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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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285583110 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for counterfactual explainability

Proposes counterfactual explainability for causal attribution, extending variance analysis methods.

problem Lack of mechanistic understanding in existing tools for explaining complex models.
method Extends global sensitivity analysis methods to causal explanations using directed acyclic graphs.
result Developed methods to estimate counterfactual explainability and applied to income inequality analysis.

The paper shows how uncertainty quantification improves counterfactual explainability in AI.

problem Lack of foundational concepts in transparency research.
method Integrates uncertainty quantification into counterfactual explainability.
result Demonstrates competitive performance of an uncertainty-based explainer.

Improves global counterfactual explanations for model recourse.

problem Inability to provide explanations beyond local instances.
method Investigates and improves Actionable Recourse Summaries (AReS) for global counterfactual explanations.
result Develops more efficient and interactive explainability tools.

Method for explaining machine learning survival models using counterfactuals.

problem Tackles the challenge of explaining survival models in machine learning.
method Introduces a condition based on the difference of mean times to event for counterfactual explanation. Reduces the problem to a convex optimization problem for Cox models and applies Particle Swarm Optimization for other models.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method through numerical experiments.

Although deep reinforcement learning agents have produced impressive results in many domains, their decision making is difficult to explain to humans. To address this problem, past work has mainly focused on explaining why an action was chosen in a given state. A different type of explanation that is useful is a counte…

2019-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New definition of patient-specific root causes of disease using counterfactuals.

problem Lack of rigorous mathematical formulation for automatic detection of root causes.
method Proposes a counterfactual definition matching clinical intuition and uses Shapley values for causal contribution scores.
result Adapts to disease prevalence, accounts for noisy labels, and admits fast computation.

CONFETTI improves interpretability of deep learning models for MTS by providing counterfactual explanations.

problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series classification.
method CONFETTI is a novel multi-objective counterfactual explanation method that balances prediction confidence, proximity, and sparsity.
result CONFETTI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, improving interpretability and decision support.

Proposes a framework to explain KS deterioration in credit risk models.

problem Inconsistent and ad hoc diagnosis of KS decline in credit risk models.
method Counterfactual diagnostic framework attributing KS decline to sampling variability, portfolio composition, covariate shift, and residual deterioration.
result The proposed approach provides more interpretable and governance-relevant explanations than threshold-based review alone.

CLEAR learns causal graphs from attention in recommender systems to explain user behavior.

problem Understanding why specific recommendations are made in recommender systems.
method CLEAR learns session-specific causal graphs from attention in pre-trained neural recommenders, addressing latent confounders.
result CLEAR provides counterfactual explanations that are shorter and more effective than naive methods.

Paper proposes counterfactual explanations for ML on multivariate time series data.

problem Lack of user trust and difficulty in debugging ML frameworks using multivariate time series data.
method Proposes a novel explainability technique for providing counterfactual explanations.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art explainability methods in metrics like faithfulness and robustness.

Due to the increasing use of machine learning in practice it becomes more and more important to be able to explain the prediction and behavior of machine learning models. An instance of explanations are counterfactual explanations which provide an intuitive and useful explanations of machine learning models. In this su…

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The increasing use of machine learning in practice and legal regulations like EU's GDPR cause the necessity to be able to explain the prediction and behavior of machine learning models. A prominent example of particularly intuitive explanations of AI models in the context of decision making are counterfactual explanati…

2019-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative models explain machine learning predictions with counterfactual instances.

problem Generating human-interpretable insights into machine learning model predictions.
method Sparse counterfactual explanations using conditional generative models.
result Single forward pass generates batches of counterfactual instances.

FRED explains text model predictions by identifying key words and providing counterfactual examples.

problem Lack of interpretable methods for text models that are complex, lack foundations, and have unguaranteed performance.
method FRED identifies minimal influential word sets, assigns token importance, and generates counterfactual examples.
result FRED provides reliable and effective explanations for text model predictions.

Generative adversarial approach for satellite image time series land cover classification.

problem Enhance interpretability of land cover classification models.
method Generative adversarial counterfactual approach for multi-class land cover classification.
result Discovery of interesting information on land cover class relationships and sparser, interpretable solutions.

DECE visualizes machine learning decisions with counterfactual explanations.

problem Making machine learning models transparent and explainable.
method Interactive visualization system supporting counterfactual explanations at instance- and subgroup-levels.
result DECE enables users to explore and understand machine learning model decisions.

TimeVQVAE-AD detects anomalies in time series data with high accuracy and provides explainable results.

problem Detecting and explaining anomalies in time series data accurately.
method Masked latent generative modeling in time-frequency domain.
result TimeVQVAE-AD outperforms existing methods in anomaly detection and explainability.

1-Lipschitz neural networks produce clearer, more focused Saliency Maps for explainable AI.

problem Noisy and limited Saliency Maps from traditional neural networks.
method Dual loss of optimal transport problem for 1-Lipschitz neural networks.
result Saliency Maps from 1-Lipschitz networks are highly concentrated and less noisy, aligning with human explanations.

Model explanations based on pure observational data cannot compute the effects of features reliably, due to their inability to estimate how each factor alteration could affect the rest. We argue that explanations should be based on the causal model of the data and the derived intervened causal models, that represent th…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.

problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.

ALMANACS benchmarks explainability methods on simulatability.

problem Evaluating the effectiveness of explainability methods for language models.
method ALMANACS is a simulatability benchmark that evaluates explainability methods on twelve safety-relevant topics.
result No explainability method outperforms the explanation-free control across all topics.

With the advent of GDPR, the domain of explainable AI and model interpretability has gained added impetus. Methods to extract and communicate visibility into decision-making models have become legal requirement. Two specific types of explanations, contrastive and counterfactual have been identified as suitable for huma…

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

AI techniques explain synthetic tabular data weaknesses.

problem Challenges in evaluating synthetic tabular data quality.
method Apply explainable AI to a binary detection classifier.
result Reveals inconsistencies, unrealistic dependencies, or missing patterns in synthetic data.

Survey on combining causal models with deep generative models for improved explainability and fairness.

problem Deep generative models lack explainability, induce spurious correlations, and poor out-of-distribution extrapolation.
method Structural causal models (SCMs) combined with deep generative models to address shortcomings.
result Causal generative models offer robustness, fairness, and interpretability.

COMRECGC finds common recourse for global counterfactual explanations in GNNs.

problem Finding common recourse for global counterfactual explanations in GNNs.
method Formalized the common recourse explanation problem and designed COMRECGC algorithm.
result COMRECGC outperforms strong baselines on four real-world graph datasets.

Multi-SpaCE generates valid counterfactual explanations for multivariate time series data.

problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series data.
method Multi-objective counterfactual explanation method using NSGA-II for multivariate time series data.
result Ensures perfect validity and superior performance compared to existing methods.

Machine learning promises to revolutionize clinical decision making and diagnosis. In medical diagnosis a doctor aims to explain a patient's symptoms by determining the diseases \emph{causing} them. However, existing diagnostic algorithms are purely associative, identifying diseases that are strongly correlated with a …

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper detects and identifies bias in data using a counterfactual approach.

problem Detecting and identifying bias in data, especially in medical image classification.
method A global explanation framework using the counterfactual approach to identify bias causing artifacts.
result Black frames significantly influence Convolutional Neural Network's prediction, changing benign to malignant.

The paper tackles one-for-many counterfactual explanations using column generation.

problem Minimizing the number of explanations needed for a group of instances with sparsity constraints.
method Developed a novel column generation framework to efficiently search for explanations for any black-box classifier.
result The column generation framework outperforms existing methods in scalability, computational performance, and solution quality.

Quantum oracles help identify counterfactuals better than classical ones.

problem Identifying unknown causal parameters in causal models.
method Using quantum oracles to query and identify all causal parameters and counterfactuals.
result Quantum oracles enable identification of all two-way joint counterfactuals and tighter bounds on higher-order counterfactuals.