System detects controversial events on social media and impacts markets.
problem Lack of systematic data on company social consciousness and sustainability.
method Uses Twitter data to identify and validate controversial events.
result Validated controversial events impact market volatility.
Algorithm identifies controversial regions in classifier disagreements.
problem Understanding regions of high disagreement among classifiers.
method Exceptional Model Mining framework.
result Shows usefulness in identifying new phenomena in well-explored datasets.
A 3-web is linearizable, resolving a controversy.
problem Determining the correct linearizability condition for 3-webs.
method A short proof by J.-P. Dufour.
result The 3-web W is linearizable.
China Vanke Co. faced a hostile takeover by Baoneng Group, sparking controversy.
problem A hostile takeover of China Vanke Co. by Baoneng Group.
method No specific method mentioned in the abstract.
result National controversy over corporate governance and government role in capital markets.
Recidivism prediction instruments provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country, their use is attracting tremendous controversy. Much of the controversy concerns …
Recidivism prediction instruments (RPI's) provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country, their use is attracting tremendous controversy. Much of the controversy c…
New approach for handling uncertain probabilities.
problem Handling imprecise or uncertain probabilities.
method Introducing interval probability measures and updating rules.
result Formal solution to the Keynes-Ramsey controversy.
Study finds optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance.
problem Association between board gender diversity and emissions performance.
method Panel regressions, machine learning, explainable AI.
result Optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance is approximately 35%.
Develops a new measure for market efficiency based on informational-entropy.
problem Lack of a precise quantitative definition of market efficiency.
method Develops a measure based on informational-entropy.
result The new measure is equivalent to existing definitions of market efficiency.
Study shows social media impacts shareholder returns on ESG risks.
problem Investor sentiment and public opinion on ESG risks.
method Event study design using social media data.
result Statistically significant reduction in abnormal returns after ESG-risk events.
Geroch's theorem about the splitting of globally hyperbolic spacetimes is a central result in global Lorentzian Geometry. Nevertheless, this result was obtained at a topological level, and the possibility to obtain a metric (or, at least, smooth) version has been controversial since its publication in 1970. In fact, th…
Tests neural networks for compositional generalization in language.
problem Understanding how neural networks generalize in a compositional manner.
method Developed five tests bridging linguistic and philosophical compositionality with neural models.
result Revealed strengths and weaknesses of different neural architectures.
We introduce a simple model for addressing the controversy in the study of financial systems, sometimes taken as brownian-like processes and other as critical systems with fluctuations of arbitrary magnitude. The model considers a collection of economical agents which establish trade connections among them according to…
Paper proposes auction method for smart derivatives to avoid disputes.
problem Disputes over derivative liquidation processes in smart contracts.
method Defines an auction type resolution for smart derivatives.
result Proposes a beneficial method for smart derivatives participants.
Recent research in psycholinguistics has provided increasing evidence that humans predict upcoming content. Prediction also affects perception and might be a key to robustness in human language processing. In this paper, we investigate the factors that affect human prediction by building a computational model that can …
Nearly all field theories suffer from singularities when particles are introduced. This is true in both classical and quantum physics. Classical field singularities result in the notorious self-force problem, where it is unknown how the dynamics of a particle change when the particle interacts with its own (self) field…
Bitcoin has emerged as a fascinating phenomenon of the financial markets. Without any central authority issuing the currency, it has been associated with controversy ever since its popularity and public interest reached high levels. Here, we contribute to the discussion by examining potential drivers of Bitcoin prices …
This article presents a proof of Pogorelov's result that there exists a C2,1 metric with no local C2 realization in R3. It also construct in a very elementary way a C1,1 realization of this metric. Pogorelov's result is somewhat controversial among the community of researchers that study isomet…
The notion of a causal boundary for a spacetime has been a controversial topic during the last three decades. Moreover, recently the role of the boundary in the AdS/CFT correspondence for plane waves, have stimulated its redefinition with some possible alternatives. Our aim is threefold. First, to review the different …
Following findings by Ormerod and Mounfield, Wright rises the problem whether a power or an exponential law describes the distribution of occurrences of economic recession periods. In order to clarify the controversy a different set of GDP data is hereby examined. The conclusion about a power law distribution of recess…
We test whether the futures prices of some commodity and energy markets are determined by stochastic rules or exhibit nonlinear deterministic endogenous fluctuations. As for the methodologies, we use the maximal Lyapunov exponents (MLE) and a determinism test, both based on the reconstruction of the phase space. In par…
Bayesian methods can handle causal inference without needing do-calculus.
problem The challenge of representing and addressing causal problems using probability theory.
method Bayesian statistics and probabilistic graphical models.
result Causal effects can be estimated within the standard Bayesian paradigm.
In a crisis of public finances, France bases all its hopes on the "evaluation of performance" to moderate the effects of a complex crisis. Under the banner of "modernization of the State", a new "financial constitution" called the Organic Law on finance laws (LOLF) became the main lever of reform of public management. …
The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.
Generalized differential geometry uses infinitesimals to solve singularities in differential equations.
problem Understanding differential equations with singularities and nonlinearities.
method Introducing infinitesimals and infinities to handle singularities and nonlinearities rigorously.
result A Riemannian manifold can be embedded into a generalized manifold where singularities vanish and products of nonlinearities make sense.
Introduces info intervention to handle causal questions and check counterfactual variables.
problem Controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables and lack of power to check counterfactual variables.
method Intervenes input/output information of causal mechanisms, providing causal diagrams for communication and theoretical focus.
result Causal diagrams based on info intervention provide a new perspective on information transfer as causality.
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
Paper characterizes star-shaped risk measures and their properties.
problem Characterizing risk measures in the presence of liquidity risk and competitive delegation.
method Characterization of star-shaped risk measures, study of their properties.
result Star-shaped risk measures include all practically used risk measures.
New methods improve cross-correlation analysis of time series data.
problem Controversies in Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis.
method Proposes new options to handle negative cross-covariance.
result Improved robustness in multifractal spectrum analysis.
New fair-by-design model reduces bias in recidivism prediction.
problem Discriminatory bias in recidivism prediction models.
method Prototype-based, locally learned, data distribution extraction.
result Reduces bias and provides interpretable rules.
Analyzes Twitter users' opinions on self-driving cars.
problem Understanding public perception of self-driving cars.
method Annotated Twitter dataset, topic modeling, sentiment classification using Twitter features.
result People are generally optimistic but also concerned about self-driving cars.
This is an invited article for the Discussion and Debate special issue of The European Physical Journal Special Topics on the subject "Can Economics Be a Physical Science?" The first part of the paper traces the personal path of the author from theoretical physics to economics. It briefly summarizes applications of sta…
Paper introduces score embedding for Twitter sentiment analysis of health care issues.
problem Analyzing public opinion on health care plans using social media.
method Score embedding, a neural network model for word representations.
result Score embedding effectively captures sentiment and outperforms existing methods.
Investors prioritize ESG in crypto-assets, showing higher exposure than traditional assets.
problem Understanding ESG preferences in crypto-assets and their investment behavior.
method A representative household finance survey in Austria to examine ESG preferences and crypto-investment exposure.
result ESG-conscious investors have higher exposure to crypto-assets compared to traditional asset classes.
New definition of interpretability for deep neural networks.
problem Vague definition of interpretability for deep neural networks.
method Proposed a new definition of human predictability for interpretability of DNNs.
result Our definition will help to the research of interpretability of DNNs.
Avoids resentment in classifier fairness by using monotonic models.
problem Resentment in demographic fairness criteria.
method Monotonic constrained machine learning models.
result Avoids both individual and group resentment.
Variational Autoencoders naturally become sparse in high-dimensional latent spaces, reducing overfitting risk.
problem Overfitting risk in high-dimensional latent spaces of Variational Autoencoders.
method Analyzing the natural sparsity phenomenon in VAEs, emphasizing its role in self-regularization and model capacity tuning.
result Sparsity in VAEs forces the model to focus on important features, reducing overfitting risk.
Mathematical models help keep vaccine prices low.
problem Pricing COVID-19 vaccines to ensure affordability and profitability.
method Optimization and game theory approaches modeling a duopoly market.
result Government can negotiate low prices while manufacturers earn profits.
Study proposes an ensemble learning method to improve multi-label classification performance.
problem Improving multi-label classification performance in machine learning.
method Ensemble learning approach using multiple base-level algorithms.
result Proposed method outperforms base-level algorithms in multi-label classification.
This paper evaluates methods for predicting credit risk in social lending, especially for imbalanced data.
problem Predicting credit risk in imbalanced social lending environments.
method Empirical comparison of various classifier-resampling techniques, focusing on random forest and random under-sampling.
result Combining random forest and random under-sampling may be an effective strategy for predicting credit risk in social lending.
Low redispatch prices boost green hydrogen production cost, encouraging electrolyzer siting.
problem Uncertainty in redispatch power availability and its impact on green hydrogen production cost.
method Historic redispatch time series analysis and power purchase scenarios evaluation.
result Low price levels can lead to notable production cost reductions, incentivizing electrolyzer siting.
Interval Neural Networks detect instabilities in image reconstructions.
problem Detecting instabilities in deep learning image reconstructions.
method Employed uncertainty quantification methods with Interval Neural Networks.
result Interval Neural Networks effectively reveal image reconstruction instabilities.
Investigates Bitcoin market risk, showing volatility and jumps impact future volatility.
problem Understanding and forecasting the risk dynamics of Bitcoin market.
method Comprehensive investigation using realized volatility and jumps analysis.
result Jumps, especially positive ones, reduce future realized variance; long-term realized variance benefits from modeling jumps.
Paper resolves conflicting Shapley value approaches by showing conditional is unsound and marginal is preferred.
problem Conflicting results from conditional and marginal Shapley value approaches when features are correlated.
method Uses causal arguments to show differences arise from assumptions about missing causal information.
result Marginal approach is preferred over conditional due to causal soundness.
Study finds dividend payout policy positively impacts firm profitability.
problem Determining the optimal dividend payout ratio and its effect on financial performance.
method Panel data analysis of 60 Indian listed firms over 10 years, using ROA as a proxy for profitability.
result Positive and significant relationship between dividend payout policy and firm performance.
This paper uses SLT to ensure learning guarantees in CD detection.
problem Lack of learning guarantees in CD detection algorithms.
method Adapting SLT assumptions to CD scenarios to ensure learning guarantees.
result Ensured learning guarantees in CD detection algorithms.
Time and Sales of corn futures traded electronically on the CME Group Globex are studied. Theories of continuous prices turn upside down reality of intra-day trading. Prices and their increments are discrete and obey lattice probability distributions. A function for systematic evolution of futures trading volume is pro…
Study finds many stocks in S&P 500 are inefficient, suggesting financial analysts outperform blindfolded monkeys.
problem Degree of inefficiency in U.S. stock market performance.
method Confidence intervals for proportions to assess inefficiency in S&P 500 components.
result Proportion of inefficient stocks in the S&P 500 index estimated to be between 12.13% and 27.87%