Study uses network analysis to rank countries based on food production diversity and specialization.
problem Ranking countries based on their food production diversity and specialization.
method Network analysis of country-food production data, transforming into overlap matrices, identifying subsets, and ranking based on fitness and specialization.
result Countries with high fitness produce highly specialized food commodities, while those with low fitness produce diverse but low specialized food products.
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
Identifies community structure in international food trade networks.
problem Understanding how international food trade networks connect countries.
method Analysis of multi-layer network, econometric models.
result Probability of country pairs being in the same food trade community depends more on geopolitical and economic factors than on economic size.
The study finds that the export shares of machinery and food/crude materials are significantly correlated with GDP.
problem Understanding the relationship between export shares and GDP across different commodity sectors.
method Analysis of GDP and international trade data using the SITC classification from 1962 to 2000.
result The export shares of machinery and food/crude materials are significantly correlated with GDP, following a power-law relationship.
High and volatile global food prices have led to food riots and played a critical role in triggering the Arab Spring revolutions in recent years. The severe drought in the US in the summer of 2012 led to a new increase in food prices. Through the fall, they remained at a threshold above which the riots and revolutions …
Halal products sales in non-Muslim countries like Europe grew significantly in 2010.
problem Understanding the growth and motives behind halal products in non-Muslim economies.
method Analyzing sales data and market trends.
result Halal products sales in non-Muslim countries have been growing rapidly since 2010.
This research deals with the mathematical modeling of the physical capital diffusion through the borders of the countries. The physical capital is considered an important variable for the economic growth of a country. Here we use an extension of the economic Solow model to describe how the smuggling affects the economi…
Study forecasts food security trends using real-time data.
problem Food insecurity prediction for sub-national regions.
method Quantitative methodology combining various machine learning models.
result Reservoir Computing model performs best in food security prediction.
Improved sales forecasting for new products using transfer learning.
problem Insufficient training data for new products leads to inaccurate sales forecasts.
method Network-based Transfer Learning approach for deep neural networks.
result Deep neural networks' prediction accuracy for food sales forecasting can be effectively increased.
Deep learning system improves accuracy of food packaging date verification.
problem Improper labeling of food packaging poses health risks.
method Multi-source deep domain adaptation for domain-invariant representations and class boundary alignment.
result Significant improvement in classification accuracy of use-by date verification.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
Trade networks for maize, rice, soy, and wheat are more vulnerable to shocks.
problem Increased complexity in international crop trade networks makes them more susceptible to cascades of demand failures.
method Analyzed FAO data from 176 countries over 21 years to construct higher-order trade dependency networks.
result Trade networks are more prone to failure cascades caused by exogenous shocks.
Machine learning reveals key factors in Indian food inflation.
problem Understanding and mitigating food inflation in India.
method Gradient Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) analysis of multiple factors.
result MSP and farm wages are crucial in food price changes, not international prices.
Bayesian model predicts sales from ad spending.
problem Predicting sales from advertising expenditures.
method Bayesian structural time series model.
result Model can incorporate prior information and update with data.
Countries rarely enter unrelated products, but those that do grow faster.
problem Understanding the benefits of entering unrelated products for economic growth.
method Identifying periods of unrelated product entry through analysis of 93 countries' exports from 1965 to 2014.
result Countries entering more unrelated products experience a small but significant increase in future economic growth.
Conversion of corn to ethanol in the US since 2005 has been a major cause of global food price increases during that time and has been shown to be ineffective in achieving US energy independence and reducing environmental impact. We make three key statements to enhance understanding and communication about ethanol prod…
New interpretation reconciles country and product complexity.
problem Difficulty in interpreting Economic and Product Complexity Indices.
method Spectral clustering algorithm to separately group similar countries and products.
result Indices identify two co-clusters of similar countries and products.
A simpler measure of economic complexity derived from product diversity.
problem Economic growth theory's reliance on GDP as the sole indicator of a country's capabilities.
method Log Product Diversity (LPD) derived from a combinatorial model of production.
result LPD better predicts economic growth than conventional variables like GDP and human capital.
Few attempts have been proposed in order to describe the statistical features and historical evolution of the export bipartite matrix countries/products. An important standpoint is the introduction of a products network, namely a hierarchical forest of products that models the formation and the evolution of commodities…
Services contribute to economic growth by increasing complexity indices.
problem Understanding the role of services in economic growth and complexity.
method Combining network science and econometrics, analyzing data from developed and developing countries.
result Services have higher complexity indices than goods, indicating a potential route for economic growth.
Economies grow by upgrading the type of products they produce and export. The technology, capital, institutions and skills needed to make such new products are more easily adapted from some products than others. We study the network of relatedness between products, or product space, finding that most upscale products a…
Study reveals structural constraints on income inequality in Latin America.
problem Income inequality in Latin America compared to other economies.
method Product space, Product Gini Index, Xgini coefficient.
result LAC economies are more dependent on products related to high income inequality.
This work uses a recommendation system to enhance exporting countries' fitness.
problem Predicting and optimizing the evolution of international trade networks.
method A recommendation system was used to identify overlooked products for countries.
result Countries can improve their national competitiveness by diversifying exported products.
We introduce an algorithm able to reconstruct the relevant network structure on which the time evolution of country-product bipartite networks takes place. The significant links are obtained by selecting the largest values of the projected matrix. We first perform a number of tests of this filtering procedure on synthe…
Complex products trade through fewer countries, making them more fragile.
problem Fragility in the global economy due to centralized trade networks for complex products.
method Used network science and product complexity theory indicators to analyze trade networks.
result Products with higher complexity trade through fewer countries, making them more fragile.
Forecasting IDP migration helps aid groups allocate resources.
problem Accurate prediction of IDP movement during conflicts.
method Used machine learning on food price, fuel price, wage, geospatial, and news data.
result Monthly IDP flow can be forecasted one month in advance.
Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they export.We characterize this network using four structural features: the negative r…
What are East Africa's industrial opportunities? In this article we explore this question by using the Product Space to study the productive structure of five south-east African countries: Kenya, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania and Zambia. The Product Space is a network connecting products that tend to be exported by the …
Paper uses clustering to identify food assistance deserts in Ohio.
problem Food insecurity and accessibility issues in Ohio.
method Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) clustering technique.
result Identifies food assistance deserts within Ohio.
New model predicts global oil production and consumption through 2050.
problem Inaccurate past oil production forecasts leading to public interest.
method Analyzes past regional oil production data to predict future production and consumption.
result Predicts global oil production and consumption through 2050, highlighting limited potential for unconventional oil.
KitcheNette predicts and recommends food ingredient pairings.
problem Limited study of food ingredient pairings despite many existing pairings.
method Siamese neural networks trained on a dataset of 300K scores.
result KitcheNette outperforms other models and discovers novel pairings.
Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
problem Identifying the skewness in local logarithmic export distributions and its relationship with exporter and destination characteristics.
method Analyzing directed links weighted by the logarithm of export values, studying the skewness of local exports, and formulating quantitative relations.
result Non-zero skewness in local logarithmic export distributions changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
Predicting the future evolution of complex systems is one of the main challenges in complexity science. Based on a current snapshot of a network, link prediction algorithms aim to predict its future evolution. We apply here link prediction algorithms to data on the international trade between countries. This data can b…
Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix G of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This construction, based on Markov chains, treats all countries on equal democratic grounds …
Based on the approach of flow distances, the international trade flow system is studied from the perspective of multi-layer flow network. A model of multi-layer flow network is proposed for modelling and analyzing multiple types of flows in flow systems. Then, flow distances are introduced, and symmetric minimum flow d…
REGOMAX analyzes EU economies' sensitivity to petroleum and gas trade from major exporters.
problem Analyzing EU economies' sensitivity to petroleum and gas trade from major exporters.
method Reduced Google matrix (REGOMAX) algorithm applied to UN COMTRADE data.
result Shows sensitivity of each EU country to petroleum and gas trade from Russia, USA, Saudi Arabia, and Norway.
The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This indicates all countries can be divided into three stages accordingly. First, the poor co…
Labor productivity in developed countries is analyzed and modeled. Modeling is based on our previous finding that the rate of labor force participation is a unique function of GDP per capita. Therefore, labor productivity is fully determined by the rate of economic growth, and thus, is a secondary economic variable. In…
We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the sectors in the course of economic development. The model fits for the majority of coun…
This study explores factors and enablers of compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.
problem Compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.
method Comprehensive literature review and expert interviews.
result Three main critical factor groups influencing compliance risk identified.
Recent droughts in the midwestern United States threaten to cause global catastrophe driven by a speculator amplified food price bubble. Here we show the effect of speculators on food prices using a validated quantitative model that accurately describes historical food prices. During the last six years, high and fluctu…
This paper investigates how economic shocks propagate and amplify through the input-output network connecting industrial sectors in developed economies. We study alternative models of diffusion on networks and we calibrate them using input-output data on real-world inter-sectoral dependencies for several European count…
For Adam Smith, wealth was related to the division of labor. As people and firms specialize in different activities, economic efficiency increases, suggesting that development is associated with an increase in the number of individual activities and with the complexity that emerges from the interactions between them. H…
Paper identifies food types from Yelp photos using machine learning.
problem Ineffective labeling of food photos on Yelp.
method Image pre-processing, CNN feature extraction, and classification algorithms.
result Identifies up to 10 food types from raw photos with high accuracy.
International trade has been increasingly organized in the form of global value chains (GVCs) where different stages of production are located in different countries. This recent phenomenon has substantial consequences for both trade policy design at the national or regional level and business decision making at the fi…
Paper compares machine learning models for food authenticity.
problem Determining correct food labelling from NIR spectroscopic data.
method Applied and compared various classification, dimension reduction, and variable selection approaches to NIR datasets of meat, olive oil, and honey samples.
result Partial least squares outperformed other approaches in classifying food authenticity.
Analyze food popularity trends using social media data.
problem Identify trends and popularity of cuisine types across space and time.
method Use off-the-shelf machine learning techniques, Kernel Density Estimation, and Bayesian Networks.
result Model dependencies among food cuisines popularity.
The paper explores features from orderbooks to improve intraday electricity price forecasting.
problem Improving probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices.
method Extracted 384 features from orderbooks, selected powerful features, and benchmarked models across two countries and product types.
result Revealed an asymmetric generalization phenomenon in electricity price forecasting models.