Generalizes PCA and ICA for continuous-time signals using neural networks.
problem Low-rank decomposition of continuous-time vector-valued signals.
method Implicit neural network framework to learn numerical approximations of PCA and ICA.
result Unified approach to PCA and ICA in continuous domain, enforcing decorrelation and independence.
Study on markets with insiders receiving private signals affecting asset prices and information flow.
problem Understanding markets with heterogeneous information flows and private signals.
method Proves existence of a partial communication equilibrium with jumps in information and prices.
result The public information flow and asset prices jump at each private signal time, creating incomplete markets between jumps.
Transformers can solve complex filtering problems for non-Gaussian signals.
problem Non-linear and non-Markovian filtering problems for conditionally Gaussian signals.
method Continuous-time transformer models called filterformers.
result Filterformers can approximate the conditional law of non-Markovian and conditionally Gaussian signal processes.
Using integration by parts on Gaussian space we construct a Stein Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE) for the drift of Gaussian processes using their local and occupation times. By almost-sure minimization of the SURE risk of shrinkage estimators we derive an estimation and de-noising procedure for an input signal perturbed…
Study local expansions of continuous-time processes using Ito signature properties.
problem Analyzing local expansions of continuous-time processes and their moments.
method Using the Ito signature, a basis of iterated integrals, to conduct expansions of the process' characteristic function.
result Explicit coefficients and stochastic representations for asymptotics as time shrinks or diverges.
Continuous-time mirror descent solves sparse phase retrieval efficiently.
problem Recovering sparse signals from magnitude-only measurements.
method Continuous-time mirror descent applied to unconstrained empirical risk minimization problem.
result Mirror descent recovers k k k -sparse vectors with minimum non-zero entry order of ∥ x ⋆ ∥ 2 / k \| \mathbf{x}^\star \|_2/\sqrt{k} ∥ x ⋆ ∥ 2 / k from k 2 k^2 k 2 Gaussian measurements. A novel Gaussian process approach for deconvolution of missing data signals.
problem Recovering a latent source from observations with missing parts and unknown filters.
method Gaussian process prior for Bayesian nonparametric deconvolution.
result The proposed Gaussian process deconvolution (GPDC) method is feasible and effective.
Study on estimating unstable open-loop matrices from state trajectories.
problem System identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics.
method Employing randomized control inputs to estimate unstable open-loop matrix.
result Estimation error decays with trajectory length, signal-to-noise ratio, and excitability.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
Framework for continuous-time network data representation learning.
problem Learning reliable representations of dynamic network interactions.
method Three-stage process: intensity estimation, projection learning, evolving node representation construction.
result Trajectories satisfy structural and temporal coherence, providing robust inference.
Estimates chirp signal frequencies using probabilistic models.
problem Estimating instantaneous frequencies of chirp signals when true forms are unknown.
method Non-linear Gaussian processes and stochastic filters/smothers for posterior estimation.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Zero-Copy Architecture Detects Cross-Company Financial Signals Instantly.
problem Financial models miss cross-company disruptions due to static data.
method Heterogeneous Rust-Python streaming architecture that maps cross-company attention as a continuous-time graph.
result Zero-copy parsing and inference process delivers real-time cross-company signal detection.
Reinforcement learning for continuous-time risk-sensitive asset allocation
problem Continuous-time risk-sensitive asset allocation
method Free energy-entropy duality reformulation and q q q -learning actor-critic method result Optimal policy learning with high accuracy
New method for separating mixed signals with nonlinear functions.
problem Recovering source signals from nonlinear mixtures.
method Optimisation-based function approximation to minimize mutual statistical dependence.
result The method can recover source signals from nonlinear mixtures under certain conditions.
Neural ODEs control graph dynamics with low energy feedback.
problem Controlling complex dynamical systems on graphs.
method Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Control (NODEC) framework.
result NODEC learns low-energy control signals for graph dynamical systems.
The study uses response theory to understand RNNs processing input signals.
problem Understanding how RNNs process sequential data.
method Deriving a Volterra series representation for SRNNs output using response theory from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics.
result SRNNs can be viewed as kernel machines operating on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space associated with the response feature.
DTW calculates the similarity or alignment between two signals, subject to temporal warping. However, its computational complexity grows exponentially with the number of time-series. Although there have been algorithms developed that are linear in the number of time-series, they are generally quadratic in time-series l…
Develops quantile diffusions for risk analysis in continuous time.
problem Stochastic dynamics of quantiles in continuous time.
method Construction of quantile processes through composite maps of distribution and quantile functions.
result Powerful method for interpreting quantile process characteristics in terms of model parameters.
We study the statistical properties of the iterates generated by gradient descent, applied to the fundamental problem of least squares regression. We take a continuous-time view, i.e., consider infinitesimal step sizes in gradient descent, in which case the iterates form a trajectory called gradient flow. Our primary f…
This paper extends a Kyle model to include price-responsive traders, revealing new dynamics and equilibria.
problem Real-world market dynamics involve price-responsive traders, affecting market equilibrium and insider profits.
method Developed a continuous-time Kyle model with two types of price-responsive traders (momentum and contrarian), leading to a forward-backward Riccati system for equilibrium.
result The model shows that feedback effects can lead to multiple equilibria and amplify price informativeness.
Study dynamic equilibrium with insider and general uninformed agent preferences.
problem Analyzing asymmetric information and general utility functions in a continuous-time economy.
method Introducing a new method to prove existence of a partial communication equilibrium (PCE) for agents with general utility functions.
result Identify the equilibrium price in the small and large risk aversion limits for agents with power utility.
Faster policy learning via continuous-time gradients.
problem Efficiently estimating policy gradients for continuous-time systems.
method Approximating continuous-time gradients directly, using adaptive discretization.
result More efficient policy gradient estimator leads to faster learning.
Continuous time framework for discrete data denoising models.
problem Efficient training and sampling for discrete data denoising models.
method Formulated as Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs), efficient training using continuous time ELBO, high-dimensional CTMC simulation, novel theoretical error bound.
result Continuous time treatment enables novel theoretical error bound between generated and true data distributions.
This paper studies the equilibrium pricing of asset shares in the presence of dynamic private information. The market consists of a risk-neutral informed agent who observes the firm value, noise traders, and competitive market makers who set share prices using the total order flow as a noisy signal of the insider's inf…
Recent research has shown that performance in signal processing tasks can often be significantly improved by using signal models based on sparse representations, where a signal is approximated using a small number of elements from a fixed dictionary. Unfortunately, inference in this model involves solving non-smooth op…
Paper uses SciPhyRL for optimizing large institutional portfolios.
problem Optimizing large institutional portfolios with cumulative costs and practical short horizons.
method Formulates a continuous-time optimization problem, reduces it to solving an HJB equation, and uses PINN for direct solution.
result Learned Gibbs policy yields substantial out-of-sample Sharpe ratio improvements.
First steps towards a mathematical theory of deep convolutional neural networks for feature extraction were made---for the continuous-time case---in Mallat, 2012, and Wiatowski and Bölcskei, 2015. This paper considers the discrete case, introduces new convolutional neural network architectures, and proposes a mathemati…
Develops DPG methods for continuous-time RL with deterministic policies.
problem High variance and slow convergence in stochastic policy RL methods.
method Derives continuous-time policy gradient formula and proposes CT-DDPG algorithm.
result CT-DDPG achieves superior stability and faster convergence in continuous-time RL.
Study analyzes a new algorithm for complex optimization problems.
problem Stochastic bilevel optimisation problems in continuous-time models.
method Continuous-time, two-timescale stochastic approximation algorithm.
result Obtained weak convergence rate using central limit theorem.
Continuous-time algorithms improve online learning performance.
problem Online learning with sequential data and minimizing overall regret.
method Extending discrete-time algorithms to continuous-time models for online linear optimization, adversarial bandit, and adversarial linear bandit.
result Optimal regret bounds are proven for continuous-time settings.
Motion Code models time series dynamics with sparse approximations.
problem Challenges in time series classification and forecasting on noisy data.
method Motion Code views time series as stochastic processes, assigning unique signatures to distinct dynamics.
result Motion Code outperforms benchmarks in noisy datasets, including real-world Parkinson's disease tracking.
Paper develops a continuous-time framework for financial markets without stochastic calculus.
problem Developing continuous-time financial models without stochastic calculus.
method A general framework using conditional topologies and pseudo-distance topologies.
result No-arbitrage conditions hold in continuous time if and only if they hold in discrete time.
Stochastic gradient descent in continuous time (SGDCT) provides a computationally efficient method for the statistical learning of continuous-time models, which are widely used in science, engineering, and finance. The SGDCT algorithm follows a (noisy) descent direction along a continuous stream of data. SGDCT performs…
Consider power utility maximization of terminal wealth in a 1-dimensional continuous-time exponential Levy model with finite time horizon. We discretize the model by restricting portfolio adjustments to an equidistant discrete time grid. Under minimal assumptions we prove convergence of the optimal discrete-time strate…
Continuous-time MBRL framework tackles control systems with Bayesian ODEs.
problem Discretization of continuous-time systems in MBRL.
method Novel actor-critic method with Bayesian ODEs for state inference.
result Model robust against irregular and noisy data, sample-efficient, solves challenging control problems.
Continuous-time model shows insider trading constraints impact market dynamics.
problem Trading constraints faced by insiders in continuous-time models.
method Proved global existence of equilibrium with terminal trading constraint.
result Equilibrium model aligns with empirical market behaviors.
Framework combines random features with CDEs for efficient time-series learning.
problem Efficient training of time-series models with strong inductive bias.
method Random Fourier CDEs and Random Rough DEs using continuous-time reservoirs and log-ODE discretization.
result Unified perspective on random-feature reservoirs and path-signature theory.
Continuous-time analysis shows SGD with noise prefers flat minima.
problem Optimizing neural networks using SGD with noise.
method Continuous-time model for SGD with noise analysis.
result Optimization prefers flat minima in certain noise regimes.
This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for exploratory data analysis and feature construction in continuous time series. Our method focuses on understanding shared features in a set of time series that exhibit significant individual variability. Our method builds on the framework of latent Diricihlet alloc…
New RL framework models continuous-time dynamics using neural ODEs.
problem Modeling continuous-time dynamics in semi-Markov decision processes.
method Model-based reinforcement learning with neural ODEs.
result High-performing policies developed with minimal data.
Continuous-time SGD converges under certain conditions, useful for deep learning.
problem Minimizing population expected loss in learning problems.
method Continuous-time approximation of stochastic gradient descent.
result Establishes sufficient conditions for convergence, applicable to overparametrized neural networks.
Logarithmic regret achieved in continuous-time linear-quadratic reinforcement learning.
problem Optimizing control actions in unknown continuous-time systems over a finite time horizon.
method Least-squares algorithm based on continuous-time observations and controls, with perturbation analysis and parameter estimation error analysis.
result Logarithmic regret bound of order O ( ( ln M ) ( ln ln M ) ) O((\ln M)(\ln\ln M)) O (( ln M ) ( ln ln M )) . A new method for portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
problem Path-dependent portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
method Path-by-path framework, self-financing concept, partial differential equation, continuous-time algorithms.
result General explicit solution for wealth evolution in generic markets.
Logarithmic regret for continuous-time reinforcement learning.
problem Continuous-time Markov decision processes with unknown transition probabilities and holding times.
method Upper confidence reinforcement learning, mean holding time estimation, stochastic comparison of point processes.
result Logarithmic regret bound achieved in finite time.
New SDE model for continuous-time reinforcement learning.
problem Modeling exploration in continuous-time reinforcement learning.
method Introduced grid-sampling SDE as a proxy model.
result Wellposedness of the SDE in the presence of jumps.
Study shows certainty equivalent policy minimizes regret in continuous-time systems.
problem Minimizing regret in continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems.
method Theoretical analysis of randomized certainty equivalent policy.
result Establishes square-root of time regret bounds and linear scaling with parameters.
VSDN models sporadic time series with neural SDEs.
problem Modeling irregular and sparse time series data.
method Variational Bayesian method and neural SDEs.
result VSDNs outperform state-of-the-art models in prediction and interpolation.
Detects outliers in continuous-time event sequences, including unexpected absences and occurrences.
problem Identifying unexpected events in event sequences that may indicate abnormal situations.
method Developed methods based on Bayesian decision theory and hypothesis testing for context-aware outlier detection.
result Effective methods for detecting outliers in both synthetic and real-world data.