NOTMAD estimates context-specific Bayesian networks without breaking datasets.
problem Non-convexity of acyclic graphs limits sharing information between context-specific estimators.
method NOTMAD models context-specific Bayesian networks as mixtures of archetypal DAGs, estimating structures and parameters jointly.
result NOTMAD shares information between context-specific acyclic graphs, enabling single-sample resolution.
Introduces CStrees for modeling context-specific causal models from observational and interventional data.
problem Modeling context-specific causal relationships from mixed data types.
method Introduces CStrees with a novel factorization criterion and graphical characterization for context-specific conditional independence models.
result Derives a graphical characterization of model equivalence for observational CStrees and extends it to CStree models under context-specific interventions.
New classifiers account for context-specific independences.
problem Restrictions in generative models for classification.
method Staged tree classifiers that account for context-specific independences.
result Staged tree classifiers achieve competitive classification accuracy.
SIMULE learns multiple sparse UGMs from aggregated data, identifying context-specific and shared interactions.
problem Jointly estimating multiple sparse UGMs from aggregated samples across different contexts.
method Constrained L1 minimization approach for multi-UGM learning.
result SIMULE achieves consistent results at rate O(log(Kp)/n_{tot}) and significantly improves over state-of-the-art methods.
Scalable method learns context-specific models for hundreds of variables.
problem Learning context-specific models for large numbers of variables.
method Order-based Markov chain Monte-Carlo search with context-specific sparsity assumption.
result Method scales to hundreds of variables and learns accurate models.
A new HMM model captures kernel dependencies using context-specific Bayesian networks.
problem Traditional HMMs struggle with non-Gaussian data and independence assumptions.
method Kernel density estimation with context-specific Bayesian networks.
result The proposed model outperforms related HMMs in likelihood and classification accuracy.
The paper introduces new Bayesian network classifiers for better classification accuracy.
problem Improving supervised classification accuracy using Bayesian network classifiers.
method Developed novel classes of generative classifiers based on staged tree models, extending Bayesian networks.
result Data-driven learning routines enhance the accuracy of the new classifiers.
New RNN model fuses sensor data from multiple stations.
problem Modeling distributed sensor networks for future behavior prediction.
method Multi-Encoder-Decoder RNN architecture with attention mechanism.
result Model improves prediction accuracy on real-world sensor datasets.
We present a method for learning the parameters of a Bayesian network with prior knowledge about the signs of influences between variables. Our method accommodates not just the standard signs, but provides for context-specific signs as well. We show how the various signs translate into order constraints on the network …
Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of defining restrictions derived from marginal, conditional and context-specific ind…
Learning the Markov network structure from data is a problem that has received considerable attention in machine learning, and in many other application fields. This work focuses on a particular approach for this purpose called independence-based learning. Such approach guarantees the learning of the correct structure …
CPR models complex decision processes by breaking them into context-specific policies, improving interpretability and accuracy.
problem Interpreting dynamic human decision-making processes in medical contexts.
method Develops Contextualized Policy Recovery (CPR) framework for multi-task learning, modeling each context-specific policy as a linear map.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting medical decisions, closing the gap between interpretable and black-box methods.
NT-DCEG models dynamic processes with specific periodicity, proving useful for multivariate processes.
problem Modeling dynamic processes with specific periodicity and context-specific independences.
method Developed a method to distributively construct NT-DCEG models and used graph topology to infer context-specific independences.
result NT-DCEGs contain all discrete N time-slice Dynamic Bayesian Networks as special cases.
CausalRegNet generates accurate data for gene perturbation experiments, improving CSL methods.
problem Assessing and selecting causal structure learning methods in gene perturbation experiments.
method CausalRegNet, a multiplicative effect structural causal model, generates accurate observational and interventional data.
result CausalRegNet generates more accurate distributions and scales better than current simulation frameworks.
Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and computer security, etc. Despite of their generic applicability and wide adoptan…
Study shows context-specific models improve swipe gesture authentication for smartphone users.
problem Improving swipe gesture-based continuous authentication for smartphones.
method Conducted experiments on HMOG dataset with 100 subjects, analyzing authentication error in different scenarios.
result Context-specific models are needed for different smartphone usage and human activity scenarios.
Pref-SHAP explains preferences using Shapley values.
problem Challenging problem of preference explanation in machine learning.
method Shapley value-based model explanation framework for pairwise comparison data.
result Richer and more insightful explanations obtained over baseline.
Motivation: Cell-biological processes are regulated through a complex network of interactions between genes and their products. The processes, their activating conditions, and the associated transcriptional responses are often unknown. Organism-wide modeling of network activation can reveal unique and shared mechanisms…
Proposes a neural network for contextual regression.
problem Improving model efficiency and interpretability in regression with contextual features.
method Simple contextual neural network (SCtxtNN) that separates context identification from context-specific regression.
result SCtxtNN achieves lower excess mean squared error and more stable performance than feed-forward neural networks.
Hand-held system translates foreign menus for diet management.
problem Translation ambiguities and context-specific information for diet management.
method Portable multimedia device, machine translation, context-specific corpora, pre-processing steps, multimedia information.
result Higher accuracy and instant translations compared to Google Translate.
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.
RSPFs combine multiple SPNs for better density estimation.
problem Creating large SPNs for complex data.
method Random sum-product forests with residual links.
result RSPFs outperform individual SPNs and improve with residual links.
A new method scores contextual Markov networks without assuming chordality.
problem Learning structure in contextual Markov networks is hard due to many possible structures.
method Marginal pseudo-likelihood as a consistent structure estimator.
result Marginal pseudo-likelihood yields a consistent structure estimator.
SPGM combines SPNs and GMs for efficient probabilistic inference.
problem Efficient probabilistic inference with tractable models.
method Combines SPNs and GMs, proposes a learning algorithm.
result Competitive density estimation performance.
Develops N Time-Slice DCEG for analyzing inmate radicalization.
problem Limited application of DCEG due to its generality.
method Object-oriented method to analyze NT-DCEG and Markov processes.
result Context-specific independence statements from graph topology.
The paper tackles learning varying DAG structures based on contextual features.
problem Learning a single DAG for the entire population from observational data.
method A neural network that maps contextual features to a weighted adjacency matrix of a DAG, with a projection layer to ensure acyclicity.
result The new approach can recover context-specific DAGs where existing methods fail.
In this paper, we establish some theoretical connections between Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) and Bayesian Networks (BNs). We prove that every SPN can be converted into a BN in linear time and space in terms of the network size. The key insight is to use Algebraic Decision Diagrams (ADDs) to compactly represent the loca…
Enhanced route planning with probabilistic prediction and uncertainty sets.
problem Improving route planning reliability under uncertainty.
method CQR-GAE model integrating conformal prediction and uncertainty sets.
result Significantly outperforms baseline methods in real-world traffic scenarios.
Efficiently infers gene regulatory networks from spatial data.
problem Inferring spatially-varying gene regulatory networks.
method Proposed an efficient optimization problem for SV-GMRFs.
result Solves large-scale SV-GMRF problems in minutes.
A new method for CT-DCEGs simplifies inference for asymmetric processes.
problem Inference in asymmetric state space problems with continuous time evolution.
method An extension of CEG propagation for CT-DCEGs, employing junction tree inference.
result CT-DCEGs are preferred over DBNs and continuous time BNs for asymmetric processes.
Neural networks improve pricing and hedging of complex financial claims.
problem Pricing and hedging of high-dimensional, path-dependent contingent claims.
method Regress later Monte Carlo approach using neural networks for interpretability.
result Any contingent claim can be semi-statically hedged using a portfolio of short maturity options.
ContextWIN uses neural networks and reinforcement learning to optimize decisions in dynamic environments.
problem Optimizing decisions in dynamic, context-aware environments like recommendation systems.
method Integrates a mixture of experts within a reinforcement learning framework to compute context-specific weights for decision-making.
result Enhanced efficiency and accuracy in Whittle index computation for each arm in RMABs.
Proposes a non-conjugate model selection method for chain event graphs.
problem Existing model selection algorithms for chain event graphs rely on conjugate priors, which is unrealistic for many real-world applications.
method Proposes a mixture modelling approach to model selection in chain event graphs that does not rely on conjugacy.
result The proposed method is more scalable and robust than existing algorithms.
Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.
problem Ad hoc and subjective selection of clustering structures by domain experts.
method Formalize expert knowledge and requirements with competency questions.
result Competency questions improve reproducibility and evaluation of clustering applications.
Proposes BehavDT model for context-aware user behavior prediction.
problem Building a context-aware predictive model based on diverse user behavioral activities.
method Introduces BehavDT, a behavioral decision tree that considers user behavior-oriented generalization.
result BehavDT model outperforms traditional machine learning approaches in predicting user diverse behaviors considering multi-dimensional contexts.
New framework estimates staged tree models using hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex.
problem Estimating staged tree models with context-specific dependencies.
method Hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex, using simplex-based divergences and linkage methods.
result Total Variation divergence with Ward.D2 linkage produces staged trees with better model fit, structure recovery, and computational efficiency.
Collaborative filtering is a rapidly advancing research area. Every year several new techniques are proposed and yet it is not clear which of the techniques work best and under what conditions. In this paper we conduct a study comparing several collaborative filtering techniques -- both classic and recent state-of-the-…
Automated image annotation improves model training accuracy.
problem Training deep learning models with labeled data.
method Combining wireless localization and cameras for automatic image annotation.
result Demonstrated feasibility and benefits of automatic annotation.
Proposes a new model for context-dependent decision-making.
problem Constant preference parameters in decision models are too rigid.
method Introduces Context-aware Bayesian mixed multinomial logit model using neural networks.
result Models context-dependent intra-respondent heterogeneity effectively.
Hybrid model uses LLM to build transparent Bayesian networks for trading decisions.
problem Rigorous and transparent reasoning required in financial trading, especially for options strategies.
method Combines LLM strengths with Bayesian Networks, using LLM to construct context-specific networks and select relevant data.
result Empirically, the hybrid system outperforms market benchmarks with superior risk-adjusted performance.
Contextualized ML learns context-dependent effects using deep learning.
problem Learning heterogeneous and context-dependent effects in data.
method Applying deep learning to the meta-relationship between contextual information and context-specific parametric models.
result Unified framework for cluster analysis and cohort modeling.
The paper generates future brain imaging sequences for Alzheimer's disease detection.
problem Understanding brain aging and neurodegenerative diseases through sequential image data.
method Formulated a min-max problem based on f-divergence to learn a time series generator using a deep neural network. result Generated image sequences converge to the latent truth under specific conditions, enhancing downstream tasks like Alzheimer's disease detection.
A new algorithm converts staged trees into Chain Event Graphs.
problem Creating explicit representations of structural zeros and conditional independences.
method Iterative backward algorithm transforming a staged tree into a CEG.
result No information is lost in the transformation from staged tree to CEG.
Adapts attention to supervised learning for personalized predictions.
problem Personalized predictions for each data point with model simplicity.
method Local model fitting with attention weighting for tabular data.
result Attention weighting improves predictive performance and preserves interpretability.
Models predict soccer match outcomes with similar accuracy.
problem Predicting soccer match outcomes (win, draw, loss).
method Compared Bradley-Terry extensions and hierarchical Poisson log-linear model. Parameters estimated using log-likelihood or integrated nested Laplace approximations. Predictive performance assessed using temporal validation.
result Bradley-Terry extensions and hierarchical Poisson log-linear model perform similarly in predicting match outcomes.
Paper explores broader bias issues in ML systems beyond training data.
problem Technical and emergent biases in automated decision-making systems.
method Interprets technical bias as epistemological and emergent bias as dynamical.
result Need to reflect on epistemology and use value-sensitive design.
Large language models based on transformers have achieved great empirical successes. However, as they are deployed more widely, there is a growing need to better understand their internal mechanisms in order to make them more reliable. These models appear to store vast amounts of knowledge from their training data, and…
This paper evaluates scalable uncertainty estimation methods for DNN-based molecular property prediction.
problem Uncertainty quantification in DNN models for molecular property prediction.
method Quantitative comparison of MC-Dropout, deep ensembles, and bootstrapping on the QM9 dataset.
result Ensembling and bootstrapping consistently outperform MC-Dropout, with different context-specific pros and cons.