Deep learning classifies corn hybrids' tolerance to drought and heat.
problem Classifying corn hybrids' tolerance to drought and heat stress.
method Unsupervised deep convolutional neural networks approach.
result 121 hybrids labeled drought tolerant, 193 heat tolerant, 29 both.
A neural collaborative filtering method predicts corn hybrid yield performance.
problem Predicting yield performance of untested hybrid combinations in plant breeding.
method Ensemble of matrix factorization and neural networks.
result The model significantly outperformed other models in the Syngenta Crop Challenge.
A CNN-based method detects and counts corn kernels from images.
problem Manual counting of corn kernels is labor-intensive and prone to error.
method Sliding window approach with CNN for detection and NMS for overlapping removal.
result The method successfully detects and counts kernels with low error.
This appendix proves CORN's universal consistency. One of Bin's PhD thesis examiner (Special thanks to Vladimir Vovk from Royal Holloway, University of London) suggested that CORN is universal and provided sketch proof of Lemma 1.6, which is the key of this proof. Based on the proof in Gyprfi et al. [2006], we thus pro…
Corn yield prediction is beneficial as it provides valuable information about production and prices prior the harvest. Publicly available high-quality corn yield prediction can help address emergent information asymmetry problems and in doing so improve price efficiency in futures markets. This paper is the first to em…
This paper estimates VaR for corn and soybean markets using jump processes.
problem Quantifying potential losses in commodity portfolios under market conditions.
method Modeling VaR for a diversified portfolio of corn and soybean positions with standard Brownian motions and jump processes.
result Compared VaR values in markets with and without jumps, providing insights for risk management.
For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugarcane and rapeseed oil). This way, we are able to investigate dynamics of correlations in time and across scales (frequencie…
Paper presents a machine learning framework for corn yield forecasting.
problem Accurate and timely prediction of corn yields in the US Corn Belt.
method Machine learning ensembles considering complete and partial in-season weather data.
result Ensemble models outperform individual models, achieving best prediction accuracy.
Study shows post-COVID commodity futures returns and volatility changed for different products.
problem Analyzing how the pandemic affected Chinese commodity futures markets.
method Empirical analysis of commodity futures returns and cointegration before and after the pandemic.
result Post-COVID, some commodity futures returns increased significantly, while others saw higher volatility.
Crop yield forecasting is the methodology of predicting crop yields prior to harvest. The availability of accurate yield prediction frameworks have enormous implications from multiple standpoints, including impact on the crop commodity futures markets, formulation of agricultural policy, as well as crop insurance ratin…
Time and Sales of corn futures traded electronically on the CME Group Globex are studied. Theories of continuous prices turn upside down reality of intra-day trading. Prices and their increments are discrete and obey lattice probability distributions. A function for systematic evolution of futures trading volume is pro…
Portfolio selection is the central task for assets management, but it turns out to be very challenging. Methods based on pattern matching, particularly the CORN-K algorithm, have achieved promising performance on several stock markets. A key shortage of the existing pattern matching methods, however, is that the risk i…
Conversion of corn to ethanol in the US since 2005 has been a major cause of global food price increases during that time and has been shown to be ineffective in achieving US energy independence and reducing environmental impact. We make three key statements to enhance understanding and communication about ethanol prod…
Study measures risk spillovers between US and China's agricultural futures markets.
problem Interconnectedness and risk transmission in agricultural futures markets.
method TVP-VAR-DY model with quantile method.
result CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat are primary risk transmitters; DCE corn and soybean are main receivers.
Machine learning improves measuring climate adaptation impacts.
problem Measuring adaptation to climate change using weather damage elasticities.
method Debiased machine learning approach in panel data settings.
result Long-run impacts of damaging heat exposure significantly offset short-run impacts.
Develops a binary tree model for option pricing with skew dynamics.
problem Option pricing in incomplete markets with skew dynamics.
method Binary tree model with skew Brownian motion dynamics.
result Model preserves skewness under both discrete and continuous time limits.
VDTW improves cross-year crop mapping accuracy.
problem Cross-year crop mapping accuracy is poor with existing methods.
method Vector Dynamic Time Warping (VDTW) for multi-year classification.
result VDTW achieves 99.85% and 99.74% overall accuracies for same and cross years, respectively.
Recent increases in basic food prices are severely impacting vulnerable populations worldwide. Proposed causes such as shortages of grain due to adverse weather, increasing meat consumption in China and India, conversion of corn to ethanol in the US, and investor speculation on commodity markets lead to widely differin…
Recent droughts in the midwestern United States threaten to cause global catastrophe driven by a speculator amplified food price bubble. Here we show the effect of speculators on food prices using a validated quantitative model that accurately describes historical food prices. During the last six years, high and fluctu…
Deep learning model predicts crop yields using CNN-RNN.
problem Challenges in predicting crop yields due to multiple factors.
method CNN-RNN framework using environmental and management data.
result CNN-RNN model outperformed other methods by 9-8% RMSE.
Proposes a new method for rank-consistent ordinal regression without weight-sharing constraints.
problem Ordinal response variables in real-world prediction problems are often ignored by conventional classification losses.
method CORN framework using conditional training sets and the chain rule for conditional probability distributions.
result Improves performance substantially compared to the CORAL reference approach without weight-sharing restrictions.
edPLS adds Gaussian noise to PLS regression to protect data privacy.
problem Protecting sensitive data in PLS regression models.
method Integrates Gaussian noise into PLS algorithm based on global sensitivity.
result Effective at preserving privacy while maintaining competitive prediction accuracy.
The paper examines spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon, and climate markets.
problem Understanding dynamic spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon emission, and climate markets.
method A novel R2 decomposed connectedness approach. result Overall spillovers are mainly contemporaneous, not lagged; climate change significantly impacts others; agricultural markets have heterogeneous effects; corn is a major risk contributor.
Defines non-parabolic curves in spatial hybrid space with applications.
problem Defining and analyzing non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.
method Definition and proof of existence and uniqueness theorem for non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.
result Existence and uniqueness theorem for non-parabolic spatial hybrid framed curves.
Risk is an inherent feature of agricultural production and marketing and accurate measurement of it helps inform more efficient use of resources. This paper examines three tail quantile-based risk measures applied to the estimation of extreme agricultural financial risk for corn and soybean production in the US: Value …
Hybrid subgroups found in non-arithmetic PU(2,1) lattices.
problem Exploring hybrid subgroups in non-arithmetic PU(2,1) lattices.
method Exploring hybrid subgroups of certain non-arithmetic lattices in PU(2,1). Showing that Mostow's lattices are virtually hybrids and some are hybrids of two non-commensurable arithmetic lattices in PU(1,1).
result Mostow's lattices are virtually hybrids and some are hybrids of two non-commensurable arithmetic lattices in PU(1,1).
Discussing hybrid models in Bayesian networks.
problem Improving accuracy in network modeling.
method Hybrid semiparametric Bayesian approach.
result Enhanced model performance in complex networks.
Expert augmentation improves hybrid model generalization.
problem Limited generalization of hybrid models outside training distribution.
method Introducing expert augmentation to improve hybrid model performance.
result Expert augmentation improves generalization of hybrid models.
In this work we present a new approach on studying dynamical systems. Combining the two ways of expressing the uncertainty, using probabilistic theory and credibility theory, we have research the generalized fractional hybrid equations. We have introduced the concepts of generalized fractional Wiener process, generaliz…
Defines hybrid systems on principal bundles and studies impact effects.
problem Understanding impact effects in hybrid mechanical systems.
method Defines hybrid systems on principal bundles, studies underlying geometry, and finds conditions for impact preservation.
result Conditions for preservation of both exterior and interior impacts by mechanical connections.
Hybrid models forecast EPEC energy spot prices.
problem Forecasting energy spot prices in EPEC markets.
method Combining Naive, Fourier, ARMA/GARCH, mean-reversion, jump-diffusion, and RNN models.
result Improved accuracy in forecasting compared to individual models.
New method sparsifies hybrid neural ODEs for better performance and stability.
problem Excessive latent states and interactions from mechanistic models lead to training inefficiency and over-fitting.
method Automatic state selection and structure optimization combining domain-informed graph modifications with data-driven regularization.
result Improved predictive performance and robustness with desired sparsity.
Hybrid models combine interpretable and complex models for better performance and control.
problem Improving model performance and user transparency in machine learning.
method Investigates hybrid models from theory, taxonomy, and methodological perspectives.
result Hybrid models can outperform standalone black boxes and provide precise control over transparency.
A hybrid ASR system using conformer architecture improves word-error-rate and training speed.
problem Improving word-error-rate and training efficiency for hybrid ASR systems.
method Used conformer architecture, applied time downsampling, and transposed convolutions.
result Conformer-based hybrid model achieves competitive results and significantly outperforms BLSTM-based hybrid model.
The paper introduces FMCI and hybrid decoding for hidden Markov models.
problem Computing distributions and decoding hidden state sequences in HMMs.
method Finite Markov chain imbedding (FMCI) and hybrid decoding.
result Hybrid decoding improves performance over traditional methods.
In the present paper, a fuzzy logic based method is combined with wavelet decomposition to develop a step-by-step dynamic hybrid model for the estimation of financial time series. Empirical tests on fuzzy regression, wavelet decomposition as well as the new hybrid model are conducted on the well known SP500 index fin…
Hybrid model improves music source separation by 1.4 dB.
problem Improving music source separation accuracy.
method End-to-end hybrid spectrogram and waveform model, using model decision for domain choice.
result 1.4 dB improvement in Signal-to-Distortion (SDR) on MusDB HQ dataset.
Functional PLS improves prediction and inference for scalar responses from functional predictors.
problem Estimating scalar responses from functional predictors in an ill-posed inverse problem.
method Functional partial least squares (PLS) estimator with adaptive early stopping and new tests.
result PLS attains nearly minimax-optimal convergence rates and detects local alternatives.
Develops numerical methods for PDEs on hypergraphs and networks.
problem Solving PDEs on complex geometric structures like hypergraphs and networks.
method Hybrid finite element methods, focusing on hybrid discontinuous Galerkin methods.
result Derives numerical approximations for PDEs on hypergraphs and networks.
Paper proposes a method to estimate scientific parameters in hybrid models without relying on model architecture.
problem Estimating unknown parameters in hybrid models combining machine learning and scientific models.
method Sharpness-aware minimization adapted for hybrid modeling, focusing on model simplicity.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of SAM-based hybrid model learning for scientific parameter estimation.
HyBO optimizes hybrid structures using diffusion kernels.
problem Optimizing complex interactions between discrete and continuous variables.
method HyBO uses diffusion kernels over hybrid spaces with additive kernel formulation.
result HyBO significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world benchmarks.
Mathematical analysis of Riemann surfaces and their moduli spaces using hybrid Laplacians.
problem Analyzing the asymptotics of Arakelov Green functions on Riemann surfaces near boundary of moduli spaces.
method Introducing hybrid Laplacian, solving hybrid Poisson equation, and defining hybrid Green functions.
result Layered description of asymptotics of Arakelov Green functions on Riemann surfaces near boundary of their moduli spaces.
Novel hybrid method for Bayesian network structure learning reduces computational time without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Bayesian network structure learning efficiency and accuracy trade-off.
method Partitioned PC (pPC), p-value adjacency thresholding (PATH), hybrid greedy initialization (HGI). result pHGS achieves significant computational reductions compared to the PC algorithm without sacrificing structure learning accuracy.
Hybrid systems are characterized by having an interaction between continuous dynamics and discrete events. The contribution of this paper is to provide hybrid systems with a novel geometric formulation so that controls can be added. Using this framework we describe some new global controllability tests for hybrid contr…
Bayesian hybrid models correct for missing physics in machine learning.
problem Systematic bias in machine learning models.
method Fusing physics-based insights with machine learning constructs, using Bayesian calibration and stochastic programming.
result Bayesian hybrid models outperform pure machine learning approaches with less data.
Hybrid models are reinterpreted as Neuro-Symbolic AI designs to quantify uncertainty and variability.
problem Limited semantic interface for comparing hybrid models across domains.
method Reinterpret hybrid models as Neuro-Symbolic AI, translating them into explicit inference function and logic-belief decomposition.
result Metrics SVR and BD quantify uncertainty and variability in hybrid models.
A hybrid model for Bayesian optimization handles mixed variables using MCTS for categorical and GP for continuous.
problem Optimizing functions with mixed variable types (continuous, integer, categorical).
method Merges MCTS for categorical and GP for continuous variables, integrates UCTS search strategy, and dynamically selects kernels.
result Hybrid models outperform traditional methods in Bayesian optimization.
This paper explores data science applications in economics using a taxonomy of models and hybrid models showing higher accuracy.
problem Investigating data science applications in economics.
method Systematic literature review using Prisma method.
result Hybrid models showed higher prediction accuracy than other algorithms.