEDA outperforms existing methods in finding optimal doses with higher success rates and fewer patients.
Study collaborative learning among multi-agents in multi-armed bandits.
problem Minimizing group cumulative regret in a heterogeneous multi-agent setting.
method Developed decentralized algorithms for collaboration between N agents learning M stochastic multi-armed bandits. result Proved near-optimal behavior of proposed algorithms for group regret.
Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.
problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.
The stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is a common model for sequential decision problems. In the standard setup, a decision maker has to choose at every instant between several competing arms, each of them provides a scalar random variable, referred to as a "reward." Nearly all research on this topic consider…
This paper analyzes OCBA algorithms' convergence rates for DEDS optimization.
problem Optimizing discrete-event dynamic systems with limited computing resources.
method Characterizes convergence rates of two OCBA algorithms under different performance measures.
result OCBA algorithms achieve optimal convergence rates under probability of correct selection and expected opportunity cost measures.
Tens of millions of women suffer from infertility worldwide each year. In vitro fertilization (IVF) is the best choice for many such patients. However, IVF is expensive, time-consuming, and both physically and emotionally demanding. The first question that a patient usually asks before the IVF is how likely she will co…