Structured credal learning separates covariate shift and label disagreement.
problem Uncertainty in real-world learning tasks due to covariate shift and noisy labels.
method Introduces a structured credal learning framework that explicitly separates these sources.
result Geometric bounds and decomposition reveal how covariate shifts affect label disagreement contributions.
This paper examines how adversarial perturbations affect model performance and equilibrium learning.
problem Adversarial perturbations and covariate shifts impact model performance and equilibrium learning.
method Characterizes the extrapolation region in regression and classification, analyzes dynamics of adversarial learning games.
result Establishes two directional convergence results: a blessing in regression and a curse in classification.
Proposes a method to represent high-dimensional covariates for causal inference.
problem Inefficient and unreliable causal inference with high-dimensional covariates.
method Machine-learning-assisted covariate representation approach.
result Statistical reliability and performance guarantees for proposed methods.
PAMA learns covariate importance for better matching in observational studies.
problem Poor performance of conventional matching methods when covariates differ in relevance.
method PAMA is a semi-supervised framework that learns covariate importance from paired data and optimizes a weighted quadratic score.
result PAMA outperforms standard methods, particularly in high-dimensional settings and under model misspecification.
Federated learning method improves covariate shift adaptation for missing target values.
problem Missing target values in federated learning.
method Federated covariate shift adaptation algorithm for missing target output values.
result Asymptotically unbiased and efficient algorithm for federated learning.
The paper uses distance covariance to improve fairness in machine learning models.
problem Improving fairness in machine learning models.
method Using conditional and distance covariance statistics to assess independence and add a penalty for fairness.
result The method effectively reduces the fairness gap in machine learning models.
CSTs improve stability in covariance spectrum analysis without training.
problem Stability and expressiveness in covariance spectrum analysis.
method Sequential application of covariance wavelet filters to input data.
result Stable and expressive hierarchical representations in low-data settings.
Novel neural GP kernels learn stable, flexible covariance structures.
problem Scalable and flexible covariance kernels for Gaussian processes.
method Directly learn kriging coefficients and conditional standard deviations using deep neural architectures exploiting permutation-equivariant structure.
result Improved training stability and data efficiency with expressive, non-stationary kernels.
Study semi-supervised learning with noisy proxy covariates, deriving bounds and showing gains.
problem Learning from noisy proxy covariates with scarce labels.
method Two-stage estimator learning kernel eigenfeatures from all proxy covariates and fitting a ridge predictor on labeled data.
result Finite sample bounds show fast labeled sample rates and consistent gains over supervised and semi-supervised baselines.
NeurT-FDR controls FDR by incorporating auxiliary covariates in deep learning.
problem Controlling FDR in complex large-scale problems with indirect relations among covariates.
method NeurT-FDR uses a deep Black-Box framework that parametrizes test-level covariates as a neural network and adjusts auxiliary covariates through a regression framework.
result NeurT-FDR makes substantially more discoveries in real datasets compared to competitive baselines.
New approach for semi-supervised learning under covariate shifts.
problem Semi-supervised learning under covariate shifts where labeled and unlabeled data distributions differ.
method Information-theoretical approach, addressing covariate shifts.
result Improved performance compared to previous methods.
Vanilla SGD learns SIM from anisotropic data without explicit covariance estimation.
problem Learning SIM from anisotropic Gaussian inputs.
method Vanilla Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) trained on SIM with anisotropic input.
result Vanilla SGD adapts to anisotropic data's covariance structure.
Introduces intrinsic Riemannian cross-covariance for manifold-valued random objects.
problem Covariance estimation for random objects on Riemannian manifolds.
method Defines covariance and correlation via parallel transport.
result Proposed covariance is independent of coordinate choices.
Graphical models for covariance matrices improve structure learning.
problem Learning structure in graphical models for covariance matrices.
method Structural learning via ℓ1-penalized loss minimization. result Method outperforms alternatives in simulations and real-world applications.
Study nonparametric covariance function estimation for noisy data.
problem Estimating covariance function from discrete noisy data in high dimensions.
method Adaptive learning-based estimators, including deep learning.
result Established oracle inequality and convergence rates for deep learning estimators.
The paper argues for using Neyman orthogonal score for balancing in debiased machine learning.
problem Debiased machine learning requires a proper approach to balance covariates.
method The paper advocates for using Riesz regression with basis functions of X for balancing.
result Covariate balancing is only valid when the score-relevant regression error is a function of covariates alone.
This paper improves computational efficiency in kernel ridge regression under covariate shift.
problem Covariate shift in nonparametric regression.
method Random projections in RKHS to reduce computational demands.
result Significant computational savings can be achieved without compromising learning performance under covariate shift.
Paper proposes a deep learning method for better covariance matrix forecasting.
problem Suboptimal predictive performance in traditional matrix volatility forecasting.
method Riemannian-geometry-aware deep learning framework for symmetric positive definite matrices.
result Our method outperforms traditional approaches in predictive accuracy.
Paper addresses off-policy evaluation and learning with covariate shift.
problem Evaluating and training a new policy using historical data with a covariate shift.
method Derives efficiency bounds and proposes doubly robust estimators for OPE and OPL under covariate shift.
result Proposes estimators for off-policy evaluation and learning under covariate shift.
NICE learns a representation to avoid bad controls in causal inference.
problem Avoiding bad controls in causal inference from observational data.
method Uses invariant risk minimization (IRM) to learn a representation of covariates that avoids bad controls.
result NICE outperforms adjusting for all covariates in cases with unknown collider variables and bad controls.
Enhanced Transformer models predict ETF portfolio performance by optimizing covariance and semi-covariance matrices.
problem Static covariance estimates fail to capture dynamic market fluctuations and non-linear correlations.
method Transformer-based models for real-time covariance and semi-covariance predictions.
result Portfolios optimized with semi-covariance matrix outperform those with standard covariance matrix, especially in volatile conditions.
The paper introduces a method to model error correlations in multivariate time series forecasting.
problem Accurate modeling of error correlations for reliable uncertainty quantification.
method Plug-and-play method that learns error covariance over multiple steps using low-rank-plus-diagonal and independent latent temporal processes.
result Improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification without significantly increasing parameter size.
Meta-learning improves with explicit modeling of task covariate distributions.
problem Ignoring the relationship between task covariates and conditional distributions limits meta-learning performance.
method Introducing a hierarchical Bayesian model that leverages samples from the marginal task covariates to better infer optimal parameters.
result Our method outperforms initialization-based meta-learning on popular classification benchmarks.
Method tackles missing covariates in large-scale datasets.
problem Cross-population missing data problem in large-scale datasets.
method Augmented transfer regression learning method combining importance-weighted estimating equations and imputation terms.
result Estimator is n1/2-consistent and asymptotically normal, attaining semiparametric efficiency bound under correct specification. This paper explores how effective sample size, dimensionality, and model performance are related in covariate shift adaptation.
problem Understanding the relationship between effective sample size, dimensionality, and generalization in covariate shift adaptation.
method Building a unified theory connecting effective sample size, data dimensionality, and generalization in the context of covariate shift adaptation.
result Dimensionality reduction or feature selection can increase effective sample size, supporting the practice of reducing dimensionality before covariate shift adaptation.
Proposes a method to learn conditional VAEs from datasets with missing covariates.
problem Learning conditional VAEs from datasets with missing covariates.
method Augments conditional VAEs with a prior distribution for missing covariates and estimates their posterior using amortised variational inference.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods in learning conditional VAEs from non-temporal, temporal, and longitudinal datasets.
Two new covariance estimators for ROOT-SGD improve statistical inference.
problem Uncertainty measurement for ROOT-SGD's normal distribution estimator.
method Developed two covariance estimators: plug-in and Hessian-free.
result Hessian-free estimator is asymptotically consistent and Hessian-free.
New method estimates covariance in deep heteroscedastic regression without labels.
problem Estimating covariance in deep heteroscedastic models is challenging due to sample-dependent covariance and lack of ground truth.
method Proposes a self-supervised approach using KL Divergence and 2-Wasserstein distance for covariance estimation and a neighborhood-based heuristic for pseudo labels.
result Demonstrates effective pseudo labels and a computationally cheaper yet accurate deep heteroscedastic regression.
Meta learns low-rank covariance factors for better uncertainty estimation.
problem Sub-optimal covariance matrices in multi-task settings.
method Meta learns diagonal or diagonal plus low-rank factors using an attentive set encoder.
result Efficiently constructed task-specific covariance matrices improve uncertainty estimation.
Proposes a method to improve regression model performance with limited target data using fused-regularizer.
problem Model shifts and covariate shifts in high-dimensional regression.
method Two-step method with fused-regularizer to leverage source data for target task.
result Robust to covariate shifts, minimax-optimal under certain conditions, and validated by numerical tests.
New method tackles high-dimensional SBL without covariance matrices.
problem Sparse coding problem in high-dimensional settings.
method Parallel solution of multiple linear systems using conjugate gradient algorithm.
result Our method scales better in computation time and memory.
Local learning method selects covariates for causal effect estimation in the presence of latent variables.
problem Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data with latent variables.
method Local learning approach that identifies valid adjustment sets for causal relationships.
result Ensures soundness and completeness of causal effect estimation under standard assumptions.
Deep learning improves covariance matrix estimation for better portfolio risk management.
problem Improving the accuracy of covariance matrix estimation for portfolio risk management.
method Formulated as a learning problem, used deep learning to automatically discover risk factors.
result 1.9% higher explained variance and reduced portfolio risk.
This paper establishes non-asymptotic learning bounds for the DR covariate shift adaptation.
problem Distribution shift between training and test domains in machine learning.
method Doubly-robust (DR) estimator combining density ratio estimation and pilot regression model.
result First non-asymptotic learning bounds for DR covariate shift adaptation.
Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to remove the bias between training and testing distributions using importance weigh…
The paper proves a new method to improve generalization in covariate-shift scenarios.
problem Improving performance on test distributions that differ from training distributions.
method Independence-driven importance weighting algorithms for feature selection.
result Theoretical proof that these algorithms can identify optimal variables for covariate-shift generalization.
SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift, similar to a parametric oscillator.
problem SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift.
method Approximated learning system as a time-varying system of ODEs and characterized divergence/convergence modes.
result SGDm with fixed step-size can diverge under covariate shift, similar to resonance in oscillators.
Proposes a method to improve learning when training data is not representative.
problem Improving supervised learning when training data is not representative (covariate shift).
method Conditioning on propensity scores to balance covariates within strata.
result Significantly improved target prediction and AUC (0.958) on supernovae classification challenge.
Study shows pretraining and finetuning can effectively tackle covariate shift in linear regression.
problem Linear regression under covariate shift where source and target distributions differ but conditional distribution remains similar.
method Pretraining on source data and finetuning on target data using online SGD.
result Transfer learning with O(N2) source data is as effective as supervised learning with N target data. New method prevents posterior collapse in iVAE models.
problem Posterior collapse in iVAE models where observations and ICs are independent given covariates.
method Developed CI-iVAE by considering a mixture of encoder and posterior distributions in the objective function.
result Prevents posterior collapse, resulting in latent representations with more information of the observations.
New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.
problem Asymptotically optimal cross-covariance cleaners fail in real-world, time-varying markets.
method Physics-informed neural network that learns from empirical singular values.
result Trained model outperforms analytical cleaners in out-of-sample cross-covariance prediction.
Develops a new MCMC-based Wishart prior for Gaussian Process covariance matrix.
problem Difficult inference for multivariate Gaussian Processes with multiple lengthscale parameters.
method Introduces a self-assembled Wishart prior and uses MCMC for Bayesian inference on kernel hyperparameters.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new prior in GP-based learning with empirical results.
New insights into how high-dimensional models handle covariate shifts.
problem Covariate shift in high-dimensional random feature regression.
method Exact high-dimensional asymptotics of random feature regression under covariate shift.
result Overparameterized models exhibit enhanced robustness to covariate shift.
Active data collection improves convergence rates in operator learning.
problem Improving convergence rates in operator learning with linear target and stochastic input.
method Active data collection strategies with mean-zero stochastic process and continuous covariance kernels.
result Achieves arbitrarily fast error convergence rates with eigenvalue decay of covariance kernels.
Study addresses covariate mismatch in federated learning, improving model accuracy.
problem Learning from clients with different feature sets in federated learning.
method Developed two approaches for linear prediction under covariate mismatch: plug-in estimator and impute-then-regress strategy.
result Proposed methods provide asymptotic and finite-sample learning rates, improving model accuracy.
New bounds for linear interpolators show how they generalize under covariate shifts.
problem Understanding how linear interpolators generalize under covariate shifts.
method Proved non-asymptotic excess risk bounds for benignly-overfit linear interpolators in transfer learning.
result Identified beneficial and malignant covariate shifts based on overparameterization degree.
Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.
A regression algorithm uses Green's function and covariance matrix for predictive distributions.
problem Regression and uncertainty quantification for machine learning.
method Green's function theory, Bayesian approach, covariance matrix of normalized Green's function.
result The covariance matrix provides predictive distributions with mean and confidence intervals.