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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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53106158211 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for conformal outlier detection

Paper introduces detect-then-impute conformal prediction for cellwise outliers.

problem Uncertainty in prediction intervals for models with cellwise outliers.
method Detects outliers, imputes them, and constructs exchangeable features for conformal prediction.
result JDI-CP achieves a finite sample 12α1-2\alpha coverage guarantee.

The paper analyzes how conformal prediction works with contaminated reference data.

problem The impact of contamination on the validity and power of conformal prediction methods.
method The paper analyzes the impact of contamination on the validity of conformal methods and proposes a data-cleaning framework to enhance power.
result The proposed data-cleaning framework can effectively enhance power while maintaining type-I error control.

The paper develops p-values for outlier detection using conformal inference.

problem Detecting outliers in nonparametric data sets.
method Conformal inference framework for constructing marginally valid but mutually dependent p-values.
result Valid p-values for outlier detection with conditional independence and marginal false discovery rate control.

MMDCP improves outlier detection and classification with adaptive prediction sets.

problem Label shift and distribution differences in multi-class settings.
method Combines distance measures with full conformal prediction for adaptive prediction sets.
result Valid coverage and effective control of class-wise false discovery rate (CW-FDR).

The paper provides high-probability bounds on false discovery proportions in conformal inference.

problem Existing methods fail to provide high-probability bounds on the realized false discovery proportion.
method Constructing a high-probability envelope for the empirical distribution function of null conformal p-values by sampling from their joint distribution.
result Establishes finite-sample, distribution-free upper bounds on the FDP that hold simultaneously over all possible rejection thresholds.

We consider the multi-class classification problem when the training data and the out-of-sample test data may have different distributions and propose a method called BCOPS (balanced and conformal optimized prediction sets). BCOPS constructs a prediction set C(x)C(x) as a subset of class labels, possibly empty. It tries …

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves neural network predictions with early stopping using conformal calibration.

problem Lack of precise statistical guarantees for neural networks trained with early stopping.
method Conformalized early stopping that combines early stopping with conformal calibration.
result Models provide both accuracy and precise inferences without additional data splits.

SubSearch detects graph outliers and estimates SBM parameters robustly.

problem Real-world graphs often deviate from ideal SBM assumptions.
method Subgraph search to find subgraphs that align with SBM assumptions.
result SubSearch accurately estimates SBM parameters and detects outliers.

SConU improves uncertainty prediction for large models by testing for outliers and reducing miscoverage.

problem Real-world deployment of large language models requires reliable guarantees of task-specific metrics.
method SConU implements significance tests to identify and exclude outliers that violate exchangeability assumptions.
result SConU reduces miscoverage rates and enhances prediction efficiency in high-stakes tasks.

Outlier detection aims to identify unusual data instances that deviate from expected patterns. The outlier detection is particularly challenging when outliers are context dependent and when they are defined by unusual combinations of multiple outcome variable values. In this paper, we develop and study a new conditiona…

2015-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

FCI method uses flow-based techniques to improve prediction confidence.

problem Limited applicability of exchangeable assumptions in predicting contaminated data.
method Adversarial flow to transform data into known distributions, then map to low-dimensional space.
result FCI produces effective predictive sets and accurate outlier detection.

This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to compute simultaneous prediction bands and clustering trees for functional data. These tools can be used to detect outliers and clusters. Both our prediction bands and clustering trees provide prediction sets for the underlying stochastic process with a guaranteed fi…

2013-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Advances in sensor technology have enabled the collection of large-scale datasets. Such datasets can be extremely noisy and often contain a significant amount of outliers that result from sensor malfunction or human operation faults. In order to utilize such data for real-world applications, it is critical to detect ou…

2018-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Generates synthetic data for benchmarking unsupervised outlier detection.

problem Difficulty in benchmarking unsupervised outlier detection due to rare and varied outliers in real data.
method Proposes a generic process to generate synthetic data with insightful characteristics.
result Demonstrates practicality of the generic process through a benchmark with state-of-the-art detection methods.

A new method detects outliers using ensembles of Dirichlet process mixtures.

problem Challenges in unsupervised outlier detection using Dirichlet process mixtures.
method Ensembles of Dirichlet process Gaussian mixtures with random subspace and subsampling.
result Empirically outperforms existing approaches in unsupervised outlier detection.

Paper tackles outlier detection in signals modeled by generative models with theoretical guarantees.

problem Recovering signals from linear measurements with sparse outliers.
method Proposes an iterative ADMM algorithm and gradient descent algorithm for outlier detection using 1\ell_1 and squared 1\ell_1 norm minimization.
result Establishes theoretical recovery guarantees for signal reconstruction under sparse outliers.

Integrates outlier detection into neural networks for improved performance.

problem Lack of competency awareness in machine learning systems, especially in detecting outliers.
method Null Space Analysis (NuSA) of neural networks, computing and controlling null space projection.
result NuSA-trained networks maintain classification performance and detect outliers effectively.

A novel semi-supervised outlier detection model detects anomalies with few labels.

problem Efficiently detecting group anomalies with limited labeled data.
method RCC-Dual-GAN model that combines RCC and M-GAN components for semi-supervised outlier detection.
result Significantly improved accuracy in outlier detection with few labeled anomalies.

Bayesian method detects outliers and uncertain points in data.

problem Detecting outliers and uncertain points in data using Bayesian methods.
method Generative model of data curation for aleatoric uncertainty, combining with epistemic uncertainty and outlier exposure.
result Principled Bayesian approach outperforms methods using aleatoric or epistemic uncertainty alone.

Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are beyond the ability of commonly used methods to process the data within a reasona…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

CoCAI uses copulas for accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and anomaly detection.

problem Accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and robust anomaly detection.
method Copula-based conformal prediction for multivariate time-series analysis.
result CoCAI provides statistically valid predictive regions and robust anomaly scores.

One-Class Boundary Peeling detects outliers efficiently and robustly.

problem Unsupervised outlier detection in diverse data distributions.
method One-Class Boundary Peeling uses flexible boundaries generated by one-class SVMs and iteratively peels them.
result One-Class Boundary Peeling outperforms state-of-the-art methods in synthetic data simulations.

New algorithms detect outliers in high-dimensional data with arbitrary shapes.

problem Challenges of high dimensionality and varying cluster shapes in traditional outlier detection methods.
method Cluster Catch Digraphs (CCDs) and their variants (U-MCCD, UN-MCCD, SU-MCCD, SUN-MCCD).
result U-MCCD efficiently identifies outliers with high true negative rates, and SU-MCCD improves handling of non-uniform clusters.

Outlier detection amounts to finding data points that differ significantly from the norm. Classic outlier detection methods are largely designed for single data type such as continuous or discrete. However, real world data is increasingly heterogeneous, where a data point can have both discrete and continuous attribute…

2016-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive algorithm for outlier detection by balancing arm exploration and threshold estimation.

problem Identifying outliers in a set of rewards where the threshold is a function of all rewards.
method Adaptively updated confidence interval for the threshold based on previous rounds' estimates, balancing exploration of individual arms and the outlier threshold.
result Efficient algorithm with reduced sample complexity for outlier detection.

Transforms distance-based outlier scores into interpretable probabilistic estimates.

problem Difficult interpretation of distance-based outlier scores.
method Generic transformation of scores into probabilistic estimates using distance probability distributions.
result Probabilistic transformation improves interpretability without impacting detection performance.

Outlier detection plays an essential role in many data-driven applications to identify isolated instances that are different from the majority. While many statistical learning and data mining techniques have been used for developing more effective outlier detection algorithms, the interpretation of detected outliers do…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗