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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3647281,0911,455 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for continuous time recurrent neural networks

CRUs model irregular time series with continuous hidden states.

problem Handling irregular time intervals in sequential data.
method Continuous Recurrent Units (CRUs) that integrate hidden states via a linear stochastic differential equation.
result CRUs outperform methods based on neural ordinary differential equations in irregular time series interpolation.

CTRNNs improve blood glucose forecasting in ICU, outperforming traditional models.

problem Forecasting blood glucose in ICU with irregular measurements.
method Continuous time autoregressive recurrent neural networks (CTRNNs) using neural ODE or neural flow layers.
result CTRNNs generally outperform traditional autoregressive models in probabilistic forecasting of blood glucose.

Interneurons improve learning in neural networks by accelerating convergence.

problem Rapid adaptation to changing input statistics in neural networks.
method Two mathematically tractable recurrent linear neural networks were compared: one with direct recurrent connections and the other with interneurons that mediate recurrent communication.
result The network with interneurons converges more quickly than the network with direct recurrent connections, scaling logarithmically with initialization spectrum.

This paper uses ODE to improve RNN models for time series data.

problem Improving RNN models for irregularly sampled time series data.
method Extending RNNs with Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs).
result New ODE-based RNN models reduce training and evaluation time.

Much combinatorial optimisation problems constitute a non-polynomial (NP) hard optimisation problem, i.e., they can not be solved in polynomial time. One such problem is finding the shortest route between two nodes on a graph. Meta-heuristic algorithms such as AA^{*} along with mixed-integer programming (MIP) methods …

2017-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses neural networks for fast Hawkes model parameter estimation in finance.

problem Estimating parameters of Hawkes models from high-frequency financial data.
method Recurrent neural networks for parameter estimation.
result Significantly faster computational performance compared to traditional methods.

Neural dynamical systems are dynamical systems that are described at least in part by neural networks. The class of continuous-time neural dynamical systems must, however, be numerically integrated for simulation and learning. Here, we present a compact neural circuit for two common numerical integrators: the explicit …

2019-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural networks with variable time constants for better time-series prediction.

problem Improving neural network performance in time-series prediction.
method Constructing networks of linear dynamical systems modulated by nonlinear gates, using numerical differential equation solvers.
result Liquid Time-Constant Networks (LTCs) yield superior performance on time-series prediction tasks.

In this paper, we revisit the recurrent back-propagation (RBP) algorithm, discuss the conditions under which it applies as well as how to satisfy them in deep neural networks. We show that RBP can be unstable and propose two variants based on conjugate gradient on the normal equations (CG-RBP) and Neumann series (Neuma…

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on memory effects in RNNs learning temporal data.

problem Understanding memory effects in RNNs for temporal data learning.
method Mathematical analysis of continuous-time linear RNNs, focusing on approximation and optimization dynamics.
result Long-term memory requires a large number of neurons and slows down training.

CARRNN tackles deep learning for sporadic data, improving prediction errors in healthcare.

problem Challenges in learning temporal patterns from sporadic multivariate longitudinal data.
method Developed a novel deep learning architecture combining RNN and CAR models, using a generalized discrete-time autoregressive model.
result CARRNN achieves the lowest prediction errors in multivariate time-series regression tasks.

Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering feature engineering, feature importances, point and interval predictions, and for…

2019-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A new memory-efficient sign language translation model reduces weight usage.

problem Memory constraints in real-time sign language translation.
method Variational Bayesian sequence-to-sequence network with Gaussian posterior and Indian Buffet Process prior.
result The proposed model achieves substantial weight compression without compromising performance.

Stochastic RNNs classify biological neural network paths with robust error bounds.

problem Classifying biological neural network paths.
method Modelled as a continuous-time stochastic recurrent neural network (RNN) with identity activation function, analysed in the robust regime.
result Generalisation error bound holds with high probability, showing the empirical risk minimiser is the best-in-class hypothesis.

UNIPoint universally approximates point process intensities.

problem How to precisely describe the flexibility of point process models.
method Proof using Stone-Weierstrass Theorem, transfer functions, and recurrent neural networks.
result UNIPoint performs better than other models on synthetic and real-world datasets.

A widely studied non-deterministic polynomial time (NP) hard problem lies in finding a route between the two nodes of a graph. Often meta-heuristics algorithms such as AA^{*} are employed on graphs with a large number of nodes. Here, we propose a deep recurrent neural network architecture based on the Sequence-2-Seque…

2017-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New RNN model handles long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series.

problem Handling long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time series data.
method Designing ODE-LSTMs that separate memory from continuous-time state.
result ODE-LSTMs outperform other RNN-based models on non-uniformly sampled data with long-term dependencies.

This paper considers the computational power of constant size, dynamic Bayesian networks. Although discrete dynamic Bayesian networks are no more powerful than hidden Markov models, dynamic Bayesian networks with continuous random variables and discrete children of continuous parents are capable of performing Turing-co…

2016-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

TGNN4I model forecasts irregularly observed graph data using ODEs.

problem Forecasting graph-structured data with irregular time steps and partial observations.
method Introduces a time-continuous latent state in each node using ODEs and GRUs, integrating graph neural network layers.
result Validated usefulness of graph structure and time-continuous dynamics in irregular observation settings.

This work combines recurrent models with diffusion for probabilistic time series forecasting.

problem Scalability and capturing high-dimensional distributions and cross-feature dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Combines recurrent neural networks' efficiency with diffusion models' probabilistic modeling, using stochastic interpolants and conditional generation.
result Offers scalable probabilistic time series forecasting methods.

Deep neural nets approximate random dynamical system trajectories uniformly in time.

problem Approximating trajectories of random dynamical systems over infinite time horizons.
method Recurrent neural networks with simple feedback structures.
result Certain random trajectories can be approximated uniformly in time to any desired accuracy.

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with observations from continuous variables that are unevenly sampled in time, for example due…

2019-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

RED detects sleep EEG events using deep neural networks, outperforming previous methods.

problem Manual detection of sleep EEG events is time-consuming and variable.
method Deep Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with convolutional and recurrent components.
result RED outperforms state-of-the-art methods in sleep spindle and K-complex detection.

Traditional Recurrent Neural Networks assume vectorized data as inputs. However many data from modern science and technology come in certain structures such as tensorial time series data. To apply the recurrent neural networks for this type of data, a vectorisation process is necessary, while such a vectorisation leads…

2017-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

Dynamic VWAP execution improves by 10-15% in liquid markets.

problem Improving VWAP execution in dynamic markets.
method Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for capturing temporal market dynamics, dynamic adjustment mechanism.
result Significant performance gains in liquid markets (10-15%) over traditional methods.

Study evaluates CL methods in RNNs, highlighting differences from feedforward networks.

problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in RNNs processing sequential data.
method Comprehensive evaluation of CL methods, including elastic weight consolidation and hypernetworks.
result Weight-importance methods perform similarly regardless of sequence length but require more stability for high working memory demands.

Improved speech recognition for voice assistants by analyzing speech data.

problem Reducing false triggers in speech-enabled assistants.
method Post-processing LVCSR hypothesis lattice with a Bidirectional Lattice Recurrent Neural Network (LatticeRNN).
result LatticeRNN significantly improves detection accuracy over traditional methods.

In a recurrent setting, conventional approaches to neural architecture search find and fix a general model for all data samples and time steps. We propose a novel algorithm that can dynamically search for the structure of cells in a recurrent neural network model. Based on a combination of recurrent and recursive neura…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Leveraging advances in variational inference, we propose to enhance recurrent neural networks with latent variables, resulting in Stochastic Recurrent Networks (STORNs). The model i) can be trained with stochastic gradient methods, ii) allows structured and multi-modal conditionals at each time step, iii) features a re…

2014-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.

problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.

SnAp approximates RTRL for online training of sparse recurrent networks.

problem Training large sparse recurrent networks online is computationally expensive.
method Sparse n-step Approximation (SnAp) of the RTRL influence matrix.
result SnAp with n=2 remains tractable for highly sparse networks and outperforms backpropagation through time.