XTNet estimates complex cross-treatment effects in multi-category, multi-valued settings.
problem Challenges in estimating causal effects for multi-category, multi-valued treatments.
method Dynamic Neural Masking for capturing treatment interactions without restrictive assumptions.
result XTNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-category, multi-valued treatment effect estimation.
New method calibrates MQHawkes model using non-parametric approach, identifying cross-Hawkes and cross-leverage effects.
problem Calibrating complex Hawkes processes with non-parametric methods.
method Non-parametric calibration using General Method of Moments on coarse-grained MQHawkes model.
result Identification of cross-Hawkes and cross-leverage effects in futures markets.
New Krylov subspace methods speed up mixed-effects models with crossed random effects.
problem Slow computations for high-dimensional crossed random effects in mixed-effects models.
method Krylov subspace-based methods for generalized mixed-effects models with cross effects.
result Speedups by factors of up to 10,000 in computations for mixed-effects models.
Proposes new method for calibrating treatment effect predictors.
problem Calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects.
method Causal isotonic calibration and cross-calibration.
result Achieves fast calibration rates under weak conditions.
The study analyzes how cross-chain interoperability affects decentralized lending protocols' performance.
problem Understudied cross-chain elements in DeFi lending risk management.
method Panel regression fixed effects and OLS models applied to empirical analysis.
result Cross-chain activity impacts protocol performance, with bridge volume being a critical driver.
Cross-GCN models cross features in GCN for better performance.
problem GCN's lack of cross feature modeling limits its effectiveness.
method Introduces Cross-feature Graph Convolution (Cross-GCN) to model cross features explicitly.
result Explicit cross feature modeling improves GCN's performance on tasks requiring cross features.
This paper investigates the effect of cross-shareholding on stock price synchronicity, as a measure of price informativeness, of the listed firms in the Chinese stock market. We gauge firms' levels of cross-shareholdings in terms of centrality in the cross-shareholding network. It is confirmed that it is through a nois…
Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.
problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.
A fast bootstrap method estimates cross-validation standard error.
problem Uncertainty quantification in cross-validation estimates.
method Random-effects model to estimate variance component.
result Valid confidence intervals for model performance.
Study examines how changing regions affects planar graphs.
problem Effect of region crossing change on planar trivalent graphs.
method Investigation of region crossing changes on planar trivalent graphs.
result Effect of region crossing change on planar trivalent graphs.
Meta-learners improve causal effect estimation in small samples.
problem Estimating causal effects using machine learning methods.
method Sample-splitting and cross-fitting to reduce overfitting bias.
result Meta-learners' performance depends on sample size and estimation procedure.
Pricing assets has attracted significant attention from the financial technology community. We observe that the existing solutions overlook the cross-sectional effects and not fully leveraged the heterogeneous data sets, leading to sub-optimal performance. To this end, we propose an end-to-end deep learning framework t…
Introduces NQ network for non-crossing quantile learning.
problem Quantile crossing issue in distributional learning.
method Non-negative activation functions ensure monotonic distributions.
result Effective for distributional reinforcement learning and causal effect estimation.
An average instantaneous cross-correlation function is introduced to quantify the interaction of the financial market of a specific time. Based on the daily data of the American and Chinese stock markets, memory effect of the average instantaneous cross-correlations is investigated over different price return time inte…
The purpose of this article is to give a preliminary clarification on the relation between crossing number and crossing change. With a main focus on the span of X polynomial, we prove that, as our theorem claims, the crossing number of the link after crossing change can be estimated when certain conditions are met. At …
Study optimizes trading in multiple assets with cross-effects.
problem Optimizing trade execution in multiple assets with cross-impact effects.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, extended to progressively measurable controls, solved using linear-quadratic control theory.
result Cross-hedging effects can be optimal, e.g., trading in an asset without an initial position.
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming any specific form of its b…
New method refines prediction intervals for individual treatment effects using cross-world correlation.
problem Uncertainty in individual treatment effects for high-stakes decisions.
method Introduces cross-world correlation parameter ρ to refine prediction intervals for individual treatment effects.
result Achieves more stable and accurate coverage of prediction intervals for individual treatment effects.
Cryptocurrency market becomes more cross-correlated over time.
problem Understanding the inter-market dependencies of cryptocurrencies.
method Time series analysis, spectral analysis, topological analysis of minimal spanning trees.
result Cryptocurrency market becomes more cross-correlated with other markets over time.
Study news networks to predict stock returns.
problem Predicting cross-sectional stock returns using news networks.
method Constructed time-varying directed networks of S&P500 stocks from 1 million news articles, identified stock tickers using an algorithm, and tested for comovement and reversal effects.
result News network attention proxy, network degree, predicts monthly stock returns robustly.
Study shows how many crossings arise in curves on surfaces.
problem Understanding crossings in curves on surfaces.
method Proved a minimum crossing number growth rate for m curves. result Effective bounds with optimal growth rates on every orientable surface.
Proposes a new cross-validation method to estimate model performance.
problem The standard cross-validation method does not accurately estimate the performance of the recommended model.
method Develops a new random-effects model framework to improve naive cross-validation estimators.
result Proposed estimators outperform conventional and naive methods in estimating model performance.
ADGAN improves risk tolerance prediction by aligning cross-domain data.
problem Lack of professional knowledge and domain-specific models in risk tolerance studies.
method Asymmetric cross-Domain Generative Adversarial Network (ADGAN) for domain scale inequality.
result ADGAN better handles class imbalance and unqualified data than state-of-the-art methods.
Proposes C2RM to mine cross-cryptocurrency relationships for better Bitcoin price prediction.
problem Limited consideration of historical relationships and interactions between cryptocurrencies for Bitcoin price prediction.
method C2RM module using Dynamic Time Warping for lead-lag relationship extraction and aggregation.
result Improves existing price prediction methods by significant performance improvement.
In order to emphasize cross-correlations for fluctuations in major market places, series of up and down spins are built from financial data. Patterns frequencies are measured, and statistical tests performed. Strong cross-correlations are emphasized, proving that market moves are collective behaviors.
CMTF improves financial market forecasting by fusing multiple data types.
problem Lack of effective integration of diverse financial data sources.
method Transformer-based deep learning framework with tensor interpretation and auto-training.
result CMTF outperforms classical and deep learning models in price direction classification.
We analyse the dependence of stock return cross-correlations on the sampling frequency of the data known as the Epps effect: For high resolution data the cross-correlations are significantly smaller than their asymptotic value as observed on daily data. The former description implies that changing trading frequency sho…
DCN-V2 improves deep & cross network for web-scale learning to rank systems.
problem Efficiently learning feature interactions in large-scale recommender systems.
method Proposes DCN-V2, an improved framework for deep & cross network learning.
result DCN-V2 outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms on benchmark datasets.
DNN2LR bridges DNN power and LR interpretability.
problem Combining DNN power and LR interpretability for real-world tabular data.
method Automatic feature crossing method based on DNN interpretation inconsistencies.
result DNN2LR outperforms complex DNN models and feature crossing methods.
FluxLayer solves cross-chain liquidity fragmentation for better MEV capture.
problem Cross-chain fragmented liquidity and MEV optimization.
method Three-layer framework integrating settlement, intent, and leverage mechanisms.
result FluxLayer enhances cross-chain MEV by capturing more arbitrage opportunities.
We focus on emergence of the power-law cross-correlations from processes with both short and long term memory properties. In the case of correlated error-terms, the power-law decay of the cross-correlation function comes automatically with the characteristics of separate processes. Bivariate Hurst exponent is then equa…
Solves time-optimal navigation on slippery slopes with cross gravitational wind.
problem Time-optimal navigation on a slippery cross slope under gravitational wind.
method New Finsler metric derived for the problem, considering both lateral and longitudinal gravitational effects.
result Conditions for strong convexity and purely geometric solution provided.
Feature crossing captures interactions among categorical features and is useful to enhance learning from tabular data in real-world businesses. In this paper, we present AutoCross, an automatic feature crossing tool provided by 4Paradigm to its customers, ranging from banks, hospitals, to Internet corporations. By perf…
Cross-referencing, which links passages of text to other related passages, can be a valuable study aid for facilitating comprehension of a text. However, cross-referencing requires first, a comprehensive thematic knowledge of the entire corpus, and second, a focused search through the corpus specifically to find such u…
We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect showing that in many cases the maximum correlation is at nonzero time shift indicati…
Robust X-Learner improves HTE estimation in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.
problem Estimating HTE in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.
method Integrates γ-divergence objective and Proxy Hessian strategy into gradient boosting.
result Reduces PEHE metric by 98.6% in semi-synthetic Criteo Uplift dataset.
Estimates cross-impact on derivatives markets using E-Mini futures and options.
problem Empirical estimation of cross-impact on complex financial instruments like derivatives.
method Modeling derivatives prices as a function of stochastic factors and trades on both factors and derivatives.
result Simple framework successfully captures cross-impact on derivatives markets.
Nowadays, users open multiple accounts on social media platforms and e-commerce sites, expressing their personal preferences on different domains. However, users' behaviors change across domains, depending on the content that users interact with, such as movies, music, clothing and retail products. In this paper, we pr…
A new model for imputing missing values in time series data across domains.
problem Imputing missing values in time series data across domains with domain shifts and high missing rates.
method A diffusion-based imputation model that integrates shared spectral components and domain-specific temporal structures, with cross-domain consistency alignment.
result Our model effectively handles missing values and domain shifts, outperforming existing methods.
The paper addresses the k-tangle enumeration problem. We introduce a notion of cascade diagram for k-tangle projections. An effective enumeration algorithm for projections is proposed based on cascade representation. Tangles projections with up to 12 crossings are tabulated. We provide also pictures of alternating …
Paper solves optimal portfolio deleveraging with cross asset impacts.
problem Maximize equity while meeting debt/equity requirement with cross asset price impacts.
method Developed successive convex optimization (SCO) and an effective global algorithm integrating SCO, convex relaxation, and branch-and-bound.
result Proposed algorithms find global optimal solutions efficiently.
We discuss investment allocation to multiple alpha streams traded on the same execution platform with internal crossing of trades and point out differences with allocating investment when alpha streams are traded on separate execution platforms with no crossing. First, in the latter case allocation weights are non-nega…
This paper investigates the time-varying risk-premium relation of the Chinese stock markets within the framework of cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects by adopting the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the French-Fama three factor model. The evolving arbitrage opportunities are also studied by quantifying the…
Paper proposes a novel method to assess treatment effect estimators using cross-validation.
problem Lack of ground truth to objectively assess treatment effect estimators in RCTs.
method Cross-validation-like methodology combining noisy difference-of-means estimate and aggregation across RCTs.
result Aggressive downweighting or truncation of large values reduces variance and improves treatment effect estimation.
New method detects intrinsic cross-correlations in non-stationary time series affected by common factors.
problem Bias in cross-correlation analysis due to common external factors.
method Multifractal temporally weighted detrended partial cross-correlation analysis (MF-TWDPCCA).
result MF-TWDPCCA accurately detects intrinsic cross-correlations between non-stationary time series.
CrossAD detects anomalies in time series data by considering cross-scale associations and cross-window modeling.
problem Anomaly detection in time series data is challenging due to varying patterns at different scales and fixed window sizes.
method CrossAD incorporates cross-scale reconstruction and a query library to capture dynamic cross-scale associations and comprehensive context.
result CrossAD achieves state-of-the-art performance in anomaly detection across multiple real-world datasets.
Improved GRU model with multi-head cross-attention enhances stock prediction accuracy.
problem Inaccurate stock prediction due to complex market dynamics and data sparsity.
method Enhanced GRU with multi-head cross-attention for better historical information selection and latent market state learning.
result The proposed MCI-GRU model outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in multiple metrics.
New estimators improve causal inference in machine learning studies.
problem Improving causal inference in machine learning models.
method Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators for average causal effect.
result Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators outperform other methods in simulations.