Improved Kalman filtering with hierarchical variational approach.
problem Inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed in traditional variational Kalman filtering.
method Introducing a surrogate variable for process-noise-free state, reformulating CAVI, and sliding-window hyperparameter estimation.
result Enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.
The paper explores how multiway data from PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with specific covariance and precision estimators.
problem Tracking sparse and multiway structures in dynamical processes governed by PDEs.
method Examined several multiway covariance and precision matrix estimators in the context of physics-driven forecasting and EnKF.
result Multiway data from Poisson and convection-diffusion PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with appropriate estimators.
Paper introduces EnDKF for more accurate pose tracking.
problem Accurate pose tracking with directional uncertainty.
method EnDKF integrates unit-quaternion attitude representation for better directional uncertainty capture.
result Significant reduction in error compared to traditional methods.
The paper examines extreme value statistics of high-dimensional sample covariances, with applications in finance and image analysis.
problem Statistical validation of normal conditions in high-dimensional time series data.
method Generalizes the maximal deviation of sample autocovariances to high dimensions and applies Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics.
result Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics holds true for high-dimensional sample covariances.
Bayesian approach models match and non-match score distributions over continuous covariates.
problem Complex evaluation of model performance over continuous covariates in biometric verification.
method Generative model of score distributions, mixture models, local basis functions, Bayesian inference.
result Accurate and effective method for studying model performance over continuous covariates.
Contextual information helps identify the best arm more efficiently.
problem Best arm identification with contextual covariate information.
method Proposed a context-aware version of the 'Track-and-Stop' strategy.
result Expected number of arm draws matches lower bound asymptotically.
The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network based data association algorithm named as DeepDA for multi-target tracking in clutters is proposed to deal with the NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem in this paper. Different from the classical data association methods involving complex models and accurate prior…
Robust visual tracking for long video sequences is a research area that has many important applications. The main challenges include how the target image can be modeled and how this model can be updated. In this paper, we model the target using a covariance descriptor, as this descriptor is robust to problems such as p…
We develop a methodology for index tracking and risk exposure control using financial derivatives. Under a continuous-time diffusion framework for price evolution, we present a pathwise approach to construct dynamic portfolios of derivatives in order to gain exposure to an index and/or market factors that may be not di…
Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.
problem Adaptive beamforming performance degrades in highly non-stationary environments.
method Integrating sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture.
result The USB achieves agility and precision in tracking highly non-stationary scenes.
Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that error covariance matrices are known and given. In this paper, we study a general…
CASP improves portfolio optimization by considering asset covariance.
problem Infeasibility in cardinality-constrained portfolio optimization.
method CASP uses volatility-normalized selection and covariance-aware projection.
result CASP-Basic delivers lower portfolio variance than standard Euclidean repair.
Deep learning has the potential to dramatically impact navigation and tracking state estimation problems critical to autonomous vehicles and robotics. Measurement uncertainties in state estimation systems based on Kalman and other Bayes filters are typically assumed to be a fixed covariance matrix. This assumption is r…
A new framework for efficient sequence maps using Bayesian filtering and covariance.
problem Designing efficient recurrent sequence maps from explicit memory assumptions.
method Design-model framework, exact Bayesian filtering, query-dependent readout, linear-Gaussian instantiation.
result Improved robustness and retrieval performance across various benchmarks.
Detecting emergence of a low-rank signal from high-dimensional data is an important problem arising from many applications such as camera surveillance and swarm monitoring using sensors. We consider a procedure based on the largest eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix over a sliding window to detect the change. T…
Evaluating prediction models under covariate shift and selective labels
problem Model performance evaluation under distribution shift and selection bias
method Double machine learning
result Accurate estimation of target risk
In this contribution we present an intrinsic description of time-variant Port Hamiltonian systems as they appear in modeling and control theory. This formulation is based on the splitting of the state bundle and the use of appropriate covariant derivatives, which guarantees that the structure of the equations is invari…
We consider the problem of analyzing the heterogeneity of clustering distributions for multiple groups of observed data, each of which is indexed by a covariate value, and inferring global clusters arising from observations aggregated over the covariate domain. We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method reposing …
This paper solves the normalizability crisis in sequential inference by introducing bounded information geometry.
problem Structural failure in standard sequential inference architectures when dealing with extreme outliers.
method Non-parametric field actions and bounded information geometry to truncate infinite tails of spatial distributions.
result Empirical benchmarks across three domains show robust estimation without infinite-tailed distributional assumptions.
BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.
problem Analyzing time-varying health vitals for disease onset prediction.
method Gradient boosting for nonparametric hazard function estimation with time-dependent covariates.
result Novel interaction effects among risk factors identified in cardiovascular disease onset data.
Optimization algorithms that leverage gradient covariance information, such as variants of natural gradient descent (Amari, 1998), offer the prospect of yielding more effective descent directions. For models with many parameters, the covariance matrix they are based on becomes gigantic, making them inapplicable in thei…
RL approach for target tracking with unknown dynamics and sensor control.
problem Tracking an unknown target with sensor control.
method Track-MDP formulation for RL, compared with POMDP.
result Optimal RL policy tracks all target paths with certainty.
This work uses SVM to identify track component failures in AC Track Circuits.
problem Detecting and identifying specific track component failures in AC Track Circuits.
method Applied SVM classifier to STDS track circuit data.
result Successfully classified 15 different track component failures.
New train tracks for complex homeomorphisms found.
problem Existence of irreducible train tracks for pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms.
method Starting from a veering triangulation, identify and modify branches to bypass obstructions.
result Construction of invariant train tracks with irreducible transition matrix.
New method uses cluster shapes to improve track finding in particle collisions.
problem Combining timing and additional detector information for efficient track finding.
method Neural networks to analyze cluster shapes for track seeding.
result Cluster shapes reduce fake combinatorial backgrounds while maintaining high track efficiency.
A new method for efficiently updating large-scale matrices in real-time.
problem Updating large-scale matrices with evolving data in real-time.
method Incremental SVD approach that handles row/column appends, rank-1 updates, and refresh strategies.
result Incremental SVD achieves accuracy close to full SVD with a fraction of the computational cost.
In an era of ubiquitous large-scale streaming data, the availability of data far exceeds the capacity of expert human analysts. In many settings, such data is either discarded or stored unprocessed in datacenters. This paper proposes a method of online data thinning, in which large-scale streaming datasets are winnowed…
This paper optimizes object tracking on edge devices with small matrices.
problem Efficiently tracking objects in video sequences on edge devices with small matrices.
method Parallelized a Simple Online and Real-time Tracking (SORT) application on shared-memory multicores.
result Throughput-based parallelization technique outperforms multi-threading for small matrices.
A DRL-based strategy improves vehicle tracking accuracy while saving energy.
problem Enhancing vehicle tracking accuracy in WSNs without increasing energy consumption.
method Decentralized strategy with dynamic reinforcement learning to adjust sensing areas.
result Simulation results demonstrate superior performance of DRL-aided design.
Paper introduces TAP-Vid, a benchmark for tracking any point in videos.
problem Tackles the problem of tracking arbitrary physical points on surfaces over longer video clips.
method Formalizes the problem as TAP, introduces TAP-Vid benchmark, uses crowdsourced pipeline with optical flow estimates, proposes TAP-Net model.
result TAP-Net outperforms all prior methods on TAP-Vid benchmark when trained on synthetic data.
The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are valuation-based traders, buying and selling an asset when its price is, respectively, bel…
We show that the subsurface projection of a train track splitting sequence is an unparameterized quasi-geodesic in the curve complex of the subsurface. For the proof we introduce induced tracks, efficient position, and wide curves. This result is an important step in the proof that the disk complex is Gromov hyperbolic…
Train track automata for fully irreducible elements in Out(F_r).
problem Understanding fully irreducible elements in Out(F_r).
method Describing train track automata and geodesics in Outer Space.
result Geodesics in Culler-Vogtmann Outer Space for fully irreducible elements.
Bayesian method adapts to unknown distribution shifts in online learning.
problem Online learning with unknown and irregular distribution shifts.
method Bayesian inference with change-point detection and beam search.
result Improves adaptation to new data distributions over state-of-the-art methods.
Dynamic tracking error framework shows similar performance but varying volatility across different constraints.
problem Differences in governance parameters between Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation.
method Portfolio simulations using U.S. equity and bond data from 2000 to 2026, spanning 2004 to 2026.
result Realized tracking error volatility varies 12-fold across different constraints, with costs highest during crises.
A new neural network approach reduces tracking error in index replication.
problem Efficiently replicating an index with cardinality constraints.
method Reparametrisation and stochastic neural networks for optimisation.
result Our model achieves the lowest tracking error compared to benchmarks.
Paper improves Lasso for S&P500 index tracking with post-selection inference.
problem Index tracking for S&P500 with many applications.
method Used Lasso for dimension reduction and post-selection inference.
result Lasso method for S&P500 index tracking shows high performance.
Bayesian approach for constructing and rebalancing sparse index-tracking portfolios.
problem Sparse tracking of a reference index with uncertainty quantification.
method Sparse linear regression with Laplace prior, empirical-Bayes calibration, Langevin-type MCMC, threshold-based rules.
result Posterior uncertainty on tracking error, portfolio composition, and rebalancing moves.
Automated method selects eye tracking variables for categorization tasks.
problem Limited duration of infant cooperation and biases in handpicked eye tracking variables.
method Automated selection of eye tracking variables using statistical techniques.
result Same eye tracking variables classify category learners from non-learners in adults and infants with high accuracy.
We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the target states, birth and death times, and association of observations to targets, …
Paper translates train track concepts to cluster algebras for pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.
problem Understanding pseudo-Anosov mapping classes on surfaces.
method Using Goncharov--Shen's potential function, the paper translates train track concepts into cluster algebra language.
result Proves sign stability of general pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.
This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.
problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.
New data-driven Cartan connection tracks complex vascular structures.
problem Tracking complex vascular structures in multi-orientation images.
method Formulated a data-driven Cartan connection on M2 for geodesic tracking. result Improved geodesic tracking of vascular trees with globally optimal curves.
FPI methods compute barycenters of Gaussian sets for various dissimilarity measures.
problem Efficiently compute barycenters of Gaussian sets for multiple dissimilarity measures.
method Fixed-Point Iterations (FPI) for several dissimilarity measures.
result FPI provides a useful toolbox for fusion/reduction of Gaussian sets.
Networked sensing, where the goal is to perform complex inference using a large number of inexpensive and decentralized sensors, has become an increasingly attractive research topic due to its applications in wireless sensor networks and internet-of-things. To reduce the communication, sensing and storage complexity, t…
A new method tracks retinal vessels more accurately than existing methods.
problem Tracking retinal vessels accurately in spherical images.
method Computing cusp-free, crossing-preserving geodesics on spherical positions and orientations.
result Crossing-preserving tracking shows clear advantages over non-crossing-preserving tracking.
RL policy tracks dynamic targets in partially known environments robustly.
problem Active target tracking in partially known environments.
method Deep reinforcement learning (RL) approach for in-sight tracking, navigation, and exploration.
result Unified RL policy shows robust behavior for agile and anomalous targets.
Online Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) from videos is a challenging computer vision task which has been extensively studied for decades. Most of the existing MOT algorithms are based on the Tracking-by-Detection (TBD) paradigm combined with popular machine learning approaches which largely reduce the human effort to tune a…