There are non-vanishing price responses across different stocks in correlated financial markets. We further study this issue by performing different averages, which identify active and passive cross-responses. The two average cross-responses show different characteristic dependences on the time lag. The passive cross-r…
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48 results for “correlated responses”
Previous studies of the stock price response to trades focused on the dynamics of single stocks, i.e. they addressed the self-response. We empirically investigate the price response of one stock to the trades of other stocks in a correlated market, i.e. the cross-responses. How large is the impact of one stock on other…
LaRT models LLMs' response accuracy and CoT length to evaluate reasoning ability and speed.
problem Valid evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs) via response accuracy and chain-of-thought length.
method Introduces Latency-Response Theory (LaRT) to jointly model response accuracy and CoT length using latent ability and latent speed.
result LaRT yields higher estimation accuracy and shorter confidence intervals for latent traits compared to IRT.
An ADMM approach for multi-response regression with overlapping groups and interaction effectsstat.ME
New method handles correlated responses and interaction effects in multi-response regression.
problem Handling correlated responses and interaction effects in multi-response regression.
method MADMMplasso, an ADMM-based approach for multi-response regression with overlapping groups and interaction effects.
result The proposed method outperforms in prediction and variable selection for correlated responses and interaction effects.
A New Traders' Game? -- Empirical Analysis of Response Functions in a Historical Perspectiveq-fin.TR
Study analyzes non-Markovian effects in financial markets over multiple years.
problem Understanding non-Markovian dynamics and trader interactions in financial markets.
method Empirical analysis of self-response functions and trade sign correlators for different stocks over multiple years.
result Significant variations in traders' interactions over time, indicating changes in market mechanisms.
Previous studies of the stock price response to individual trades focused on single stocks. We empirically investigate the price response of one stock to the trades of other stocks. How large is the impact of one stock on others and vice versa? -- This impact of trades on the price change across stocks appears to be tr…
Microscopic Understanding of Cross-Responses between Stocks: a Two-Component Price Impact Modelq-fin.TR
We construct a price impact model between stocks in a correlated market. For the price change of a given stock induced by the short-run liquidity of this stock itself and of the information about other stocks, we introduce a self- and a cross-impact function of the time lag. We model the average cross-response function…
Feature interactions can contribute to a large proportion of variation in many prediction models. In the era of big data, the coexistence of high dimensionality in both responses and covariates poses unprecedented challenges in identifying important interactions. In this paper, we suggest a two-stage interaction identi…
Study evaluates different price response definitions for NASDAQ stocks.
problem Understanding the long-lasting effects of trading activity on stock prices.
method Examined two different price response implementations for NASDAQ Trades and Quotes (TAQ) data.
result Results are qualitatively the same for two different time scale definitions, but response can vary by up to a factor of two.
Enhances robustness of MOGP regression for multiple correlated outputs.
problem Model misspecification and outliers in MOGP regression.
method Extends RCGP framework to multi-output setting.
result Provable robust MOGP with joint correlation capture.
A new method for Gaussian Processes handles mixed continuous and categorical inputs.
problem Modeling cross-correlations between continuous and categorical data.
method Low-Rank Correlation (LRC) method for Gaussian Processes with flexible rank approximation.
result LRC outperforms existing methods in estimating cross-correlations and predicting response surfaces.
Unified analytic account of correlation emergence and Epps effect in coupled limit order books
problem Correlation emergence and Epps effect in coupled limit order books
method Discrete random-walk description of order flow with creation, cancellation, and diffusion, coupled reaction-diffusion equations with moving reaction boundary
result Realized correlations as a function of aggregation time
Dealing with collinearity in large-scale linear system identification using Bayesian regularizationmath.DS
Bayesian regularization tackles collinearity in large-scale systems with correlated inputs.
problem Collinearity in large-scale linear systems identification due to correlated inputs.
method Bayesian regularization with stable spline covariance and Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme.
result Efficient reconstruction of impulse responses with high correlation among inputs.
We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We consider the cross-correlation functions averaged over all stocks, using 71 stock pr…
Group model selection is the problem of determining a small subset of groups of predictors (e.g., the expression data of genes) that are responsible for majority of the variation in a response variable (e.g., the malignancy of a tumor). This paper focuses on group model selection in high-dimensional linear models, in w…
Bayesian method for dynamic correlation matrices improves accuracy and responsiveness.
problem Challenges in estimating time-varying correlation matrices, including slow adaptation, insufficient regularization, and diffuse uncertainty.
method Low-rank factor representation with dynamic shrinkage prior and multivariate factor stochastic volatility model.
result Improved accuracy and responsiveness compared to competing methods in various challenging scenarios.
We propose a penalized orthogonal-components regression (POCRE) for large p small n data. Orthogonal components are sequentially constructed to maximize, upon standardization, their correlation to the response residuals. A new penalization framework, implemented via empirical Bayes thresholding, is presented to effecti…
An automated metric to evaluate dialogue quality is vital for optimizing data driven dialogue management. The common approach of relying on explicit user feedback during a conversation is intrusive and sparse. Current models to estimate user satisfaction use limited feature sets and rely on annotation schemes with low …
Enhances sensitivity analysis for correlated inputs.
problem Estimating sensitivity indices in models with correlated inputs.
method Proposes an extension of Sobol' estimator using a linear correlation model.
result Improves accuracy in variance-based sensitivity analysis.
Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a valuable method for interpreting cross-covariance across related datasets of different dimensionality. There are many potential applications of CCA to neuroimaging data analysis. For instance, CCA can be used for finding functional similarities across fMRI datasets collected fr…
Correlated component analysis as proposed by Dmochowski et al. (2012) is a tool for investigating brain process similarity in the responses to multiple views of a given stimulus. Correlated components are identified under the assumption that the involved spatial networks are identical. Here we propose a hierarchical pr…
Heterogeneous volatility cascade in financial marketscond-mat.stat-mech
Using high frequency data, we have studied empirically the change of volatility, also called volatility derivative, for various time horizons. In particular, the correlation between the volatility derivative and the volatility realized in the next time period is a measure of the response function of the market particip…
The article compares predictor importance in classification problems with categorical outcomes.
problem Comparing predictor importance in classification problems with categorical response variables.
method The approach is based on the categorical Gini correlation (CGC) and tests differences in CGCs across predictor groups.
result The proposed methodology accommodates predictors of arbitrary and unequal dimensions and allows for dependence between predictor groups.
An automated metric to evaluate dialogue quality is vital for optimizing data driven dialogue management. The common approach of relying on explicit user feedback during a conversation is intrusive and sparse. Current models to estimate user satisfaction use limited feature sets and employ annotation schemes with limit…
Market Mill Dependence Pattern in the Stock Market: Asymmetry Structure, Nonlinear Correlations and Predictabilityphysics.soc-ph
An empirical study of joint bivariate probability distribution of two consecutive price increments for a set of stocks at time scales ranging from one minute to thirty minutes reveals asymmetric structures with respect to the axes y=0, y=x, x=0 and y=-x. All four asymmetry patterns remarkably resemble a four-blade mill…
We consider learning high-dimensional multi-response linear models with structured parameters. By exploiting the noise correlations among responses, we propose an alternating estimation (AltEst) procedure to estimate the model parameters based on the generalized Dantzig selector. Under suitable sample size and resampli…
Researchers study how teachers' advising relationships influence their perceptions of satisfaction and students, not policy influence.
problem Understanding the relationship between teachers' advising relationships and their perceptions of satisfaction and students.
method Proposed a novel joint model of network and item responses (JNIRM) with correlated latent variables.
result Teachers' advising relationships contribute more to satisfaction and students than to influence over educational policies.
Treatment effects can be estimated from observational data as the difference in potential outcomes. In this paper, we address the challenge of estimating the potential outcome when treatment-dose levels can vary continuously over time. Further, the outcome variable may not be measured at a regular frequency. Our propos…
Paper studies quantized LRMR with random dithering for correlated tasks.
problem Estimating coefficient matrix in quantized multivariate regression.
method Uniform quantization with random dithering, constrained and regularized Lasso estimators.
result Achieves minimax optimal rate with dithering, slightly worsens quantization effect.
The cross-correlation matrix of daily returns of stock market indices in a diverse set of 37 countries worldwide was analyzed. Comparison of the spectrum of this matrix with predictions of random matrix theory provides an empirical evidence of strong interactions between individual economies, as manifested by three lar…
Study finds anomalies in high-frequency S&P 500 price changes.
problem Anomalies in high-frequency S&P 500 price changes.
method Using NBBO event-time data, the study forms pairs of backward and forward price increments, standardizes them, and estimates expected responses on a fine grid of push magnitudes.
result Persistent structural shift in expected responses: near zero for short lags, pronounced tails for long lags, indicating correlation between larger historical pushes and nonzero responses.
Improved accuracy in dynamic response variation analysis using multi-fidelity data fusion.
problem Inefficient characterization of dynamic response variation due to limited high-fidelity data.
method Composite Neural Network fusion approach for multi-level, heterogeneous datasets.
result Improved accuracy in frequency response variation characterization.
In this paper, we consider a generalized multivariate regression problem where the responses are monotonic functions of linear transformations of predictors. We propose a semi-parametric algorithm based on the ordering of the responses which is invariant to the functional form of the transformation function. We prove t…
The study uses response theory to understand RNNs processing input signals.
problem Understanding how RNNs process sequential data.
method Deriving a Volterra series representation for SRNNs output using response theory from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics.
result SRNNs can be viewed as kernel machines operating on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space associated with the response feature.
Fluctuations and response in financial markets: the subtle nature of `random' price changescond-mat.stat-mech
Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to super-diffusion (or persistence), and mean reverting limit orders that lead to sub-diffu…
Functional Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis for studying multiple longitudinal variablesstat.ME
New method for analyzing multiple longitudinal data processes.
problem Exploring associations between multiple random processes observed jointly.
method Functional Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis (FGCCA) based on multiblock Regularized Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis (RGCCA).
result FGCCA framework is robust to sparsely and irregularly observed data.
Improved forecasting in daily time series competition using a correlator method.
problem Forecasting daily time series with data leakage issues.
method Ensemble of five statistical forecasting methods and a correlator method.
result The correlator method was responsible for most of the gains over naive forecasting.
DC-SIS selects features faster than mRMR for Parkinson's vocal diagnosis.
problem Feature selection for Parkinson's disease vocal data.
method DC-SIS (Distance Correlation Sure Independence Screening) using distance correlation measure.
result 90 times faster feature selection with similar accuracy.
Stock prices are observed to be random walks in time despite a strong, long term memory in the signs of trades (buys or sells). Lillo and Farmer have recently suggested that these correlations are compensated by opposite long ranged fluctuations in liquidity, with an otherwise permanent market impact, challenging the s…
A family of parsimonious Gaussian cluster-weighted models is presented. This family concerns a multivariate extension to cluster-weighted modelling that can account for correlations between multivariate responses. Parsimony is attained by constraining parts of an eigen-decomposition imposed on the component covariance …
Parallel recordings of neural spike counts have revealed the existence of context-dependent noise correlations in neural populations. Theories of population coding have also shown that such correlations can impact the information encoded by neural populations about external stimuli. Although studies have shown that the…
Representative investors whose behaviour is modelled by a deterministic finite automaton generate complexity both in the time series of each asset and in the cross-sectional correlation when the rule governing their behaviour is schizophrenic, meaning the investor must hold multiple seemingly contradictory beliefs simu…
Topological Properties of Stock Networks Based on Random Matrix Theory in Financial Time Seriesq-fin.ST
We investigated the topological properties of stock networks through a comparison of the original stock network with the estimated stock network from the correlation matrix created by the random matrix theory (RMT). We used individual stocks traded on the market indices of Korea, Japan, Canada, the USA, Italy, and the …
In our work, we propose a novel formulation for supervised dimensionality reduction based on a nonlinear dependency criterion called Statistical Distance Correlation, Szekely et. al. (2007). We propose an objective which is free of distributional assumptions on regression variables and regression model assumptions. Our…
Decades of research on the neural code underlying spatial navigation have revealed a diverse set of neural response properties. The Entorhinal Cortex (EC) of the mammalian brain contains a rich set of spatial correlates, including grid cells which encode space using tessellating patterns. However, the mechanisms and fu…
Price responsiveness is a major feature of end use customers (EUCs) that participate in demand response (DR) programs, and has been conventionally modeled with static demand functions, which take the electricity price as the input and the aggregate energy consumption as the output. This, however, neglects the inherent …
On the Estimation of Pointwise Dimensionphysics.data-an
Our goal in this paper is to develop an effective estimator of fractal dimension. We survey existing ideas in dimension estimation, with a focus on the currently popular method of Grassberger and Procaccia for the estimation of correlation dimension. There are two major difficulties in estimation based on this method. …
Net2Vec: Quantifying and Explaining how Concepts are Encoded by Filters in Deep Neural Networkscs.CV
In an effort to understand the meaning of the intermediate representations captured by deep networks, recent papers have tried to associate specific semantic concepts to individual neural network filter responses, where interesting correlations are often found, largely by focusing on extremal filter responses. In this …