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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3672108144 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for covariance tracking

Improved Kalman filtering with hierarchical variational approach.

problem Inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed in traditional variational Kalman filtering.
method Introducing a surrogate variable for process-noise-free state, reformulating CAVI, and sliding-window hyperparameter estimation.
result Enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

The paper explores how multiway data from PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with specific covariance and precision estimators.

problem Tracking sparse and multiway structures in dynamical processes governed by PDEs.
method Examined several multiway covariance and precision matrix estimators in the context of physics-driven forecasting and EnKF.
result Multiway data from Poisson and convection-diffusion PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with appropriate estimators.

The paper examines extreme value statistics of high-dimensional sample covariances, with applications in finance and image analysis.

problem Statistical validation of normal conditions in high-dimensional time series data.
method Generalizes the maximal deviation of sample autocovariances to high dimensions and applies Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics.
result Gumbel-type extreme value asymptotics holds true for high-dimensional sample covariances.

Bayesian approach models match and non-match score distributions over continuous covariates.

problem Complex evaluation of model performance over continuous covariates in biometric verification.
method Generative model of score distributions, mixture models, local basis functions, Bayesian inference.
result Accurate and effective method for studying model performance over continuous covariates.

Robust visual tracking for long video sequences is a research area that has many important applications. The main challenges include how the target image can be modeled and how this model can be updated. In this paper, we model the target using a covariance descriptor, as this descriptor is robust to problems such as p…

2013-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a methodology for index tracking and risk exposure control using financial derivatives. Under a continuous-time diffusion framework for price evolution, we present a pathwise approach to construct dynamic portfolios of derivatives in order to gain exposure to an index and/or market factors that may be not di…

2017-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.

problem Adaptive beamforming performance degrades in highly non-stationary environments.
method Integrating sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture.
result The USB achieves agility and precision in tracking highly non-stationary scenes.

Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that error covariance matrices are known and given. In this paper, we study a general…

2012-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

CASP improves portfolio optimization by considering asset covariance.

problem Infeasibility in cardinality-constrained portfolio optimization.
method CASP uses volatility-normalized selection and covariance-aware projection.
result CASP-Basic delivers lower portfolio variance than standard Euclidean repair.

Deep learning has the potential to dramatically impact navigation and tracking state estimation problems critical to autonomous vehicles and robotics. Measurement uncertainties in state estimation systems based on Kalman and other Bayes filters are typically assumed to be a fixed covariance matrix. This assumption is r…

2019-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework for efficient sequence maps using Bayesian filtering and covariance.

problem Designing efficient recurrent sequence maps from explicit memory assumptions.
method Design-model framework, exact Bayesian filtering, query-dependent readout, linear-Gaussian instantiation.
result Improved robustness and retrieval performance across various benchmarks.

Detecting emergence of a low-rank signal from high-dimensional data is an important problem arising from many applications such as camera surveillance and swarm monitoring using sensors. We consider a procedure based on the largest eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix over a sliding window to detect the change. T…

2016-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In this contribution we present an intrinsic description of time-variant Port Hamiltonian systems as they appear in modeling and control theory. This formulation is based on the splitting of the state bundle and the use of appropriate covariant derivatives, which guarantees that the structure of the equations is invari…

2012-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of analyzing the heterogeneity of clustering distributions for multiple groups of observed data, each of which is indexed by a covariate value, and inferring global clusters arising from observations aggregated over the covariate domain. We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method reposing …

2010-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper solves the normalizability crisis in sequential inference by introducing bounded information geometry.

problem Structural failure in standard sequential inference architectures when dealing with extreme outliers.
method Non-parametric field actions and bounded information geometry to truncate infinite tails of spatial distributions.
result Empirical benchmarks across three domains show robust estimation without infinite-tailed distributional assumptions.

BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.

problem Analyzing time-varying health vitals for disease onset prediction.
method Gradient boosting for nonparametric hazard function estimation with time-dependent covariates.
result Novel interaction effects among risk factors identified in cardiovascular disease onset data.

This work uses SVM to identify track component failures in AC Track Circuits.

problem Detecting and identifying specific track component failures in AC Track Circuits.
method Applied SVM classifier to STDS track circuit data.
result Successfully classified 15 different track component failures.

New method uses cluster shapes to improve track finding in particle collisions.

problem Combining timing and additional detector information for efficient track finding.
method Neural networks to analyze cluster shapes for track seeding.
result Cluster shapes reduce fake combinatorial backgrounds while maintaining high track efficiency.

A new method for efficiently updating large-scale matrices in real-time.

problem Updating large-scale matrices with evolving data in real-time.
method Incremental SVD approach that handles row/column appends, rank-1 updates, and refresh strategies.
result Incremental SVD achieves accuracy close to full SVD with a fraction of the computational cost.

In an era of ubiquitous large-scale streaming data, the availability of data far exceeds the capacity of expert human analysts. In many settings, such data is either discarded or stored unprocessed in datacenters. This paper proposes a method of online data thinning, in which large-scale streaming datasets are winnowed…

2016-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes object tracking on edge devices with small matrices.

problem Efficiently tracking objects in video sequences on edge devices with small matrices.
method Parallelized a Simple Online and Real-time Tracking (SORT) application on shared-memory multicores.
result Throughput-based parallelization technique outperforms multi-threading for small matrices.

Paper introduces TAP-Vid, a benchmark for tracking any point in videos.

problem Tackles the problem of tracking arbitrary physical points on surfaces over longer video clips.
method Formalizes the problem as TAP, introduces TAP-Vid benchmark, uses crowdsourced pipeline with optical flow estimates, proposes TAP-Net model.
result TAP-Net outperforms all prior methods on TAP-Vid benchmark when trained on synthetic data.

The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are valuation-based traders, buying and selling an asset when its price is, respectively, bel…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that the subsurface projection of a train track splitting sequence is an unparameterized quasi-geodesic in the curve complex of the subsurface. For the proof we introduce induced tracks, efficient position, and wide curves. This result is an important step in the proof that the disk complex is Gromov hyperbolic…

2010-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic tracking error framework shows similar performance but varying volatility across different constraints.

problem Differences in governance parameters between Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation.
method Portfolio simulations using U.S. equity and bond data from 2000 to 2026, spanning 2004 to 2026.
result Realized tracking error volatility varies 12-fold across different constraints, with costs highest during crises.

Bayesian approach for constructing and rebalancing sparse index-tracking portfolios.

problem Sparse tracking of a reference index with uncertainty quantification.
method Sparse linear regression with Laplace prior, empirical-Bayes calibration, Langevin-type MCMC, threshold-based rules.
result Posterior uncertainty on tracking error, portfolio composition, and rebalancing moves.

Automated method selects eye tracking variables for categorization tasks.

problem Limited duration of infant cooperation and biases in handpicked eye tracking variables.
method Automated selection of eye tracking variables using statistical techniques.
result Same eye tracking variables classify category learners from non-learners in adults and infants with high accuracy.

Paper translates train track concepts to cluster algebras for pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.

problem Understanding pseudo-Anosov mapping classes on surfaces.
method Using Goncharov--Shen's potential function, the paper translates train track concepts into cluster algebra language.
result Proves sign stability of general pseudo-Anosov mapping classes.

This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.

problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.

New data-driven Cartan connection tracks complex vascular structures.

problem Tracking complex vascular structures in multi-orientation images.
method Formulated a data-driven Cartan connection on M2\mathbb{M}_2 for geodesic tracking.
result Improved geodesic tracking of vascular trees with globally optimal curves.

FPI methods compute barycenters of Gaussian sets for various dissimilarity measures.

problem Efficiently compute barycenters of Gaussian sets for multiple dissimilarity measures.
method Fixed-Point Iterations (FPI) for several dissimilarity measures.
result FPI provides a useful toolbox for fusion/reduction of Gaussian sets.

Networked sensing, where the goal is to perform complex inference using a large number of inexpensive and decentralized sensors, has become an increasingly attractive research topic due to its applications in wireless sensor networks and internet-of-things. To reduce the communication, sensing and storage complexity, t…

2014-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We study a series of static and dynamic portfolios of VIX futures and their effectiveness to track the VIX index. We derive each portfolio using optimization methods, and evaluate its tracking performance from both empirical and theoretical perspectives. Among our results, we show that static portfolios of different VI…

2019-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗