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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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18375573 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for confusion matrices

The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.

problem Estimating sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests.
method Modifying diagnostic test solutions to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers on unlabeled data.
result The approach can be used to estimate accuracy statistics for supervised or unsupervised binary classifiers on unlabeled data.

A widespread approach in machine learning to evaluate the quality of a classifier is to cross -- classify predicted and actual decision classes in a confusion matrix, also called error matrix. A classification tool which does not assume distributional parameters but only information contained in the data is based on th…

2019-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

PTBCC improves accuracy in multi-class annotation aggregation by learning from prototype confusion matrices.

problem Inaccurate and insufficient confusion matrices for annotators in multi-class classification tasks.
method PTBCC (ProtoType learning-driven Bayesian Classifier Combination) uses prototype confusion matrices to capture annotator expertise.
result PTBCC achieves up to 15% accuracy improvement and 3% higher average accuracy compared to existing methods.

Combines human and model predictions for improved accuracy.

problem Improving classification accuracy when both human and model predictions are imperfect.
method Uses confusion matrices and calibration to combine probabilistic model outputs with human class-level predictions.
result Human-model combinations consistently outperform either alone, with accuracy gains even with limited human input.

Consistent algorithms for multiclass learning with complex metrics and constraints.

problem Learning with complex performance metrics and constraints.
method General framework for designing consistent algorithms by viewing the problem as an optimization over feasible confusion matrices.
result Rates of convergence to the optimal (feasible) classifier, showing asymptotic consistency.

This paper visualizes uncertainty in classifier performance metrics.

problem Overemphasis on model performance metrics risks overlooking uncertainty.
method Developed visualizations of confusion matrix metric distributions.
result Uncertainty in performance metrics can overshadow model differences.

EAST aligns neural network classifiers with user-defined evaluation metrics.

problem Mismatch between neural network training and evaluation metrics leads to suboptimal performance.
method EAST uses dynamic thresholding, soft-set confusion matrix, and annealing to align neural network predictions with target evaluation metrics.
result EAST improves alignment between training objectives and evaluation metrics, outperforming existing methods.

Paper recovers top-two answers and confusion probability in multi-choice crowdsourcing.

problem Recovering top-two answers and confusion probability in multi-choice crowdsourcing tasks.
method Proposes a two-stage inference algorithm based on a model quantifying task difficulty and worker reliability.
result Achieves minimax optimal convergence rate and outperforms other algorithms in synthetic and real data experiments.

Context: Conducting experiments is central to research machine learning research to benchmark, evaluate and compare learning algorithms. Consequently it is important we conduct reliable, trustworthy experiments. Objective: We investigate the incidence of errors in a sample of machine learning experiments in the domain …

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Data collection and annotation are time-consuming in machine learning, expecially for large scale problem. A common approach for this problem is to transfer knowledge from a related labeled domain to a target one. There are two popular ways to achieve this goal: adversarial learning and self training. In this article, …

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a binary prediction problem, which performance metric should the classifier optimize? We address this question by formalizing the problem of Metric Elicitation. The goal of metric elicitation is to discover the performance metric of a practitioner, which reflects her innate rewards (costs) for correct (incorrect)…

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Ideally, what confuses neural network should be confusing to humans. However, recent experiments have shown that small, imperceptible perturbations can change the network prediction. To address this gap in perception, we propose a novel approach for learning robust classifier. Our main idea is: adversarial examples for…

2018-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The study formalizes temporal precision and recall for anomaly detection in sequences.

problem Insufficient understanding of precision and recall in sequential anomaly detection.
method Formalized temporal precision and recall measures, developed time-tolerant confusion matrices, and demonstrated statistical significance.
result Precision and recall may overestimate performance with temporal tolerance.

New method quantifies classifier uncertainty, revealing large variability in performance metrics.

problem Uncertainty in classifier performance metrics due to small data sets.
method Probability model of the confusion matrix to quantify uncertainty.
result Large uncertainties in classification performance metrics can lead to misleading conclusions.

This paper investigates how machine learning APIs change over time and proposes an efficient method to monitor these changes.

problem Understanding and assessing changes in machine learning APIs over time.
method Systematic investigation of ML API shifts, proposing a principled adaptive sampling algorithm (MASA) for efficient estimation of confusion matrix shifts.
result MASA can accurately estimate confusion matrix shifts using up to 90% fewer samples compared to random sampling.

There are a variety of Domain Adaptation (DA) scenarios subject to label sets and domain configurations, including closed-set and partial-set DA, as well as multi-source and multi-target DA. It is notable that existing DA methods are generally designed only for a specific scenario, and may underperform for scenarios th…

2019-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Faced with distribution shift between training and test set, we wish to detect and quantify the shift, and to correct our classifiers without test set labels. Motivated by medical diagnosis, where diseases (targets) cause symptoms (observations), we focus on label shift, where the label marginal p(y)p(y) changes but the …

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes FACT, a diagnostic for understanding group fairness trade-offs.

problem Group fairness notions often conflict with each other, requiring a cost in model performance.
method Characterizes trade-offs via the fairness-confusion tensor and optimizes accuracy and fairness objectives.
result Demonstrates the use of FACT on synthetic and real datasets to understand accuracy-fairness trade-offs.

Exploits class similarity for better machine learning models with confidence labels and projective loss functions.

problem Poor model performance due to confusing similar classes.
method Exploits class similarity with confidence labels and projective loss functions.
result Improved model performance on noisy labels.

Unified approach optimizes neural network training for various metrics.

problem Training and evaluation of neural network binary classifiers often use different metrics.
method Combines differentiable approximation and probabilistic soft sets.
result Effective in optimizing for metrics like F1-Score across various domains.

Optimizes classification algorithms with bounds on error rates.

problem Bounding uncertainties in classifier outputs for diagnostic testing.
method Set-theoretic and probabilistic arguments to derive uniform error bounds.
result Optimal partition minimizes the largest Gershgorin radius of the confusion matrix.

Unified framework for comparing classification metrics across different imbalance rates.

problem Differences in scale and sensitivity to class imbalance rates in classification metrics.
method Introduces outperformance standardization (OPS) function to map metrics to a common scale.
result Unified o-value metric provides clear comparison across different imbalance rates.

Study identifies and mitigates causes of image misclassifications in CNN models.

problem Improving model interpretability and accuracy in image classification.
method Trained six CNN architectures on CIFAR-10, used conditional confusion matrices and misclassification networks to identify morphological similarity and non-essential information interference as causes of misclassification. Developed a method to reduce misclassifications by erasing pixels within top 5% saliency map bounding boxes.
result Identified two causes of misclassification: morphological similarity and non-essential information interference, and developed a method to reduce misclassifications caused by the latter.

We discuss promising recent contributions on quantifying feature relevance using Shapley values, where we observed some confusion on which probability distribution is the right one for dropped features. We argue that the confusion is based on not carefully distinguishing between observational and interventional conditi…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In the past decades, intensive efforts have been put to design various loss functions and metric forms for metric learning problem. These improvements have shown promising results when the test data is similar to the training data. However, the trained models often fail to produce reliable distances on the ambiguous te…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a new method for computing ASR word confidences that effectively mitigates the effect of ASR errors for diverse downstream applications, improves the word error rate of the 1-best result, and allows better comparison of scores across different models. We propose 1) a new method for modeling word confidence u…

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗